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A Regime Based Effect Of Fiscal Policy
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Book Synopsis A Regime-Based Effect of Fiscal Policy by : Bechir N. Bouzid
Download or read book A Regime-Based Effect of Fiscal Policy written by Bechir N. Bouzid and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, few authors have attempted to address the question of whether the state of the economy influences the impact of fiscal policy on the economy. Key findings have often indicated that expansionary fiscal intervention tends to be more effective when the economy is in a downturn. This favorable impact is more pronounced with an increase in government spending as opposed to a tax reduction. Despite several empirical attempts, the findings on the state-dependent nonlinear relationship of fiscal policy and output growth are often limited to developed economies. Building on the current research trend of using the threshold vector autoregression methodology, this paper bridges this gap and extends the empirical body to estimate the nonlinear relationship for an emerging economy, Tunisia. The paper provides empirical evidence that fiscal policy has a different impact on economic activity depending on the business cycle, the instrument of the fiscal policy used, and the intensity of the shock. The paper argues that in a downturn phase, government spending should be privileged particularly in the short run, with a gradual increase in the tax base to reduce the risk of worsening the budget deficit. Further, the monetary authority should be less inclined to raise its policy rate in the early stage of the recessionary period, as this intervention could have an adverse impact on economic growth. In the expansion phase, a tax cut intervention appears on the contrary to have a stronger positive impact on economic activity, especially in the short run, as the monetary authority is expected to introduce gradual policy hikes more rapidly to control for the inflationary expectations.
Book Synopsis The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity by : Richard Hemming
Download or read book The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity written by Richard Hemming and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-12 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. The focus is on the size of fiscal multipliers, and on the possibility that multipliers can turn negative (i.e., that fiscal contractions can be expansionary). The paper concludes that fiscal multipliers are overwhelmingly positive but small. However, there is some evidence of negative fiscal multipliers.
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498344658 Total Pages :257 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-04-20 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores how fiscal policy can affect medium- to long-term growth. It identifies the main channels through which fiscal policy can influence growth and distills practical lessons for policymakers. The particular mix of policy measures, however, will depend on country-specific conditions, capacities, and preferences. The paper draws on the Fund’s extensive technical assistance on fiscal reforms as well as several analytical studies, including a novel approach for country studies, a statistical analysis of growth accelerations following fiscal reforms, and simulations of an endogenous growth model.
Book Synopsis Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment by : Ruoyun Mao
Download or read book Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment written by Ruoyun Mao and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-06-12 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The theoretical literature generally finds that government spending multipliers are bigger than unity in a low interest rate environment. Using a fully nonlinear New Keynesian model, we show that such big multipliers can decrease when 1) an initial debt-to-GDP ratio is higher, 2) tax burden is higher, 3) debt maturity is longer, and 4) monetary policy is more responsive to inflation. When monetary and fiscal policy regimes can switch, policy uncertainty also reduces spending multipliers. In particular, when higher inflation induces a rising probability to switch to a regime in which monetary policy actively controls inflation and fiscal policy raises future taxes to stabilize government debt, the multipliers can fall much below unity, especially with an initial high debt ratio. Our findings help reconcile the mixed empirical evidence on government spending effects with low interest rates.
