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Appraisal Risk And Uncertainty
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Book Synopsis Appraisal, Risk and Uncertainty by : Nigel J. Smith
Download or read book Appraisal, Risk and Uncertainty written by Nigel J. Smith and published by Thomas Telford. This book was released on 2003-11-28 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Projects need to achieve strategic goals and to that end must work in different levels of uncertainty. Engineers must be aware of methods to operate in ambiguous situations. This book offers one of the first integrated approaches to these three topics based on the views of experts in these disciplines.
Book Synopsis Techniques for Project Appraisal Under Uncertainty by : Shlomo Reutlinger
Download or read book Techniques for Project Appraisal Under Uncertainty written by Shlomo Reutlinger and published by Johns Hopkins University Press. This book was released on 1970 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The appraisal of events that have uncertain outcomes is discussed with particular reference to a feasible method for evaluating the riskiness of investment projects. The essence of the uncertainty problem is that many of the variables affecting the outcome of a particular plan are outside of the planner's control. Uncertainty, which is relevant for most decisions, is best characterized in terms of a decision agent's subjective beliefs about probabilities. The probabilistic approach lends itself best to an appraisal of possible outcomes of a project that is affected by uncertainties from many sources. Probability judgments about many basic variables and parameters affecting the final outcome can be aggregated into an estimate of the probability distribution of that final outcome. This aggregation method is demonstrated for calculation of the economic returns of a project. The method of approximation by a simulated sample is described, and its application to probability distribution rates of returns from actual projects is explained. The preparation of a mathematical model is detailed, emphasizing the usefulness of computerized calculations. Fourteen tables and nine figures are provided.
Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Risk Assessment, Risk Management, and Decision Making by : V.T. Covello
Download or read book Uncertainty in Risk Assessment, Risk Management, and Decision Making written by V.T. Covello and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-08 with total page 523 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The subject of this volume--uncertainties in risk assessment and management--reflects an important theme in health, safety, and environ mental decision making. MOst technological hazards are characterized by substantial uncertainty. Recent examples include nuclear waste disposal, acid rain, asbestos in schools, carcinogens in food, and hazardous waste. realing with such uncertainty is arguably the most difficult and challeng ing task facing risk assessors and managers today. Four primary sources of uncertainty in risk assessment and management can be identified: (1) uncertainties about definitions; (2) uncertainties about scientific facts; (3) uncertainties about risk perceptions and atti tudes; and (4) uncertainties about values. Uncertainties about definitions derive primarily from disagreements about the meaning and interpretation of key concepts, such as probability. Uncertainties about scientific facts derive primarily from disagreements about failure modes, the probability and magnitude of adverse health or environmental consequences, cause and effect relationships, dose-response relationships, and exposure patterns. Uncertainties about risk perceptions and attitudes derive primarily from disagreements about what constitutes a significant or acceptable level of risk. Uncertainties about values derive primarily from disagreements about the desirability or worth of alternative risk management actions or conse quences. The papers in this volume address each of these sources of uncertainty from a variety of perspectives. Reflecting the broad scope of risk assess ment and risk management research, the papers include contributions from safety engineers, epidemiologists, toxicologists, chemists, biostatisticians, biologists, decision analysts, economists, psychologists, political scien tists, sociologists, ethicists, and lawyers.
Book Synopsis Investment Appraisal by : Terence Lucey
Download or read book Investment Appraisal written by Terence Lucey and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Investment Appraisal written by T. Lucey and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Risk, Uncertainty and Decision-Making in Property by : P. Byrne
Download or read book Risk, Uncertainty and Decision-Making in Property written by P. Byrne and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2002-11-01 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides undergraduates in surveying and property professionals with a clear practical explanation of the various management techniques to improve their property development decisions.
Book Synopsis Risk Appraisal and Venture Capital in High Technology New Ventures by : Gavin C. Reid
Download or read book Risk Appraisal and Venture Capital in High Technology New Ventures written by Gavin C. Reid and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2007-09-06 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a 'crossover' treatment of quantitative and qualitative risk analysis within the setting of new high technology ventures in the UK. Reid and Smith have based their research on extensive fieldwork in patent-intensive, high-technology firms. This has included face-to-face interviews with leading investors, and is illustrated by two chapt
Book Synopsis Techniques for Project Appraisal Under Uncertainty by : Shlomo Reutlinger
Download or read book Techniques for Project Appraisal Under Uncertainty written by Shlomo Reutlinger and published by Johns Hopkins University Press. This book was released on 1970 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The appraisal of events that have uncertain outcomes is discussed with particular reference to a feasible method for evaluating the riskiness of investment projects. The essence of the uncertainty problem is that many of the variables affecting the outcome of a particular plan are outside of the planner's control. Uncertainty, which is relevant for most decisions, is best characterized in terms of a decision agent's subjective beliefs about probabilities. The probabilistic approach lends itself best to an appraisal of possible outcomes of a project that is affected by uncertainties from many sources. Probability judgments about many basic variables and parameters affecting the final outcome can be aggregated into an estimate of the probability distribution of that final outcome. This aggregation method is demonstrated for calculation of the economic returns of a project. The method of approximation by a simulated sample is described, and its application to probability distribution rates of returns from actual projects is explained. The preparation of a mathematical model is detailed, emphasizing the usefulness of computerized calculations. Fourteen tables and nine figures are provided.
Book Synopsis ITF Research Reports Adapting Transport Policy to Climate Change Carbon Valuation, Risk and Uncertainty by : International Transport Forum
Download or read book ITF Research Reports Adapting Transport Policy to Climate Change Carbon Valuation, Risk and Uncertainty written by International Transport Forum and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2015-11-24 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Transport accounts for nearly a quarter of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions. The price attached to these emissions is critical to climate policies and emissions mitigation efforts in the sector. As the impact of emissions on climate does not depend on where CO2 is released, the price of ...
