Understanding Probability Models

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Understanding Probability Models

Author : Carlos Narciso Bouza Herrera
Publisher : Nova Science Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781536169959
Total Pages : 219 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (699 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Probability Models by : Carlos Narciso Bouza Herrera

Download or read book Understanding Probability Models written by Carlos Narciso Bouza Herrera and published by Nova Science Publishers. This book was released on 2020-03 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book intends to highlight how the Theory of Probability supports, not only statistical modeling but how it allows describing different real life phenomena. It gives clues for understanding the philosophic roots of probability and how they are present in different areas of knowledge. The readers may use the book as a source for understanding the philosophical development of probability concepts and of the intents to obtain mathematical models. The chapters deal with the understanding of how probability models are usable for determining: â¢A Probabilistic model of the best flight value for the design on paper of a helicopter â¢How to model the improvement of the behavior of water heating systems and of the reliability of systems â¢Models for determining the probability of non responses in inquiries and to evaluate the missing data. â¢The modeling of various problems related with the behavior of ordering models of use in decision rules and of general properties of Order Statistics. â¢A unified study of the probabilistic aspects of two Metaheuristics: Simulated Annealing and Tabu Search. â¢How to obtain the identification of econometric techniques for dealing efficiently with the study of economic growth models under endogeneity. This book will be of interest for biometricians, statisticians, economists, engineers dealing with control and reliability, as well for informaticians.

Understanding Probability

Author : Henk Tijms
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139511076
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (395 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Probability by : Henk Tijms

Download or read book Understanding Probability written by Henk Tijms and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-06-14 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding Probability is a unique and stimulating approach to a first course in probability. The first part of the book demystifies probability and uses many wonderful probability applications from everyday life to help the reader develop a feel for probabilities. The second part, covering a wide range of topics, teaches clearly and simply the basics of probability. This fully revised third edition has been packed with even more exercises and examples and it includes new sections on Bayesian inference, Markov chain Monte-Carlo simulation, hitting probabilities in random walks and Brownian motion, and a new chapter on continuous-time Markov chains with applications. Here you will find all the material taught in an introductory probability course. The first part of the book, with its easy-going style, can be read by anybody with a reasonable background in high school mathematics. The second part of the book requires a basic course in calculus.

Discrete Probability Models and Methods

Author : Pierre Brémaud
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319434764
Total Pages : 561 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Discrete Probability Models and Methods by : Pierre Brémaud

Download or read book Discrete Probability Models and Methods written by Pierre Brémaud and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-01-31 with total page 561 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The emphasis in this book is placed on general models (Markov chains, random fields, random graphs), universal methods (the probabilistic method, the coupling method, the Stein-Chen method, martingale methods, the method of types) and versatile tools (Chernoff's bound, Hoeffding's inequality, Holley's inequality) whose domain of application extends far beyond the present text. Although the examples treated in the book relate to the possible applications, in the communication and computing sciences, in operations research and in physics, this book is in the first instance concerned with theory. The level of the book is that of a beginning graduate course. It is self-contained, the prerequisites consisting merely of basic calculus (series) and basic linear algebra (matrices). The reader is not assumed to be trained in probability since the first chapters give in considerable detail the background necessary to understand the rest of the book.

Introduction to Probability Models

Author : Sheldon M. Ross
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0123736358
Total Pages : 801 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (237 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Probability Models by : Sheldon M. Ross

Download or read book Introduction to Probability Models written by Sheldon M. Ross and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2007 with total page 801 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rosss classic bestseller has been used extensively by professionals and as the primary text for a first undergraduate course in applied probability. With the addition of several new sections relating to actuaries, this text is highly recommended by the Society of Actuaries.

Introduction to Probability

Author : Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118548558
Total Pages : 548 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Probability by : Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

