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Author : L. J. Christiano
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (11 download)
Download or read book Unit Roots in Real GNP: Do We Care? written by L. J. Christiano and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Lawrence J. Christiano
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Unit roots in real GNP written by Lawrence J. Christiano and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Lawrence J. Christiano
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Unit Roots in Real GNP written by Lawrence J. Christiano and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No, and maybe not. [additional text from author's introduction] To us, the possibility of providing a compelling case that real GMP is either trend or difference stationary seems extremely small, certainly on the basis of post-war data. This is because there is only one difference between these two types of processes and that difference is completely summarized by the answer to the question. How much should an innovation to real GMP affect the optimal forecast of real GMP into the infinite future? If the answer is zero, then real GMP is trend stationary. If the answer is not zero, then real GMP is difference stationary. The competing hypotheses have no other testable differences. Once we pose the question in this way, it seems clear that economists ought to be extremely skeptical of any argument that purports to support one view or the other. Simply put, it's hard to believe that a mere 40 years of data contain any evidence on the only experiment that is relevant.
Author : Glenn D. Rudebusch
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book The Uncertain Unit Root in Real GNP written by Glenn D. Rudebusch and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Allan H. Meltzer
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (321 download)
Download or read book Unit Roots, Investment Measures and Other Essays written by Allan H. Meltzer and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Glenn D. Rudebusch
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 18 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (848 download)
Download or read book The Uncertain Unit Root in Real Gnp written by Glenn D. Rudebusch and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : James Hartley
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134694792
Total Pages : 684 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (346 download)
Download or read book Real Business Cycles written by James Hartley and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-07-04 with total page 684 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Real Business Cycle theory combines the remains of monetarism with the new classical macroeconomics, and has become one of the dominant approaches within contemporary macroeconomics today. This volume presents: * the authoritative anthology in RBC. The work contains the major articles introducing and extending the theory as well as critical literature * an extensive introduction which contains an expository summary and critical evaluation of RBC theory * comprehensive coverage and balance between seminal papers and extensions; proponents and critics; and theory and empirics. Macroeconomics is a compulsory element in most economics courses, and this book will be an essential guide to one of its major theories.
Author : Macarena Hernández Salmerón
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319136356
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (191 download)
Download or read book Convergence in Output and Its Sources Among Industrialised Countries written by Macarena Hernández Salmerón and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-12-27 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book investigates the existence of stochastic and deterministic convergence of real output per worker and the sources of output (physical capital per worker, human capital per worker, total factor productivity –TFP– and average annual hours worked) in 21 OECD countries over the period 1970-2011. Towards this end, the authors apply a large battery of panel unit root and stationarity tests, all of which are robust to the presence of cross-sectional dependence. The evidence fails to provide clear-cut evidence of convergence dynamics either in real GDP per worker or in the series of the sources of output. Due to some limitations associated with second-generation panel unit root and stationarity tests, the authors further use the more flexible PANIC approach which provides evidence that real GDP per worker, real physical capital per worker, human capital and average annual hours exhibit some degree of deterministic convergence, whereas TFP series display a high degree of stochastic convergence.
Author : Francis X. Diebold
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691219583
Total Pages : 438 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)
Download or read book Business Cycles written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2020-10-06 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the most sophisticated and up-to-date econometric analysis of business cycles now available. Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch have long been acknowledged as leading experts on business cycles. And here they present a highly integrative collection of their most important essays on the subject, along with a detailed introduction that draws together the book's principal themes and findings. Diebold and Rudebusch use the latest quantitative methods to address five principal questions about the measurement, modeling, and forecasting of business cycles. They ask whether business cycles have become more moderate in the postwar period, concluding that recessions have, in fact, been shorter and shallower. They consider whether economic expansions and contractions tend to die of "old age." Contrary to popular wisdom, they find little evidence that expansions become more fragile the longer they last, although they do find that contractions are increasingly likely to end as they age. The authors discuss the defining characteristics of business cycles, focusing on how economic variables move together and on the timing of the slow alternation between expansions and contractions. They explore the difficulties of distinguishing between long-term trends in the economy and cyclical fluctuations. And they examine how business cycles can be forecast, looking in particular at how to predict turning points in cycles, rather than merely the level of future economic activity. They show here that the index of leading economic indicators is a poor predictor of future economic activity, and consider what we can learn from other indicators, such as financial variables. Throughout, the authors make use of a variety of advanced econometric techniques, including nonparametric analysis, fractional integration, and regime-switching models. Business Cycles is crucial reading for policymakers, bankers, and business executives.
