Catastrophic Consequences

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Publisher : JHU Press
ISBN 13 : 080188988X
Total Pages : 219 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Catastrophic Consequences by : Steven R. David

Download or read book Catastrophic Consequences written by Steven R. David and published by JHU Press. This book was released on 2008-08-15 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction : a new kind of threat -- Saudi Arabia : oil fields ablaze -- Pakistan : loose nukes -- Mexico : a flood of refugees -- China : collapse of a great power -- Conclusions : the coming storm.

Quantifying and Controlling Catastrophic Risks

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 9780080923451
Total Pages : 376 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (234 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantifying and Controlling Catastrophic Risks by : B. John Garrick

Download or read book Quantifying and Controlling Catastrophic Risks written by B. John Garrick and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2008-10-27 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The perception, assessment and management of risk are increasingly important core principles for determining the development of both policy and strategic responses to civil and environmental catastrophes. Whereas these principles were once confined to some areas of activity i.e. financial and insurance, they are now widely used in civil and environmental engineering. Comprehensive and readable, Civil and Environmental Risk: Mitigation and Control, provides readers with the mathematical tools and quantitative methods for determining the probability of a catastrophic event and mitigating and controlling the aftermath. With this book engineers develop the required skills for accurately assessing risk and formulating appropriate response strategies. The two part treatment starts with a clear and rigorous exposition of the quantitative risk assessment process, followed by self-contained chapters concerning applications. One of the first books to address both natural and human generated disasters, topics include events such as pandemic diseases, climate changes, major hurricanes, super earthquakes, mega tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, industrial accidents and terrorist attacks. Case studies appear at the end of the book allowing engineers to see how these principles are applied to scenarios such as a super hurricane or mega tsunamis, a reactor core melt down in a nuclear plant, a terrorist attack on the national electric grid, and an abrupt climate change brought about by a change in the ocean currents in the North Atlantic. Written by the current Chairman of the U.S. Nuclear Waste Technical Review Board, Environmental risk managers will find this reference a valuable and authoritative guide both in accurately calculating risk and its applications in their work. Key Features Mathematical tools for calculating and Controlling Catastrophic Risk Presents a systematic method for ranking the importance of societal threats Includes both Natural and Industrial Catastrophes Case studies cover such events as pandemic diseases, climate changes, major hurricanes, super earthquakes, mega tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, industrial accidents, and terrorist attacks.

Catastrophic Consequences

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Author :
Publisher : Johns Hopkins University Press+ORM
ISBN 13 : 0801895103
Total Pages : 324 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Catastrophic Consequences by : Steven R. David

Download or read book Catastrophic Consequences written by Steven R. David and published by Johns Hopkins University Press+ORM. This book was released on 2008-08-15 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A look at how civil upheaval in foreign nations is becoming a greater threat to the United States than international warfare, and what must be done. Civil war and other types of radical domestic upheaval are replacing international war as the preeminent threat to American security and economic well-being, according to Steven R. David. Catastrophic Consequences argues that civil conflicts are of even greater importance than deliberate efforts to harm the United States because the damage they inflict is unintended and therefore impossible to deter. David examines the prospects for and potential aftereffects of instability in four nations vital to U.S. national interests: Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, China, and Mexico. It is not a rising China that threatens America, but one that is falling apart. Likewise, the United States should not worry over a hostile Pakistani regime, but rather one that cannot keep the country together. Similarly, a conflict-torn Mexico or Saudi Arabia poses a far greater danger to America than does either of those states growing stronger. In assessing these threats, David contends that the United States’s only viable option is to view other-state civil upheaval similarly to natural disasters and to develop a coherent, effective emergency response mechanism, which does not exist today in any systemic, nationwide form. “David is not a doomsayer or an advocate or liberal interventionism. He does not argue that the United States can or should mediate in civil wars. Instead, he calls for a cold-hearted examination of countries suffering collapse, with disciplined attention to the potential damage to American interests . . . David’s book offers a promising new beginning for a difficult and pressing set of issues.” —Jeremi Suri, Political Science Quarterly

Catastrophic Events and Mass Extinctions

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Publisher : Geological Society of America
ISBN 13 : 9780813723563
Total Pages : 764 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (235 download)

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Book Synopsis Catastrophic Events and Mass Extinctions by : Christian Koeberl

Download or read book Catastrophic Events and Mass Extinctions written by Christian Koeberl and published by Geological Society of America. This book was released on 2002 with total page 764 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Catastrophic Success

