Alternative Futures and Army Force Planning. Implications for the Future Force Era

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 130 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis Alternative Futures and Army Force Planning. Implications for the Future Force Era by :

Download or read book Alternative Futures and Army Force Planning. Implications for the Future Force Era written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Predicting the friture is almost always fraught with uncertainty. How- ever, Army force developers working to plan a force capable of meet- ing the challenges of the 2025 timeframe (the Future Force era) face more uncertainty than most. Today's world, especially in the wake of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks and the Iraq war, exhibits a level of dynamism and change not seen during the comparatively static decades of the Cold War-times when the drivers of U.S. secu- rity policy were relatively fixed and their demands upon the Army easily identified. This study has attempted to help the Army deal with the task of long-term force planning by using the tool of alternative futures analysis. Rather than positing a single point estimate of the 2025 fli- ture and trying to defend it, we chose to help the Army bound the future by laying out a representative spectrum of different "future worlds" in the hope that they would illustrate the complete universe of future missions.

Alternative Futures and Their Implications for Army Modernization

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (742 download)

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Book Synopsis Alternative Futures and Their Implications for Army Modernization by :

Download or read book Alternative Futures and Their Implications for Army Modernization written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As it carries out its long-term force structure and modernization plans, one useful approach for the Army to take is based on the analysis of "alternative futures." Having developed several plausible alternative futures (looking out roughly 25 years), the authors describe each one's possible implications for the Army's likely mission and the forces required for those missions, discussing the impact on Army modernization plans. The futures range from a benign, relatively peaceful world all the way to a dangerous, chaotic world containing many "failed states." The research indicated that the creation of medium forces was a good long-range strategy for the Army, since those forces appeared to be relevant in many of the possible futures. Traditional heavy forces were found to be useful in a limited number of the possible futures and should therefore receive relatively fewer modernization resources. Army aviation appeared to be applicable to most of the futures, but there could be a need to shift the balance from attack-type aviation to transport aircraft, depending on which future appeared more likely. In all cases, increased C4ISR seemed to be a very important capability. Even within that category, however, there might be a need to focus C4ISR resources in different ways. For example, in some futures, there would be a need to stress unconventional operations in urban areas rather than systems more applicable to locating conventional enemy forces in open terrain.

Alternative Futures and Their Implications for Army Modernization

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (946 download)

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Book Synopsis Alternative Futures and Their Implications for Army Modernization by :

Download or read book Alternative Futures and Their Implications for Army Modernization written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As it carries out its long-term force structure and modernization plans, one useful approach for the Army to take is based on the analysis of "alternative futures." Having developed several plausible alternative futures (looking out roughly 25 years), the authors describe each one's possible implications for the Army's likely mission and the forces required for those missions, discussing the impact on Army modernization plans. The futures range from a benign, relatively peaceful world all the way to a dangerous, chaotic world containing many "failed states." The research indicated that the creation of medium forces was a good long-range strategy for the Army, since those forces appeared to be relevant in many of the possible futures. Traditional heavy forces were found to be useful in a limited number of the possible futures and should therefore receive relatively fewer modernization resources. Army aviation appeared to be applicable to most of the futures, but there could be a need to shift the balance from attack-type aviation to transport aircraft, depending on which future appeared more likely. In all cases, increased C4ISR seemed to be a very important capability. Even within that category, however, there might be a need to focus C4ISR resources in different ways. For example, in some futures, there would be a need to stress unconventional operations in urban areas rather than systems more applicable to locating conventional enemy forces in open terrain.