Author : Angus Deaton
Publisher : Clarendon Press
ISBN 13 : 0191521639
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)
Download or read book Understanding Consumption written by Angus Deaton and published by Clarendon Press. This book was released on 1992-10-08 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an overview of the recent research on saving and consumption, a field in which substantial progress has been made over the last decade. Attempts by economists to understand saving and consumption patterns have generated some of the best science in economics. For more than fifty years, there has been serious empirical and theoretical activity, and data, theory, and policy have never been separated as has happened in many branches of economics. Research has drawn microeconomists interested in household behaviour, as well as macroeconomists, for whom the behaviour of aggregate consumption has always occupied a central role in explaining aggregate fluctuations. Econometricians have also made distinguished contributions, and there has been a steady flow of new methodologies by those working on saving and consumption, in time-series econometrics, as well as in the study of micro and panel data. A coherent account of these developments is presented here, emphasizing the interplay between micro and the macro, between studies of cross-section and panels, and those using aggregate time series data.
Author : James D. Hamilton
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691218633
Total Pages : 820 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)
Download or read book Time Series Analysis written by James D. Hamilton and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2020-09-01 with total page 820 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An authoritative, self-contained overview of time series analysis for students and researchers The past decade has brought dramatic changes in the way that researchers analyze economic and financial time series. This textbook synthesizes these advances and makes them accessible to first-year graduate students. James Hamilton provides comprehensive treatments of important innovations such as vector autoregressions, generalized method of moments, the economic and statistical consequences of unit roots, time-varying variances, and nonlinear time series models. In addition, he presents basic tools for analyzing dynamic systems—including linear representations, autocovariance generating functions, spectral analysis, and the Kalman filter—in a way that integrates economic theory with the practical difficulties of analyzing and interpreting real-world data. Time Series Analysis fills an important need for a textbook that integrates economic theory, econometrics, and new results. This invaluable book starts from first principles and should be readily accessible to any beginning graduate student, while it is also intended to serve as a reference book for researchers.
Author : Peter Kennedy
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1405182571
Total Pages : 608 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (51 download)
Download or read book A Guide to Econometrics written by Peter Kennedy and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-02-19 with total page 608 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dieses etwas andere Lehrbuch bietet keine vorgefertigten Rezepte und Problemlösungen, sondern eine kritische Diskussion ökonometrischer Modelle und Methoden: voller überraschender Fragen, skeptisch, humorvoll und anwendungsorientiert. Sein Erfolg gibt ihm Recht.
Author : Olivier Blanchard
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262521659
Total Pages : 392 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (216 download)
Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1991 written by Olivier Blanchard and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1991 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the sixth in a series of annuals from the National Bureau of EconomicResearch that are designed to stimulate research on problems in applied economics, to bring frontiertheoretical developments to a wider audience, and to accelerate the interaction between analyticaland empirical research in macroeconomics.Olivier Blanchard and Stanley Fischer are both Professorsof Economics at MIT.Contents: Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know aboutUnit Roots, John Y. Campbell and Pierre Perron. Markups and the Business Cycle, Julio Rotemberg andMichael Woodford. Privatization in Eastern Europe: Incentives and the Economics of Transition, JeanTirole. The EMS, the EMU, and the Transition to a Common Currency, Kenneth A. Froot and Kenneth S.Rogoff. Growth, Macroeconomics, and Development, Stanley S. Fischer. Recessions as Reorganizations,Robert E. Hall.