Download or read book Introduction to Probability written by Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-11-24 with total page 548 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY Discover practical models and real-world applications of multivariate models useful in engineering, business, and related disciplines In Introduction to Probability: Multivariate Models and Applications, a team of distinguished researchers delivers a comprehensive exploration of the concepts, methods, and results in multivariate distributions and models. Intended for use in a second course in probability, the material is largely self-contained, with some knowledge of basic probability theory and univariate distributions as the only prerequisite. This textbook is intended as the sequel to Introduction to Probability: Models and Applications. Each chapter begins with a brief historical account of some of the pioneers in probability who made significant contributions to the field. It goes on to describe and explain a critical concept or method in multivariate models and closes with two collections of exercises designed to test basic and advanced understanding of the theory. A wide range of topics are covered, including joint distributions for two or more random variables, independence of two or more variables, transformations of variables, covariance and correlation, a presentation of the most important multivariate distributions, generating functions and limit theorems. This important text: Includes classroom-tested problems and solutions to probability exercises Highlights real-world exercises designed to make clear the concepts presented Uses Mathematica software to illustrate the text’s computer exercises Features applications representing worldwide situations and processes Offers two types of self-assessment exercises at the end of each chapter, so that students may review the material in that chapter and monitor their progress Perfect for students majoring in statistics, engineering, business, psychology, operations research and mathematics taking a second course in probability, Introduction to Probability: Multivariate Models and Applications is also an indispensable resource for anyone who is required to use multivariate distributions to model the uncertainty associated with random phenomena.

A Modern Introduction to Probability and Statistics

Author : F.M. Dekking
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1846281687
Total Pages : 488 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (462 download)

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Book Synopsis A Modern Introduction to Probability and Statistics by : F.M. Dekking

Download or read book A Modern Introduction to Probability and Statistics written by F.M. Dekking and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-03-30 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Suitable for self study Use real examples and real data sets that will be familiar to the audience Introduction to the bootstrap is included – this is a modern method missing in many other books

Introduction to Probability Models

Author : Sheldon M. Ross
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0123756871
Total Pages : 801 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (237 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Probability Models by : Sheldon M. Ross

Download or read book Introduction to Probability Models written by Sheldon M. Ross and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2006-12-11 with total page 801 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction to Probability Models, Tenth Edition, provides an introduction to elementary probability theory and stochastic processes. There are two approaches to the study of probability theory. One is heuristic and nonrigorous, and attempts to develop in students an intuitive feel for the subject that enables him or her to think probabilistically. The other approach attempts a rigorous development of probability by using the tools of measure theory. The first approach is employed in this text. The book begins by introducing basic concepts of probability theory, such as the random variable, conditional probability, and conditional expectation. This is followed by discussions of stochastic processes, including Markov chains and Poison processes. The remaining chapters cover queuing, reliability theory, Brownian motion, and simulation. Many examples are worked out throughout the text, along with exercises to be solved by students. This book will be particularly useful to those interested in learning how probability theory can be applied to the study of phenomena in fields such as engineering, computer science, management science, the physical and social sciences, and operations research. Ideally, this text would be used in a one-year course in probability models, or a one-semester course in introductory probability theory or a course in elementary stochastic processes. New to this Edition: 65% new chapter material including coverage of finite capacity queues, insurance risk models and Markov chains Contains compulsory material for new Exam 3 of the Society of Actuaries containing several sections in the new exams Updated data, and a list of commonly used notations and equations, a robust ancillary package, including a ISM, SSM, and test bank Includes SPSS PASW Modeler and SAS JMP software packages which are widely used in the field Hallmark features: Superior writing style Excellent exercises and examples covering the wide breadth of coverage of probability topics Real-world applications in engineering, science, business and economics

Probability Models in Engineering and Science

Author : Haym Benaroya
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9780824723156
Total Pages : 770 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (231 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability Models in Engineering and Science by : Haym Benaroya

Download or read book Probability Models in Engineering and Science written by Haym Benaroya and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2005-06-24 with total page 770 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Certainty exists only in idealized models. Viewed as the quantification of uncertainties, probabilitry and random processes play a significant role in modern engineering, particularly in areas such as structural dynamics. Unlike this book, however, few texts develop applied probability in the practical manner appropriate for engineers. Probability Models in Engineering and Science provides a comprehensive, self-contained introduction to applied probabilistic modeling. The first four chapters present basic concepts in probability and random variables, and while doing so, develop methods for static problems. The remaining chapters address dynamic problems, where time is a critical parameter in the randomness. Highlights of the presentation include numerous examples and illustrations and an engaging, human connection to the subject, achieved through short biographies of some of the key people in the field. End-of-chapter problems help solidify understanding and footnotes to the literature expand the discussions and introduce relevant journals and texts. This book builds the background today's engineers need to deal explicitly with the scatter observed in experimental data and with intricate dynamic behavior. Designed for undergraduate and graduate coursework as well as self-study, the text's coverage of theory, approximation methods, and numerical methods make it equally valuable to practitioners.

