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Computational Methods For Population Projections
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Book Synopsis Computational Methods for Population Projections by : Frederic Claiborne Shorter
Download or read book Computational Methods for Population Projections written by Frederic Claiborne Shorter and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monograph presenting a calculational methodology for computerized preparation of population projections - outlines procedures for the preparation and use of model distributions that reflect changes in demographic factors such as fertility, mortality and migration, etc., and includes a sample application of the system to data for Turkey. Statistical tables.
Book Synopsis Computational Methods for Population Projections With Particular Reference to Development Planning by : Frederic C. Shorter
Download or read book Computational Methods for Population Projections With Particular Reference to Development Planning written by Frederic C. Shorter and published by Createspace Independent Pub. This book was released on 2012-10-04 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Computational Methods for Population Projections" is a user manual for the FIVFIV population projection software package. This manual was developed to help national governments and local authorities, especially in the developing world, make the projections they need to carry out their planning responsibilities. A second group of users is found in academic and training institutions. For teaching about the growth and structure of human populations, projections can demonstrate specific theorems. Note: The FIVFIV software is not included as part of this manual. While the population projection methodology described in this manual may continue to be of interest, the FIVFIV software, which is referenced throughout this book, is quite obsolete in terms of usability and is no longer supported or distributed. It remains our goal to produce a modern version of the software; however, we cannot currently determine when or if such an updated version may become available.
Book Synopsis Computational methods for population projections by : Frederic C. Shorter
Download or read book Computational methods for population projections written by Frederic C. Shorter and published by HPN Technologies Incorporated. This book was released on 1995 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Data-driven Modelling of Structured Populations by : Stephen P. Ellner
Download or read book Data-driven Modelling of Structured Populations written by Stephen P. Ellner and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-13 with total page 339 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a “How To” guide for modeling population dynamics using Integral Projection Models (IPM) starting from observational data. It is written by a leading research team in this area and includes code in the R language (in the text and online) to carry out all computations. The intended audience are ecologists, evolutionary biologists, and mathematical biologists interested in developing data-driven models for animal and plant populations. IPMs may seem hard as they involve integrals. The aim of this book is to demystify IPMs, so they become the model of choice for populations structured by size or other continuously varying traits. The book uses real examples of increasing complexity to show how the life-cycle of the study organism naturally leads to the appropriate statistical analysis, which leads directly to the IPM itself. A wide range of model types and analyses are presented, including model construction, computational methods, and the underlying theory, with the more technical material in Boxes and Appendices. Self-contained R code which replicates all of the figures and calculations within the text is available to readers on GitHub. Stephen P. Ellner is Horace White Professor of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology at Cornell University, USA; Dylan Z. Childs is Lecturer and NERC Postdoctoral Fellow in the Department of Animal and Plant Sciences at The University of Sheffield, UK; Mark Rees is Professor in the Department of Animal and Plant Sciences at The University of Sheffield, UK.
Book Synopsis Population Dynamics and Projection Methods by : John Stillwell
Download or read book Population Dynamics and Projection Methods written by John Stillwell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-02-15 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although the human population growth rate of the world has been declining since peaking in the early 1960s, the populations of individual countries are changing at different rates. Population dynamics at national level are partly determined by levels of fertility and mortality, but the impact of international migration is playing an increasingly important role. Moreover, internal migration plays a major part in population change at the sub-national level. This fourth volume in the series “Understanding Population Trends and Processes” is a celebration of the work of Professor Philip Rees. It contains chapters by contributors who have collaborated with Phil Rees on research or consultancy projects or as postgraduate students. Several chapters demonstrate the technical nature of population projection modelling and simulation methods while others illustrate issues relating to data availability and estimation. This book demonstrates the application of theoretical and modelling methods and addresses key issues relating to contemporary demographic patterns and trends.
Book Synopsis State and Local Population Projections by : Stanley K. Smith
Download or read book State and Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith and published by Springer. This book was released on 2001-04-30 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques within each of three classes of projection methods (cohort-component, trend extrapolation, and structural models) and covers the components of population growth, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods, paying special attention to the unique problems of making projections for small areas, and closes with an examination of technological and methodological changes affecting the production of small-area population projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, and other analysts called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data; they also describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another and for interpolating between two projections. They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the "utility" of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.
Book Synopsis Gender-structured Population Modeling by : M. Iannelli
Download or read book Gender-structured Population Modeling written by M. Iannelli and published by SIAM. This book was released on 2005-01-01 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gender-Structured Population Modeling gives a unified presentation of and mathematical framework for modeling population growth by couple formation. It provides an overview of both past and present modeling results. The authors focus on pair formation (marriage) and two-sex models with different forms of the marriage function -- the basis of couple formation -- and discuss which of these forms might make a better choice for a particular population (the United States). The book also provides results on model analysis, gives an up-to-date review of mathematical demography, discusses numerical methods, and puts deterministic modeling of human populations into historical perspective.
Book Synopsis A Computer Programme for Population Projections Using the Component Method by :
Download or read book A Computer Programme for Population Projections Using the Component Method written by and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Developments in Demographic Forecasting by : Stefano Mazzuco
Download or read book Developments in Demographic Forecasting written by Stefano Mazzuco and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-09-28 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric models, cohort approaches, elicitation of expert opinion, evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition, the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers, applied statisticians, as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find useful new ideas in various chapters.
