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Adding Latin America To The Global Projection Model
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Book Synopsis Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model by : Charles Freedman
Download or read book Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model written by Charles Freedman and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2009-04-01 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we add Latin American economies to a previously estimated small quarterly projection model of the US, Euro Area, and Japanese economies. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques, which provide a very efficient way of imposing restrictions to produce both plausible dynamics and sensible forecasting properties.
Book Synopsis Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model by : Charles Freedman
Download or read book Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model written by Charles Freedman and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-11-01 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the fifth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we add Indonesia to a previously estimated small quarterly projection model of the US, euro area, and Japanese economies. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques, which provide a very efficient way of imposing restrictions to produce both plausible dynamics and sensible forecasting properties.
Download or read book GPM6 written by Ioan Carabenciov and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-04-10 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the sixth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economists have access for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we add three more regions and make a number of other changes to a previously estimated small quarterly projection model of the US, euro area, and Japanese economies. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques, which provide a very efficient way of imposing restrictions to produce both plausible dynamics and sensible forecasting properties.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1475552645 Total Pages :145 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (755 download)
Book Synopsis Argentina by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Download or read book Argentina written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-11-10 with total page 145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses Argentina’s investment rate which was well below the average of Latin American countries and that of a peer group of advanced and emerging market countries, with a larger gap in private investment. Raising investment prospects would be essential to boost economic activity. The administration that took office in December 2015 has emphasized the importance of generating an investor friendly environment that allows Argentina to recover some of the growth opportunities lost over the last few decades. Although quantifying the capital accumulation gap is a clearly a difficult task, one way of doing so is to look at the difference between Argentina’s capital-labor ratio and that of the selected peer group of countries. Argentina’s investment rates and capital-output ratios are also compared with estimates of their steady state values derived from standard neoclassical growth models. Argentina’s investment rate would need to increase significantly to eliminate the capital accumulation gap built during the last two decades, and this could significantly accelerate GDP growth.
Book Synopsis Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices by : Javier Gómez-Pineda
Download or read book Systemic Risk, Aggregate Demand, and Commodity Prices written by Javier Gómez-Pineda and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-07-20 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper presents a global model with systemic and country risks, as well as commodity prices.We show that systemic risk shocks have an important impact on world economic activity, with the busts in world output gap corresponding to unobserved systemic risk associated with major financial events. In addition, systemic risk shocks are shown to be important drivers of output gaps while country risk premium shocks can have important effects on the trade balance. Commodity prices, in particular the price of oil, are shown to be demand driven. The model performs well at one- and four-quarter horizons compared to a survey of analysts' forecasts. In addition, systemic risk shocks explain a large share of the forecast variance for the world output gap, country output gaps, the price of oil, and country risk premiums. The importance of systemic risk shocks lends support for financial surveillance with a systemic focus.
Book Synopsis Chile by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Chile written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-09-29 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The cornerstone of Chile’s impressive fiscal performance and strong fiscal system has been its structural balance rule. It has helped to insulate public spending from copper price cycles and improve the government’s net financial position. Chile should adopt a full-fledged medium-term fiscal framework to improve fiscal planning and provide a framework for addressing temporary deviations from the fiscal rule. Publishing additional fiscal indicators in the budget, such as the non-copper structural balance, could provide more comprehensive information on the impact of fiscal policy on the domestic demand.
Book Synopsis Weathering the Global Storm by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Weathering the Global Storm written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper highlights that central banks from Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru (the LA5 countries) reaped the benefits of what they sowed in successfully weathering the global crisis. The adoption of far-reaching institutional, policy, and operational reforms during the last two decades enabled central banks to build credibility about their commitment with the objective of price stability. Thus, when the 2007 - 08 supply shock and the financial crisis hit the world, the LA5 central banks reacted swiftly and effectively based on a flexible policy framework and with the support of strong macroeconomic and financial foundations. Building on the experience of the LA5 central banks and complementing with recommendations from the IMF’s technical advice, the paper provides several suggestions for countries seeking to strengthen the effectiveness of monetary policy.
Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council
Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
Book Synopsis The Global 2000 Report to the President: Documentation on the government's global sectoral models: the government's "global model" by : Council on Environmental Quality (U.S.)
Download or read book The Global 2000 Report to the President: Documentation on the government's global sectoral models: the government's "global model" written by Council on Environmental Quality (U.S.) and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Global 2000 Report to the President: Documentation on the government's global sectoral models: the government's "global model" by :
Download or read book The Global 2000 Report to the President: Documentation on the government's global sectoral models: the government's "global model" written by and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Climate and Development Challenge for Latin America and the Caribbean by : Walter Vergara
Download or read book The Climate and Development Challenge for Latin America and the Caribbean written by Walter Vergara and published by Inter-American Development Bank. This book was released on 2013-04-22 with total page 105 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a joint effort lead by the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) in collaboration with the Economic Commission of Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) and the World Wildlife Fund (WWF) focused on the climate and development challenge for LAC. It deals with a matter that is bound to affect the likelihood of achieving sustainable progress in Latin America and the Caribbean. Indeed, climate change is already affecting the foundations on which Latin American societies rely for sustenance and welfare.
Book Synopsis The Global 2000 Report to the President--entering the Twenty-first Century by : Global 2000 Study (U.S.)
Download or read book The Global 2000 Report to the President--entering the Twenty-first Century written by Global 2000 Study (U.S.) and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Asian Development Outlook 2012 Update by : Asian Development Bank
Download or read book Asian Development Outlook 2012 Update written by Asian Development Bank and published by Asian Development Bank. This book was released on 2012-10-01 with total page 359 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: According to the findings in the Asian Development Outlook 2012 Update, dimming global growth prospects and soft domestic demand in the region’s two largest economies are slowing the pace of developing Asia’s expansion. Growth is now expected to slide from 7.2% in 2011 to 6.1% in 2012, with a bounce back to 6.7% in 2013. The possibility of a shock emanating from the unresolved euro area sovereign debt crisis or a sharp fiscal contraction in the United States pose the biggest downside risks to the economy. Fortunately, most developing Asian economies have room to counteract such shocks with fiscal and monetary policy. However, there is currently no regionwide need for countercyclical policy intervention.
Book Synopsis The Methods and Materials of Demography by : Henry S. Shryock
Download or read book The Methods and Materials of Demography written by Henry S. Shryock and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book HUD Newsletter written by and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 4 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Perspectives in Defense Management by :
Download or read book Perspectives in Defense Management written by and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 924 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Publisher :INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND ISBN 13 :9781589069213 Total Pages :82 pages Book Rating :4.0/5 (692 download)
Book Synopsis Regional Economic Outlook, May 2010, Western Hemisphere by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Download or read book Regional Economic Outlook, May 2010, Western Hemisphere written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2010-05-10 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A multispeed global recovery is under way, with some emerging markets in the lead and the major advanced economies growing more slowly. This macroeconomic setting has brought a return to easy global financial conditions and high commodity prices-a situation likely to be sustained for some time but unlikely to be permanent. Against that external backdrop, the recovery in the Latin America and Caribbean region overall is advancing faster than anticipated, but moving at different speeds across countries. The report discusses the varying policy challenges that different countries face as the global recovery proceeds. Chapter 1 analyzes the global setting and the outlook for the United States and Canada in particular, while Chapter 2 focuses on the outlook for Latin America and the Caribbean. Chapter 3 looks in depth at the challenges arising from the return of easy external financial conditions. Together with high commodity prices, such conditions represent favorable "tailwinds" for many countries of the region, but also carry risks for policymakers to address.
