A Plucking Model Of Business Cycles

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A Plucking Model of Business Cycles

Author : Stéphane Dupraz
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis A Plucking Model of Business Cycles by : Stéphane Dupraz

Download or read book A Plucking Model of Business Cycles written by Stéphane Dupraz and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In standard models, economic activity fluctuates symmetrically around a "natural rate" and stabilization policies can dampen these fluctuations but do not affect the average level of activity. An alternative view-labeled the "plucking model" by Milton Friedman-is that economic fluctuations are drops below the economy's full potential ceiling. If this view is correct, stabilization policy, by dampening these fluctuations, can raise the average level of activity. We show that the dynamics of the unemployment rate in the US display a striking asymmetry that strongly favors the plucking model: increases in unemployment are followed by decreases of similar amplitude, while the amplitude of the increase is not related to the amplitude of the previous decrease. We develop a microfounded plucking model of the business cycle. The source of asymmetry in our model is downward nominal wage rigidity, which we embed in an explicit search model of the labor market. Our search framework implies that downward nominal wage rigidity is consistent with optimizing behavior and equilibrium. In our plucking model, stabilization policy lowers average unemployment and thereby yields sizable welfare gains.

What Would Milton Friedman Say about Business Cycles? The Plucking Model View

Author : Julius Probst
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis What Would Milton Friedman Say about Business Cycles? The Plucking Model View by : Julius Probst

Download or read book What Would Milton Friedman Say about Business Cycles? The Plucking Model View written by Julius Probst and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most macroeconomics assumes that economic activity fluctuates above and below a sustainable growth rate. A more accurate alternative view is Milton Friedman's plucking model, which posits that the economy either grows at its sustainable rate or experiences shortfalls rather than artificial expansions. The justification for the Fed's average inflation targeting framework is more consistent with the plucking model view.

Business Cycles and Financial Crises

Author : A. W. Mullineux
Publisher : Bookboon
ISBN 13 : 8776818853
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (768 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycles and Financial Crises by : A. W. Mullineux

Download or read book Business Cycles and Financial Crises written by A. W. Mullineux and published by Bookboon. This book was released on 1990 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Business Cycles

Author : Victor Zarnowitz
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226978907
Total Pages : 614 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (269 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycles by : Victor Zarnowitz

Download or read book Business Cycles written by Victor Zarnowitz and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 1992-06-15 with total page 614 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Victor Zarnowitz has long been a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting. These papers represent a carefully integrated and up-to-date study of business cycles, reexamining some of his earlier research as well as addressing recent developments in the literature and in history. In part one, Zarnowitz reviews with characteristic insight various theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories as well as more recent rational expectations and real business cycle theories. In doing so, he examines how the business cycle may have changed as the size of government, the exercise of fiscal and monetary policies, the openness of the economy to international forces, and the industrial structure have evolved over time. Emphasizing important research from the 1980s, Zarnowitz discusses in part two various measures of the trends and cycles in economic activity, including output, prices, inventories, investment in residential and nonresidential structures, equipment, and other economic variables. Here the author explores the duration and severity of U.S. business cycles over more than 150 years, and evaluates the ability of macro models to simulate past behavior of the economy. In part three the performance of leading, coincident, and lagging indicators is described and assessed and evidence is presented on the value of their composite measures. Finally, part four offers an analysis of the degree of success of large commercial forecasting firms and of many individual economists in predicting the course of inflation, real growth, unemployment, interest rates, and other key economic variables. Business Cycles is a timely study, certain tobecome a basic reference for professional forecasters and economists in government, academia, and the business community.

Business Cycle Theory

Author : Günter Gabisch
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642747159
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (427 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycle Theory by : Günter Gabisch

Download or read book Business Cycle Theory written by Günter Gabisch and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Is the business cycle obsolete?" This often cited title of a book edited by Bronfenbren ner with the implicit affirmation of the question reflected the attitude of mainstream macroeconomics in the 1960s regarding the empirical relevance of cyclic motions of an economy. The successful income policies, theoretically grounded in Keynesian macroec onomics, seemed to have eased or even abolished the fluctuations in Western economies which motivated studies of many classical and neoclassical economists for more than 100 years. The reasoning behind the conviction that business cycles would increasingly be come irrelevant was rather simple: if an economy fluctuates for whatever reason, then it is almost always possible to neutralize these cyclic motions by means of anticyclic demand policies. From the 1950s until the mid-1960s business cycle theory had often been consid ered either as an appendix to growth theory or as an academic exercise in dynamical economics. The common business cycle models were essentially multiplier-accelerator models whose dependence on particular parameter values (in order to exhibit oscillatory motion) suggested a rather improbable occurrence of persistent fluctuations. The obvi ous success in compensating business cycles in those days prevented intensive concern with the occurrence of cycles. Rather, business cycle theory turned into stabilization theory which investigated theoretical possibilities of stabilizing a fluctuating economy. Many macroeconomic textbooks appeared in the 1960s which consequently identified business cycle theory with inquiries on the possibilities to stabilize economies by means of active fiscal or monetary policies.

Economic Cycles

Author : Solomos Solomou
Publisher : Manchester University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780719041518
Total Pages : 150 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (415 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Cycles by : Solomos Solomou

Download or read book Economic Cycles written by Solomos Solomou and published by Manchester University Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The ups and downs of booms and slumps, often referred to as business cycles, are features of all modern economies. This book considers business cycles over three epochs 1870-1913, 1919-1938 and the post-World War II period. It provides an analysis of the key macroeconomic questions relating to economic fluctuations. Why are the ups and down more volatile in some epochs than others? Why are some business cycle shocks more persistent in their effects? Is there an international business cycle? Can present business cycle features predict future patterns? What impact will institutional changes, such as EMU have on future fluctuations?

Business Cycles

Author : Wesley Clair Mitchell
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 642 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycles by : Wesley Clair Mitchell

Download or read book Business Cycles written by Wesley Clair Mitchell and published by . This book was released on 1913 with total page 642 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Author : Ms.Valerie Cerra
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513536990
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Hysteresis and Business Cycles by : Ms.Valerie Cerra

Download or read book Hysteresis and Business Cycles written by Ms.Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-05-29 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Business Cycles

Author : Sumru G. Altug
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9812832785
Total Pages : 161 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (128 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycles by : Sumru G. Altug

Download or read book Business Cycles written by Sumru G. Altug and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2010 with total page 161 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title provides an overview of the modern theory and empirics of business cycles. The book examines the notion of a business cycle and discusses alternative approaches to modelling. It also discusses what lies ahead for modern business cycle theory.

Frontiers of Business Cycle Research

Author : Thomas F. Cooley
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780691043234
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (432 download)

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Book Synopsis Frontiers of Business Cycle Research by : Thomas F. Cooley

Download or read book Frontiers of Business Cycle Research written by Thomas F. Cooley and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 1995-02-26 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t

The Birth of the Business Cycle (RLE: Business Cycles)

Author : Philip E. Mirowski
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317512235
Total Pages : 332 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (175 download)

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Book Synopsis The Birth of the Business Cycle (RLE: Business Cycles) by : Philip E. Mirowski

Download or read book The Birth of the Business Cycle (RLE: Business Cycles) written by Philip E. Mirowski and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-03-27 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discussing economic theory and English economic history from the eighteenth century until the late 1970s this volume discusses among other things fixed capital and problems with the definition of the premodern economy as well as providing a chronology of 18th century business cycles.

Business Cycle Theory

Author : Finn E. Kydland
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 556 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (126 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycle Theory by : Finn E. Kydland

Download or read book Business Cycle Theory written by Finn E. Kydland and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1995 with total page 556 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is a collection of key articles on modern business cycle theory. Fundamental to business cycle theory is the estimation of the role played by different impulses or shocks for aggregate fluctuations, and identifying the mechanisms by which these impulses propagate over time to create the cycles we observe. Business Cycles Theory is divided into three parts. Part I deals with issues of measurement and methodology and describes empirical business cycle regularities. Parts II and III centre around the study of real and nominal shocks and impulses.

Real Business Cycles

Author : James Hartley
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134694792
Total Pages : 684 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (346 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Business Cycles by : James Hartley

Download or read book Real Business Cycles written by James Hartley and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-07-04 with total page 684 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Real Business Cycle theory combines the remains of monetarism with the new classical macroeconomics, and has become one of the dominant approaches within contemporary macroeconomics today. This volume presents: * the authoritative anthology in RBC. The work contains the major articles introducing and extending the theory as well as critical literature * an extensive introduction which contains an expository summary and critical evaluation of RBC theory * comprehensive coverage and balance between seminal papers and extensions; proponents and critics; and theory and empirics. Macroeconomics is a compulsory element in most economics courses, and this book will be an essential guide to one of its major theories.

The Rediscovery of the Business Cycle

Author : Paul A. Volcker
Publisher : New York : Free Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 104 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Rediscovery of the Business Cycle by : Paul A. Volcker

Download or read book The Rediscovery of the Business Cycle written by Paul A. Volcker and published by New York : Free Press. This book was released on 1978 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Models of Business Cycles

Author : Robert E. Lucas, Jr.
Publisher : Wiley-Blackwell
ISBN 13 : 9780631147916
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (479 download)

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Book Synopsis Models of Business Cycles by : Robert E. Lucas, Jr.

Download or read book Models of Business Cycles written by Robert E. Lucas, Jr. and published by Wiley-Blackwell. This book was released on 1991-01-08 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the past decade macroeconomic theory has undergone a remarkable transformation. At the forefront has been the "rational expectations revolution," and this school's most brilliant exponent is Robert E. Lucas. In this elegant and relatively non-technical survey, Lucas reviews the nature and consequences of recent developments in monetary and business cycle theory. He discusses the usefulness of alternative models in determining the effects of economic policy on consumption streams and individual welfare. Drawing on a specific model of aggregate activity which represents the current frontier in business cycle research, he then examines the contemporary theory of unemployment. Finally and most controversially, he explores the role of monetary disturbances.

The Shape of Business Cycles

Author : Emanuel Kohlscheen
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis The Shape of Business Cycles by : Emanuel Kohlscheen

Download or read book The Shape of Business Cycles written by Emanuel Kohlscheen and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Modern Business Cycle Theory

Author : Robert J. Barro
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 358 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Modern Business Cycle Theory by : Robert J. Barro

Download or read book Modern Business Cycle Theory written by Robert J. Barro and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The new classical approach to macroeconomics, which assumes that people gather and use economic information efficiently, has been the most important theoretical advance since the Keynesian revolution of the 1930s. This book surveys the major contributions of the "second generation" of proponents of the new classical approach, emphasizing real business cycle theories and applying them to a variety of phenomena. The chapters include expositions of growth theory, real models of business fluctuations, the informational role of prices, consumption, fiscal policy, rules versus discretion in monetary policy, time consistency and policy, and monetary models. Although the chapters are aimed at advanced undergraduate- and graduate-level students, they will also be of interest to researchers who are looking for a compact and original exposition of the new classical macroeconomics.