An Application of the "Fan-Chart Approach" to Debt Sustainability in Post-HIPC Low-Income Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498337171
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis An Application of the "Fan-Chart Approach" to Debt Sustainability in Post-HIPC Low-Income Countries by : Maximilien Kaffo Melou

Download or read book An Application of the "Fan-Chart Approach" to Debt Sustainability in Post-HIPC Low-Income Countries written by Maximilien Kaffo Melou and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-06-11 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyse the debt dynamics in countries that benefited from the HIPC/MDRI debt relief initiatives with a view to applying a probabilistic approach to estimating future debt paths for those countries. We extend the probabilistic approach to public debt sustainability analysis (DSA) proposed by Celasun et al. (2006). This required addressing the twin challenges of a the time period that is too short to conduct country-by-country estimations and the presence, suggested by econometric evidence, of a break–point around 2006 in the dynamics of debt accumulation. To overcome the data limitations, we pool the data and estimate a panel VAR, thus taking advantage of the large cross–section. To account for the break–point, while applying a probabilistic approach to forecasting debt paths, we use the post–break–point information so as not to bias the forecasts of debt paths. As an illustration of the approach we apply the methodology to eight countries with different debt profiles.

Applying the Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries Post Debt Relief

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498332064
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Applying the Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries Post Debt Relief by : World Bank

Download or read book Applying the Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries Post Debt Relief written by World Bank and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-06-11 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In April 2006, the Executive Boards of the Bank and the Fund reviewed the debt sustainability framework (DSF) for low-income countries and the implications of the multilateral debt relief initiative. Directors thought that the DSF was broadly appropriate and that no major changes were warranted, but saw scope for additional guidance on the application of the framework in a context where the apparent borrowing space created by debt relief raises new challenges in terms of policy advice. Most Directors supported a case-by-case approach for assessing the appropriate pace of debt accumulation in countries with debt below the DSF thresholds, but requested the development of specific recommendations on the implementation of such a case-by-case approach.

Staff Guidance Note on the Application of the Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498341179
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Staff Guidance Note on the Application of the Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries by : World Bank

Download or read book Staff Guidance Note on the Application of the Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries written by World Bank and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-05-10 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Low-income countries (LICs) face significant challenges in meeting their development objectives while at the same time ensuring that their external debt remains sustainable. In April 2005, the Executive Boards of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the International Development Association (IDA) endorsed the Debt Sustainability Framework (DSF), a tool developed jointly by IMF and World Bank staff to conduct public and external debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries. The DSF aims to help guide the borrowing decisions of LICs, provide guidance for creditors’ lending and grant allocation decisions, and improve World Bank and IMF assessments and policy advice.

Debt Relief and Beyond

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 0821378759
Total Pages : 478 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis Debt Relief and Beyond by : Carlos A. Primo Braga

Download or read book Debt Relief and Beyond written by Carlos A. Primo Braga and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2009-10-02 with total page 478 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The history of debt relief goes back several decades. It reveals that a country s accumulation of unsustainable debt stems from such factors as deficiencies in macroeconomic management, adverse terms-of-trade shocks, and poor governance. Debt-relief initiatives have provided debt-burdened countries with the opportunity for a fresh start, but whether the benefits of debt relief can be preserved depends on transformations in a country s policies and institutions. In 1996, the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative was launched as the first comprehensive, multilateral, debt-relief framework for low-income countries. In 2005, the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative was established, which increased the level of debt relief provided to HIPCs. As of early 2009, assistance through these two initiatives had been committed to 35 countries and amounted to US$117 billion in nominal terms, or half of the 2007 GDP of these countries. 'Debt Relief and Beyond' assesses the implications of debt relief for low-income countries and how its benefits can be preserved and used to fight poverty. The chapter authors bring unique operational experience to their examination of debt relief, debt sustainability, and debt management. Several key questions are addressed, including, what consequences does debt relief have for poverty-reducing expenditures, growth, and access to finance? Can debt relief guarantee debt sustainability? How can debt management at all levels of government be improved? What lessons can be learned from countries that have experienced debt restructuring? Finally, this book provides sound empirical evidence using current econometric techniques.

Debt Relief Initiatives

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317154150
Total Pages : 300 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (171 download)

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Book Synopsis Debt Relief Initiatives by : Marco Arnone

Download or read book Debt Relief Initiatives written by Marco Arnone and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-05-13 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book deals with the recent debt crises in developing countries and analyzes the design and implementation of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative, by providing background concepts, pointing out the main drawbacks and suggesting a different approach to debt sustainability and debt relief programs. The authors merge academic, operational and institutional expertise, in order to provide an evaluation as complete and balanced as possible on the much-debated effectiveness of debt relief in fostering economic growth, reducing poverty and reaching debt sustainability. Marco Arnone and Andrea F. Presbitero assess the joint evolution of external and domestic public debt and produce original empirical evidence on the potential effects of public debt on investment, economic growth and institution-building in low- and middle-income countries. The book also explores relevant and up-to-date policy issues, such as the loans-grants mix and the development of responsible lending strategies in foreign assistance, the surge of non-concessional and domestic borrowing by low-income countries, and the impact of the 2008-2009 global financial crisis on debt sustainability.

Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries - Further Considerations on an Operational Framework and Policy Implications

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498330088
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries - Further Considerations on an Operational Framework and Policy Implications by : World Bank

Download or read book Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries - Further Considerations on an Operational Framework and Policy Implications written by World Bank and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-10-09 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper seeks to address queries on several operational issues: (i) the robustness of the indicative thresholds; (ii) modalities for implementing DSAs; and (iii) operational implications for the Fund, Bank, and other international financial institutions and creditors.

Applying the Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries Post Debt Relief

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis Applying the Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries Post Debt Relief by : Internationaler Währungsfonds

Download or read book Applying the Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries Post Debt Relief written by Internationaler Währungsfonds and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In April 2006, the Executive Boards of the Bank and the Fund reviewed the debt sustainability framework (DSF) for low-income countries and the implications of the multilateral debt relief initiative. Directors thought that the DSF was broadly appropriate and that no major changes were warranted, but saw scope for additional guidance on the application of the framework in a context where the apparent borrowing space created by debt relief raises new challenges in terms of policy advice. Most Directors supported a case-by-case approach for assessing the appropriate pace of debt accumulation in countries with debt below the DSF thresholds, but requested the development of specific recommendations on the implementation of such a case-by-case approach.

Debt-Sustainability in Low-Income Countries - Proposal for an Operational Framework and Policy Implications

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498330630
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Debt-Sustainability in Low-Income Countries - Proposal for an Operational Framework and Policy Implications by : International Monetary Fund. Finance Dept.

Download or read book Debt-Sustainability in Low-Income Countries - Proposal for an Operational Framework and Policy Implications written by International Monetary Fund. Finance Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-03-02 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL

Debt Sustainability Analyses for Low-Income Countries: An Assessment of Projection Performance

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484326156
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Debt Sustainability Analyses for Low-Income Countries: An Assessment of Projection Performance by : Mr.Henry Mooney

Download or read book Debt Sustainability Analyses for Low-Income Countries: An Assessment of Projection Performance written by Mr.Henry Mooney and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-10-30 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops new error assessment methods to evaluate the performance of debt sustainability analyses (DSAs) for low-income countries (LICs) from 2005-2015. We find some evidence of a bias towards optimism for public and external debt projections, which was most appreciable for LICs with the highest incomes, prospects for market access, and at ‘moderate’ risk of debt distress. This was often driven by overly-ambitious fiscal and/or growth forecasts, and projected ‘residuals’. When we control for unanticipated shocks, we find that biases remain evident, driven in part by optimism regarding government fiscal reaction functions and expected growth dividends from investment.

Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries - Toward a Forward-Looking Strategy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498329462
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries - Toward a Forward-Looking Strategy by : International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept.

Download or read book Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries - Toward a Forward-Looking Strategy written by International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-05-23 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL

Review of Low-Income Country Debt Sustainability Framework and Implications of the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI)

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 149833282X
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Review of Low-Income Country Debt Sustainability Framework and Implications of the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Review of Low-Income Country Debt Sustainability Framework and Implications of the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-03-24 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the experience with the joint IMF-World Bank Debt Sustainability Framework for low-income countries, including cooperation between the staffs, and highlights the implications of the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative.

Guidance Note on the Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Framework for Low Income Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498307264
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Guidance Note on the Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Framework for Low Income Countries by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Download or read book Guidance Note on the Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Framework for Low Income Countries written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-02-14 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Low-income countries (LICs) face significant challenges in meeting their Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) while at the same time ensuring that their external debt remains sustainable. In April 2005, the Executive Boards of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the International Development Association (IDA) approved the introduction of the Debt Sustainability Framework (DSF), a tool developed jointly by IMF and World Bank staff to conduct public and external debt sustainability analysis in low-income countries. The DSF has since been serving to help guide the borrowing decisions of LICs, provide guidance for creditors’ lending and grant allocation decisions, and improve World Bank and IMF assessments and policy advice. The latest review of the framework was approved by the Executive Boards in September 2017. This introduced reforms to ensure that the DSF remains appropriate for the rapidly changing financing landscape facing LICs and to further improve insights into debt vulnerabilities. This note provides operational and technical guidance on the implementation of the reformed framework.

Operational Framework for Debt Sustainability Assessments in Low-Income Countries - Further Considerations

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498331688
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Operational Framework for Debt Sustainability Assessments in Low-Income Countries - Further Considerations by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Operational Framework for Debt Sustainability Assessments in Low-Income Countries - Further Considerations written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-03-28 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Building on initial discussions of the proposed framework in February/March 2004, and further considerations in September 2004, this paper responds to remaining concerns that need to be resolved to make the framework operational. These concerns relate to the indicative debt-burden thresholds (Section II); the interaction of the framework with the HIPC Initiative (Section III); and the modalities for Bank-Fund collaboration in deriving a common assessment of sustainability (Section IV). This note should be read in conjunction with the original proposal, which presented the wider issues on the use of the indicative thresholds, the evaluation of policies and institutions, and the need for discretion when assessing sustainability on a forward-looking basis.

Debt Relief for the Poorest

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 0821366572
Total Pages : 98 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis Debt Relief for the Poorest by : Shonar Lala

Download or read book Debt Relief for the Poorest written by Shonar Lala and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2006-01-01 with total page 98 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study evaluates progress under the HIPC initiative since IEG's 2003 evaluation. It finds that the Enhanced HIPC initiative cut debt ratios in half for 18 countries, but in eight of these countries, the ratios have come to once again exceed HIPC thresholds. Debt reduction alone is not a sufficient instrument to affect the multiple drivers of debt sustainability. Sustained improvements in export diversification, fiscal management, the terms of new financing, and public debt management are also needed, measures that fall outside the ambit of the HIPC initiative.

Review of the Debt Sustainability Framework for Low Income Countries

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498346359
Total Pages : 111 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Review of the Debt Sustainability Framework for Low Income Countries by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Download or read book Review of the Debt Sustainability Framework for Low Income Countries written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-02-10 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-income Countries (LIC DSF) has been the cornerstone of assessments of risks to debt sustainability in LICs. The framework classifies countries based on their assessed debt-carrying capacity, estimates threshold levels for selected debt burden indicators, evaluates baseline projections and stress test scenarios relative to these thresholds, and then combines indicative rules and staff judgment to assign risk ratings of external debt distress. The framework has demonstrated its operational value since the last review was conducted in 2012, but there are areas where new features can be introduced to enhance its performance in assessing risks. Against the backdrop of the evolving nature of risks facing LICs, both staff analysis and stakeholder feedback suggest gaps in the framework to be addressed. Complexity and lack of transparency have also been highlighted as causes for concern. This paper proposes a set of reforms to enhance the value of the LIC DSF for all users. In developing these reforms, staff has been guided by two over-arching principles: a) the core architecture of the DSF—model-based results complemented by judgment—remains appropriate; and b) reforms should ensure that the DSF maintains an appropriate balance by providing countries with early warnings of potential debt distress without unnecessarily constraining their borrowing for development.

Long-term Debt Sustainability in Low-income Countries

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Author :
Publisher : Commonwealth Secretariat
ISBN 13 : 9780850927757
Total Pages : 150 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (277 download)

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Book Synopsis Long-term Debt Sustainability in Low-income Countries by : Andreas Antoniou

Download or read book Long-term Debt Sustainability in Low-income Countries written by Andreas Antoniou and published by Commonwealth Secretariat. This book was released on 2004 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The publication is a collection of papers on the theme of Long-term Debt Sustainability for HIPC Countries. The publication should prove useful to policy-makers in both advanced and low-income countries and students.

A Review of Some Aspects of the Low-Income Country Debt Sustainability Framework

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498335713
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis A Review of Some Aspects of the Low-Income Country Debt Sustainability Framework by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book A Review of Some Aspects of the Low-Income Country Debt Sustainability Framework written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-05-08 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Framework (DSF) is a standardized framework for analyzing debt-related vulnerabilities in low-income countries (LICs). It aims to help countries monitor their debt burden and take early preventive action, to provide guidance to creditors in ensuring their lending decisions are consistent with countries’ development goals, and to improve the Bank and Fund’s assessments and policy advice. The DSF was last reviewed in 2006, and a reconsideration of some aspects of the framework is timely.