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A Comparison Of Two Averaging Techniques With An Application To Growth Empirics
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Book Synopsis Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics by : Terence C. Mills
Download or read book Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics written by Terence C. Mills and published by Springer. This book was released on 2009-06-25 with total page 1406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Following theseminal Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics: Volume I , this second volume brings together the finestacademicsworking in econometrics today andexploresapplied econometrics, containing contributions onsubjects includinggrowth/development econometrics and applied econometrics and computing.
Book Synopsis Issues in General Economic Research and Application: 2011 Edition by :
Download or read book Issues in General Economic Research and Application: 2011 Edition written by and published by ScholarlyEditions. This book was released on 2012-01-09 with total page 1338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Issues in General Economic Research and Application: 2011 Edition is a ScholarlyEditions™ eBook that delivers timely, authoritative, and comprehensive information about General Economic Research and Application. The editors have built Issues in General Economic Research and Application: 2011 Edition on the vast information databases of ScholarlyNews.™ You can expect the information about General Economic Research and Application in this eBook to be deeper than what you can access anywhere else, as well as consistently reliable, authoritative, informed, and relevant. The content of Issues in General Economic Research and Application: 2011 Edition has been produced by the world’s leading scientists, engineers, analysts, research institutions, and companies. All of the content is from peer-reviewed sources, and all of it is written, assembled, and edited by the editors at ScholarlyEditions™ and available exclusively from us. You now have a source you can cite with authority, confidence, and credibility. More information is available at http://www.ScholarlyEditions.com/.
Book Synopsis Multivariate Statistics: Theory And Applications - Proceedings Of The Ix Tartu Conference On Multivariate Statistics And Xx International Workshop On Matrices And Statistics by : Tonu Kollo
Download or read book Multivariate Statistics: Theory And Applications - Proceedings Of The Ix Tartu Conference On Multivariate Statistics And Xx International Workshop On Matrices And Statistics written by Tonu Kollo and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2013-03-25 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book aims to present a wide range of the newest results on multivariate statistical models, distribution theory and applications of multivariate statistical methods. A paper on Pearson-Kotz-Dirichlet distributions by Professor N Balakrishnan contains main results of the Samuel Kotz Memorial Lecture. Extensions of linear models to multivariate exponential dispersion models and Growth Curve models are presented, and several papers on classification methods are included. Applications range from insurance mathematics to medical and industrial statistics and sampling algorithms.
Book Synopsis Statistical Modelling and Regression Structures by : Thomas Kneib
Download or read book Statistical Modelling and Regression Structures written by Thomas Kneib and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-01-12 with total page 486 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The contributions collected in this book have been written by well-known statisticians to acknowledge Ludwig Fahrmeir's far-reaching impact on Statistics as a science, while celebrating his 65th birthday. The contributions cover broad areas of contemporary statistical model building, including semiparametric and geoadditive regression, Bayesian inference in complex regression models, time series modelling, statistical regularization, graphical models and stochastic volatility models.
Book Synopsis Income Convergence Or Divergence in the Aftermath of the COVID-19 Shock? by : Mariya Brussevich
Download or read book Income Convergence Or Divergence in the Aftermath of the COVID-19 Shock? written by Mariya Brussevich and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-06-17 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper extends the work of Deaton (2021) by exploring the period of post-crisis recovery in 2021-2024. The paper documents per-capita income divergence during the period of post-shock recovery, with countries at the bottom of the income distribution falling significantly behind. Findings suggest that higher COVID-19 vaccination rates and targeted virus containment measures are associated with faster recovery in per-capita incomes in the medium term. Evidence on the effectiveness of economic support policies for reducing cross-country income inequality, including fiscal and monetary policies, is mixed especially in the case of developing countries.
Book Synopsis Frontier and Developing Asia by : Mr.Alfred Schipke
Download or read book Frontier and Developing Asia written by Mr.Alfred Schipke and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-04-10 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With a combined population of more than 350 million people, frontier and developing Asia, which includes countries such as Vietnam, Cambodia, and Bangladesh, is located in the world’s fastest-growing region and has favorable demographics. The countries share a number of common macroeconomic, financial, and structural challenges. This book addresses issues related to economic growth and structural transformation, as well as the risk of a poverty trap and rising income inequality.
Book Synopsis Growth Slowdowns and the Middle-Income Trap by : Mr.Shekhar Aiyar
Download or read book Growth Slowdowns and the Middle-Income Trap written by Mr.Shekhar Aiyar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-03-20 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The “middle-income trap” is the phenomenon of hitherto rapidly growing economies stagnating at middle-income levels and failing to graduate into the ranks of high-income countries. In this study we examine the middle-income trap as a special case of growth slowdowns, which are identified as large sudden and sustained deviations from the growth path predicted by a basic conditional convergence framework. We then examine their determinants by means of probit regressions, looking into the role of institutions, demography, infrastructure, the macroeconomic environment, output structure and trade structure. Two variants of Bayesian Model Averaging are used as robustness checks. The results—including some that indeed speak to the special status of middle-income countries—are then used to derive policy implications, with a particular focus on Asian economies.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Monitor, April 2019 by : International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
Download or read book Fiscal Monitor, April 2019 written by International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-04-10 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report discusses fiscal policies to prepare for the next downturn and foster long-term inclusive growth by adapting to changing demographics, advancing technology, and deepening global integration. It also covers recent fiscal developments and the fiscal outlook in advanced economies, emerging markets, and low-income developing countries; recent trends in government debt and analysis of changes in fiscal balances, revenue, and spending; and potential fiscal risks. The report takes on in-depth look at how corruption impacts government policies and operations, the fiscal costs, and how fiscal institutions can help fight corruption.