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Publisher : Cornell University Press
ISBN 13 : 1501761161
Total Pages : 424 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Catastrophic Success by : Alexander B. Downes

Download or read book Catastrophic Success written by Alexander B. Downes and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2021-12-15 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Catastrophic Success, Alexander B. Downes compiles all instances of regime change around the world over the past two centuries. Drawing on this impressive data set, Downes shows that regime change increases the likelihood of civil war and violent leader removal in target states and fails to reduce the probability of conflict between intervening states and their targets. As Downes demonstrates, when a state confronts an obstinate or dangerous adversary, the lure of toppling its government and establishing a friendly administration is strong. The historical record, however, shows that foreign-imposed regime change is, in the long term, neither cheap, easy, nor consistently successful. The strategic impulse to forcibly oust antagonistic or non-compliant regimes overlooks two key facts. First, the act of overthrowing a foreign government sometimes causes its military to disintegrate, sending thousands of armed men into the countryside where they often wage an insurgency against the intervener. Second, externally-imposed leaders face a domestic audience in addition to an external one, and the two typically want different things. These divergent preferences place imposed leaders in a quandary: taking actions that please one invariably alienates the other. Regime change thus drives a wedge between external patrons and their domestic protégés or between protégés and their people. Catastrophic Success provides sober counsel for leaders and diplomats. Regime change may appear an expeditious solution, but states are usually better off relying on other tools of influence, such as diplomacy. Regime change, Downes urges, should be reserved for exceptional cases. Interveners must recognize that, absent a rare set of promising preconditions, regime change often instigates a new period of uncertainty and conflict that impedes their interests from being realized.

Catastrophic Thinking

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Publisher : Science.Culture
ISBN 13 : 022634861X
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis Catastrophic Thinking by : David Sepkoski

Download or read book Catastrophic Thinking written by David Sepkoski and published by Science.Culture. This book was released on 2020 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction: Why Extinction Matters -- The Meaning of Extinction: Catastrophe, Equilibrium, and Diversity -- Extinction in a Victorian Key -- Catastrophe and Modernity -- Extinction in the Shadow of the Bomb -- The Asteroid and the Dinosaur -- A Sixth Extinction? The Making of a Biodiversity Crisis -- Epilogue: Extinction in the Anthropocene.

The COVID-19 Catastrophe

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1509546456
Total Pages : 143 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (95 download)

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Book Synopsis The COVID-19 Catastrophe by : Richard Horton

Download or read book The COVID-19 Catastrophe written by Richard Horton and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-07-13 with total page 143 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global response to the COVID-19 pandemic is the greatest science policy failure in a generation. We knew this was coming. Warnings about the threat of a new pandemic have been made repeatedly since the 1980s and it was clear in January that a dangerous new virus was causing a devastating human tragedy in China. And yet the world ignored the warnings. Why? In this short and hard-hitting book, Richard Horton, editor of the medical journal The Lancet, scrutinizes the actions that governments around the world took – and failed to take – as the virus spread from its origins in Wuhan to the global pandemic that it is today. He shows that many Western governments and their scientific advisors made assumptions about the virus and its lethality that turned out to be mistaken. Valuable time was lost while the virus spread unchecked, leaving health systems unprepared for the avalanche of infections that followed. Drawing on his own scientific and medical expertise, Horton outlines the measures that need to be put in place, at both national and international levels, to prevent this kind of catastrophe from happening again. Were supposed to be living in an era where human beings have become the dominant influence on the environment, but COVID-19 has revealed the fragility of our societies and the speed with which our systems can come crashing down. We need to learn the lessons of this pandemic and we need to learn them fast because the next pandemic may arrive sooner than we think.

The Medical Implications of Nuclear War

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 9780309078665
Total Pages : 609 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (786 download)

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Book Synopsis The Medical Implications of Nuclear War by : Fred Solomon

Download or read book The Medical Implications of Nuclear War written by Fred Solomon and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1986-01-15 with total page 609 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by world-renowned scientists, this volume portrays the possible direct and indirect devastation of human health from a nuclear attack. The most comprehensive work yet produced on this subject, The Medical Implications of Nuclear War includes an overview of the potential environmental and physical effects of nuclear bombardment, describes the problems of choosing who among the injured would get the scarce medical care available, addresses the nuclear arms race from a psychosocial perspective, and reviews the medical needs--in contrast to the medical resources likely to be available--after a nuclear attack. "It should serve as the definitive statement on the consequences of nuclear war."--Arms Control Today

Global Catastrophic Risks

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199606501
Total Pages : 577 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (996 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Catastrophic Risks by : Nick Bostrom

Download or read book Global Catastrophic Risks written by Nick Bostrom and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2011-09-29 with total page 577 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Global Catastrophic Risk is one that has the potential to inflict serious damage to human well-being on a global scale. This book focuses on such risks arising from natural catastrophes (Earth-based or beyond), nuclear war, terrorism, biological weapons, totalitarianism, advanced nanotechnology, artificial intelligence and social collapse.