Download or read book Investment Appraisal written by Uwe Götze and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-12-22 with total page 391 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a range of investment appraisal methods and models to help readers make good investment decisions. Each approach is thoroughly described, evaluated, and illustrated using examples, with its assumptions and limitations analyzed in terms of their implications for investment decision-making practice. Getting investment decisions right is crucial but due to a complex and dynamic business environment this remains a challenging management task.
Book Synopsis Strategic Project Risk Appraisal and Management by : Elaine Harris
Download or read book Strategic Project Risk Appraisal and Management written by Elaine Harris and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-05-15 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Success in business depends on two broad management skills: 'doing the right thing' (choosing the right projects) and 'doing things right' (good project management). This book examines the challenges that managers face in assessing the likely risks and benefits that need to be taken into account when choosing projects. It then explores the strategic level risks that will need to be dealt with in managing those projects and suggests risk management strategies. In so doing, it makes a rare but important link between strategic level appraisal of project opportunities and project risk management. Many projects have similar characteristics that are common to a number of projects experienced by the same or other organizations. Elaine Harris shows how the use of a project typology can guide project risk management by identifying common risks shared by projects of each type. Her cutting edge research will help advanced project practitioners and researchers in projects and risk management to develop a risk management strategy that is better suited to the context of their projects and one that is flexible enough to develop and adapt once the project decision has been taken and the real-world of project management and delivery begins.
Book Synopsis CIMA Official Learning System Performance Operations by : Robert Scarlett
Download or read book CIMA Official Learning System Performance Operations written by Robert Scarlett and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2009-08-24 with total page 636 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: CIMA Official Learning Systems are the only textbooks recommended by CIMA as core reading. Written by the CIMA examiners, markers and lecturers, they specifically prepare students to pass the CIMA exams first time. Fully updated to reflect the 2010 syllabus, they are crammed with features to reinforce learning, including: - step by step coverage directly linked to CIMA's learning outcomes - fully revised examples and case studies - extensive question practice to test knowledge and understanding - integrated readings to increase understanding of key theory - colour used throughout to aid navigation * The Official Learning systems are the only study materials endorsed by CIMA * Key sections written by former examiners for the most accurate, up-to-date guidance towards exam success * Complete integrated package incorporating syllabus guidance, full text, recommended articles, revision guides and extensive question practice
Book Synopsis Risk, Uncertainty and Profit by : Frank H. Knight
Download or read book Risk, Uncertainty and Profit written by Frank H. Knight and published by Cosimo, Inc.. This book was released on 2006-11-01 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A timeless classic of economic theory that remains fascinating and pertinent today, this is Frank Knight's famous explanation of why perfect competition cannot eliminate profits, the important differences between "risk" and "uncertainty," and the vital role of the entrepreneur in profitmaking. Based on Knight's PhD dissertation, this 1921 work, balancing theory with fact to come to stunning insights, is a distinct pleasure to read. FRANK H. KNIGHT (1885-1972) is considered by some the greatest American scholar of economics of the 20th century. An economics professor at the University of Chicago from 1927 until 1955, he was one of the founders of the Chicago school of economics, which influenced Milton Friedman and George Stigler.
Book Synopsis Managing Project Risk and Uncertainty by : Chris Chapman
Download or read book Managing Project Risk and Uncertainty written by Chris Chapman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2002-10-11 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title confidently puts forward a practical, new approach to decision making in an uncertain business world. Many variables are accounted for and the authors are innovative in integrating previous types of decision-making approaches with a more fluid, and therefore realistic model that can be applied across a wide range of contexts and decisions. A new title on a important topic that not only stands well on its own, but also complements Chapman and Ward's previous title Project Risk Management. This book is practical and rigorous yet written in an engaging way. It is perfect for courses, or to be used by practitioners.
Book Synopsis Fundamentals of Investment Appraisal by : Martina Röhrich
Download or read book Fundamentals of Investment Appraisal written by Martina Röhrich and published by Oldenbourg Verlag. This book was released on 2007 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to make sound investment decisions: Based on a continuing case study this comprehensive analysis paces a sure way through the variety of investment appraisal methods. The companion text 'Grundlagen der Investitionsrechnung: Eine Darstellung anhand einer Fallstudie' is available in German.
Book Synopsis Forecasting, Uncertainty, and Public Project Appraisal by : Jock R. Anderson
Download or read book Forecasting, Uncertainty, and Public Project Appraisal written by Jock R. Anderson and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A measure of the probability of commodity price forecasts is not necessary for most project analysis, but it does give users a realistic view of the forecast's precision -- and imposes a useful discipline on the forecaster.
Book Synopsis Risk Appraisal and Venture Capital in High Technology New Ventures by : Gavin C. Reid
Download or read book Risk Appraisal and Venture Capital in High Technology New Ventures written by Gavin C. Reid and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2007-09-06 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a 'crossover' treatment of quantitative and qualitative risk analysis within the setting of new high technology ventures in the UK. Reid and Smith have based their research on extensive fieldwork in patent-intensive, high-technology firms. This has included face-to-face interviews with leading investors, and is illustrated by two chapters of case studies. Their aim is to advance the understanding of methods of risk assessment and to illuminate current policy concerns about stimulating innovative output and securing intellectual property. This book is unique in being academic in intent and purpose, yet strongly grounded in practice, without becoming merely a practitioner volume. Reid and Smith find a considerable consensus in the venture capital industry on the spectrum of investments by risk, and on key commercial factors affecting risk. This book offers a useful and interdisciplinary approach to an increasingly popular field of study.
