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What Are The Chances Of That
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Book Synopsis What are the Chances of That? by : Andrew C. A. Elliott
Download or read book What are the Chances of That? written by Andrew C. A. Elliott and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2022-11-28 with total page 383 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chance fills every day of our lives and affects every decision we make. Yet, for something woven so closely into the fabric of our being, we are not very good at thinking about uncertainty and risk. In this lively and engaging book, Andrew C. A. Elliott asks why this is so. He picks at the threads and, in showing how our world is built on probability rather than certainty, he identifies five obstacles to thinking about uncertainty that confuse us time after time. Elliott takes us into the casino, but this is not an invitation to gamble. He looks at financial markets, but this is not a guide to investment. There's discussion of health, but this is not a medical book. He touches on genetics and evolution, and music-making, and writing, because chance is at work there too. Entering many different fields, What are the Chances of That? is always following the trail of chance and randomness. One purpose of the book is to go cross-country, to show that there are connected ways of thinking that disrespect boundaries and cut across the domains of finance, and gambling, and genetics, and public health, and creativity. Through it, one visits the vantage points that give a broad view of the landscape and sees how these different areas of life and knowledge are connected - through chance. What are the Chances of That? discusses chance and the importance of understanding how it affects our lives. It goes beyond a mathematical approach to the subject, showing how our thinking about chance and uncertainty has been shaped by history and culture, and only relatively recently by the mathematical theory of probability. In considering how we think about uncertainty, Elliott proposes five “dualities” that encapsulate many of the ambiguities that arise.
Book Synopsis Know Your Chances by : Steven Woloshin
Download or read book Know Your Chances written by Steven Woloshin and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 2008-11-30 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding risk -- Putting risk in perspective -- Risk charts : a way to get perspective -- Judging the benefit of a health intervention -- Not all benefits are equal : understand the outcome -- Consider the downsides -- Do the benefits outweight the downsides? -- Beware of exaggerated importance -- Beware of exaggerated certainty -- Who's behind the numbers?
Book Synopsis What Are the Odds by : Jefferson Hane Weaver
Download or read book What Are the Odds written by Jefferson Hane Weaver and published by Prometheus Books. This book was released on 2010-12 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We''re barraged with statistics every day about health risks, life expectancy, and the chances of success, but to most of us all these numbers and percentages mean very little. If you''re curious about how statistics can significantly impact your life but don''t want to wrestle with the equations in a dry-as-dust textbook, this lighthearted, tongue-in-cheek, whirlwind tour of entertaining statistics has everything you need.Not only will you be amused by J. H. Weaver''s many entertaining examples, but you''ll actually learn something about how statistics work. Even the most math phobic individual won''t be able to resist delving into the many provocative topics covered, including: Dating--What are the chances of finding your perfect mate?Health--What are the odds that you will have surgery performed this year?Success--What is the likelihood that this book will be a best-seller?Weaver admirably succeeds in proving that statistics can be fun, while showing that a knowledge of the probabilities for any given situation can help you avoid risks and increase your chances of a successful and enjoyable life
Download or read book Taking Chances written by John Haigh and published by Winning with Probability. This book was released on 2003 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "What are the odds against winning the Lotto, The Weakest Link, or Who Wants to be a Millionaire? The answer lies in the science of probability, yet many of us are unaware of how this science works. Every day, people make judgements on a wide variety of situations where chance plays a role, including buying insurance, betting on horse-racing, following medical advice - even carrying an umbrella. In Taking Chances, John Haigh guides the reader round common pitfalls, demonstrates how to make better-informed decisions, and shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favour. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on top television shows, plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers."--BOOK JACKET.
Book Synopsis What Are the Chances? by : Barbara Blatchley
Download or read book What Are the Chances? written by Barbara Blatchley and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2021-08-03 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner, 2023 William James Book Award, American Psychological Association Division 1 in General Psychology Most of us, no matter how rational we think we are, have a lucky charm, a good-luck ritual, or some other custom we follow in the hope that it will lead to a good result. Is the idea of luckiness just a way in which we try to impose order on chaos? Do we live in a world of flukes and coincidences, good and bad breaks, with outcomes as random as a roll of the dice—or can our beliefs help change our luck? What Are the Chances? reveals how psychology and neuroscience explain the significance of the idea of luck. Barbara Blatchley explores how people react to random events in a range of circumstances, examining the evidence that the belief in luck helps us cope with a lack of control. She tells the stories of lucky and unlucky people—who won the lottery multiple times, survived seven brushes with death, or found an apparently cursed Neanderthal mummy—as well as the accidental discoveries that fundamentally changed what we know about the brain. Blatchley considers our frequent misunderstanding of randomness, the history of luckiness in different cultures and religions, the surprising benefits of magical thinking, and many other topics. Offering a new view of how the brain handles the unexpected, What Are the Chances? shows why an arguably irrational belief can—fingers crossed—help us as we struggle with an unpredictable world.
Book Synopsis What Are the Chances? by : Bart K. Holland
Download or read book What Are the Chances? written by Bart K. Holland and published by JHU Press. This book was released on 2002-06-03 with total page 174 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Roulette wheels and the plague -- Surely something's wrong with you -- The life table : you can bet on it! -- The rarest events -- The waiting game -- Stockbrokers and climate change.
