Aid, growth and real exchange rate dynamics

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Aid, growth and real exchange rate dynamics by : Shantayanan Devarajan

Download or read book Aid, growth and real exchange rate dynamics written by Shantayanan Devarajan and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2008 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Devarajan, Go, Page, Robinson, and Thierfelder argued that if aid is about the future and recipients are able to plan consumption and investment decisions optimally over time, then the potential problem of an aid-induced appreciation of the real exchange rate (Dutch disease) does not occur. In their paper, "Aid, Growth and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics," this key result is derived without requiring extreme assumptions or additional productivity story. The economic framework is a standard neoclassical growth model, based on the familiar Salter-Swan characterization of an open economy, with full dynamic savings and investment decisions. It does require that the model is fully dynamic in both savings and investment decisions. An important assumption is that aid should be predictable for intertemporal smoothing to take place. If aid volatility forces recipients to be constrained and myopic, Dutch disease problems become an issue.

Aid, Growth, and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis Aid, Growth, and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics by : Shantayanan Devarajan

Download or read book Aid, Growth, and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Shantayanan Devarajan and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Devarajan, Go, Page, Robinson, and Thierfelder argued that if aid is about the future and recipients are able to plan consumption and investment decisions optimally over time, then the potential problem of an aid-induced appreciation of the real exchange rate (Dutch disease) does not occur. In their paper, "Aid, Growth and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics," this key result is derived without requiring extreme assumptions or additional productivity story. The economic framework is a standard neoclassical growth model, based on the familiar Salter-Swan characterization of an open economy, with full dynamic savings and investment decisions. It does require that the model is fully dynamic in both savings and investment decisions. An important assumption is that aid should be predictable for intertemporal smoothing to take place. If aid volatility forces recipients to be constrained and myopic, Dutch disease problems become an issue.

When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455210781
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We review the literature on Dutch disease, and document that shocks that trigger foreign exchange inflows (such as natural resource booms, surges in foreign aid, remittances, or capital inflows) appreciate the real exchange rate, generate factor reallocation, and reduce manufacturing output and net exports. We also observe that real exchange rate misalignment due to overvaluation and higher volatility of the real exchange rate lower growth. Regarding the effect of undervaluation of the exchange rate on economic growth, the evidence is mixed and inconclusive. However, there is no evidence in the literature that Dutch disease reduces overall economic growth. Policy responses should aim at adequately managing the boom and the risks associated with it.

Post-conflict Aid, Real Exchange Rate Adjustment, and Catch-up Growth

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Post-conflict Aid, Real Exchange Rate Adjustment, and Catch-up Growth by : Ibrahim Elbadawi

Download or read book Post-conflict Aid, Real Exchange Rate Adjustment, and Catch-up Growth written by Ibrahim Elbadawi and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Post-conflict countries receive substantial aid flows after the start of peace. While post-conflict countries' capacity to absorb aid (that is, the quality of their policies and institutions) is built up only gradually after the onset of peace, the evidence suggests that aid tends to peak immediately after peace is attained and decline thereafter. Aid composition broadly reflects post-conflict priorities, with large parts of aid financing social expenditure and infrastructure investment. Aid has significant short-term effects on the real exchange rate (RER), as inferred from the behavior of RER in the world. While moderate RER overvaluation is observed in post-conflicts, it cannot be traced down to the aid flows. The empirical evidence on world growth reveals new findings about the pattern of catch-up growth during post-conflicts and the role of key growth determinants on post-conflict growth. Aid is an important determinant of growth, both generally and more strongly during post-conflict periods. Because RER misalignment reduces growth, RER overvaluation during post-conflicts reduces catch-up growth. Aid and RER overvaluation combined also lower growth. But the negative growth effect of RER overvaluation declines with financial development.

