A Review of Scenario Planning Literature

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Author :
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3638762009
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (387 download)

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Book Synopsis A Review of Scenario Planning Literature by : Katja Kirsch

Download or read book A Review of Scenario Planning Literature written by Katja Kirsch and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2007-09-30 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scientific Essay from the year 2004 in the subject Business economics - General, grade: 73%, University of the West of England, Bristol (Bristol Business School), course: Developing Business Knowledge, 31 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: Scenarios are increasingly popular within both companies and non-profit organisations. A wide variety of scenario characteristics and approaches has developed. In this paper a definition of the term scenario is given before exploring the different underlying assumptions and characteristics of, and approaches to scenario planning. It then goes on and identifies lacks in scenario theory to conclude with a future outlook of further research.

Scenario Planning for Cities and Regions

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781558444003
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (44 download)

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Book Synopsis Scenario Planning for Cities and Regions by : Robert Goodspeed

Download or read book Scenario Planning for Cities and Regions written by Robert Goodspeed and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ""Describes the emerging use of collaborative scenario planning practices in urban and regional planning, and includes case studies, an overview of digital tools, and a project evaluation framework. Concludes with a discussion of how scenarios can be used to address urban inequalities. Intended for a broad audience"--Provided by the publisher"--

Scenario-based Strategic Planning

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3658028750
Total Pages : 219 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (58 download)

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Book Synopsis Scenario-based Strategic Planning by : Burkhard Schwenker

Download or read book Scenario-based Strategic Planning written by Burkhard Schwenker and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-05 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a world characterized by increasing complexity and volatility, managers must be able to flexibly adapt their strategies to changing environmental conditions. Traditional strategic management frameworks often fail in this context. Therefore, we present "scenario-based strategic planning" as a framework for strategic management in an uncertain world. Previous approaches to scenario planning were complex and focused on the long term, but the approach developed by Roland Berger and the Center for Strategy and Scenario Planning at HHL Leipzig Graduate School of Management is different. By designing appropriate tools and integrating scenario planning into strategic planning, we have made our approach less complex and easier for firms to apply. We illustrate the approach with examples from different industries.

Scenario Planning in Organizations

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Publisher : Berrett-Koehler Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1605099082
Total Pages : 367 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Scenario Planning in Organizations by : Thomas J. Chermack

Download or read book Scenario Planning in Organizations written by Thomas J. Chermack and published by Berrett-Koehler Publishers. This book was released on 2011-02-14 with total page 367 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scenario planning helps organization leaders, executives and decision-makers envision and develop strategies for multiple possible futures instead of just one. It enables organizations to become resilient and agile, carefully calibrating their responses and adapting quickly to new circumstances in a fast-changing environment. This book is the most comprehensive treatment to date of the scenario planning process. Unlike existing books it offers a thorough discussion of the evolution and theoretical foundations of scenario planning, examining its connections to learning theory, decision-making theory, mental model theory and more. Chermack emphasizes that scenario planning is far more than a simple set of steps to follow, as so many other practice-focused books do—he addresses the subtleties and complexities of planning. And, unique among scenario planning books, he deals not just with developing different scenarios but also with applying scenarios once they have been constructed, and assessing the impact of the scenario project. Using a case study based on a real scenario project Chermack lays out a comprehensive five phase scenario planning system—project preparation, scenario exploration, scenario development, scenario implementation and project assessment. Each chapter describes specific techniques for gathering and analyzing relevant data with a particular emphasis on the use of workshops to encourage dialogue. He offers a scenario project worksheet to help readers structure and manage scenario projects as well as avoid common pitfalls, and a discussion, based in recent neurological findings, of how scenario planning helps people to overcome barriers to creative thinking. “This book is about action and performance. Compelling and thoroughly researched, it offers every business executive a playbook for including uncertainty in the organizational change process and driving competitive advantage”. -- Tim Reynolds, Vice President, Talent and Organization Effectiveness, Whirlpool Corporation

Strategic Reframing

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198745699
Total Pages : 275 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Reframing by : Rafael Ramirez

Download or read book Strategic Reframing written by Rafael Ramirez and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditional strategy assumes stability and predictability. Today's world is better characterised by turbulence, uncertainty, novelty and ambiguity - conditions that contribute disruptive changes and trigger the search for new ways of coping. This book aims to become the premier guide on how to do scenario planning to support strategy and public policy. Co-authored by three experts in the field, the book presents The Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA). The approach is both intellectually rigorous and practical. Methodological choices and theoretical aspects in practice are detailed in reference to the relevant literatures and grounded in 6 case studies the authors have been involved with. The book makes several contributions to the field, centred on how learning with scenario planning is supported by re-framing and re-perception; how this iterative process can be embedded in corporate or government settings, and how it helps those that it supports to do well in today's world. The book is written in an accessible style and will be a useful introductory text as well as a useful guide for the more experienced scenario planning practitioner and scholar.