Book Synopsis What are the Chances by : Ashley Munoz
Download or read book What are the Chances written by Ashley Munoz and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2019-06-30 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Charlotte: A dead cat, a stolen seat, and a mouthy Irishman-that's how this whole thing started. I thought I'd leave the red-headed stranger with dark green eyes behind and good freaking riddance. Except he's not even close to being gone. Mason McConnell is everywhere, drawing me in, like an invisible thread. I just hope that string doesn't snap and break my heart.Mason: Two weeks was all I needed to go home, spread my cat's ashes, and visit my brother. But one foolish decision at the airport managed to throw all my plans off track. Somehow, I had unknowingly cast the line, and Charlotte Kelley took the bait.The chatty, prying American somehow had a way of bringing me back to life.I didn't want her under my skin, and I certainly wasn't expecting her to make her way into my heart, yet once she did, I didn't want her to leave. But with one secret wedged between us, I'm not sure I have the right to ask her to sta
Book Synopsis Chances Are . . . by : Michael Kaplan
Download or read book Chances Are . . . written by Michael Kaplan and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2007-02-27 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A compelling journey through history, mathematics, and philosophy, charting humanity’s struggle against randomness Our lives are played out in the arena of chance. However little we recognize it in our day-to-day existence, we are always riding the odds, seeking out certainty but settling—reluctantly—for likelihood, building our beliefs on the shadowy props of probability. Chances Are is the story of man’s millennia-long search for the tools to manage the recurrent but unpredictable—to help us prevent, or at least mitigate, the seemingly random blows of disaster, disease, and injustice. In these pages, we meet the brilliant individuals who developed the first abstract formulations of probability, as well as the intrepid visionaries who recognized their practical applications—from gamblers to military strategists to meteorologists to medical researchers, from blackjack to our own mortality.
Book Synopsis What Are the Chances by : Kenny Rogers
Download or read book What Are the Chances written by Kenny Rogers and published by Macmillan + ORM. This book was released on 2013-09-03 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Country music legend Kenny Rogers teams up with Spur Award–winning author Mike Blakely for a rousing tale set in the heyday of Nashville in What Are the Chances. It's 1975, and Ronnie Breed's chart-topping rock band has just self-destructed in a recording studio fistfight. Ronnie makes a bold decision—return home to Texas and reinvent himself as a solo act. Enter Dan Campbell, Ronnie's cousin, who recruits Ronnie for a new kind of venture. Dan, who always had a penchant for wild schemes, wants to televise a Texas Hold 'Em tournament...and Ronnie could never say no to his cousin Dan. As celebrity spokesman for the poker tournament, Ronnie soon finds himself recruiting world-class gamblers in illegal card games while trying to put together a new country band and win a Nashville recording contract—not to mention trying to avoid falling head-over-heels in love with his new manager, Dorothy. But when things start to get weird—hidden cameras, secret high-stakes side-bets, a visit from the FBI—it seems that Dan's poker tournament may be a façade for something much bigger and much more dangerous. Ronnie begins to wonder if he will end up with the girl of his dreams in the Country Music Hall of Fame, or broke and lonely in some prison cell. What are the chances? At the Publisher's request, this title is being sold without Digital Rights Management Software (DRM) applied.
Download or read book Chances Are written by Steve Slavin and published by Madison Books. This book was released on 1998-06-18 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chances Are is the first book to make statistics accessible to everyone, regardless of how much math you remember from school.
Book Synopsis Head First Statistics by : Dawn Griffiths
Download or read book Head First Statistics written by Dawn Griffiths and published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc.". This book was released on 2008-08-26 with total page 721 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive introduction to statistics that teaches the fundamentals with real-life scenarios, and covers histograms, quartiles, probability, Bayes' theorem, predictions, approximations, random samples, and related topics.
Download or read book The Book of Risks written by Larry Laudan and published by . This book was released on 1994-10-17 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Did you know that your chances of dying of rabies this year are less than your chances of being hit by a falling airplane? Guaranteed to pique your curiosity and open your eyes about life's myriad perils, this book takes a lighthearted look at the risks we face every day, providing hours of astonishing information. Sidebars and graphs.
Book Synopsis The Chances of Death and Other Studies in Evolution by : Karl Pearson
Download or read book The Chances of Death and Other Studies in Evolution written by Karl Pearson and published by CUP Archive. This book was released on 1897 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book 40 Chances written by Howard G Buffett and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The son of legendary investor Warren Buffet relates how he set out to help nearly a billion individuals who lack basic food security through his passion of farming, in forty stories of lessons learned.
Book Synopsis What Are the Chances? by : Joy Visto
Download or read book What Are the Chances? written by Joy Visto and published by Creative Paperbacks. This book was released on 2016-02-02 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A helpful guide for understanding the mathematical concepts and real-world applications of probability and statistics, including classroom tips, common terms such as outliers, and exercises to encourage hands-on practice.
Book Synopsis Introduction to Probability by : Joseph K. Blitzstein
Download or read book Introduction to Probability written by Joseph K. Blitzstein and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2014-07-24 with total page 599 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Developed from celebrated Harvard statistics lectures, Introduction to Probability provides essential language and tools for understanding statistics, randomness, and uncertainty. The book explores a wide variety of applications and examples, ranging from coincidences and paradoxes to Google PageRank and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Additional application areas explored include genetics, medicine, computer science, and information theory. The print book version includes a code that provides free access to an eBook version. The authors present the material in an accessible style and motivate concepts using real-world examples. Throughout, they use stories to uncover connections between the fundamental distributions in statistics and conditioning to reduce complicated problems to manageable pieces. The book includes many intuitive explanations, diagrams, and practice problems. Each chapter ends with a section showing how to perform relevant simulations and calculations in R, a free statistical software environment.
Book Synopsis What Are the Chances? by : Evelyn Shipp
Download or read book What Are the Chances? written by Evelyn Shipp and published by FriesenPress. This book was released on 2013 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To recount some of the vicissitudes of life, be they little or big, welcomed or unwanted, funny or a cliff hanger in which the consequences can only be explained as a result of divine interference, not luck and certainly not by chance.
