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Calculating Political Risk
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Book Synopsis Calculating Political Risk by : Catherine Althaus
Download or read book Calculating Political Risk written by Catherine Althaus and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-11-26 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Calculating Political Risk is rich and illuminating, and much more than a political science treatise. Althaus draws on diverse literature, extensive interviews and intriguing case studies to offer interdisciplinary, practical and nuanced insight. This book provides new perspectives and more precise language for making sense of a critical dimension of politics, policy-making and public management. Evert Lindquist, Director and Professor, School of Public Administration, University of Victoria, Canada This powerful new book is the first ever examination of the hard edge of how political risk - something faced by all political actors innumerable times every day - is calculated and used in decision-making. It opens with an outline of the historical and linguistic origins of risk, the various disciplinary understandings of risk, the risk society concept, and how risk has come to be so prominent in the context of environmental disaster and terrorism. The book then defines political risk and looks at its manifestations in the public sector, from project to high-level political risk. It also looks at risk identification versus risk management and compares the concept of political risk with the private sector practice of risk management. Unique research findings from interviews with over 100 risk practitioners and politicians provide a detailed look at how political actors calculate political risk. Case study-based chapters look in-depth at neat and discrete examples: risk calculation in state development plans in Australia; political risk identification and management in the UK during the mad cow crisis; and US government risk calculation in the post-September 11 context. The final chapters draw together the experiences and lessons learned from the case studies and practitioner insights to formulate a better understanding of what political risk is and what its calculation means in political practice. The author shows how political risk calculation provides a fresh perspective on policy analysis and identifies how political risk is relevant to a broader understanding of politics and political science, as well as policy formulation and implementation on the ground.
Book Synopsis Introduction to Political Risk Analysis by : William D. Coplin
Download or read book Introduction to Political Risk Analysis written by William D. Coplin and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This package introduces college students to the kind of analysis that multinational corporations undertake to assess risks to their business operations due to political and economic conditions. Designed to be completed in 3 weeks, the four exercises enable students to (1) identify the major sources of political risk; (2) determine what social, economic, political, and geographical background factors need to be considered in conducting a political risk analysis; (3) forecast the likelihood of a change in regime, occurrence of political turmoil, or restrictions on international business; and (4) calculate risk ratings that can be used to compare the relative risks in different countries. The methods presented are those developed by the authors for Frost and Sullivan's "World Political Risk Forecast," which uses country studies produced by experts. An annotated bibliography and sample country study on Egypt (1983) from Frost and Sullivan's service are included in the appendices, which comprise over half the document. In addition, students are provided with Prince charts (a system for making political forecasts and devising strategies), decision structure charts, a description of risk ratings for three business sectors, a summary of an 18-month forecast, and a worksheet for calculations. (LH)
Book Synopsis Calculating Risks? by : James Hamilton
Download or read book Calculating Risks? written by James Hamilton and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1999 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "By matching agency decision data to detailed census information using geographic information systems (GIS) technology, the authors show that most hazardous waste sites do not pose sufficient risk to merit the most stringent cleanup options. Those sites that do pose considerable risk to exposed populations often receive inadequate attention, because government decisions to target cleanups are based more on political factors than on actual risks. The authors propose policy reforms that could significantly reduce cleanup costs without sacrificing the protection of human health."--BOOK JACKET.
Book Synopsis The International Political Economy of Risk by : Robert Deuchars
Download or read book The International Political Economy of Risk written by Robert Deuchars and published by Ashgate Publishing. This book was released on 2004 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This captivating and enlightening study redresses the neglect of 'risk' in this field by focusing on objectivist rationalism. The volume draws on work from various disciplines, including sociology, anthropology, political economy and philosophy to explain the apparent unravelling of the rationalist quest for more reliable forms of knowledge. It is highly suitable for courses on international relations/international political economy.
Download or read book Country Risk written by Norbert Gaillard and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-07-06 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Country risk has been a key notion for economists, financiers, and investors. Norbert Gaillard defines this notion as “any macroeconomic, microeconomic, financial, social, political, institutional, judiciary, climatic, technological, or sanitary risk that affects (or could affect) an investor in a foreign country. Damages may materialize in several ways: financial losses; threat to the safety of the investing company’s employees, clients, or consumers; reputational damage; or loss of a market or supply source.” Chapter 1 introduces the key concepts. Chapter 2 investigates how country risk has evolved and manifested since the advent of the Pax Britannica in 1816. It describes the international political and economic environment and identifies the main obstacles to foreign investment. Chapter 3 documents the numerous forms that country risk may take and provides illustrations of them. Seven broad components of country risk are scrutinized in turn: international political risks; domestic political and institutional risks; jurisdiction risks; macroeconomic risks; microeconomic risks; sanitary, health, industrial, and environmental risks; and natural and climate risks. Chapter 4 focuses on sovereign risk. It presents the rating methodologies used by four raters; next, it measures and compares their performance (i.e., their ability to forecast sovereign defaults). Chapter 5 studies the risks likely to affect exporters, importers, foreign creditors of corporate entities, foreign shareholders, and foreign direct investors. It presents the rating methodologies used by seven raters and measures their track records in terms of anticipating eight types of shocks that reflect the main components of country risk analyzed in Chapter 3. This book will be most relevant to graduate students in economics as well as professional economists and international investors.