Strategic Horizons

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781463725013
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (25 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Horizons by : Steven Metz

Download or read book Strategic Horizons written by Steven Metz and published by . This book was released on 1997-03-07 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A year ago the Chief of Staff of the Army initiated the Army After Next Project (AANP) as a means of stimulating constructive thinking about the Army's future throughout the service. AANP has quickly developed into a primary vehicle for long-range planning. Under the leadership of the Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC), the AANP has conducted an ambitious program of studies, symposia and workshops, culminating in a Winter War Game and Senior Seminar held at Carlisle, January 27-February 6, 1997. In addition to supporting TRADOC's AANP through the world class simulation and gaming facilities of the Center for Strategic Leadership, the Army War College has begun a complementary research project, combining the talents of faculty and students. A key line of initial inquiry for us has been to forecast the nature of the future security environment in which the Army will operate. That is the task Dr. Steven Metz set for himself in this monograph. In the pages that follow he propounds "currents of change" that will determine the future and sketches a series of plausible future security systems. Each system is characterized by the forms of conflict that will dominate it, the major strategic issues the United States might face, and the resulting military implications. While Dr. Metz's analysis leads to observations certain to be controversial, he illustrates quite clearly the primacy that environmental context will have in shaping our national security outlook and military strategy. Thus, Dr. Metz's observations on trends and systems warrant careful consideration as national policymakers and the Army's leaders build the military force of the future.

Creating Strategic Vision

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Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1428982078
Total Pages : 149 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (289 download)

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Book Synopsis Creating Strategic Vision by :

Download or read book Creating Strategic Vision written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 1987 with total page 149 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

U.S. Military Capabilities and Forces for a Dangerous World

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780833097422
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (974 download)

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Book Synopsis U.S. Military Capabilities and Forces for a Dangerous World by : David A. Ochmanek

Download or read book U.S. Military Capabilities and Forces for a Dangerous World written by David A. Ochmanek and published by . This book was released on 2018-01-29 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report evaluates the capabilities of current and programmed U.S. forces to meet the demands of future conflicts and recommends alternative forces that appear to be better suited than today's forces to meeting those demands.

Assumption-Based Planning for Army 21

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (946 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-Based Planning for Army 21 by :

Download or read book Assumption-Based Planning for Army 21 written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report presents results of one phase of a project called Future Combat Development Concepts. The project supports the Training and Doctrine Command's (TRADOC's) work toward understanding future combat development and doctrine issues. This particular report is intended to help TRADOC develop Army 21, a vision of the Army and an operational concept appropriate for 15 to 30 years in the future. The Army 21 effort entails the development of a set of plausible alternative worlds that could eventuate within that span of time. The results of this study are most relevant to those interested in future Army concepts and doctrine. Since Army 21 is an integral part of the Army Long-Range Planning System, the report will interest Army long-range planners. However, the methodologies used in this study are more general and should also be of interest to other long-range planners looking for an alternative to trend-based approaches to futures planning. Section 2 of this report describes the methodology the authors developed for Army 21 specifically and for long-range planning in general. It includes a description of the methodology and a comparison of that methodology with a more common approach to long-range planning that concentrates on trend extrapolation. Section 3 describes the implementation of the first step of the methodology: identification and analysis of the assumptions underlying AirLand Battle-Future (ALB-F). Section 4 describes the identification, by means of an innovative Delphi exercise, of plausible changes in the world in 25 to 30 years that would affect the Army and its operational concept. These steps are critical in the generation of alternative future scenarios that stress the ALB-F Umbrella Concept. Section 4 also explains how the assumptions and plausible changes are combined to generate the alternative future scenarios and describes the scenarios thus generated. Section 5 offers conclusions and observations. (5 tables).

Assumption-based Planning for Army 21

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780833012685
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (126 download)

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Book Synopsis Assumption-based Planning for Army 21 by : James A. Dewar

Download or read book Assumption-based Planning for Army 21 written by James A. Dewar and published by . This book was released on 1992-01-01 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report describes a long-range planning methodology developed for Army 21 - an Army planning exercise designed to envision how the Army will fight between 15 and 30 years in the future - and demonstrates a partial implementation of the methodology by generating a set of alternative futures. In applying the methodology to the AirLand Battle-Future (ALB-F) concept, the authors found that the scenarios generated can be properly used to do two things: think about actions that should be taken in current planning to begin preparing for the eventuation of any of the scenarios, and identify "signposts"--Events or trends that would suggest the world had taken an important turn toward one of the challenges to the ALB-F concept. The authors also found the methodology could be improved by developing a rudimentary theory of assumptions to guide their discovery and formulation. Finally, the authors found the ALB-F concept to be robust because it was difficult to come up with assumptions underlying it that might be violated; such a finding implies that doctrine writers will be challenged to develop the concept into a compelling guide to force structure development, training, etc.

