Bubble Value At Risk

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Bubble Value at Risk

Author : Max C. Y. Wong
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118550374
Total Pages : 271 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Bubble Value at Risk by : Max C. Y. Wong

Download or read book Bubble Value at Risk written by Max C. Y. Wong and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduces a powerful new approach to financial risk modeling with proven strategies for its real-world applications The 2008 credit crisis did much to debunk the much touted powers of Value at Risk (VaR) as a risk metric. Unlike most authors on VaR who focus on what it can do, in this book the author looks at what it cannot. In clear, accessible prose, finance practitioners, Max Wong, describes the VaR measure and what it was meant to do, then explores its various failures in the real world of crisis risk management. More importantly, he lays out a revolutionary new method of measuring risks, Bubble Value at Risk, that is countercyclical and offers a well-tested buffer against market crashes. Describes Bubble VaR, a more macro-prudential risk measure proven to avoid the limitations of VaR and by providing a more accurate risk exposure estimation over market cycles Makes a strong case that analysts and risk managers need to unlearn our existing "science" of risk measurement and discover more robust approaches to calculating risk capital Illustrates every key concept or formula with an abundance of practical, numerical examples, most of them provided in interactive Excel spreadsheets Features numerous real-world applications, throughout, based on the author’s firsthand experience as a veteran financial risk analyst

An Introduction to Value-at-Risk

Author : Moorad Choudhry
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111831672X
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (183 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Value-at-Risk by : Moorad Choudhry

Download or read book An Introduction to Value-at-Risk written by Moorad Choudhry and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-05-13 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The value-at-risk measurement methodology is a widely-used tool in financial market risk management. The fifth edition of Professor Moorad Choudhry’s benchmark reference text An Introduction to Value-at-Risk offers an accessible and reader-friendly look at the concept of VaR and its different estimation methods, and is aimed specifically at newcomers to the market or those unfamiliar with modern risk management practices. The author capitalises on his experience in the financial markets to present this concise yet in-depth coverage of VaR, set in the context of risk management as a whole. Topics covered include: Defining value-at-risk Variance-covariance methodology Portfolio VaR Credit risk and credit VaR Stressed VaR Critique and VaR during crisis Topics are illustrated with Bloomberg screens, worked examples and exercises. Related issues such as statistics, volatility and correlation are also introduced as necessary background for students and practitioners. This is essential reading for all those who require an introduction to financial market risk management and risk measurement techniques. Foreword by Carol Alexander, Professor of Finance, University of Sussex.

Boom and Bust

Author : William Quinn
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108369359
Total Pages : 297 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (83 download)

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Book Synopsis Boom and Bust by : William Quinn

Download or read book Boom and Bust written by William Quinn and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-08-06 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why do stock and housing markets sometimes experience amazing booms followed by massive busts and why is this happening more and more frequently? In order to answer these questions, William Quinn and John D. Turner take us on a riveting ride through the history of financial bubbles, visiting, among other places, Paris and London in 1720, Latin America in the 1820s, Melbourne in the 1880s, New York in the 1920s, Tokyo in the 1980s, Silicon Valley in the 1990s and Shanghai in the 2000s. As they do so, they help us understand why bubbles happen, and why some have catastrophic economic, social and political consequences whilst others have actually benefited society. They reveal that bubbles start when investors and speculators react to new technology or political initiatives, showing that our ability to predict future bubbles will ultimately come down to being able to predict these sparks.

Speculation, Trading, and Bubbles

Author : José A. Scheinkman
Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0231537638
Total Pages : 137 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Speculation, Trading, and Bubbles by : José A. Scheinkman

Download or read book Speculation, Trading, and Bubbles written by José A. Scheinkman and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2014-07-08 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As long as there have been financial markets, there have been bubbles—those moments in which asset prices inflate far beyond their intrinsic value, often with ruinous results. Yet economists are slow to agree on the underlying forces behind these events. In this book José A. Scheinkman offers new insight into the mystery of bubbles. Noting some general characteristics of bubbles—such as the rise in trading volume and the coincidence between increases in supply and bubble implosions—Scheinkman offers a model, based on differences in beliefs among investors, that explains these observations. Other top economists also offer their own thoughts on the issue: Sanford J. Grossman and Patrick Bolton expand on Scheinkman's discussion by looking at factors that contribute to bubbles—such as excessive leverage, overconfidence, mania, and panic in speculative markets—and Kenneth J. Arrow and Joseph E. Stiglitz contextualize Scheinkman's findings.

