Applied Research In Uncertainty Modeling And Analysis

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Applied Research in Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis

Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387235507
Total Pages : 547 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (872 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Research in Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis by : Bilal M. Ayyub

Download or read book Applied Research in Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis written by Bilal M. Ayyub and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-12-29 with total page 547 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The application areas of uncertainty are numerous and diverse, including all fields of engineering, computer science, systems control and finance. Determining appropriate ways and methods of dealing with uncertainty has been a constant challenge. The theme for this book is better understanding and the application of uncertainty theories. This book, with invited chapters, deals with the uncertainty phenomena in diverse fields. The book is an outgrowth of the Fourth International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis (ISUMA), which was held at the center of Adult Education, College Park, Maryland, in September 2003. All of the chapters have been carefully edited, following a review process in which the editorial committee scrutinized each chapter. The contents of the book are reported in twenty-three chapters, covering more than . . ... pages. This book is divided into six main sections. Part I (Chapters 1-4) presents the philosophical and theoretical foundation of uncertainty, new computational directions in neural networks, and some theoretical foundation of fuzzy systems. Part I1 (Chapters 5-8) reports on biomedical and chemical engineering applications. The sections looks at noise reduction techniques using hidden Markov models, evaluation of biomedical signals using neural networks, and changes in medical image detection using Markov Random Field and Mean Field theory. One of the chapters reports on optimization in chemical engineering processes.

Mathematics of Uncertainty Modeling in the Analysis of Engineering and Science Problems

Author : Chakraverty, S.
Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1466649925
Total Pages : 442 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (666 download)

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Book Synopsis Mathematics of Uncertainty Modeling in the Analysis of Engineering and Science Problems by : Chakraverty, S.

Download or read book Mathematics of Uncertainty Modeling in the Analysis of Engineering and Science Problems written by Chakraverty, S. and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2014-01-31 with total page 442 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book provides the reader with basic concepts for soft computing and other methods for various means of uncertainty in handling solutions, analysis, and applications"--Provided by publisher.

Uncertainty Analysis in Engineering and Sciences: Fuzzy Logic, Statistics, and Neural Network Approach

Author : Bilal Ayyub
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780792380306
Total Pages : 414 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (83 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Analysis in Engineering and Sciences: Fuzzy Logic, Statistics, and Neural Network Approach by : Bilal Ayyub

Download or read book Uncertainty Analysis in Engineering and Sciences: Fuzzy Logic, Statistics, and Neural Network Approach written by Bilal Ayyub and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1997-10-31 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty has been of concern to engineers, managers and . scientists for many centuries. In management sciences there have existed definitions of uncertainty in a rather narrow sense since the beginning of this century. In engineering and uncertainty has for a long time been considered as in sciences, however, synonymous with random, stochastic, statistic, or probabilistic. Only since the early sixties views on uncertainty have ~ecome more heterogeneous and more tools to model uncertainty than statistics have been proposed by several scientists. The problem of modeling uncertainty adequately has become more important the more complex systems have become, the faster the scientific and engineering world develops, and the more important, but also more difficult, forecasting of future states of systems have become. The first question one should probably ask is whether uncertainty is a phenomenon, a feature of real world systems, a state of mind or a label for a situation in which a human being wants to make statements about phenomena, i. e. , reality, models, and theories, respectively. One cart also ask whether uncertainty is an objective fact or just a subjective impression which is closely related to individual persons. Whether uncertainty is an objective feature of physical real systems seems to be a philosophical question. This shall not be answered in this volume.

Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Civil Engineering

Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9780849331084
Total Pages : 534 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Civil Engineering by : Bilal M. Ayyub

Download or read book Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Civil Engineering written by Bilal M. Ayyub and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1997-12-29 with total page 534 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the expansion of new technologies, materials, and the design of complex systems, the expectations of society upon engineers are becoming larger than ever. Engineers make critical decisions with potentially high adverse consequences. The current political, societal, and financial climate requires engineers to formally consider the factors of uncertainty (e.g., floods, earthquakes, winds, environmental risks) in their decisions at all levels. Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Civil Engineering provides a thorough report on the immediate state of uncertainty modeling and analytical methods for civil engineering systems, presenting a toolbox for solving problems in real-world situations. Topics include Neural networks Genetic algorithms Numerical modeling Fuzzy sets and operations Reliability and risk analysis Systems control Uncertainty in probability estimates This compendium is a considerable reference for civil engineers as well as for engineers in other disciplines, computer scientists, general scientists, and students.

Uncertainty Modelling in Data Science

Author : Sébastien Destercke
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319975471
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modelling in Data Science by : Sébastien Destercke

Download or read book Uncertainty Modelling in Data Science written by Sébastien Destercke and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-07-24 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book features 29 peer-reviewed papers presented at the 9th International Conference on Soft Methods in Probability and Statistics (SMPS 2018), which was held in conjunction with the 5th International Conference on Belief Functions (BELIEF 2018) in Compiègne, France on September 17–21, 2018. It includes foundational, methodological and applied contributions on topics as varied as imprecise data handling, linguistic summaries, model coherence, imprecise Markov chains, and robust optimisation. These proceedings were produced using EasyChair. Over recent decades, interest in extensions and alternatives to probability and statistics has increased significantly in diverse areas, including decision-making, data mining and machine learning, and optimisation. This interest stems from the need to enrich existing models, in order to include different facets of uncertainty, like ignorance, vagueness, randomness, conflict or imprecision. Frameworks such as rough sets, fuzzy sets, fuzzy random variables, random sets, belief functions, possibility theory, imprecise probabilities, lower previsions, and desirable gambles all share this goal, but have emerged from different needs. The advances, results and tools presented in this book are important in the ubiquitous and fast-growing fields of data science, machine learning and artificial intelligence. Indeed, an important aspect of some of the learned predictive models is the trust placed in them. Modelling the uncertainty associated with the data and the models carefully and with principled methods is one of the means of increasing this trust, as the model will then be able to distinguish between reliable and less reliable predictions. In addition, extensions such as fuzzy sets can be explicitly designed to provide interpretable predictive models, facilitating user interaction and increasing trust.

Uncertainty Modeling in Finite Element, Fatigue and Stability of Systems

Author : Achintya Haldar
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9810231288
Total Pages : 437 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modeling in Finite Element, Fatigue and Stability of Systems by : Achintya Haldar

Download or read book Uncertainty Modeling in Finite Element, Fatigue and Stability of Systems written by Achintya Haldar and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1997 with total page 437 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The functionality of modern structural, mechanical and electrical or electronic systems depends on their ability to perform under uncertain conditions. Consideration of uncertainties and their effect on system behavior is an essential and integral part of defining systems. In eleven chapters, leading experts present an overview of the current state of uncertainty modeling, analysis and design of large systems in four major areas: finite and boundary element methods (common structural analysis techniques), fatigue, stability analysis, and fault-tolerant systems. The content of this book is unique; it describes exciting research developments and challenges in emerging areas, and provide a sophisticated toolbox for tackling uncertainty modeling in real systems.

Scaling and Uncertainty Analysis in Ecology

Author : Jianguo Wu
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1402046634
Total Pages : 354 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Scaling and Uncertainty Analysis in Ecology by : Jianguo Wu

Download or read book Scaling and Uncertainty Analysis in Ecology written by Jianguo Wu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-07-02 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first book of its kind – explicitly considering uncertainty and error analysis as an integral part of scaling. The book draws together a series of important case studies to provide a comprehensive review and synthesis of the most recent concepts, theories and methods in scaling and uncertainty analysis. It includes case studies illustrating how scaling and uncertainty analysis are being conducted in ecology and environmental science.

Modeling Uncertainty

Author : Moshe Dror
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9781475783698
Total Pages : 770 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (836 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Uncertainty by : Moshe Dror

Download or read book Modeling Uncertainty written by Moshe Dror and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-03-24 with total page 770 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modeling Uncertainty: An Examination of Stochastic Theory, Methods, and Applications, is a volume undertaken by the friends and colleagues of Sid Yakowitz in his honor. Fifty internationally known scholars have collectively contributed 30 papers on modeling uncertainty to this volume. Each of these papers was carefully reviewed and in the majority of cases the original submission was revised before being accepted for publication in the book. The papers cover a great variety of topics in probability, statistics, economics, stochastic optimization, control theory, regression analysis, simulation, stochastic programming, Markov decision process, application in the HIV context, and others. There are papers with a theoretical emphasis and others that focus on applications. A number of papers survey the work in a particular area and in a few papers the authors present their personal view of a topic. It is a book with a considerable number of expository articles, which are accessible to a nonexpert - a graduate student in mathematics, statistics, engineering, and economics departments, or just anyone with some mathematical background who is interested in a preliminary exposition of a particular topic. Many of the papers present the state of the art of a specific area or represent original contributions which advance the present state of knowledge. In sum, it is a book of considerable interest to a broad range of academic researchers and students of stochastic systems.