Book Synopsis Main types of political risks experienced by MNEs by : Svenja Martina Gnosa
Download or read book Main types of political risks experienced by MNEs written by Svenja Martina Gnosa and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2011-07-19 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essay from the year 2011 in the subject Business economics - Marketing, Corporate Communication, CRM, Market Research, Social Media, grade: 1,3, University of St Andrews (School of Management), language: English, abstract: Identify the main types of political risk encountered by multinational corporations and discuss how these risks can be minimized. Introduction The controversy between the Kazak government and the Italian oil company ENI about the exploitation of Kashagan ́s oil fields is only one out of many cases, in which political violence acts or governmental decisions threatened foreign investments of a multinational enterprise (MNE). In April 2006, the Dacion and Jusepin oil fields, operated by ENI and the French company Total, were taken over by the Venezuelan government, because they rejected to change their business operations into joint ventures with the state-owned oil company PDVSA (Ferrari and Rolfini 2008). Stated by Kesternich and Schnitzer (2009) some recent empirical studies identified that for MNEs political risk is one of the most important factors when considering a foreign investment. Foreign investments nowadays seem to be even more risky in terms of pollution that result in natural catastrophes such as caused by BP (Heller 2011), cultural conflicts or political disturbances for which Lybia (Yang 2011) represents a recent example and an increasing social disparity (Bloch, Koepplinger and Wolfrum 2007) [...]
Book Synopsis Political, Economic and Financial Country Risk by : Mohamed A. Ramady
Download or read book Political, Economic and Financial Country Risk written by Mohamed A. Ramady and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-10-19 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Decades go by and nothing happens; then weeks go by and decades happen”. This apt saying encapsulates the dramatic convulsions taking place across the Arab world that first erupted in 2011 in Tunisia and which rapidly spread to other countries. These events have affected the lives of ordinary citizens in many more ways than had been intended when the ‘Arab Spring’ broke out, with the endgame still not very clear as demonstrated in countries like Egypt, Syria and Libya. By comparison, with some exceptions, the six countries comprising the Gulf Cooperation Council have been relatively unaffected by the general turbulence and uncertainties lapping around them. However, geopolitical shifts involving global superpower rivalries, combined with revolutionary breakthroughs in the non-conventional hydrocarbon energy sector are threatening to challenge the importance of the Arabian Gulf as the world’s leading suppliers of energy, putting their economies under fiscal stress. The author examines such challenges by: • Providing the first in-depth statistical analytical assessment of the GCC countries using monthly data over the period 2001 -2013 for the three risk categories- economic, financial and political risks- and their sub –components so as to enable policymakers enhance components with low risk , while addressing components with perceived higher risk, • Assessing FDI and capital inflows and outflows before and after the “Arab Spring” , and how to encourage FDI inflows, • Inter –Arab and GCC trade and synergies in power transmission , transportation links and establishing new hubs of centers of manufacturing excellence , • Exploring private sector-led growth models to reduce forecasted unemployment. Being complacent is not an option for the GCC. The aim of the book is that having a better understanding of each of the GCC countries’ individual risk parameters will enable the GCC meet future challenges and reduce the chances of a negative ‘Arab Spring’ occurring in the region. Mohamed Ramady is a Visiting Associate Professor at the Department of Finance and Economics, King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals. His main research interests are the economics of the Middle East and Saudi Arabia in particular, as well as money and banking He also held senior positions with international financial institutions in the Arabian Gulf and Europe.
Book Synopsis The Miniature Guide to Political Risk Analysis for International Business by : Steven Johnston
Download or read book The Miniature Guide to Political Risk Analysis for International Business written by Steven Johnston and published by Steven Johnston. This book was released on 2020-12-20 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Political risk is one of the most frequently discussed risks to doing business internationally. But what exactly is political risk and what are the best ways to analyze and prepare for political risks that may jeopardize your business? Based on more than two decades of evaluating political risk to companies doing business all over the world, Steven Johnston explains the fundamentals of effective political risk analysis. What are the foundational principles and approaches for modeling and how can professionals improve accuracy of forecasting political risk? What really works? Why is high quality political risk analysis important to every business operating internationally? It’s not IF your business will be impacted by political events and actions. It is WHEN and HOW? However, effective political risk analysis isn’t limited to the domain of business resiliency and protecting downside risk. It is also a significant competitive advantage when a business can more accurately see just a little farther into the future than competitors and be ready to make earlier moves to avoid problems or take advantage of opportunities. The book spotlights top shelf thinkers about political risk and provides state-of-the-art ways to operationalize their valuable contributions into the business process. In addition to commenting on the current state of the field of political risk analysis, Johnston makes recommendations for improving the domain of political risk analysis. This book should be essential reading for any business professionals investing across borders and especially doing business in emerging economies.