Scenario Planning - Revised and Updated

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230233589
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Scenario Planning - Revised and Updated by : Mats Lindgren

Download or read book Scenario Planning - Revised and Updated written by Mats Lindgren and published by Springer. This book was released on 2009-03-31 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long-term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and case studies to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy and innovation.

Scenario Planning

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 506 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Scenario Planning by : Gill Ringland

Download or read book Scenario Planning written by Gill Ringland and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-03-16 with total page 506 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text provides a straightforward account of scenario planning making this important area accessible to business decision makers, as well as corporate planners.

Next Generation Supply Chains

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030635058
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis Next Generation Supply Chains by : Rosanna Fornasiero

Download or read book Next Generation Supply Chains written by Rosanna Fornasiero and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-12-31 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book explores supply chains strategies to help companies face challenges such as societal emergency, digitalization, climate changes and scarcity of resources. The book identifies industrial scenarios for the next decade based on the analysis of trends at social, economic, environmental technological and political level, and examines how they may impact on supply chain processes and how to design next generation supply chains to answer these challenges. By mapping enabling technologies for supply chain innovation, the book proposes a roadmap for the full implementation of the supply chain strategies based on the integration of production and logistics processes. Case studies from process industry, discrete manufacturing, distribution and logistics, as well as ICT providers are provided, and policy recommendations are put forward to support companies in this transformative process.

Using Scenarios

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Publisher : Berrett-Koehler Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1523092890
Total Pages : 241 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (23 download)

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Book Synopsis Using Scenarios by : Thomas J. Chermack

Download or read book Using Scenarios written by Thomas J. Chermack and published by Berrett-Koehler Publishers. This book was released on 2022-02 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first book to offer detailed guidance on how scenarios can be used to help organizations make their toughest decisions in a world of ever-escalating crisis and opportunity. To reap the full benefits of scenarios, you have to be able to apply them in the real world. This groundbreaking book goes beyond the theoretical to clearly explain different ways scenarios can be used in business decision-making—from strategic planning and financial modeling to crisis response. Connecting scenarios to strategy and action can have many benefits, including the ability to react quickly, anticipate major changes in the environment, and identify major opportunities. Thomas Chermack, a top expert on scenario planning, offers seven specific ways organizations can use scenarios and provides a wide variety of examples, along with proven processes, exercises, and workshops that have been used successfully in organizations across industries and countries for more than fifteen years.

Future Design

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811554072
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (115 download)

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Book Synopsis Future Design by : Tatsuyoshi Saijo

Download or read book Future Design written by Tatsuyoshi Saijo and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-07-25 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses imaginary future generations and how current decision-making will influence those future generations. Markets and democracies focus on the present and therefore tend to make us forget that we are living in the present, with ancestors preceding and descendants succeeding us. Markets are excellent devices to equate supply and demand in the short term, but not for allocating resources between current and future generations, since future generations do not exist yet. Democracy is also not “applicable” for future generations, since citizens vote for candidates who will serve members of their, i.e., the current, generation. In order to overcome these shortcomings, the authors discusses imaginary future generations and future ministries in the context of current decision-making in fields such as the environment, urban management, forestry, water management, and finance. The idea of imaginary future generations comes from the Native American Iroquois, who had strong norms that compelled them to incorporate the interests of people seven generations ahead when making decisions.

Scenario Planning

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230511627
Total Pages : 180 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Scenario Planning by : M. Lindgren

Download or read book Scenario Planning written by M. Lindgren and published by Springer. This book was released on 2002-12-04 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and cases to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy. They argue that the concept of scenario planning is as much an art as a practical management tool.

Foundations of Scenario Planning

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317279395
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (172 download)

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Book Synopsis Foundations of Scenario Planning by : Thomas J Chermack

Download or read book Foundations of Scenario Planning written by Thomas J Chermack and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-02-03 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pierre Wack was head of scenario planning at Royal Dutch / Shell Oil in London for just over ten years. He died in 1997. He was a pioneer of what we know today as scenario planning – an alternative and complement to strategic planning. Scenarios explore a variety of possible futures for examining decisions in organizational planning. Pierre was a unique man with interests in Indian and Japanese cultures and traditions. He travelled extensively and led a unique life that involved long periods of visiting gurus in India and extended sabbaticals in Japan. His experiences with Eastern thought no doubt shaped his ability to evolve the scenario method at Shell, and as a result he was able to lead a team that foresaw the oil crises of the 1970’s and 80’s. This new volume will cover the basic context of his life timeline and attach it to the development of his thinking about scenario planning over the course of his career. After his death, Wack’s materials, papers and documents were collected by Napier Collyns and have recently been made available at the University of Oxford where the Pierre Wack Memorial Library has been established. These documents contain a variety of clues and stories that reveal more about who Pierre Wack was, how he thought and will provide details about scenario planning that have never been seen or published. They also reveal a curious man and include a timeline written by his wife, Eve, which details their relationship over the course of 40 years. Written for management and business historians and researchers, this book will uncover unseen contributions by a scenario planning pioneer shaped by significant events in his personal life that helped him to see the world differently.

