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A Note On Competitive Investment Under Uncertainty
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Book Synopsis A Note on Competitive Investment Under Uncertainty by : Robert Stephen Pindyck
Download or read book A Note on Competitive Investment Under Uncertainty written by Robert Stephen Pindyck and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper clarifies how uncertainty affects irreversible investment in a competitive market equilibrium. With free entry, irreversibility affects the distribution of future prices, and thereby creates an opportunity cost of investing now rather than waiting. As with an imperfectly competitive firm, uncertainty can also increase the value of a marginal unit of capital. I show that with an infinite horizon, the opportunity cost is larger than this increase in value, so that uncertainty reduces investment.
Book Synopsis Investment under Uncertainty by : Robert K. Dixit
Download or read book Investment under Uncertainty written by Robert K. Dixit and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2012-07-14 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending. This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.
Book Synopsis Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Investment by : Robert S. Pindyck
Download or read book Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Investment written by Robert S. Pindyck and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Irreversible investment is especially sensitive to such risk factors as volatile exchange rates and uncertainty about tariff structures and future cash flows. If the goal of macroeconomic policy is to stimulate investment, stability and credibility may be more important than tax incentives or interest rates.
Book Synopsis Investment Under Uncertainty -- Does Competition Matter? by : Oliver Musshoff
Download or read book Investment Under Uncertainty -- Does Competition Matter? written by Oliver Musshoff and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Empirical applications of real options models in competitive environments implicitly exploit the optimality of myopic planning. In a seminal paper [Leahy, J.V., 1993. Investment in Competitive Equilibrium: the Optimality of Myopic Behavior. Quarterly Journal of Economics 108, 1105-1133] shows that the optimal investment strategy of a myopic planner who ignores market entries and exits of competitors, as well as the resulting price effects, constitutes a market equilibrium under rather general conditions. As a result, the calculation of optimal investment strategies is simplified considerably because competition does not have to be taken into account. In this paper, however, we demonstrate by using simulation experiments that myopic planning may lead to non-optimal investment strategies. This is due to the fact that it is difficult, or even impossible, to specify the correct or equivalent price process for the myopic investor using real world data. We quantify the degree of suboptimality and propose measures to reduce the error.
Book Synopsis Risk, Uncertainty and Profit by : Frank H. Knight
Download or read book Risk, Uncertainty and Profit written by Frank H. Knight and published by Cosimo, Inc.. This book was released on 2006-11-01 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A timeless classic of economic theory that remains fascinating and pertinent today, this is Frank Knight's famous explanation of why perfect competition cannot eliminate profits, the important differences between "risk" and "uncertainty," and the vital role of the entrepreneur in profitmaking. Based on Knight's PhD dissertation, this 1921 work, balancing theory with fact to come to stunning insights, is a distinct pleasure to read. FRANK H. KNIGHT (1885-1972) is considered by some the greatest American scholar of economics of the 20th century. An economics professor at the University of Chicago from 1927 until 1955, he was one of the founders of the Chicago school of economics, which influenced Milton Friedman and George Stigler.
Book Synopsis The Investment Decision Under Uncertainty by : Donald Eugene Farrar
Download or read book The Investment Decision Under Uncertainty written by Donald Eugene Farrar and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Investment Under Uncertainty by : Iris Ginzburg
Download or read book Investment Under Uncertainty written by Iris Ginzburg and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Real Options and Investment Under Uncertainty by : Eduardo S. Schwartz
Download or read book Real Options and Investment Under Uncertainty written by Eduardo S. Schwartz and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2004 with total page 890 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study of investment under uncertainty was stagnant for several decades until developments in real options revitalized the field. The topics covered in this book include the reasons behind the under-investment programme.
Book Synopsis Corporate Investment Under Uncertainty and Competition by : Grzegorz Pawlina
Download or read book Corporate Investment Under Uncertainty and Competition written by Grzegorz Pawlina and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Investment Under Regime Uncertainty by : Katsumasa Nishide
Download or read book Investment Under Regime Uncertainty written by Katsumasa Nishide and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this study, we analyze the investment-timing problem and introduce a model of two firms competing for investment preemption, each of which knows in advance the time at which the economic condition that will have an impact on the investment changes. We qualitatively show how two firms strategically optimize their investment timing, taking into account competition and preemption.