The Book of Potentially Catastrophic Science

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Publisher : Workman Publishing Company
ISBN 13 : 0761189866
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (611 download)

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Book Synopsis The Book of Potentially Catastrophic Science by : Sean Connolly

Download or read book The Book of Potentially Catastrophic Science written by Sean Connolly and published by Workman Publishing Company. This book was released on 2017-03-07 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It’s never been more important to engage a child's scientific curiosity, and Sean Connolly knows just how to do it—with lively, hands-on, seemingly "dangerous" experiments that pop, ooze, crash, and teach! Now, the author of The Book of Totally Irresponsible Science, takes it one step further: He leads kids through the history of science, and then creates amazing yet simple experiments that demonstrate key scientific principles. Tame fire just like a Neanderthal with the Fahrenheit 451 experiment. Round up all your friends and track the spread of "disease" using body glitter with an experiment inspired by Edward Jenner, the vaccination pioneer who's credited with saving more lives than any other person in history. Rediscover the wheel and axle with the ancient Sumerians, and perform an astounding experiment demonstrating the theory of angular momentum. Build a simple telescope—just like Galileo's—and find the four moons he discovered orbiting Jupiter (an act that helped land him in prison). Take a less potentially catastrophic approach to electricity than Ben Franklin did with the Lightning Mouth experiment. Re-create the Hadron Collider in a microwave with marshmallows, calculator, and a ruler—it won't jeopardize Earth with a simulated Big Bang, but will demonstrate the speed of light. And it's tasty! By letting kids stand on the shoulders of Aristotle, Newton, Einstein, the Wright brothers, Marie Curie, Darwin, Watson and Crick, and more, The Book of Potentially Catastrophic Science is an uncommonly engaging guide to science, and the great stories of the men and women behind the science.

Catastrophic Events and Mass Extinctions

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Author :
Publisher : Geological Society of America
ISBN 13 : 9780813723563
Total Pages : 764 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (235 download)

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Book Synopsis Catastrophic Events and Mass Extinctions by : Christian Koeberl

Download or read book Catastrophic Events and Mass Extinctions written by Christian Koeberl and published by Geological Society of America. This book was released on 2002 with total page 764 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Catastrophic Care

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Publisher : Vintage
ISBN 13 : 0307961559
Total Pages : 386 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (79 download)

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Book Synopsis Catastrophic Care by : David Goldhill

Download or read book Catastrophic Care written by David Goldhill and published by Vintage. This book was released on 2013-01-08 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A visionary investigation that will change the way we think about health care: how and why it is failing, why expanding coverage will actually make things worse, and how our health care can be transformed into a transparent, affordable, successful system. In 2007, David Goldhill’s father died from infections acquired in a hospital, one of more than two hundred thousand avoidable deaths per year caused by medical error. The bill was enormous—and Medicare paid it. These circumstances left Goldhill angry and determined to understand how world-class technology and personnel could coexist with such carelessness—and how a business that failed so miserably could be paid in full. Catastrophic Care is the eye-opening result. Blending personal anecdotes and extensive research, Goldhill presents us with cogent, biting analysis that challenges the basic preconceptions that have shaped our thinking for decades. Contrasting the Island of health care with the Mainland of our economy, he demonstrates that high costs, excess medicine, terrible service, and medical error are the inevitable consequences of our insurance-based system. He explains why policy efforts to fix these problems have invariably produced perverse results, and how the new Affordable Care Act is more likely to deepen than to solve these issues. Goldhill steps outside the incremental and wonkish debates to question the conventional wisdom blinding us to more fundamental issues. He proposes a comprehensive new way, where the customer (the patient) is first—a system focused on health and maintaining it, a system strong and vibrant enough for our future. If you think health care is interesting only to institutes and politicians, think again: Catastrophic Care is surprising, engaging, and brimming with insights born of questions nobody has thought to ask. Above all it is a book of new ideas that can transform the way we understand a subject we often take for granted.