Book Synopsis Microsimulation and Population Dynamics by : Alain Bélanger
Download or read book Microsimulation and Population Dynamics written by Alain Bélanger and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-06-24 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a practical, step-by-step introduction to microsimulation in demography. It shows how to use Modgen, a powerful and free microsimulation platform built by Statistics Canada. The authors' hands-on explanation of model development will help readers make their own. The book teaches how to create and run a simple cohort model with a single fixed-rate event, and builds upon this concept. It introduces how to develop both a single state life table as well as a multiple increment-decrement life table using the tools provided by Modgen. The authors illustrate how to easily upgrade an existing model by adding new modules and new dimensions as determinants of a risk already modeled. The integration of a fertility module and a base population allows the user to bring new actors into the simulation and transform a cohort-based model into a population-based one. The final addition of an international migration module allows the user to accomplish fully open, multi-regional projections. This accessible introduction will be of interest to researchers and students in population studies and other social sciences. It will also appeal to anyone interested in the computational modeling of population dynamics.
Book Synopsis Model-Based Demography by : Thomas K. Burch
Download or read book Model-Based Demography written by Thomas K. Burch and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-10-14 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Late in a career of more than sixty years, Thomas Burch, an internationally known social demographer, undertook a wide-ranging methodological critique of demography. This open access volume contains a selection of resulting papers, some previously unpublished, some published but not readily accessible [from past meetings of The International Union for the Scientific Study of Population and its research committees, or from other small conferences and seminars]. Rejecting the idea that demography is simply a branch of applied statistics, his work views it as an autonomous and complete scientific discipline. When viewed from the perspective of modern philosophy of science, specifically the semantic or model-based school, demography is a balanced discipline, with a rich body of techniques and data, but also with more and better theories than generally recognized. As demonstrated in this book, some demographic techniques can also be seen as theoretical models, and some substantive/behavioral models, commonly rejected as theory because of inconsistent observations, are now seen as valuable theoretical models, for example demographic transition theory. This book shows how demography can build a strong theoretical edifice on its broad and deep empirical foundation by adoption of the model-based approach to science. But the full-fruits of this approach will require demographers to make greater use of computer modeling [both macro- and micro-simulation], in the statement and manipulation of theoretical ideas, as well as for numerical computation. This book is open access under a CC BY license.
Download or read book Demography written by Sarah Harper and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-05-11 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The generation into which each person is born, the demographic composition of that cohort, and its relation to those born at the same time in other places influences not only a person's life chances, but also the economic and political structures within which that life is lived; the person's access to social and natural resources (food, water, education, jobs, sexual partners); and even the length of that person's life. Demography, literally the study of people, addresses the size, distribution, composition, and density of populations, and considers the impact the drivers which mediate these will have on both individual lives and the changing structure of human populations. This Very Short Introduction considers the way in which the global population has evolved over time and space. Sarah Harper discusses the theorists, theories, and methods involved in studying population trends and movements, before looking at the emergence of new demographic sub-disciplines and addressing some of the future population challenges of the 21st century. ABOUT THE SERIES: The Very Short Introductions series from Oxford University Press contains hundreds of titles in almost every subject area. These pocket-sized books are the perfect way to get ahead in a new subject quickly. Our expert authors combine facts, analysis, perspective, new ideas, and enthusiasm to make interesting and challenging topics highly readable.
Book Synopsis An Introduction to Population Genetics by : Rasmus Nielsen
Download or read book An Introduction to Population Genetics written by Rasmus Nielsen and published by Sinauer. This book was released on 2013-07-18 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book covers both classical population genetics theory developed in terms of allele and haplotype frequencies and modern population genetics theory developed in terms of coalescent theory. It features applications of theory to problems that arise in the study of human and other populations and assumes little prior knowledge of mathematics.
Book Synopsis A Multiregional Population Projection Model for Developing Countries by : Oleh Wolowyna
Download or read book A Multiregional Population Projection Model for Developing Countries written by Oleh Wolowyna and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Projection Methods for Integrating Population Variables Into Development Planning: Methods for comprehensive planning. module 1. Conceptual issues and methods for preparing demographic projections. module 2. Methods for preparing school enrolment, labour force, and employment projections. module 3. Techniques for preparing projections of household and other incomes, household consumption and savings, and government consumption and investment by :
Download or read book Projection Methods for Integrating Population Variables Into Development Planning: Methods for comprehensive planning. module 1. Conceptual issues and methods for preparing demographic projections. module 2. Methods for preparing school enrolment, labour force, and employment projections. module 3. Techniques for preparing projections of household and other incomes, household consumption and savings, and government consumption and investment written by and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :Michael R. Greenberg Publisher :New Brunswick, N.J. : Center for Urban Policy Research, Rutgers University ISBN 13 : Total Pages :146 pages Book Rating :4.:/5 (4 download)
Book Synopsis Long-range Population Projections for Minor Civil Divisions: Computer Programs and User's Manual by : Michael R. Greenberg
Download or read book Long-range Population Projections for Minor Civil Divisions: Computer Programs and User's Manual written by Michael R. Greenberg and published by New Brunswick, N.J. : Center for Urban Policy Research, Rutgers University. This book was released on 1973 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Spatial Analysis by : Tonny J. Oyana
Download or read book Spatial Analysis written by Tonny J. Oyana and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-07-28 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introductory text for the next generation of geospatial analysts and data scientists, Spatial Analysis: Statistics, Visualization, and Computational Methods focuses on the fundamentals of spatial analysis using traditional, contemporary, and computational methods. Outlining both non-spatial and spatial statistical concepts, the authors present p