Risk Management and Value

Author : Mondher Bellalah
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9812770747
Total Pages : 645 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (127 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Management and Value by : Mondher Bellalah

Download or read book Risk Management and Value written by Mondher Bellalah and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008 with total page 645 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive discussion of the issues related to risk, volatility, value and risk management. It includes a selection of the best papers presented at the Fourth International Finance Conference 2007, qualified by Professor James Heckman, the 2000 Nobel Prize Laureate in Economics, as a high level one. The first half of the book examines ways to manage risk and compute value-at-risk for exchange risk associated to debt portfolios and portfolios of equity. It also covers the Basel II framework implementation and securitisation. The effects of volatility and risk on the valuation of financial assets are further studied in detail. The second half of the book is dedicated to the banking industry, banking competition on the credit market, banking risk and distress, market valuation, managerial risk taking, and value in the ICT activity. With its inclusion of new concepts and recent literature, academics and risk managers will want to read this book. Sample Chapter(s). Introduction (40 KB). Chapter 1: Managing Derivatives in the Presence of a Smile Effect and Incomplete Information (97 KB). Contents: Managing Derivatives in the Presence of a Smile Effect and Incomplete Information (M Bellalah); A Value-at-Risk Approach to Assess Exchange Risk Associated to a Public Debt Portfolio: The Case of a Small Developing Economy (W Ajili); A Method to Find Historical VaR for Portfolio that Follows S&P CNX Nifty Index by Estimating the Index Value (K V N M Ramesh); Some Considerations on the Relationship between Corruption and Economic Growth (V Dragota et al.); Financial Risk Management by Derivatives Caused from Weather Conditions: Its Applicability for Trkiye (T uzkan); The Basel II Framework Implementation and Securitization (M-F Lamy); Stochastic Time Change, Volatility, and Normality of Returns: A High-Frequency Data Analysis with a Sample of LSE Stocks (O Borsali & A Zenaidi); The Behavior of the Implied Volatility Surface: Evidence from Crude Oil Futures Options (A Bouden); Procyclical Behavior of Loan Loss Provisions and Banking Strategies: An Application to the European Banks (D D Dinamona); Market Power and Banking Competition on the Credit Market (I Lapteacru); Early Warning Detection of Banking Distress OCo Is Failure Possible for European Banks? (A Naouar); Portfolio Diversification and Market Share Analysis for Romanian Insurance Companies (M Dragota et al.); On the Closed-End Funds Discounts/Premiums in the Context of the Investor Sentiment Theory (A P C do Monte & M J da Rocha Armada); Why has Idiosyncratic Volatility Increased in Europe? (J-E Palard); Debt Valuation, Enterprise Assessment and Applications (D Vanoverberghe); Does The Tunisian Stock Market Overreact? (F Hammami & E Abaoub); Investor-Venture Capitalist Relationship: Asymmetric Information, Uncertainty, and Monitoring (M Cherif & S Sraieb); Threshold Mean Reversion in Stock Prices (F Jawadi); Households'' Expectations of Unemployment: New Evidence from French Microdata (S Ghabri); Corporate Governance and Managerial Risk Taking: Empirical Study in the Tunisian Context (A B Aroui & F W B M Douagi); Nonlinearity and Genetic Algorithms in the Decision-Making Process (N Hachicha & A Bouri); ICT and Performance of the Companies: The Case of the Tunisian Companies (J Ziadi); Option Market Microstructure (J-M Sahut); Does the Standardization of Business Processes Improve Management? The Case of Enterprise Resource Planning Systems (T Chtioui); Does Macroeconomic Transparency Help Governments be Solvent? Evidence from Recent Data (R Mallat & D K Nguyen). Readership: Academics and risk managers."