Author : Marius Ooms
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642487920
Total Pages : 397 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (424 download)
Download or read book Empirical Vector Autoregressive Modeling written by Marius Ooms and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 1. 1 Integrating results The empirical study of macroeconomic time series is interesting. It is also difficult and not immediately rewarding. Many statistical and economic issues are involved. The main problems is that these issues are so interrelated that it does not seem sensible to address them one at a time. As soon as one sets about the making of a model of macroeconomic time series one has to choose which problems one will try to tackle oneself and which problems one will leave unresolved or to be solved by others. From a theoretic point of view it can be fruitful to concentrate oneself on only one problem. If one follows this strategy in empirical application one runs a serious risk of making a seemingly interesting model, that is just a corollary of some important mistake in the handling of other problems. Two well known examples of statistical artifacts are the finding of Kuznets "pseudo-waves" of about 20 years in economic activity (Sargent (1979, p. 248)) and the "spurious regression" of macroeconomic time series described in Granger and Newbold (1986, §6. 4). The easiest way to get away with possible mistakes is to admit they may be there in the first place, but that time constraints and unfamiliarity with the solution do not allow the researcher to do something about them. This can be a viable argument.
Author : Michio Hatanaka
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191525022
Total Pages : 310 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)
Download or read book Time-Series-Based Econometrics written by Michio Hatanaka and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 1996-01-25 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last decade, time-series econometrics has made extraordinary developments on unit roots and cointegration. However, this progress has taken divergent directions, and has been subjected to criticism from outside the field. In this book, Professor Hatanaka surveys the field, examines those portions that are useful for macroeconomics, and responds to the criticism. His survey of the literature covers not only econometric methods, but also the application of these methods to macroeconomic studies. The most vigorous criticism has been that unit roots to do not exist in macroeconomic variables, and thus that cointegration analysis is irrelevant to macroeconomics. The judgement of this book is that unit roots are present in macroeconomic variables when we consider periods of 20 to 40 years, but that the critics may be right when periods of 100 years are considered. Fortunately, most of the time series data used for macroeconomic studies cover fall within the shorter time span. Among the numerous methods for unit roots and cointegration, those useful from macroeconomic studies are examined and explained in detail, without overburdening the reader with unnecessary mathematics. Other, less applicable methods are dicussed briefly, and their weaknesses are exposed. Hatanaka has rigourously based his judgements about usefulness on whether the inference is appropriate for the length of the data sets available, and also on whether a proper inference can be made on the sort of propositions that macroeconomists wish to test. This book highlights the relations between cointegration and economic theories, and presents cointegrated regression as a revolution in econometric methods. Its analysis is of relevance to academic and professional or applied econometricians. Step-by-step explanations of concepts and techniques make the book a self-contained text for graduate students.
Author : Yin-Wong Cheung
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (321 download)
Download or read book Further Investigation of the Uncertain Unit Root in GNP written by Yin-Wong Cheung and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A more powerful version of the ADF test and a test that has trend stationarity as the null are applied to U.S. GNP. Simulated critical values generated from plausible trend and difference stationary models are used in order to minimize possible finite sample biases. The discriminatory power of the two tests is evaluated using alternative-specific rejection frequencies. For post-War quarterly data, these two tests do not provide a definite conclusion. However, when analyzing annual data over the 1869-1986 period, the unit root null is rejected, while the trend stationary null is not.
Author : Mario Forni
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780198288008
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (88 download)
Download or read book Aggregation and the Microfoundations of Dynamic Macroeconomics written by Mario Forni and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1997 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Through careful methodological analysis, this book argues that modern macroeconomics has completely overlooked the aggregate nature of the data. In Part I, the authors test and reject the homogeneity assumption using disaggregate data. In Part II, they demonstrate that apart from random flukes, cointegration unidirectional Granger causality and restrictions on parameters do not survive aggregation when heterogeneity is introduced. They conclude that the claim that modern macroeconomics has solid microfoundations is unwarranted. However, some important theory-based models that do not fit aggregate data well in their representative-agent version can be reconciled with aggregate data by introducing heterogeneity.