Probability Models for Computer Science

Author : Sheldon M. Ross
Publisher : Taylor & Francis US
ISBN 13 : 9780125980517
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability Models for Computer Science by : Sheldon M. Ross

Download or read book Probability Models for Computer Science written by Sheldon M. Ross and published by Taylor & Francis US. This book was released on 2002 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The role of probability in computer science has been growing for years and, in lieu of a tailored textbook, many courses have employed a variety of similar, but not entirely applicable, alternatives. To meet the needs of the computer science graduate student (and the advanced undergraduate), best-selling author Sheldon Ross has developed the premier probability text for aspiring computer scientists involved in computer simulation and modeling. The math is precise and easily understood. As with his other texts, Sheldon Ross presents very clear explanations of concepts and covers those probability models that are most in demand by, and applicable to, computer science and related majors and practitioners. Many interesting examples and exercises have been chosen to illuminate the techniques presented Examples relating to bin packing, sorting algorithms, the find algorithm, random graphs, self-organising list problems, the maximum weighted independent set problem, hashing, probabilistic verification, max SAT problem, queuing networks, distributed workload models, and many othersMany interesting examples and exercises have been chosen to illuminate the techniques presented

Probability Models

Author : John Haigh
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 144715343X
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (471 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability Models by : John Haigh

Download or read book Probability Models written by John Haigh and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-07-04 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this book is to provide a sound introduction to the study of real-world phenomena that possess random variation. It describes how to set up and analyse models of real-life phenomena that involve elements of chance. Motivation comes from everyday experiences of probability, such as that of a dice or cards, the idea of fairness in games of chance, and the random ways in which, say, birthdays are shared or particular events arise. Applications include branching processes, random walks, Markov chains, queues, renewal theory, and Brownian motion. This textbook contains many worked examples and several chapters have been updated and expanded for the second edition. Some mathematical knowledge is assumed. The reader should have the ability to work with unions, intersections and complements of sets; a good facility with calculus, including integration, sequences and series; and appreciation of the logical development of an argument. Probability Models is designed to aid students studying probability as part of an undergraduate course on mathematics or mathematics and statistics.

Introduction to Probability

Author : Dimitri Bertsekas
Publisher : Athena Scientific
ISBN 13 : 188652923X
Total Pages : 544 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (865 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Probability by : Dimitri Bertsekas

Download or read book Introduction to Probability written by Dimitri Bertsekas and published by Athena Scientific. This book was released on 2008-07-01 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An intuitive, yet precise introduction to probability theory, stochastic processes, statistical inference, and probabilistic models used in science, engineering, economics, and related fields. This is the currently used textbook for an introductory probability course at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, attended by a large number of undergraduate and graduate students, and for a leading online class on the subject. The book covers the fundamentals of probability theory (probabilistic models, discrete and continuous random variables, multiple random variables, and limit theorems), which are typically part of a first course on the subject. It also contains a number of more advanced topics, including transforms, sums of random variables, a fairly detailed introduction to Bernoulli, Poisson, and Markov processes, Bayesian inference, and an introduction to classical statistics. The book strikes a balance between simplicity in exposition and sophistication in analytical reasoning. Some of the more mathematically rigorous analysis is explained intuitively in the main text, and then developed in detail (at the level of advanced calculus) in the numerous solved theoretical problems.

Applied Probability

Author : Arnold Barnett
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780989910873
Total Pages : 354 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Probability by : Arnold Barnett

Download or read book Applied Probability written by Arnold Barnett and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Understanding Statistical Analysis and Modeling

Author : Robert Bruhl
Publisher : SAGE Publications
ISBN 13 : 1506317375
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (63 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Statistical Analysis and Modeling by : Robert Bruhl

Download or read book Understanding Statistical Analysis and Modeling written by Robert Bruhl and published by SAGE Publications. This book was released on 2017-11-15 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding Statistical Analysis and Modeling is a text for graduate and advanced undergraduate students in the social, behavioral, or managerial sciences seeking to understand the logic of statistical analysis. Robert Bruhl covers all the basic methods of descriptive and inferential statistics in an accessible manner by way of asking and answering research questions. Concepts are discussed in the context of a specific research project and the book includes probability theory as the basis for understanding statistical inference. Instructions on using SPSS® are included so that readers focus on interpreting statistical analysis rather than calculations. Tables are used, rather than formulas, to describe the various calculations involved with statistical analysis and the exercises in the book are intended to encourage students to formulate and execute their own empirical investigations.