Book Synopsis Exploring the Output Effect of Fiscal Policy Shocks in Low Income Countries by : Mr.Jiro Honda
Download or read book Exploring the Output Effect of Fiscal Policy Shocks in Low Income Countries written by Mr.Jiro Honda and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-01-17 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What do we know about the output effects of fiscal policy in low income countries (LICs)? There are very few empirical studies on the subject. This paper fills this gap by estimating the output effects of government spending shocks in LICs. Our analysis—based on the local projection method—finds that the output effects in LICs are markedly lower than those in AEs and marginally smaller than those in EMs. We also find that in LICs, the output effects are larger (i) during recessions; (ii) under a fixed exchange rate regime; and/or (iii) with higher quality of institutions. Our analysis could not confirm any statistically significant output effect under floating exchange rate regimes. For the estimation of the output effects of fiscal spending shocks, it is thus important to consider the state of the economy and the country’s structural characteristics. Our results imply that the output costs of fiscal adjustment in LICs may not be as large as previously thought, especially if adopted outside of a recession, based on cutting public consumption, and accompanied by reform to enhance institutions.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis by : Alberto Alesina
Download or read book Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis written by Alberto Alesina and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-06-25 with total page 596 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent recession has brought fiscal policy back to the forefront, with economists and policy makers struggling to reach a consensus on highly political issues like tax rates and government spending. At the heart of the debate are fiscal multipliers, whose size and sensitivity determine the power of such policies to influence economic growth. Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis focuses on the effects of fiscal stimuli and increased government spending, with contributions that consider the measurement of the multiplier effect and its size. In the face of uncertainty over the sustainability of recent economic policies, further contributions to this volume discuss the merits of alternate means of debt reduction through decreased government spending or increased taxes. A final section examines how the short-term political forces driving fiscal policy might be balanced with aspects of the long-term planning governing monetary policy. A direct intervention in timely debates, Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis offers invaluable insights about various responses to the recent financial crisis.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth by : Alfred Greiner
Download or read book Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth written by Alfred Greiner and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work analyzes the impact of fiscal policy on the growth rate of market economies. Two frameworks are considered: in the first, human capital is seen as a by-product of gross investment; in the second, government is seen to influence growth by investing in public capital.
Book Synopsis Fundamental Determinants of the Effects of Fiscal Policy by : Dennis Petrus Johannes Botman
Download or read book Fundamental Determinants of the Effects of Fiscal Policy written by Dennis Petrus Johannes Botman and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We explore the underlying determinants of the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy and tax and social security reform using the Global Fiscal Model (GFM). We show that the planning horizon of consumers, access to financial markets, and the elasticity of labor supply, as well as the characteristics of utility and production functions, and the degree of competition are all critical for determining the impact of fiscal policy. Four topical fiscal policy issues, for a representative large and small economy, are examined: the effects of changes in government debt; higher government spending; tax reform; and privatization of retirement savings.
Book Synopsis The Effects of Government Spending Under Limited Capital Mobility by : Ms.Wenyi Shen
Download or read book The Effects of Government Spending Under Limited Capital Mobility written by Ms.Wenyi Shen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-05-01 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the effects of government spending under limited international capital mobility, as featured by most developing countries. While external financing of government debt mitigates the crowding-out effect, it generates real appreciation, which contracts traded output and lowers the fiscal multiplier in the short run. The decline of the multiplier is larger when facing debt-elastic country risk premia. Also, government spending is more expansionary with more home bias in government purchases, more sectoral rigidities, and a less flexible exchange rate. Whether the twin-deficit hypothesis holds depends crucially on the extent to which government deficits are financed externally.
Book Synopsis The Macroeconomic Effects of Public Investment by : Mr.Abdul Abiad
Download or read book The Macroeconomic Effects of Public Investment written by Mr.Abdul Abiad and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-05-04 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides new evidence of the macroeconomic effects of public investment in advanced economies. Using public investment forecast errors to identify the causal effect of government investment in a sample of 17 OECD economies since 1985 and model simulations, the paper finds that increased public investment raises output, both in the short term and in the long term, crowds in private investment, and reduces unemployment. Several factors shape the macroeconomic effects of public investment. When there is economic slack and monetary accommodation, demand effects are stronger, and the public-debt-to-GDP ratio may actually decline. Public investment is also more effective in boosting output in countries with higher public investment efficiency and when it is financed by issuing debt.
Book Synopsis Monetary-fiscal Policy Interactions and Fiscal Stimulus by : Troy Davig
Download or read book Monetary-fiscal Policy Interactions and Fiscal Stimulus written by Troy Davig and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Increases in government spending trigger substitution effects-both inter- and intra-temporal-and a wealth effect. The ultimate impacts on the economy hinge on current and expected monetary and fiscal policy behavior. Studies that impose active monetary policy and passive fiscal policy typically find that government consumption crowds out private consumption: higher future taxes create a strong negative wealth effect, while the active monetary response increases the real interest rate. This paper estimates Markov-switching policy rules for the United States and finds that monetary and fiscal policies fluctuate between active and passive behavior. When the estimated joint policy process is imposed on a conventional new Keynesian model, government spending generates positive consumption multipliers in some policy regimes and in simulated data in which all policy regimes are realized. The paper reports the model's predictions of the macroeconomic impacts of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act's implied path for government spending under alternative monetary-fiscal policy combinations.