A Wealth of Common Sense

Author : Ben Carlson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119024927
Total Pages : 231 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis A Wealth of Common Sense by : Ben Carlson

Download or read book A Wealth of Common Sense written by Ben Carlson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-06-22 with total page 231 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A simple guide to a smarter strategy for the individual investor A Wealth of Common Sense sheds a refreshing light on investing, and shows you how a simplicity-based framework can lead to better investment decisions. The financial market is a complex system, but that doesn't mean it requires a complex strategy; in fact, this false premise is the driving force behind many investors' market "mistakes." Information is important, but understanding and perspective are the keys to better decision-making. This book describes the proper way to view the markets and your portfolio, and show you the simple strategies that make investing more profitable, less confusing, and less time-consuming. Without the burden of short-term performance benchmarks, individual investors have the advantage of focusing on the long view, and the freedom to construct the kind of portfolio that will serve their investment goals best. This book proves how complex strategies essentially waste these advantages, and provides an alternative game plan for those ready to simplify. Complexity is often used as a mechanism for talking investors into unnecessary purchases, when all most need is a deeper understanding of conventional options. This book explains which issues you actually should pay attention to, and which ones are simply used for an illusion of intelligence and control. Keep up with—or beat—professional money managers Exploit stock market volatility to your utmost advantage Learn where advisors and consultants fit into smart strategy Build a portfolio that makes sense for your particular situation You don't have to outsmart the market if you can simply outperform it. Cut through the confusion and noise and focus on what actually matters. A Wealth of Common Sense clears the air, and gives you the insight you need to become a smarter, more successful investor.

Bubble Value at Risk

Author : Max C. Y. Wong
Publisher : Immanuel Consulting Pte. Limited
ISBN 13 : 9789810872762
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (727 download)

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Book Synopsis Bubble Value at Risk by : Max C. Y. Wong

Download or read book Bubble Value at Risk written by Max C. Y. Wong and published by Immanuel Consulting Pte. Limited. This book was released on 2011 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most risk management books introduce Value at Risk (VaR) by focusing on what it can do and its statistical measurements. The credit crisis in 2008 was a tidal wave that debunked this well-established risk metric. In this book, the author introduces VaR by looking at its failures instead and explores possible alternatives for effective crisis risk management, including a new method of measuring risks called bubble value at risk that is countercyclical and can potentially buffer against market crashes.The frequentist-statistics-based VaR is predictive during normal circumstances but often fails patently during rare crisis episodes. In reality, crisis periods span only a tiny portion of financial market history. By relying on VaR for crisis risk management, we are using a tried and tested tool for the wrong occasion-we mistake the tree for the forest. The book argues that we need to unlearn our existing "science" of risk measurement and discover more robust ways to manage risks and to calculate risk capital.The book illustrates virtually every key concept or formula with a practical, numerical example, many of which are contained in interactive Excel spreadsheets. All worked out examples/ case studies spreadsheets are downloadable from the companion website: www.bubble-value-at-risk.com

Bubbles and Crashes in Experimental Asset Markets

Author : Stefan Palan
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642021476
Total Pages : 179 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Bubbles and Crashes in Experimental Asset Markets by : Stefan Palan

Download or read book Bubbles and Crashes in Experimental Asset Markets written by Stefan Palan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-10-03 with total page 179 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes a laboratory experiment designed to test the causes and properties of bubbles in financial markets and explores the question whether it is possible to design markets which avoid such bubbles and crashes. In the experiment, subjects were given the opportunity to trade in a stock market modeled after the seminal work of Smith et al. (1988). To account for the increasing importance of online betting sites, subjects were also allowed to trade in a digital option market. The outcomes shed new light on how subjects form and update their expectations, placing special emphasis on the bounded rationality of investors. Various analytical bubble measures found in the literature are collected, calculated, classified and presented for the first time. The very interesting new bubble measures "Dispersion Ratio", "Overpriced Transactions" and "Underpriced Transactions" are developed, making the book an important step towards the research goal of preventing bubbles and crashes in financial markets.

Asset Price Bubbles

Author : William Curt Hunter
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262582537
Total Pages : 650 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (825 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Price Bubbles by : William Curt Hunter

Download or read book Asset Price Bubbles written by William Curt Hunter and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 650 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A study of asset price bubbles and the implications for preventing financial instability.