Uncertainty Modeling in Vibration, Control and Fuzzy Analysis of Structural Systems

Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9810231342
Total Pages : 382 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modeling in Vibration, Control and Fuzzy Analysis of Structural Systems by : Bilal M. Ayyub

Download or read book Uncertainty Modeling in Vibration, Control and Fuzzy Analysis of Structural Systems written by Bilal M. Ayyub and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1997 with total page 382 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gives an overview of the current state of uncertainty modeling in vibration, control, and fuzzy analysis of structural and mechanical systems. It is a coherent compendium written by leading experts and offers the reader a sampling of exciting research areas in several fast-growing branches in this field. Uncertainty modeling and analysis are becoming an integral part of system definition and modeling in many fields. The book consists of ten chapters that report the work of researchers, scientists and engineers on theoretical developments and diversified applications in engineering systems. They deal with modeling for vibration, control, and fuzzy analysis of structural and mechanical systems under uncertain conditions. The book designed for readers who are familiar with the fundamentals and wish to study a particular topic or use the book as an authoritative reference. It gives readers a sophisticated toolbox for tackling modeling problems in mechanical and structural systems in real-world situations. The book is part of a series on Stability, Vibration and Control of Structures, and provides vital information in these areas.

Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences

Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420011456
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences by : Bilal M. Ayyub

Download or read book Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences written by Bilal M. Ayyub and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2006-05-25 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Engineers and scientists often need to solve complex problems with incomplete information resources, necessitating a proper treatment of uncertainty and a reliance on expert opinions. Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences prepares current and future analysts and practitioners to understand the fundamentals of knowledge a

Applied Uncertainty Analysis For Flood Risk Management

Author : Keith J Beven
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 1783263121
Total Pages : 685 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Uncertainty Analysis For Flood Risk Management by : Keith J Beven

Download or read book Applied Uncertainty Analysis For Flood Risk Management written by Keith J Beven and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2014-01-13 with total page 685 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume provides an introduction for flood risk management practitioners, up-to-date methods for analysis of uncertainty and its use in risk-based decision making. It addresses decision making for both short-term (real-time forecasting) and long-term (flood risk planning under change) situations. It aims primarily at technical practitioners involved in flood risk analysis and flood warning, including hydrologists, engineers, flood modelers, risk analysts and those involved in the design and operation of flood warning systems. Many experienced practitioners are now expected to modify their way of working to fit into the new philosophy of flood risk management. This volume helps them to undertake that task with appropriate attention to the surrounding uncertainties. The book will also interest and benefit researchers and graduate students hoping to improve their knowledge of modern uncertainty analysis.

Convex Models of Uncertainty in Applied Mechanics

Author : Y. Ben-Haim
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 1483290972
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Convex Models of Uncertainty in Applied Mechanics by : Y. Ben-Haim

Download or read book Convex Models of Uncertainty in Applied Mechanics written by Y. Ben-Haim and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recognition of the need to introduce the ideas of uncertainty in a wide variety of scientific fields today reflects in part some of the profound changes in science and engineering over the last decades. Nobody questions the ever-present need for a solid foundation in applied mechanics. Neither does anyone question nowadays the fundamental necessity to recognize that uncertainty exists, to learn to evaluate it rationally, and to incorporate it into design.This volume provides a timely and stimulating overview of the analysis of uncertainty in applied mechanics. It is not just one more rendition of the traditional treatment of the subject, nor is it intended to supplement existing structural engineering books. Its aim is to fill a gap in the existing professional literature by concentrating on the non-probabilistic model of uncertainty. It provides an alternative avenue for the analysis of uncertainty when only a limited amount of information is available. The first chapter briefly reviews probabilistic methods and discusses the sensitivity of the probability of failure to uncertain knowledge of the system. Chapter two discusses the mathematical background of convex modelling. In the remainder of the book, convex modelling is applied to various linear and nonlinear problems. Uncertain phenomena are represented throughout the book by convex sets, and this approach is referred to as convex modelling.This book is intended to inspire researchers in their goal towards further growth and development in this field.

Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 030904894X
Total Pages : 668 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment by : National Research Council

Download or read book Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1994-01-01 with total page 668 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The public depends on competent risk assessment from the federal government and the scientific community to grapple with the threat of pollution. When risk reports turn out to be overblownâ€"or when risks are overlookedâ€"public skepticism abounds. This comprehensive and readable book explores how the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) can improve its risk assessment practices, with a focus on implementation of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments. With a wealth of detailed information, pertinent examples, and revealing analysis, the volume explores the "default option" and other basic concepts. It offers two views of EPA operations: The first examines how EPA currently assesses exposure to hazardous air pollutants, evaluates the toxicity of a substance, and characterizes the risk to the public. The second, more holistic, view explores how EPA can improve in several critical areas of risk assessment by focusing on cross-cutting themes and incorporating more scientific judgment. This comprehensive volume will be important to the EPA and other agencies, risk managers, environmental advocates, scientists, faculty, students, and concerned individuals.

Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment

Author : Karin Riley
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119027861
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment by : Karin Riley

Download or read book Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment written by Karin Riley and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-12-12 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainties are pervasive in natural hazards, and it is crucial to develop robust and meaningful approaches to characterize and communicate uncertainties to inform modeling efforts. In this monograph we provide a broad, cross-disciplinary overview of issues relating to uncertainties faced in natural hazard and risk assessment. We introduce some basic tenets of uncertainty analysis, discuss issues related to communication and decision support, and offer numerous examples of analyses and modeling approaches that vary by context and scope. Contributors include scientists from across the full breath of the natural hazard scientific community, from those in real-time analysis of natural hazards to those in the research community from academia and government. Key themes and highlights include: Substantial breadth and depth of analysis in terms of the types of natural hazards addressed, the disciplinary perspectives represented, and the number of studies included Targeted, application-centered analyses with a focus on development and use of modeling techniques to address various sources of uncertainty Emphasis on the impacts of climate change on natural hazard processes and outcomes Recommendations for cross-disciplinary and science transfer across natural hazard sciences This volume will be an excellent resource for those interested in the current work on uncertainty classification/quantification and will document common and emergent research themes to allow all to learn from each other and build a more connected but still diverse and ever growing community of scientists. Read an interview with the editors to find out more: https://eos.org/editors-vox/reducing-uncertainty-in-hazard-prediction

Uncertainty Quantification in Multiscale Materials Modeling

Author : Yan Wang
Publisher : Woodhead Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0081029411
Total Pages : 604 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Quantification in Multiscale Materials Modeling by : Yan Wang

Download or read book Uncertainty Quantification in Multiscale Materials Modeling written by Yan Wang and published by Woodhead Publishing. This book was released on 2020-03-12 with total page 604 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty Quantification in Multiscale Materials Modeling provides a complete overview of uncertainty quantification (UQ) in computational materials science. It provides practical tools and methods along with examples of their application to problems in materials modeling. UQ methods are applied to various multiscale models ranging from the nanoscale to macroscale. This book presents a thorough synthesis of the state-of-the-art in UQ methods for materials modeling, including Bayesian inference, surrogate modeling, random fields, interval analysis, and sensitivity analysis, providing insight into the unique characteristics of models framed at each scale, as well as common issues in modeling across scales.

Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling

Author : José Eduardo Souza De Cursi
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030536696
Total Pages : 478 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling by : José Eduardo Souza De Cursi

Download or read book Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling written by José Eduardo Souza De Cursi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-08-19 with total page 478 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This proceedings book discusses state-of-the-art research on uncertainty quantification in mechanical engineering, including statistical data concerning the entries and parameters of a system to produce statistical data on the outputs of the system. It is based on papers presented at Uncertainties 2020, a workshop organized on behalf of the Scientific Committee on Uncertainty in Mechanics (Mécanique et Incertain) of the AFM (French Society of Mechanical Sciences), the Scientific Committee on Stochastic Modeling and Uncertainty Quantification of the ABCM (Brazilian Society of Mechanical Sciences) and the SBMAC (Brazilian Society of Applied Mathematics).

Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling

Author : Dorota Kurowicka
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470863080
Total Pages : 302 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling by : Dorota Kurowicka

Download or read book Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling written by Dorota Kurowicka and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-10-02 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical models are used to simulate complex real-world phenomena in many areas of science and technology. Large complex models typically require inputs whose values are not known with certainty. Uncertainty analysis aims to quantify the overall uncertainty within a model, in order to support problem owners in model-based decision-making. In recent years there has been an explosion of interest in uncertainty analysis. Uncertainty and dependence elicitation, dependence modelling, model inference, efficient sampling, screening and sensitivity analysis, and probabilistic inversion are among the active research areas. This text provides both the mathematical foundations and practical applications in this rapidly expanding area, including: An up-to-date, comprehensive overview of the foundations and applications of uncertainty analysis. All the key topics, including uncertainty elicitation, dependence modelling, sensitivity analysis and probabilistic inversion. Numerous worked examples and applications. Workbook problems, enabling use for teaching. Software support for the examples, using UNICORN - a Windows-based uncertainty modelling package developed by the authors. A website featuring a version of the UNICORN software tailored specifically for the book, as well as computer programs and data sets to support the examples. Uncertainty Analysis with High Dimensional Dependence Modelling offers a comprehensive exploration of a new emerging field. It will prove an invaluable text for researches, practitioners and graduate students in areas ranging from statistics and engineering to reliability and environmetrics.