Book Synopsis Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott
Download or read book Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2016-04-05 with total page 567 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive and integrated approach to economic forecasting problems Economic forecasting involves choosing simple yet robust models to best approximate highly complex and evolving data-generating processes. This poses unique challenges for researchers in a host of practical forecasting situations, from forecasting budget deficits and assessing financial risk to predicting inflation and stock market returns. Economic Forecasting presents a comprehensive, unified approach to assessing the costs and benefits of different methods currently available to forecasters. This text approaches forecasting problems from the perspective of decision theory and estimation, and demonstrates the profound implications of this approach for how we understand variable selection, estimation, and combination methods for forecasting models, and how we evaluate the resulting forecasts. Both Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods are covered in depth, as are a range of cutting-edge techniques for producing point, interval, and density forecasts. The book features detailed presentations and empirical examples of a range of forecasting methods and shows how to generate forecasts in the presence of large-dimensional sets of predictor variables. The authors pay special attention to how estimation error, model uncertainty, and model instability affect forecasting performance. Presents a comprehensive and integrated approach to assessing the strengths and weaknesses of different forecasting methods Approaches forecasting from a decision theoretic and estimation perspective Covers Bayesian modeling, including methods for generating density forecasts Discusses model selection methods as well as forecast combinations Covers a large range of nonlinear prediction models, including regime switching models, threshold autoregressions, and models with time-varying volatility Features numerous empirical examples Examines the latest advances in forecast evaluation Essential for practitioners and students alike
Download or read book Model Averaging written by David Fletcher and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-01-17 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a concise and accessible overview of model averaging, with a focus on applications. Model averaging is a common means of allowing for model uncertainty when analysing data, and has been used in a wide range of application areas, such as ecology, econometrics, meteorology and pharmacology. The book presents an overview of the methods developed in this area, illustrating many of them with examples from the life sciences involving real-world data. It also includes an extensive list of references and suggestions for further research. Further, it clearly demonstrates the links between the methods developed in statistics, econometrics and machine learning, as well as the connection between the Bayesian and frequentist approaches to model averaging. The book appeals to statisticians and scientists interested in what methods are available, how they differ and what is known about their properties. It is assumed that readers are familiar with the basic concepts of statistical theory and modelling, including probability, likelihood and generalized linear models.
Book Synopsis Structural Reforms and Economic Growth in Europe by : Nauro F. Campos
Download or read book Structural Reforms and Economic Growth in Europe written by Nauro F. Campos and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-04-02 with total page 467 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In contrast to the USA, Europe has struggled to return to the growth path it was on prior to the financial crisis of 2007-11. Not only has the recovery been slow, it has also been variable with Europe's core countries recovering more quickly than those on the periphery. It is widely believed that the best way to address this slow recovery is through structural reform programmes whereby changes in government policy, regulatory frameworks, investment incentives and labour markets are used to encourage more efficient markets and higher economic growth. This book is the first to provide a critical assessment of these reforms, with a new theoretical framework, new data and new empirical methodologies. It includes several case studies of countries such as Greece, Portugal and France that introduced significant reforms, revealing that such programmes have very divergent, and not always positive, effects on economic growth, employment and income inequality.