Data Analytics in Project Management

Author : Seweryn Spalek
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 0429786352
Total Pages : 210 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (297 download)

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Book Synopsis Data Analytics in Project Management by : Seweryn Spalek

Download or read book Data Analytics in Project Management written by Seweryn Spalek and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-10-25 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book aims to help the reader better understand the importance of data analysis in project management. Moreover, it provides guidance by showing tools, methods, techniques and lessons learned on how to better utilize the data gathered from the projects. First and foremost, insight into the bridge between data analytics and project management aids practitioners looking for ways to maximize the practical value of data procured. The book equips organizations with the know-how necessary to adapt to a changing workplace dynamic through key lessons learned from past ventures. The book’s integrated approach to investigating both fields enhances the value of research findings.

The Wall Street Journal Guide to the End of Wall Street as We Know It

Author : Dave Kansas
Publisher : Harper Collins
ISBN 13 : 0061977896
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (619 download)

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Book Synopsis The Wall Street Journal Guide to the End of Wall Street as We Know It by : Dave Kansas

Download or read book The Wall Street Journal Guide to the End of Wall Street as We Know It written by Dave Kansas and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2009-10-06 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The definitive guide for Main Street readers who want to make sense of what′s happening on Wall Street, and better understand how we got here and what we need to know to in days to come. Written by seasoned financial writer Dave Kansas, this official Wall Street Journal guide will be filled with practical information, revealing what the crisis means for reader′s financial lives, and what steps they should be taking now to inform and protect themselves.

Asset Pricing Under Asymmetric Information

Author : Markus Konrad Brunnermeier
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 9780198296980
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (969 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Pricing Under Asymmetric Information by : Markus Konrad Brunnermeier

Download or read book Asset Pricing Under Asymmetric Information written by Markus Konrad Brunnermeier and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2001 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The role of information is central to the academic debate on finance. This book provides a detailed, current survey of theoretical research into the effect on stock prices of the distribution of information, comparing and contrasting major models. It examines theoretical models that explain bubbles, technical analysis, and herding behavior. It also provides rational explanations for stock market crashes. Analyzing the implications of asymmetries in information is crucial in this area. This book provides a useful survey for graduate students.

Beyond the Bubble

Author : Michael Thomsett
Publisher : AMACOM
ISBN 13 : 9780814430118
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Beyond the Bubble by : Michael Thomsett

Download or read book Beyond the Bubble written by Michael Thomsett and published by AMACOM. This book was released on 2007-02-14 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We’ve all heard the reports -- the great housing boom that has fueled premium prices and sellers’ dreams is slowing down. The real estate market may experience ups and downs like any other, but it’s not likely to implode spontaneously. With proper planning and a little knowledge, homeowners, investors, and other stakeholders can avoid disaster and in fact profit on their properties regardless of what the market does. Beyond the Bubble takes a balanced look at what drives changes in real estate markets and how these changes affect property owners and investors. Readers will learn: * the history, nature, and dynamics of market ‘bubbles’ * how to anticipate a coming downturn and act accordingly * the regional nature of real estate market conditions * differences and similarities in residential and commercial markets * other profit strategies when selling is difficult or impossible * how to analyze the market using facts, not hype. Thorough and well-reasoned, Beyond the Bubble will help property owners maintain a strong and level foundation for their financial futures.

Security in the Cyber Age

Author : Derek S. Reveron
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1009308599
Total Pages : 413 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis Security in the Cyber Age by : Derek S. Reveron

Download or read book Security in the Cyber Age written by Derek S. Reveron and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2023-11-30 with total page 413 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explore how cyberspace works, analyze how state and non-state actors exploit vulnerabilities, and discover ways to improve cybersecurity.

The VAR Implementation Handbook

Author : Greg N. Gregoriou
Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 0071615148
Total Pages : 562 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (716 download)

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Book Synopsis The VAR Implementation Handbook by : Greg N. Gregoriou