Disorder and Critical Phenomena Through Basic Probability Models

Author : Giambattista Giacomin
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3642211569
Total Pages : 140 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis Disorder and Critical Phenomena Through Basic Probability Models by : Giambattista Giacomin

Download or read book Disorder and Critical Phenomena Through Basic Probability Models written by Giambattista Giacomin and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-07-16 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding the effect of disorder on critical phenomena is a central issue in statistical mechanics. In probabilistic terms: what happens if we perturb a system exhibiting a phase transition by introducing a random environment? The physics community has approached this very broad question by aiming at general criteria that tell whether or not the addition of disorder changes the critical properties of a model: some of the predictions are truly striking and mathematically challenging. We approach this domain of ideas by focusing on a specific class of models, the "pinning models," for which a series of recent mathematical works has essentially put all the main predictions of the physics community on firm footing; in some cases, mathematicians have even gone beyond, settling a number of controversial issues. But the purpose of these notes, beyond treating the pinning models in full detail, is also to convey the gist, or at least the flavor, of the "overall picture," which is, in many respects, unfamiliar territory for mathematicians.

Uncertainty

Author : William Briggs
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319397567
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (193 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty by : William Briggs

Download or read book Uncertainty written by William Briggs and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-15 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a philosophical approach to probability and probabilistic thinking, considering the underpinnings of probabilistic reasoning and modeling, which effectively underlie everything in data science. The ultimate goal is to call into question many standard tenets and lay the philosophical and probabilistic groundwork and infrastructure for statistical modeling. It is the first book devoted to the philosophy of data aimed at working scientists and calls for a new consideration in the practice of probability and statistics to eliminate what has been referred to as the "Cult of Statistical Significance." The book explains the philosophy of these ideas and not the mathematics, though there are a handful of mathematical examples. The topics are logically laid out, starting with basic philosophy as related to probability, statistics, and science, and stepping through the key probabilistic ideas and concepts, and ending with statistical models. Its jargon-free approach asserts that standard methods, such as out-of-the-box regression, cannot help in discovering cause. This new way of looking at uncertainty ties together disparate fields — probability, physics, biology, the “soft” sciences, computer science — because each aims at discovering cause (of effects). It broadens the understanding beyond frequentist and Bayesian methods to propose a Third Way of modeling.

Introduction to Probability

Author : Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118123336
Total Pages : 548 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Probability by : Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

Download or read book Introduction to Probability written by Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-12-29 with total page 548 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY Discover practical models and real-world applications of multivariate models useful in engineering, business, and related disciplines In Introduction to Probability: Multivariate Models and Applications, a team of distinguished researchers delivers a comprehensive exploration of the concepts, methods, and results in multivariate distributions and models. Intended for use in a second course in probability, the material is largely self-contained, with some knowledge of basic probability theory and univariate distributions as the only prerequisite. This textbook is intended as the sequel to Introduction to Probability: Models and Applications. Each chapter begins with a brief historical account of some of the pioneers in probability who made significant contributions to the field. It goes on to describe and explain a critical concept or method in multivariate models and closes with two collections of exercises designed to test basic and advanced understanding of the theory. A wide range of topics are covered, including joint distributions for two or more random variables, independence of two or more variables, transformations of variables, covariance and correlation, a presentation of the most important multivariate distributions, generating functions and limit theorems. This important text: Includes classroom-tested problems and solutions to probability exercises Highlights real-world exercises designed to make clear the concepts presented Uses Mathematica software to illustrate the text’s computer exercises Features applications representing worldwide situations and processes Offers two types of self-assessment exercises at the end of each chapter, so that students may review the material in that chapter and monitor their progress Perfect for students majoring in statistics, engineering, business, psychology, operations research and mathematics taking a second course in probability, Introduction to Probability: Multivariate Models and Applications is also an indispensable resource for anyone who is required to use multivariate distributions to model the uncertainty associated with random phenomena.

Understanding Probability

Author : Henk Tijms
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139465457
Total Pages : 407 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Probability by : Henk Tijms

Download or read book Understanding Probability written by Henk Tijms and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2007-07-26 with total page 407 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this fully revised second edition of Understanding Probability, the reader can learn about the world of probability in an informal way. The author demystifies the law of large numbers, betting systems, random walks, the bootstrap, rare events, the central limit theorem, the Bayesian approach and more. This second edition has wider coverage, more explanations and examples and exercises, and a new chapter introducing Markov chains, making it a great choice for a first probability course. But its easy-going style makes it just as valuable if you want to learn about the subject on your own, and high school algebra is really all the mathematical background you need.