Advanced Introduction to Scenario Planning

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1800376804
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Advanced Introduction to Scenario Planning by : Schoemaker, Paul J.H.

Download or read book Advanced Introduction to Scenario Planning written by Schoemaker, Paul J.H. and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2022-06-10 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing a panoramic overview of the evolving world of scenario planning, this Advanced Introduction uses topical case studies to analyze the developing methodologies of scenario planning. Written by Paul J.H. Schoemaker, a leading authority on the topic, this book synthesizes rigorous theory and practical experiences including best practises, normative views, and future challenges or opportunities for scenario planning.

Scenario Planning

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Publisher : Choir Press
ISBN 13 : 9781909300545
Total Pages : 492 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Scenario Planning by : Gill Ringland

Download or read book Scenario Planning written by Gill Ringland and published by Choir Press. This book was released on 2014-03 with total page 492 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide to help business managers implement scenario techniques to manage the uncertainties of the future.

Scenario Thinking

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319490672
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Scenario Thinking by : George Cairns

Download or read book Scenario Thinking written by George Cairns and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-10-13 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Develops scenario planning methods in ways that link scenario analysis to improved decision making, engage time-poor senior decision makers, attenuate decision makers’ tendency to deflect responsibility for bleak, negative scenario outcomes, and enhance causal analysis within scenario-storyline development. What if? Two of the most powerful – and frightening – words in business. Almost as bad as “I didn’t see that coming.” Some things that transform the marketplace overnight come from nowhere. Some things that create potentially critical under-performance are genuinely unforeseeable. Sometimes it is impossible to predict how a change in an organizational strategy will play out. Some things and sometimes – but not many and not often. Decision makers in organizations face more-and-more complex and ambiguous problems that need to be addressed under time pressure - and the need for practical decision support has become essential. The range of methods in this book will enable you to be prepared, proactive and resilient no matter what the future brings. Based on up-to-date academic research and years of application and iteration in the real world, this book, illustrated with examples of the value delivered in Europe, Australia and the Middle East, will transfer practical skills in scenario thinking using step-by-step instructions. This thoroughly revised and expanded second edition introduces these new approaches in detail, with clear guidelines and examples to enable the reader to select and implement the most appropriate scenario method to suit the issue at hand – considering the timeframe for its investigation, the resources available and the outcomes expected.

Resilient Urban Futures

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030631311
Total Pages : 190 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis Resilient Urban Futures by : Zoé A. Hamstead

Download or read book Resilient Urban Futures written by Zoé A. Hamstead and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-04-06 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book addresses the way in which urban and urbanizing regions profoundly impact and are impacted by climate change. The editors and authors show why cities must wage simultaneous battles to curb global climate change trends while adapting and transforming to address local climate impacts. This book addresses how cities develop anticipatory and long-range planning capacities for more resilient futures, earnest collaboration across disciplines, and radical reconfigurations of the power regimes that have institutionalized the disenfranchisement of minority groups. Although planning processes consider visions for the future, the editors highlight a more ambitious long-term positive visioning approach that accounts for unpredictability, system dynamics and equity in decision-making. This volume brings the science of urban transformation together with practices of professionals who govern and manage our social, ecological and technological systems to design processes by which cities may achieve resilient urban futures in the face of climate change.

Scenario Analysis in Risk Management

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319250566
Total Pages : 162 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Scenario Analysis in Risk Management by : Bertrand K. Hassani

Download or read book Scenario Analysis in Risk Management written by Bertrand K. Hassani and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-10-26 with total page 162 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on identifying and explaining the key determinants of scenario analysis in the context of operational risk, stress testing and systemic risk, as well as management and planning. Each chapter presents alternative solutions to perform reliable scenario analysis. The author also provides technical notes and describes applications and key characteristics for each of the solutions. In addition, the book includes a section to help practitioners interpret the results and adjust them to real-life management activities. Methodologies, including those derived from consensus strategies, extreme value theory, Bayesian networks, Neural networks, Fault Trees, frequentist statistics and data mining are introduced in such a way as to make them understandable to readers without a quantitative background. Particular emphasis is given to the added value of the implementation of these methodologies.