Foreign Aid and Real Exchange Rate Adjustments in a Financially Constrained Dependent Economy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Aid and Real Exchange Rate Adjustments in a Financially Constrained Dependent Economy by : Serpil Tekin

Download or read book Foreign Aid and Real Exchange Rate Adjustments in a Financially Constrained Dependent Economy written by Serpil Tekin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-08 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A dynamic dependent-economy model is developed to investigate the role of the real exchange rate in determining the effects of foreign aid. If capital is perfectly mobile between sectors, untied aid has no longrun impact on the real exchange rate. A decline in the traded sector occurs because aid, being denominated in traded output, substitutes for exports in financing imports. While untied aid causes short-run real exchange appreciation, this response is very temporary and negligibly small. Tied aid, by influencing sectoral productivity, does generate permanent relative price effects. The analysis, which employs extensive numerical simulations, emphasizes the tradeoffs between real exchange adjustments, long-run capital accumulation, and economic welfare, associated with alternative forms of foreign aid.

Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475523165
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries by : Mr. Marco Airaudo

Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries written by Mr. Marco Airaudo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-08 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.

Real Exchange Rates and the Prices of Nontradable Goods

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451922515
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rates and the Prices of Nontradable Goods by : Mr.Gian Milesi-Ferretti

Download or read book Real Exchange Rates and the Prices of Nontradable Goods written by Mr.Gian Milesi-Ferretti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-02-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper attempts to provide a perspective on real exchange rate developments following the inception of the EMS. The focus is on structural determinants of real exchange rates, notably the behavior of tradables and nontradable prices and productivity. It is found that changes in the relative price of tradable goods in terms of nontradables account for a sizable fraction of real exchange rate dynamics during the EMS period. Sectoral productivity growth differential help explain the behavior of the relative price of tradable goods, especially in the long run. There is also some evidence that the EMS has extended on relative price behavior.

Real Exchange Rates, Economic Complexity, and Investment

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484356349
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rates, Economic Complexity, and Investment by : Steve Brito

Download or read book Real Exchange Rates, Economic Complexity, and Investment written by Steve Brito and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-05-10 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show that the response of firm-level investment to real exchange rate movements varies depending on the production structure of the economy. Firms in advanced economies and in emerging Asia increase investment when the domestic currency weakens, in line with the traditional Mundell-Fleming model. However, in other emerging market and developing economies, as well as some advanced economies with a low degree of structural economic complexity, corporate investment increases when the domestic currency strengthens. This result is consistent with Diaz Alejandro (1963)—in economies where capital goods are mostly imported, a stronger real exchange rate reduces investment costs for domestic firms.

Exchange Rate Theory and Practice

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226050998
Total Pages : 542 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Theory and Practice by : John F. Bilson

Download or read book Exchange Rate Theory and Practice written by John F. Bilson and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 542 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume grew out of a National Bureau of Economic Research conference on exchange rates held in Bellagio, Italy, in 1982. In it, the world's most respected international monetary economists discuss three significant new views on the economics of exchange rates - Rudiger Dornbusch's overshooting model, Jacob Frenkel's and Michael Mussa's asset market variants, and Pentti Kouri's current account/portfolio approach. Their papers test these views with evidence from empirical studies and analyze a number of exchange rate policies in use today, including those of the European Monetary System.

Exchange Rate Economics

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134838220
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""

Real Exchange Rates and the Prices of Nontradable Goods

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rates and the Prices of Nontradable Goods by : Stefano Micossi

Download or read book Real Exchange Rates and the Prices of Nontradable Goods written by Stefano Micossi and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper attempts to provide a perspective on real exchange rate developments following the inception of the EMS. The focus is on structural determinants of real exchange rates, notably the behavior of tradables and nontradable prices and productivity. It is found that changes in the relative price of tradable goods in terms of nontradables account for a sizable fraction of real exchange rate dynamics during the EMS period. Sectoral productivity growth differential help explain the behavior of the relative price of tradable goods, especially in the long run. There is also some evidence that the EMS has extended on relative price behavior.

