Pitfalls and Opportunities

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Publisher : Montréal : Université de Montréal, Centre de recherche et développement en économique
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (731 download)

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Book Synopsis Pitfalls and Opportunities by : John Y. Campbell

Download or read book Pitfalls and Opportunities written by John Y. Campbell and published by Montréal : Université de Montréal, Centre de recherche et développement en économique. This book was released on 1991 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper is an introduction to unit root econometrics as applied in macroeconomics. The paper first discusses univariate time series analysis, emphasizing the following topics: alternative representations of unit root processes, unit root testing procedures, the power of unit root tests, and the interpretation of unit root econometrics in finite samples. A second part of the paper tackles similar issues in a multivariate context where cointegration is now the central concept. The paper reviews representation, testing, and estimation of multivariate time series models with some unit roots. Two important themes of this paper are first, the importance of correctly specifying deterministic components of the series; and second, the usefulness of unit root tests not as methods to uncover some -true relation" but as practical devices that can be used to impose reasonable restrictions on the data and to suggest what asymptotic distribution theory gives the best approximation to the finite-sample distribution of coefficient estimates and test statistics.

Time-Series-Based Econometrics

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191525022
Total Pages : 310 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)

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Book Synopsis Time-Series-Based Econometrics by : Michio Hatanaka

Download or read book Time-Series-Based Econometrics written by Michio Hatanaka and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 1996-01-25 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last decade, time-series econometrics has made extraordinary developments on unit roots and cointegration. However, this progress has taken divergent directions, and has been subjected to criticism from outside the field. In this book, Professor Hatanaka surveys the field, examines those portions that are useful for macroeconomics, and responds to the criticism. His survey of the literature covers not only econometric methods, but also the application of these methods to macroeconomic studies. The most vigorous criticism has been that unit roots to do not exist in macroeconomic variables, and thus that cointegration analysis is irrelevant to macroeconomics. The judgement of this book is that unit roots are present in macroeconomic variables when we consider periods of 20 to 40 years, but that the critics may be right when periods of 100 years are considered. Fortunately, most of the time series data used for macroeconomic studies cover fall within the shorter time span. Among the numerous methods for unit roots and cointegration, those useful from macroeconomic studies are examined and explained in detail, without overburdening the reader with unnecessary mathematics. Other, less applicable methods are dicussed briefly, and their weaknesses are exposed. Hatanaka has rigourously based his judgements about usefulness on whether the inference is appropriate for the length of the data sets available, and also on whether a proper inference can be made on the sort of propositions that macroeconomists wish to test. This book highlights the relations between cointegration and economic theories, and presents cointegrated regression as a revolution in econometric methods. Its analysis is of relevance to academic and professional or applied econometricians. Step-by-step explanations of concepts and techniques make the book a self-contained text for graduate students.

Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (285 download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series by : Bennett T. McCallum

Download or read book Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series written by Bennett T. McCallum and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper suggests that the relevant question concerning unit root' in the U.S. real GNP time series pertains to the relative importance of difference-stationary and trend-stationary components. Various analytical approaches indicate than an accurate answer is not obtainable with existing data. The paper next considers whether trending series should be differences prior to use in regression analysis and suggests it may not matter greatly if autocorrelated residuals are avoided. Finally, the paper argues that the absence of cointegration among variables does not imply the absence of any practically useful long-run relationship

Unit Roots in Economic Time Series

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 110 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Roots in Economic Time Series by : Francis X. Diebold

Download or read book Unit Roots in Economic Time Series written by Francis X. Diebold and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

What Do We Learn from Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series?

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 17 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (173 download)

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Book Synopsis What Do We Learn from Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series? by : Danny Quah

Download or read book What Do We Learn from Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series? written by Danny Quah and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is often argued that the presence of a unit root in aggregate output implies that there is no "business cycle": the economy does not return to trend following a disturbance. This paper makes this notion precise, but then develops a simple aggregative model where this relation is contradicted. In the model output both has a unit root, and displays repeated short-run fluctuations around a deterministic trend. Some summary statistical evidence is presented that suggests the phenomena described in the paper is not without empirical basis

Cointegration

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349235296
Total Pages : 247 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (492 download)

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Book Synopsis Cointegration by : Bhaskara B. Rao

Download or read book Cointegration written by Bhaskara B. Rao and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-27 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: `This most commendable volume brings together a set of papers which permits ready access to the means of estimating quantitative relationships using cointegration and error correction procedures. Providing the data to show fully the basis for calculation, this approach is an excellent perception of the needs of senior undergraduates and graduate students.' - Professor W.P. Hogan, The University of Sydney Applied economists, with modest econometric background, are now desperately looking for expository literature on the unit roots and cointegration techniques. This volume of expository essays is written for them. It explains in a simple style various tests for the existence of unit roots and how to estimate cointegration relationships. Original data are given to enable easy replications. Limitations of some existing unit root tests are also discussed.