Alternative Futures and Army Force Planning

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Publisher : Minnesota Historical Society
ISBN 13 : 9780833037442
Total Pages : 138 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (374 download)

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Book Synopsis Alternative Futures and Army Force Planning by : Brian Nichiporuk

Download or read book Alternative Futures and Army Force Planning written by Brian Nichiporuk and published by Minnesota Historical Society. This book was released on 2005 with total page 138 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What should the U.S. Army look like in 20 years? Using the tool of alternative futures analysis, this study attempts to help the Army with force planning for the 2025 era. It lays out a spectrum of different "future worlds" to illustrate the complete universe of future missions. Analyzing possible trends across five key areas (geopolitics, economics, demographics, technology, and environment), the study defines six alternative futures and postulates an appropriate "Army type" for each one.

Scenario Planning and Strategy in the Pentagon

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Publisher : Independently Published
ISBN 13 : 9781077160125
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (61 download)

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Book Synopsis Scenario Planning and Strategy in the Pentagon by : Michael Fitzsimmons

Download or read book Scenario Planning and Strategy in the Pentagon written by Michael Fitzsimmons and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2019-01-29 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scenario planning should be one of the Pentagon's most important tools for developing strategy for an uncertain future. However, the formalized joint scenario planning process to support strategy and force development-Support for Strategic Analysis-has faced many challenges over the past 2 decades, and has ultimately proven less influential than intended on strategic decision-making. Explaining why is the main purpose of this monograph. It argues that scenario analysis has been most effective in supporting capability and program development, while it has fallen short in shaping strategy and force structure. The reasons for this are numerous and are rooted in intrinsic, structural characteristics of decision-making in large organizations. The monograph concludes with several recommendations for rejuvenating scenario planning in the Pentagon.

Army of None

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Publisher : Seven Stories Press
ISBN 13 : 1609800028
Total Pages : 226 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis Army of None by : Aimee Allison

Download or read book Army of None written by Aimee Allison and published by Seven Stories Press. This book was released on 2011-01-04 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uniformed U.S. Army Officers lunch with students in elementary school cafeterias. Army training programs including rifle and pistol instruction replace physical education in middle schools. Like never before, military recruiters are entering the halls of U.S. schools with unchecked access in an attempt to bolster a military in crisis. However, even as these destructive efforts to militarize youth accelerate, so do the creative and powerful efforts of students, community members, and veterans to challenge them. Today, the counter recruitment movement—from counseling to poetry slams to citywide lobbying efforts—has become one of the most practical ways to tangibly resist U.S. policy that cuts funding for education and social programs while promoting war and occupation. Without enough soldiers, the U.S. cannot sustain its empire. Army of None exposes the real story behind the military-recruitment complex, and offers guides, tools, and resources for education and action, and people power strategies to win.

Army National Guard Future Planning Workbook

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 344 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Army National Guard Future Planning Workbook by :

Download or read book Army National Guard Future Planning Workbook written by and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Professional Development of Officers Study: Policy impact analysis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Professional Development of Officers Study: Policy impact analysis by : United States. Department of the Army. Professional Development of Officers Study Group

Download or read book Professional Development of Officers Study: Policy impact analysis written by United States. Department of the Army. Professional Development of Officers Study Group and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Professional Development of Officers Study: Policy impact analysis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 392 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Professional Development of Officers Study: Policy impact analysis by : Charles W. Bagnal

Download or read book Professional Development of Officers Study: Policy impact analysis written by Charles W. Bagnal and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Planning Manual

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (121 download)

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Book Synopsis Planning Manual by : Charles E. Yoe

Download or read book Planning Manual written by Charles E. Yoe and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Democratizing Leadership

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Publisher : IAP
ISBN 13 : 1681233355
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (812 download)

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Book Synopsis Democratizing Leadership by : Mike Klein

Download or read book Democratizing Leadership written by Mike Klein and published by IAP. This book was released on 2015-12-01 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Democratizing Leadership: Counter?hegemonic Democracy in Organizations, Institutions, and Communities promotes leadership in the democratization of culture to counter the current hegemony of domination and cultivate an alternative hegemony of collaboration. It is premised on a leadership framework for decision?making rooted in democratic voice and leading to collective action. This broad peacebuilding prescription for individual and collective agency accounts for the constructive role of conflict in democratic pluralism, and the need to develop practices and structures that prevent violent conflict in order to advance positive peace. This theory addresses the contexts of deliberative, agonistic, and revolutionary democratic frameworks. Democratizing Leadership is informed by three qualitative case studies described in rich detail. First Bank System Visual Art Program, In the Heart of the Beast Theater's May Day Ritual, and The Minnesota Alliance of Peacemakers exemplify the practice of democratizing leadership. These diverse settings include corporate banking during 1980's deregulation, an annual community May Day parade, and an informal alliance of peacemaking organizations. Leadership in each case promotes authentic voice, encourages decision?making with integrity, and advocates for responsible collective action.

Taking Intelligence Analysis to the Next Level

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000593452
Total Pages : 453 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Taking Intelligence Analysis to the Next Level by : Patrick McGlynn

Download or read book Taking Intelligence Analysis to the Next Level written by Patrick McGlynn and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-09-15 with total page 453 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Taking Intelligence to the Next Level: Advanced Intelligence Analysis Methodologies Using Real-World Business, Crime, Military, and Terrorism Examples examines intelligence gathering and analysis and the significance of these programs. Coverage assumes a basic understanding of the intelligence cycle and processes, and the book builds upon the author’s previous text, Intelligence Analysis Fundamentals—also published by CRC Press—to further address various types of intelligence, the function and increasing usage of intelligence in both the private and public sectors, and the consumption of intelligence products to inform strategic decision-making. Developed for a classroom environment, chapters are packed with multiple examples, visuals, and practical exercises tailored for the intelligence community (IC), military intelligence analyst, criminal, or business analyst alike. The text begins with a chapter on analytical ethics, an important topic that sets the tone for those to come that cover intelligence gathering analytical techniques. The author utilizes multiple instructive learning approaches to build on the student’s existing analytical skills gained from other training resources, their experience, or some other combination. While topics covered are germane to all intelligence analysis fields—including military, national, political, criminal, and business—specific chapters and sections and most instructional examples, scenarios, exercises, and learning activities focus on the Homeland Security Mission and the associated problem sets. The training presentation methods and instructional approaches are the product of much thought, research, and discussion, and a variety of US government and commercial analytical training methodologies are presented. The book closes with a final chapter looking at future trends in intelligence analysis. Key Features: Provides tools to challenge intelligence assessments systematically and objectively, a prerequisite to vetted intelligence conclusions Outlines diagnostic techniques to explain events or data sets, anticipate potential outcomes, predict future trends, and make decisions for optimal outcomes Details how to conduct research to effectively write, edit, format, and disseminate reports to best effect An accompany Instructor’s Guide, for use in the classroom, contains the same practical exercises as those found in the student text, as well as facilitator’s guides, practical exercise solutions, discussion points, sample test questions, and answer keys, to include other websites that can provide additional instructional content. Taking Intelligence to the Next Level serves as an essential course textbook for programs in intelligence, terrorism, and Homeland Security in addition to serving a useful reference for practicing professionals. Ancillaries including PowerPoint lecture slides, as well as the Instructor’s Guide with Test Bank, are available for qualified course adopters.