Real Exchange Rates, Devaluation, and Adjustment

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 394 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rates, Devaluation, and Adjustment by : Sebastian Edwards

Download or read book Real Exchange Rates, Devaluation, and Adjustment written by Sebastian Edwards and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Real Exchange Rates, Devaluation, and Adjustment provides a unified theoretical and empirical investigation of exchange rate policy and performance in scores of developing countries. It develops a theory of equilibrium and disequilibrium real exchange rates, takes up the question of why devaluations are the most controversial policy measures in poorer nations, and discusses what determines their success or failure. In a lucid fashion, Edwards organizes vast amounts of data on exchange rates - both real and nominal - and discusses their effect on net trade balances, net asset positions, output growth, real wages, and rates of price inflation, analyzed both in time series and through cross country comparisons. Edwards's investigation singles out 39 major devaluation episodes for before and after comparative analyses while simultaneously isolating the separate effects of other important explanatory variables, such as bank credit expansion and changes in the terms of trade. The first part of the book focuses on theoretical models of devaluation and real exchange rate behavior in less developed countries. Special attention is paid to intertemporal channels in the transmission of disturbances. The second part uses a large cross country data set to analyze the way the real exchange rate has behaved in these nations. The data are also used to test the implications of several theories of real exchange rate determination. The third part analyzes actual devaluation experiences between 1962 and 1982. These chapters examine the events leading to a balance of payments crisis and to a devaluation, exploring the relation between macroeconomic disequilibrium, and the imposition of trade and exchange controls. They also investigate the effect of nominal devaluation on key variables such as the balance of payments, the current account, the real exchange rate, real output real wages, and income distribution.

Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451875843
Total Pages : 85 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes by : Mr.Kenneth Rogoff

Download or read book Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes written by Mr.Kenneth Rogoff and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-12-01 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using recent advances in the classification of exchange rate regimes, this paper finds no support for the popular bipolar view that countries will tend over time to move to the polar extremes of free float or rigid peg. Rather, intermediate regimes have shown remarkable durability. The analysis suggests that as economies mature, the value of exchange rate flexibility rises. For countries at a relatively early stage of financial development and integration, fixed or relatively rigid regimes appear to offer some anti-inflation credibility gain without compromising growth objectives. As countries develop economically and institutionally, there appear to be considerable benefits to more flexible regimes. For developed countries that are not in a currency union, relatively flexible exchange rate regimes appear to offer higher growth without any cost in credibility.

Fear of Appreciation

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Fear of Appreciation by : Eduardo Levy-Yeyati

Download or read book Fear of Appreciation written by Eduardo Levy-Yeyati and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: In recent years the term "fear of floating" has been used to describe exchange rate regimes that, while officially flexible, in practice intervene heavily to avoid sudden or large depreciations. However, the data reveals that in most cases (and increasingly so in the 2000s) intervention has been aimed at limiting appreciations rather than depreciations, often motivated by the neo-mercantilist view of a depreciated real exchange rate as protection for domestic industries. As a first step to address the broader question of whether this view delivers on its promise, the authors examine whether this "fear of appreciation" has a positive impact on growth performance in developing economies. The authors show that depreciated exchange rates appear to induce higher growth, but that the effect, rather than through import substitution or export booms as argued by the mercantilist view, works largely through the deepening of domestic savings and capital accumulation.

The Future of National Development Banks

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Author :
Publisher : Initiative for Policy Dialogue
ISBN 13 : 0198827946
Total Pages : 388 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (988 download)

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Book Synopsis The Future of National Development Banks by : Stephany Griffith-Jones

Download or read book The Future of National Development Banks written by Stephany Griffith-Jones and published by Initiative for Policy Dialogue. This book was released on 2018 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This in-depth case study of several national development banks explores the role of these institutions in innovation and structural change, infrastructure financing, and financial inclusion. It reflects on the significant contribution that these banks can make to a countries' development, and their broader role within economic policy.

Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498330282
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-05-19 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL

IMF Staff papers

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451956770
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1988-01-01 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A central proposition regarding effects of different mechanisms of fi-nancing public expenditures is that, under specific circumstances, it makes no difference to the level of aggregate demand if the government finances its outlays by debt or taxation. This so-called Ricardian equivalence states that, for a given expenditure path, substitution of debt for taxes does not affect private sector wealth and consumption. This paper provides a model illustrating the implications of Ricardian equivalence, surveys the litera-ture, considers effects of relaxing the basic assumptions, provides a frame-work to study implications of various extensions, and critically reviews recent empirical work on Ricardian equivalence.