Book Synopsis Proceedings in Finance and Risk Perspectives ‘12 by :
Download or read book Proceedings in Finance and Risk Perspectives ‘12 written by and published by Othmar M. Lehner. This book was released on with total page 655 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Unified Model of Investment Under Uncertainty by : Janice C. Eberly
Download or read book A Unified Model of Investment Under Uncertainty written by Janice C. Eberly and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper extends the theory of investment under uncertainty to incorporate fixed costs of investment, a wedge between the purchase price and sale price of capital, and potential irreversibility of investment. In this extended framework, investment is a non-decreasing function of q, the shadow price of installed capital. There are potentially three investment regimes, which depend on the value of q relative to two critical values. For values of q above the upper critical value, investment is positive and is an increasing function of q, as is standard in the theory branch of the adjustment cost literature. For intermediate values of q, between two critical values, investment is zero. Although this regime features prominently in the irreversibility literature, it is largely ignored in the adjustment cost literature. Finally, if q is below the lower critical value, gross investment is negative, a possibility that is ruled out by assumption in the irreversibility of literature. In general, however, the shadow price q is not directly observable, so we present two examples relating q to observable varieties
Book Synopsis Real Options in Practice by : Marion A. Brach
Download or read book Real Options in Practice written by Marion A. Brach and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-04-07 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explores real option theory applied in practice Real options are quickly becoming the valuation and decision-making method of choice for many companies, including oil and gas companies, utilities and natural resource companies, pharmaceutical and biotech companies, Internet companies, and many others. Real Options in Practice allows readers to view the world of real options from the vantage point of a corporate practitioner applying real option valuation techniques on a regular basis. Expert Marion Brach describes the challenges of implementing a real option framework in practice within a corporate setting. Touching on the real options most firms care about, Real Options in Practice identifies the classic types of real options-deferral, abandonment, switching, expansion, and compound-and explores the main concepts critical to understanding real option theory. Through Brach's own three-step real option valuation method readers will learn how the theory of real options is now being applied to drive better, more profitable corporate decision-making. Marion A. Brach, MD, MBA (Hagen, Germany), has undertaken financial valuation of business opportunities and acquisitions using scenario and real option valuation in the biotech industry. A recognized expert on real option theory and practice, Brach received her MBA from the Manchester Business School and frequently speaks at real option seminars.
Book Synopsis Investment Under Uncertainty by : Herminio Alonso Blanco Mendoza
Download or read book Investment Under Uncertainty written by Herminio Alonso Blanco Mendoza and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Investment Under Uncertainty and Time-inconsistent Preferences by : Steven R. Grenadier
Download or read book Investment Under Uncertainty and Time-inconsistent Preferences written by Steven R. Grenadier and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The real options framework has been used extensively to analyze the timing of investment under uncertainty. While standard real options models assume that agents possess a constant rate of time preference, there is substantial evidence that agents are very impatient about choices in the short-term, but are quite patient when choosing between long-term alternatives. We extend the real options framework to model the investment timing decisions of entrepreneurs with such time-inconsistent preferences. Two opposing forces determine investment timing: while evolving uncertainty induces entrepreneurs to defer investment in order to take advantage of the option to wait, their time-inconsistent preferences motivate them to invest earlier in order to avoid the time-inconsistent behavior they will display in the future. We find that the precise trade-off between these two forces depends on such factors as whether entrepreneurs are sophisticated or naive in their expectations regarding their future time-inconsistent behavior, as well as whether the payoff from investment occurs all at once or over time. We extend the model to consider equilibrium investment behavior for an industry comprised of time-inconsistent entrepreneurs. Such an equilibrium involves the dual problem of entrepreneurs playing dynamic games against competitors as well as against their own future selves.
Book Synopsis Investment Under Uncertainty by : Robert Ernest Hall
Download or read book Investment Under Uncertainty written by Robert Ernest Hall and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Under the assumption of constant returns to scale, there is a very simple, easily testable condition for optimal investment under uncertainty. Application of the test requires no parametric assumptions about technology and no assumptions about the competitiveness of the output market. The condition is that the expected marginal revenue product of labor equal the expected rental price of capital. The condition implies a certain invariance property for a modified version of Solow's productivity residual. Tests of the invariance property for U.S. industry data give very strong rejection in quite a few industries. The interpretation of rejection is either that the technology has increasing returns (possibly because of fixed costs) or that fins systematically over-invest.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1451973608 Total Pages :168 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (519 download)
Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Download or read book IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-01-01 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents international evidence on the determinants of trade dynamics. It provides some new empirical perspectives on the relationship between international trade and macroeconomic fluctuations in industrial economies. A comprehensive set of stylized facts concerning fluctuations in trade variables and their determinants is presented. A measure of the quantitative importance of international trade for the propagation of domestic business cycles is then constructed, focusing on the role of external trade as a catalyst for cyclical recoveries.