Global Environmental Change

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309044944
Total Pages : 321 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Environmental Change by : National Research Council

Download or read book Global Environmental Change written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1991-02-01 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global environmental change often seems to be the most carefully examined issue of our time. Yet understanding the human sideâ€"human causes of and responses to environmental changeâ€"has not yet received sustained attention. Global Environmental Change offers a strategy for combining the efforts of natural and social scientists to better understand how our actions influence global change and how global change influences us. The volume is accessible to the nonscientist and provides a wide range of examples and case studies. It explores how the attitudes and actions of individuals, governments, and organizations intertwine to leave their mark on the health of the planet. The book focuses on establishing a framework for this new field of study, identifying problems that must be overcome if we are to deepen our understanding of the human dimensions of global change, presenting conclusions and recommendations.

Responding to Catastrophic Events

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137336439
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (373 download)

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Book Synopsis Responding to Catastrophic Events by : J. Larsen

Download or read book Responding to Catastrophic Events written by J. Larsen and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-05-30 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the range of potential disaster scenarios, covering the issues and organizational relationships of importance to the student of consequence management. These include the roles, responsibilities, and coordination requirements of first responders, the Department of Homeland Security, the Department of Defense, and the military.

The Consequences of Humiliation

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Publisher : Cornell University Press
ISBN 13 : 1501748696
Total Pages : 271 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis The Consequences of Humiliation by : Joslyn Trager Barnhart

Download or read book The Consequences of Humiliation written by Joslyn Trager Barnhart and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2020-05-15 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Consequences of Humiliation explores the nature of national humiliation and its impact on foreign policy. Joslyn Barnhart demonstrates that Germany's catastrophic reaction to humiliation at the end of World War I is part of a broader pattern: states that experience humiliating events are more likely to engage in international aggression aimed at restoring the state's image in its own eyes and in the eyes of others. Barnhart shows that these states also pursue conquest, intervene in the affairs of other states, engage in diplomatic hostility and verbal discord, and pursue advanced weaponry and other symbols of national resurgence at higher rates than non-humiliated states in similar foreign policy contexts. Her examination of how national humiliation functions at the individual level explores leaders' domestic incentives to evoke a sense of national humiliation. As a result of humiliation on this level, the effects may persist for decades, if not centuries, following the original humiliating event.

Preparing for the Psychological Consequences of Terrorism

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309167922
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Preparing for the Psychological Consequences of Terrorism by : Institute of Medicine

Download or read book Preparing for the Psychological Consequences of Terrorism written by Institute of Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2003-08-26 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Oklahoma City bombing, intentional crashing of airliners on September 11, 2001, and anthrax attacks in the fall of 2001 have made Americans acutely aware of the impacts of terrorism. These events and continued threats of terrorism have raised questions about the impact on the psychological health of the nation and how well the public health infrastructure is able to meet the psychological needs that will likely result. Preparing for the Psychological Consequences of Terrorism highlights some of the critical issues in responding to the psychological needs that result from terrorism and provides possible options for intervention. The committee offers an example for a public health strategy that may serve as a base from which plans to prevent and respond to the psychological consequences of a variety of terrorism events can be formulated. The report includes recommendations for the training and education of service providers, ensuring appropriate guidelines for the protection of service providers, and developing public health surveillance for preevent, event, and postevent factors related to psychological consequences.

Unexpected Consequences

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Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing USA
ISBN 13 : 0313393125
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (133 download)

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Book Synopsis Unexpected Consequences by : James William Martin

Download or read book Unexpected Consequences written by James William Martin and published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA. This book was released on 2011-09-12 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, interrelationships between more than 40 recent catastrophic events are explored, discussing failures of structures and machines, information technology, regulatory agencies, security designs, and more. The world is full of wonderful products and services that occasionally disappoint and even harm us. Unexpected Consequences: Why The Things We Trust Fail explores the reasons these failures occur, examining them from technological, human, and organizational perspectives. Using more than 40 recent catastrophic events to illustrate its points, the book discusses structural and machine failure, but also the often-overlooked failure of people and of systems related to such things as information technology, healthcare, and security. As the book demonstrates, faulty technology played a surprisingly small part in many of the scrutinized disasters. Author James William Martin finds cognitive factors and organizational dynamics, including ethics, are major contributors to most unexpected and catastrophic failures causing loss of life and extensive property damage. With that fresh perspective in mind, Martin is able to suggest remedies that address service failure and just may help prevent future disasters from taking place.