Book Synopsis Measuring Political Risk by : Charlotte H. Brink
Download or read book Measuring Political Risk written by Charlotte H. Brink and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-03-02 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Offering a fresh, transparent approach encompassing new material, this invigorating volume measures political risk - for instance the risk that foreign investment might face in any country. It also demonstrates how progress or regress made in good governance initiatives as conditionalities to aid can be assessed. Governments can monitor their own policy environment(s), and take remedial action if necessary. The methodology allows for measurement of previously un-quantified 'soft' factors that add to the risks foreign investors might face, demonstrating why these factors are of importance to both risk assertive and risk averse investors. Features include: - 103 contextualized, measurable risk factors and their 411 risk factor indicators. - Guidelines to using these factors in order to perform generic macro analyses, or micro, client/project/industry-specific analyses. - Explanation of the methodology with which to comprehensively measure the probability of risk occurring in any macro or micro investment climate.
Book Synopsis International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards by :
Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Mergers, Acquisitions, and Other Restructuring Activities by : Donald DePamphilis
Download or read book Mergers, Acquisitions, and Other Restructuring Activities written by Donald DePamphilis and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2007-10-18 with total page 769 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The explosion in the number, size and complexity of mergers, acquisitions and alliances during the 1990s demonstrates how ingrained business combinations have become in the global business community.
Book Synopsis Rethinking Political Risk by : Cecilia Emma Sottilotta
Download or read book Rethinking Political Risk written by Cecilia Emma Sottilotta and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2016-10-14 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Political risk was first introduced as a component for assessing risk not directly linked to economic factors following the flow of capital from the US to Europe after the Second World War. However, the concept has rapidly gained relevance since, with both public and private institutions developing complex methodologies designed to evaluate political risk factors and keep pace with the internationalization of trade and investment. Continued global and regional economic and political instability means a plethora of different actors today conduct a diverse range of political risk analyses and assessments. Starting from the epistemological foundations of political risk, this books bridges the gap between theory and practice, exploring operationalization and measurement issues with the support of an empirical case study on the Arab uprisings, discussing the role of expert judgment in political forecasting, and highlighting the main challenges and opportunities political risk analysts face in the wake of the digital revolution.
Book Synopsis Risk-Taking in International Politics by : Rose McDermott
Download or read book Risk-Taking in International Politics written by Rose McDermott and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 2001 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discusses the way leaders deal with risk in making foreign policy decisions
Book Synopsis Calculated Risks by : Kenneth A. Rogers
Download or read book Calculated Risks written by Kenneth A. Rogers and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-04-15 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This well-documented study examines one of the increasingly pressing problems for US homeland security: the storage and management of radioactive waste. Despite pressing homeland security and energy security concerns associated with highly radioactive waste, political considerations have prevented policy makers from adopting adequate long-term solutions to the problem. This book explores nuclear waste problems through the broader lens of federal, state and local government and the resultant constraints on policy that emerge within the American political system. Presenting specific case studies to highlight the deficiencies in current policy and planning as well as the possibility of terrorist activity, it is highly suited to courses on security studies and environmental politics.
Book Synopsis Berkshire Encyclopedia of Sustainability 2/10 by : Chris Laszlo
Download or read book Berkshire Encyclopedia of Sustainability 2/10 written by Chris Laszlo and published by Berkshire Publishing Group. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Business of Sustainability is a core resource for policy makers, members of the development community, entrepreneurs, and corporate executives, as well as business and economics students and their professors. It contains rich analysis of how sustainability is being factored into industries across the globe, with enlightening case studies of businesses serving as agents of change. Contributing authors provide a groundbreaking body of research-based knowledge. They explain that the concept of sustainability is being re-framed to be positive about business instead of being tied to the old notion of a trade-off between business and society (that is, if business wins, society and the environment must lose), and they explore how economic development can contribute to building our common future.
Book Synopsis Country Risk Assessment by : Michel Henry Bouchet
Download or read book Country Risk Assessment written by Michel Henry Bouchet and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-10-31 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the few books on the subject, Country Risk Assessment combines the theoretical and practical tools for managing international country risk exposure. - Offers a comprehensive discussion of the specific mechanisms that apply to country risk assessment. - Discusses various techniques associated with global investment strategy. - Presents and analyses the various sources of country risk. - Provides an in depth coverage of information sources and country risk service providers. - Gives techniques for forecasting country financial crises. - Includes practical examples and case studies. - Provides a comprehensive review of all existing methods including the techniques on the cutting-edge Market Based Approaches such as KMV, CreditMetrics, CountryMetrics and CreditRisk+.
Book Synopsis The Owner's Role in Project Risk Management by : National Research Council
Download or read book The Owner's Role in Project Risk Management written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2005-03-25 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Effective risk management is essential for the success of large projects built and operated by the Department of Energy (DOE), particularly for the one-of-a-kind projects that characterize much of its mission. To enhance DOE's risk management efforts, the department asked the NRC to prepare a summary of the most effective practices used by leading owner organizations. The study's primary objective was to provide DOE project managers with a basic understanding of both the project owner's risk management role and effective oversight of those risk management activities delegated to contractors.