Author :Robert J. Barro Publisher :Kingston, Ont. : Institute for Economic Research, Queen's University ISBN 13 :9783925357558 Total Pages :36 pages Book Rating :4.3/5 (575 download)
Book Synopsis The Ricardian Approach to Budget Deficits by : Robert J. Barro
Download or read book The Ricardian Approach to Budget Deficits written by Robert J. Barro and published by Kingston, Ont. : Institute for Economic Research, Queen's University. This book was released on 1988 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Persistent budget deficits have increased economists' interest in theories and evidence about fiscal policy. This paper develops the Ricardian approach and contrasts it with standard models. The discussion considers from major theoretical objections to Ricardian equivalence-finite lifetimes, imperfect capital markets, uncertainty about future taxes and incomes, and the distorting effects of taxation Then the paper considers empirical evidence on interest rates, consumption and saving, and current-account deficits. The conclusion is that the Ricardian approach is a useful first-order approximation, and that this approach will probably become the benchwork model for assessing fiscal policy.
Book Synopsis The Impact of r-g on the Euro-Area Government Spending Multiplier by : Mario di Serio
Download or read book The Impact of r-g on the Euro-Area Government Spending Multiplier written by Mario di Serio and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-02-12 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We compute government spending multipliers for the Euro Area (EA) contingent on the interestgrowth differential, the so-called r-g. Whether the fiscal shock occurs when r-g is positive or negative matters for the size of the multiplier. Median estimates vary conditional on the specification, but the difference between multipliers in the negative and positive r-g regimes differs systematically from zero with very high probability. Over the medium run (5 years), median cumulated multipliers range between 1.22 and 1.77 when r-g is negative, and between 0.51 and 1.26 when r-g is positive. We show that the results are not driven by the state of the business cycle, the monetary policy stance, or the level of government debt, and that the multiplier is inversely correlated with r-g. The calculations are based on the estimates of a factor-augmented interacted panel vector-autoregressive model. The econometric approach deals with several technical problems highlighted in the empirical macroeconomic literature, including the issues of fiscal foresight and limited information.
Book Synopsis Disease Control Priorities in Developing Countries by : Dean T. Jamison
Download or read book Disease Control Priorities in Developing Countries written by Dean T. Jamison and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2006-04-02 with total page 1449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on careful analysis of burden of disease and the costs ofinterventions, this second edition of 'Disease Control Priorities in Developing Countries, 2nd edition' highlights achievable priorities; measures progresstoward providing efficient, equitable care; promotes cost-effectiveinterventions to targeted populations; and encourages integrated effortsto optimize health. Nearly 500 experts - scientists, epidemiologists, health economists,academicians, and public health practitioners - from around the worldcontributed to the data sources and methodologies, and identifiedchallenges and priorities, resulting in this integrated, comprehensivereference volume on the state of health in developing countries.
Book Synopsis The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Consumption and Employment by : Antonio Fatás
Download or read book The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Consumption and Employment written by Antonio Fatás and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis State-Dependent Effects of Fiscal Policy by : Steven M. Fazzari
Download or read book State-Dependent Effects of Fiscal Policy written by Steven M. Fazzari and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the effects of government spending on U.S. output with a threshold structural vector autoregressive model. We consider Bayesian model comparison and generalized impulse response analysis to test for nonlinearities in the responses of output to government spending. Our empirical findings support state-dependent effects of fiscal policy, with the government spending multiplier larger and more persistent whenever there is considerable economic slack. Based on capacity utilization as the preferred threshold variable, the estimated multiplier is large (1.6) for a low-utilization regime that accounts for more than half of the sample observations from 1967-2012 according to the estimated threshold level.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth by : Guillermo Perry
Download or read book Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth written by Guillermo Perry and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2008 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume explores the conduct of fiscal policy in Latin America and its consequences for macroeconomic stability and long-term growth. In particular, the book examines the extent of the procyclical and anti-investment biases embedded in the regions fiscal policies and their causes, macroeconomic consequences, and possible solutions.