Book Synopsis Statistical Pattern Recognition by : Andrew R. Webb
Download or read book Statistical Pattern Recognition written by Andrew R. Webb and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-10-13 with total page 604 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical pattern recognition relates to the use of statistical techniques for analysing data measurements in order to extract information and make justified decisions. It is a very active area of study and research, which has seen many advances in recent years. Applications such as data mining, web searching, multimedia data retrieval, face recognition, and cursive handwriting recognition, all require robust and efficient pattern recognition techniques. This third edition provides an introduction to statistical pattern theory and techniques, with material drawn from a wide range of fields, including the areas of engineering, statistics, computer science and the social sciences. The book has been updated to cover new methods and applications, and includes a wide range of techniques such as Bayesian methods, neural networks, support vector machines, feature selection and feature reduction techniques.Technical descriptions and motivations are provided, and the techniques are illustrated using real examples. Statistical Pattern Recognition, 3rd Edition: Provides a self-contained introduction to statistical pattern recognition. Includes new material presenting the analysis of complex networks. Introduces readers to methods for Bayesian density estimation. Presents descriptions of new applications in biometrics, security, finance and condition monitoring. Provides descriptions and guidance for implementing techniques, which will be invaluable to software engineers and developers seeking to develop real applications Describes mathematically the range of statistical pattern recognition techniques. Presents a variety of exercises including more extensive computer projects. The in-depth technical descriptions make the book suitable for senior undergraduate and graduate students in statistics, computer science and engineering. Statistical Pattern Recognition is also an excellent reference source for technical professionals. Chapters have been arranged to facilitate implementation of the techniques by software engineers and developers in non-statistical engineering fields. www.wiley.com/go/statistical_pattern_recognition
Book Synopsis Noncognitive Skills and Their Influencing Factors for Children by : Jinyan Zhou
Download or read book Noncognitive Skills and Their Influencing Factors for Children written by Jinyan Zhou and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-12-19 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Non-cognitive skills" are often used to refers to those skills that do not fall within the cognitive category but to describe a stable pattern of thought, feeling, and behavior in different situations and backgrounds with profitable and investable characteristics, such as conscientiousness, perseverance, and teamwork, which are critically important in education. However, for many years, "non-cognitive skills" have always been ignored in human capital theory. The book, using a multidisciplinary approach, tries to uncover the noncognitive components of human capital, so as to answer the question "what is the skill that should be invested in?" The author expands the connotations of human capital by exploring the value of noncognitive skills and their production patterns, constructing a measurement framework and a set of tools to measure noncognitive skills. She especially carries out an empirical survey which covers primary and secondary school students from seven provinces of China’s east, middle, and west areas. With the data collected, she analyzes Chinese students’ noncognitive development and further identifies the critical factors that may impact their noncognitive skills by applying the Bayesian Model Average approach. The book will be a theoretical contribution to education economics. Researchers interested in education in China, children’s development, and policymakers in the field of education will find this book helpful and resourceful.
Book Synopsis Understanding Export Diversification: Key Drivers and Policy Implications by : Rahul Giri
Download or read book Understanding Export Diversification: Key Drivers and Policy Implications written by Rahul Giri and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-14 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We identify key factors, from large set of potential determinants, that explain the variation in export diversification across countries and over time using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA), which addresses model uncertainty and ranks factors in order of importance vis-a-vis their explanatory power. Our analysis suggests, in order to diversify, policy makers should prioritize human capital accumulation and reduce barriers to trade. Other policy areas include improving quality of institutions and developing the financial sector. For commodity exporters reducing barriers to trade is the most important driver of diversification, followed by improving education outcomes at the secondary level and financial sector development.
Book Synopsis Commercial Banking by : Christopher Gan
Download or read book Commercial Banking written by Christopher Gan and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2021-09-03 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The existence of financial intermediaries is arguably an artifact of information asymmetry. Beyond simple financial transactions, financial intermediation provides a mechanism for information transmission, which can reduce the degree of information asymmetry and consequently increase market efficiency. During the process of information transmission, the bank is able to provide unique services in the production and exchange of information. Therefore, banks have comparative advantages in information production, transmission, and utilisation. This book provides an overview of commercial banking and includes empirical methods in banking such risk and bank performance, capital regulation, bank competition and foreign bank entry, bank regulation on bank performance, and capital adequacy and deposit insurance.
Book Synopsis Topical Issues in International Development and Economics by : Désiré Avom
Download or read book Topical Issues in International Development and Economics written by Désiré Avom and published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing. This book was released on 2023-11-16 with total page 591 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers various insights on current hot topics in development economics. The authors address the questions of gender effects, leapfrogging, the factors determining the production frontiers of countries, and the respective roles of financial, monetary and fiscal policies in fostering the development of countries. They also question one of the strategies utilized by policy makers in poor countries: development through trade and financial globalization. They ask whether education has really been a factor in development, and look at the role of those who return to the country after studying abroad. This book is the result of a collaboration between researchers from Asia, Africa and Europe. It will be useful to economists and non-economists working in academia (including postgraduate students), as well as professionals working in development institutions and public institutions responsible for strategic planning in developing and emerging countries.
Book Synopsis On the Macroeconomic Consequences of Over-Optimism by : Paul Beaudry
Download or read book On the Macroeconomic Consequences of Over-Optimism written by Paul Beaudry and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-05-30 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Is over-optimism about a country's future growth perspective good for an economy, or does over-optimism also come with costs? In this paper we provide evidence that recessions, fiscal problems, as well as Balance of Payment-difficulties are more likely to arise in countries where past growth expectations have been overly optimistic. To examine this question, we look at the medium-run effects of instances of over-optimism or caution in IMF forecasts. To isolate the causal effect of over-optimism we take an instrumental variables approach, where we exploit variation provided by the allocation of IMF Mission Chiefs across countries. As a necessary first step, we document that IMF Mission Chiefs tend to systematically differ in their individual degrees of forecast-optimism or caution. The mechanism that transforms over-optimism into a later recession seems to run through higher debt accumulation, both public and private. Our findings illustrate the potency of unjustified optimism and underline the importance of basing economic forecasts upon realistic medium-term prospects.