Unit Roots, Cointegration, and Structural Change

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521587822
Total Pages : 528 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (878 download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Roots, Cointegration, and Structural Change by : G. S. Maddala

Download or read book Unit Roots, Cointegration, and Structural Change written by G. S. Maddala and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive review of unit roots, cointegration and structural change from a best-selling author.

Introduction to Modern Time Series Analysis

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642334350
Total Pages : 326 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (423 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Modern Time Series Analysis by : Gebhard Kirchgässner

Download or read book Introduction to Modern Time Series Analysis written by Gebhard Kirchgässner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-10-09 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents modern developments in time series econometrics that are applied to macroeconomic and financial time series, bridging the gap between methods and realistic applications. It presents the most important approaches to the analysis of time series, which may be stationary or nonstationary. Modelling and forecasting univariate time series is the starting point. For multiple stationary time series, Granger causality tests and vector autogressive models are presented. As the modelling of nonstationary uni- or multivariate time series is most important for real applied work, unit root and cointegration analysis as well as vector error correction models are a central topic. Tools for analysing nonstationary data are then transferred to the panel framework. Modelling the (multivariate) volatility of financial time series with autogressive conditional heteroskedastic models is also treated.

Almost All About Unit Roots

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107097339
Total Pages : 301 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Almost All About Unit Roots by : In Choi

Download or read book Almost All About Unit Roots written by In Choi and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2015-05-12 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many economic theories depend on the presence or absence of a unit root for their validity, making familiarity with unit roots extremely important to econometric and statistical theory. This book introduces the literature on unit roots in a comprehensive manner to empirical and theoretical researchers in economics and other areas.

Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 2

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137003316
Total Pages : 586 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 2 by : K. Patterson

Download or read book Unit Root Tests in Time Series Volume 2 written by K. Patterson and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-07-05 with total page 586 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Testing for a Unit Root is now an essential part of time series analysis but the literature on the topic is so large that knowing where to start is difficult even for the specialist. This book provides a way into the techniques of unit root testing, explaining the pitfalls and nonstandard cases, using practical examples and simulation analysis.

Unit Roots and Time Trends in Macroeconomic Time Series

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Roots and Time Trends in Macroeconomic Time Series by : Thomas Sedgwick Coleman

Download or read book Unit Roots and Time Trends in Macroeconomic Time Series written by Thomas Sedgwick Coleman and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Introduction to Modern Time Series Analysis

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9783540687351
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (873 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Modern Time Series Analysis by : Gebhard Kirchgässner

Download or read book Introduction to Modern Time Series Analysis written by Gebhard Kirchgässner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-08-27 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents modern developments in time series econometrics that are applied to macroeconomic and financial time series. It contains the most important approaches to analyze time series which may be stationary or nonstationary.

Unit root tests: Common pitfalls and best practices

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Author :
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Unit root tests: Common pitfalls and best practices by : Traoré, Fousseini

Download or read book Unit root tests: Common pitfalls and best practices written by Traoré, Fousseini and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2021-12-31 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the seminal paper by Granger and Newbold (1974) on spurious regressions, applied econometricians have become aware of the consequences of unit roots in empirical analysis with time series data. Yet one can still find many published papers with unit root tests implemented in an inappropriate way. The objective of this Technical Note is to highlight the common pitfalls and best practices when testing for unit roots. In addition to the theoretical discussion, we provide examples using price data from Kenya, Mali, Togo, and South Africa to illustrate the procedures we think are worth following.

Introduction to Statistical Time Series

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470317752
Total Pages : 734 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (73 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Statistical Time Series by : Wayne A. Fuller

Download or read book Introduction to Statistical Time Series written by Wayne A. Fuller and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-09-25 with total page 734 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The subject of time series is of considerable interest, especiallyamong researchers in econometrics, engineering, and the naturalsciences. As part of the prestigious Wiley Series in Probabilityand Statistics, this book provides a lucid introduction to thefield and, in this new Second Edition, covers the importantadvances of recent years, including nonstationary models, nonlinearestimation, multivariate models, state space representations, andempirical model identification. New sections have also been addedon the Wold decomposition, partial autocorrelation, long memoryprocesses, and the Kalman filter. Major topics include: * Moving average and autoregressive processes * Introduction to Fourier analysis * Spectral theory and filtering * Large sample theory * Estimation of the mean and autocorrelations * Estimation of the spectrum * Parameter estimation * Regression, trend, and seasonality * Unit root and explosive time series To accommodate a wide variety of readers, review material,especially on elementary results in Fourier analysis, large samplestatistics, and difference equations, has been included.

What Do We Learn from Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series?

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis What Do We Learn from Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series? by :

Download or read book What Do We Learn from Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series? written by and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Unit Roots in Economic Time Series

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (731 download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Roots in Economic Time Series by : Kerry Patterson

Download or read book Unit Roots in Economic Time Series written by Kerry Patterson and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Unit Roots and Seasonal Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 10 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (612 download)

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Book Synopsis Unit Roots and Seasonal Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series by : Hahn Shik Lee

Download or read book Unit Roots and Seasonal Unit Roots in Macroeconomic Time Series written by Hahn Shik Lee and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: