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Asset Returns Discount Rate Changes And Market Efficiency
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Book Synopsis Asset Returns, Discount Rate Changes and Market Efficiency by : Michael Smirlock
Download or read book Asset Returns, Discount Rate Changes and Market Efficiency written by Michael Smirlock and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The primary purpose of this paper is to reconcile the previous findings of discount rate endogeneity with the presence of discount rate announcement effects in securities markets. The crux of this reconciliation is the dictinction between quot;technicralquot; discount rate changes that are endogenous and quot;non-technicalquot; changes which contain some informative policy implications. In essence, we attempt to separate expected discount rate changes from unexpected changes, or equivalently, the expected component of discount rate changes from the unexpected component. If markets are efficient, the former should have no announcement effects while the latter may be associated with an announcement effect. Accordingly, the focus of the empirical analysis is on the interaction between discount rate exogeneity, the specific monetary policy regime, and announcement effects. In addition, we examine whether the behaviorof these markets in the post-announcement period is consistent with the rapid price adjustment implied by market efficiency.
Book Synopsis Asset Returns, Discount Rate Changes and Market Efficiency by : Michael Smirlock
Download or read book Asset Returns, Discount Rate Changes and Market Efficiency written by Michael Smirlock and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The primary purpose of this paper is to reconcile the previous findings of discount rate endogeneity with the presence of discount rate announcement effects in securities markets. The crux of this reconciliation is the dictinction between "technicral" discount rate changes that are endogenous and "non-technical" changes which contain some informative policy implications. In essence, we attempt to separate expected discount rate changes from unexpected changes, or equivalently, the expected component of discount rate changes from the unexpected component. If markets are efficient, the former should have no announcement effects while the latter may be associated with an announcement effect. Accordingly, the focus of the empirical analysis is on the interaction between discount rate exogeneity, the specific monetary policy regime, and announcement effects. In addition, we examine whether the behaviorof these markets in the post-announcement period is consistent with the rapid price adjustment implied by market efficiency
Book Synopsis Asset Pricing Theory by : Costis Skiadas
Download or read book Asset Pricing Theory written by Costis Skiadas and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-02-09 with total page 363 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asset Pricing Theory is an advanced textbook for doctoral students and researchers that offers a modern introduction to the theoretical and methodological foundations of competitive asset pricing. Costis Skiadas develops in depth the fundamentals of arbitrage pricing, mean-variance analysis, equilibrium pricing, and optimal consumption/portfolio choice in discrete settings, but with emphasis on geometric and martingale methods that facilitate an effortless transition to the more advanced continuous-time theory. Among the book's many innovations are its use of recursive utility as the benchmark representation of dynamic preferences, and an associated theory of equilibrium pricing and optimal portfolio choice that goes beyond the existing literature. Asset Pricing Theory is complete with extensive exercises at the end of every chapter and comprehensive mathematical appendixes, making this book a self-contained resource for graduate students and academic researchers, as well as mathematically sophisticated practitioners seeking a deeper understanding of concepts and methods on which practical models are built. Covers in depth the modern theoretical foundations of competitive asset pricing and consumption/portfolio choice Uses recursive utility as the benchmark preference representation in dynamic settings Sets the foundations for advanced modeling using geometric arguments and martingale methodology Features self-contained mathematical appendixes Includes extensive end-of-chapter exercises
Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Value of the Dollar by :
Download or read book Foreign Exchange Value of the Dollar written by and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Comparison of Discount Rate Models Using International Stock Market Data by : Kenneth Allan Kasa
Download or read book A Comparison of Discount Rate Models Using International Stock Market Data written by Kenneth Allan Kasa and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Efficiency and the Behavior of International Asset Markets (Routledge Revivals) by : Kathryn Dominguez
Download or read book Exchange Rate Efficiency and the Behavior of International Asset Markets (Routledge Revivals) written by Kathryn Dominguez and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-10-20 with total page 169 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, first published in 1992, examines the subject of foreign exchange market efficiency and, in particular, the effectiveness of central bank intervention in the market. This book is ideal for students of economics.
Book Synopsis Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets by : Wing-Keung Wong
Download or read book Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets written by Wing-Keung Wong and published by Mdpi AG. This book was released on 2022-02-17 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Common Stock Returns by : Donald C. Baron
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Common Stock Returns written by Donald C. Baron and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis CAPM and DCF by : Narayanaswamy Murugesan
Download or read book CAPM and DCF written by Narayanaswamy Murugesan and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When Capital Asset pricing Model (CAPM) is considered as valid asset pricing theory, Security Market Line (SML) is supposed to give ex-ante returns for the single period investment horizon. Since the required returns should be same as the cost of equity (discount rates) in efficient markets, SML relationship is used for deriving cost of equity. Similarly, SML derived returns are used as parameter for performance evaluation like ascertaining alpha.This paper shows that the SML derived returns need not be same as implied discount rates even when CAPM is applicable and markets are efficient. This is because the stock returns and discount rates will be same mathematically only when the discount rates are expected to remain constant over the forecast period. The single period return of CAPM changes every year as the market changes with economic conditions implying that the market discount rates are changing. When the implied discount rates are varying, the ex-ante returns will have no resemblance to the implied discount rate for the year in consideration. This paper shows that the SML derived ex-ante returns may, if at all, only represent a geometric mean of the discount rates over a several investment periods into future. Similarly, the ex-ante returns can not be used for performance evaluation for single period investment horizon as it would only give the expected geometric mean of returns for the future periods making the concept of alpha evaluation erroneous.Similarly, when we extend this concept to equity risk premiums for the market, any historical risk premium can only be applicable for a similar period into the future. It is not possible to predict the equity risk premium for any individual year which again has implication for the surveys on equity risk premiums.The paper illustrates these ideas using two illustrations: Valuation of a firm using DCF Model with time-varying discount rates and Past Valuation data of S&P 500 using DDM Model.
Book Synopsis Market Efficiency and Return Statistics by : Lilian K. Ng
Download or read book Market Efficiency and Return Statistics written by Lilian K. Ng and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a methodology to identify asset price response to news in the framework of Campbell-Shiller log-linear present-value equation. We show that slow price adjustment not only induces high serial auto correlation in real estate excess returns, but also dampens their volatility and correlation with other asset returns. Using Hong Kong real estate and stock market data, we find that the quarterly real estate price assimilates only about half the effect of market news, whereas the quarterly stock price incorporates the news fully. Our analysis identifies a cumulative price adjustment that recovers lost information in real estate returns due to market inefficiency and thereby restores real estate return volatility and correlation with the stock market.
Author :Mario Lavallée Publisher :Ann Arbor, Mich. : University Microfilms International ISBN 13 : Total Pages : pages Book Rating :4.:/5 (82 download)
Book Synopsis Discount Rate Variations and Negative Autocorrelation in Asset Returns [microform] by : Mario Lavallée
Download or read book Discount Rate Variations and Negative Autocorrelation in Asset Returns [microform] written by Mario Lavallée and published by Ann Arbor, Mich. : University Microfilms International. This book was released on 1990 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Asset Pricing written by John H. Cochrane and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-04-11 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner of the prestigious Paul A. Samuelson Award for scholarly writing on lifelong financial security, John Cochrane's Asset Pricing now appears in a revised edition that unifies and brings the science of asset pricing up to date for advanced students and professionals. Cochrane traces the pricing of all assets back to a single idea--price equals expected discounted payoff--that captures the macro-economic risks underlying each security's value. By using a single, stochastic discount factor rather than a separate set of tricks for each asset class, Cochrane builds a unified account of modern asset pricing. He presents applications to stocks, bonds, and options. Each model--consumption based, CAPM, multifactor, term structure, and option pricing--is derived as a different specification of the discounted factor. The discount factor framework also leads to a state-space geometry for mean-variance frontiers and asset pricing models. It puts payoffs in different states of nature on the axes rather than mean and variance of return, leading to a new and conveniently linear geometrical representation of asset pricing ideas. Cochrane approaches empirical work with the Generalized Method of Moments, which studies sample average prices and discounted payoffs to determine whether price does equal expected discounted payoff. He translates between the discount factor, GMM, and state-space language and the beta, mean-variance, and regression language common in empirical work and earlier theory. The book also includes a review of recent empirical work on return predictability, value and other puzzles in the cross section, and equity premium puzzles and their resolution. Written to be a summary for academics and professionals as well as a textbook, this book condenses and advances recent scholarship in financial economics.