Download or read book The VAR Implementation Handbook written by Greg N. Gregoriou and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2009-03-15 with total page 562 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: [flap] For investors, risk is about the odds of losing money, and Value at Risk (VaR) is grounded in that common-sense fact. VAR modeling answers, “What is my worst-case scenario?” and “How much could I lose in a really bad month?” However, there has not been an effective guidebook available to help investors and financial managers make their own VaR calculations--until now. The VaR Implementation Handbook is a hands-on road map for professionals who have a solid background in VaR but need the critical strategies, models, and insights to apply their knowledge in the real world. Heralded as “the new science of risk management,” VaR has emerged as the dominant methodology used by financial institutions and corporate treasuries worldwide for estimating precisely how much money is at risk each day in the financial markets. The VaR Implementation Handbook picks up where other books on the subject leave off and demonstrates how, with proper implementation, VaR can be a valuable tool for assessing risk in a variety of areas-from equity to structured and operational products. This complete guide thoroughly covers the three major areas of VaR implementation--measuring, modeling risk, and managing--in three convenient sections. Savvy professionals will keep this handbook at their fingertips for its: Reliable advice from 40 recognized experts working in universities and financial institutions around the world Effective methods and measures to ensure that implemented VaR models maintain optimal performance Up-to-date coverage on newly exposed areas of volatility, including derivatives Real-world prosperity requires making informed financial decisions. The VaR Implementation Handbook is a step-by-step playbook to getting the most out of VaR modeling so you can successfully manage financial risk.

Bubbleology

Author : Kevin Hassett
Publisher : Crown Currency
ISBN 13 : 1400045126
Total Pages : 171 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Bubbleology by : Kevin Hassett

Download or read book Bubbleology written by Kevin Hassett and published by Crown Currency. This book was released on 2002-07-23 with total page 171 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are only two types of stocks: those safe from bubbles and those that are not. This is a fact of investing many discovered as they saw their fabulous gains whittled away by the extreme calamity of the Internet sector. But what about the future? Is there a way for investors to capture the enormous potential for profit that exists at the frontier of the economy, the place where innovation and genius operate, without placing their fortunes in jeopardy? Is there a way to evaluate price increases—and declines—and identify whether they are happening for good or bad reasons? Bubbleology makes it possible to separate the winners from the losers. It is a brilliant, practical, and original analysis of the stock market that bashes the conventional wisdom about bubbles, showing that such famous examples as Tulipomania were not, in fact, bubbles at all. Bubbleology shows that the traditional way of evaluating risk—equating it with volatility—is inherently flawed and incomplete. If a stock fluctuates a lot in price it is regarded as risky. If the price is stable, then it is not. What this simplistic way of thinking leaves out is the simple fact that companies trying something completely new that may fundamentally alter the economic landscape are operating at the frontier. The stock of such a company swims in a sea of ambiguity, its circumstances uncertain, since there is little to provide guidance about the future. But when nobody knows for sure what will happen, pundits tell us again about Tulipomania, the South Seas Bubble, and now the debacle of the Internet to scare investors away from potentially enormous profits. To realize those profits, however, investors have to understand the role that uncertainty and ambiguity—the absence of reliable information about future events—play in the modern stock market. Those who equate ambiguity with bubbles will miss the great opportunities of the future. Bubbleology provides a new way to observe what is really going on in the market, enabling you to understand whether a stock or a sector is suspicious—whether it is in a bubble and therefore something to be avoided. Finding bubbles requires knowing where to look and what to look for. Bubbleology will help you avoid both streaming into speculative manias and shying away from perfectly good business opportunities. It tells you why you need to avoid both pontificating pundits and overconfident stock analysts. With this unique and forward-thinking book, you can inspect suspicious stocks, accurately discern risk, and diagnose a blossoming bubble before it vanishes along with your money.

Handbook of Digital Currency

Author :
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128023511
Total Pages : 613 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (28 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Digital Currency by :

Download or read book Handbook of Digital Currency written by and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2015-05-05 with total page 613 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Incorporating currencies, payment methods, and protocols that computers use to talk to each other, digital currencies are poised to grow in use and importance. The Handbook of Digital Currency gives readers a way to learn about subjects outside their specialties and provides authoritative background and tools for those whose primary source of information is journal articles. Taking a cross-country perspective, its comprehensive view of the field includes history, technicality, IT, finance, economics, legal, tax and regulatory environment. For those who come from different backgrounds with different questions in mind, The Handbook of Digital Currency is an essential starting point. Discusses all major strategies and tactics associated with digital currencies, their uses, and their regulations Presents future scenarios for the growth of digital currencies Written for regulators, crime prevention units, tax authorities, entrepreneurs, micro-financiers, micro-payment businesses, cryptography experts, software developers, venture capitalists, hedge fund managers, hardware manufacturers, credit card providers, money changers, remittance service providers, exchanges, and academics Winner of the 2015 "Outstanding Business Reference Source" by the Reference and User Services Association (RUSA)