Book Synopsis The Global Structure of Financial Markets by : Dilip K. Ghosh
Download or read book The Global Structure of Financial Markets written by Dilip K. Ghosh and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005-08-15 with total page 465 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume uses the original research of experienced contributors to explore recent changes in financial markets. Areas discussed include Latin America, Europe, the USA, Mexico and India. The book updates issues including: * Risk and its minimization * Business enterprise on world markets * Capital flows and capital flight * Offshore markets * Central bank intervention
Book Synopsis Aging and the Macroeconomy by : National Research Council
Download or read book Aging and the Macroeconomy written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2013-01-10 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States is in the midst of a major demographic shift. In the coming decades, people aged 65 and over will make up an increasingly large percentage of the population: The ratio of people aged 65+ to people aged 20-64 will rise by 80%. This shift is happening for two reasons: people are living longer, and many couples are choosing to have fewer children and to have those children somewhat later in life. The resulting demographic shift will present the nation with economic challenges, both to absorb the costs and to leverage the benefits of an aging population. Aging and the Macroeconomy: Long-Term Implications of an Older Population presents the fundamental factors driving the aging of the U.S. population, as well as its societal implications and likely long-term macroeconomic effects in a global context. The report finds that, while population aging does not pose an insurmountable challenge to the nation, it is imperative that sensible policies are implemented soon to allow companies and households to respond. It offers four practical approaches for preparing resources to support the future consumption of households and for adapting to the new economic landscape.
Book Synopsis Stock Prices and Economic News by : Douglas K. Pearce
Download or read book Stock Prices and Economic News written by Douglas K. Pearce and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the daily response of stock prices to announcements about the money supply, inflation, real economic activity, and the discountrate. Except for the discount rate, survey data on market participants' expectations of these announcements are used to identify the unexpected component of the announcements in order to test the efficient markets hypothesis that only the unexpected part of any announcement, the surprise, moves stock prices. The empirical results support this hypothesis and indicate further that surprises related to monetary policy significantly affect stock prices. There is only limited evidence of an impact from inflation surprises and no evidence of an impact from real activity surprises on the announcement days. There is also only weak evidence of stock price responses to surprises beyond the announcement day.
Book Synopsis On the Ramifications of a Securities Transactions Tax for the Function and Efficiency of Capital Markets by : Paul H. Kupiec
Download or read book On the Ramifications of a Securities Transactions Tax for the Function and Efficiency of Capital Markets written by Paul H. Kupiec and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Measuring Excess-Predictability of Asset Returns and Market Efficiency Over Time by : Richard M. Levich
Download or read book Measuring Excess-Predictability of Asset Returns and Market Efficiency Over Time written by Richard M. Levich and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We build on the predictability bounds of Huang et al. (2017) and Potì (2018) to develop an index of informational market inefficiency. This index takes values given by the levels of relative risk aversion (RRA) of the marginal investor such that, net of sampling error at a given confidence level, the observed predictability does not exceed the predictability bound. We demonstrate the usefulness of our index in a study of the predictability of forward exchange rates of currencies of emerging and developed economies from 1994 to 2016, to shed light on how the efficiency of currency markets has evolved over this time. We find widespread evidence of excess-predictability, hence currency market inefficiency, in the early part of the sample period and then at specific times, such as the recent global financial crisis. In the more recent part of the sample period, the evidence of excess-predictability is largely limited to emerging market currencies.
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