Uncertainty Quantification And Verification An Validation For Climate Modeling

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Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3

Author : Zhu Mao
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031040902
Total Pages : 151 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3 by : Zhu Mao

Download or read book Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3 written by Zhu Mao and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-07-01 with total page 151 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3: Proceedings of the 40th IMAC, A Conference and Exposition on Structural Dynamics, 2022, the third volume of nine from the Conference brings together contributions to this important area of research and engineering. The collection presents early findings and case studies on fundamental and applied aspects of Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, including papers on: Uncertainty Quantification and Propagation in Structural Dynamics Bayesian Analysis for Real-Time Monitoring and Maintenance Uncertainty in Early Stage Design Quantification of Model-Form Uncertainties Fusion of Test and Analysis MVUQ in Action

Verification and Validation in Scientific Computing

Author : William L. Oberkampf
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139491768
Total Pages : 782 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Verification and Validation in Scientific Computing by : William L. Oberkampf

Download or read book Verification and Validation in Scientific Computing written by William L. Oberkampf and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-10-14 with total page 782 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in scientific computing have made modelling and simulation an important part of the decision-making process in engineering, science, and public policy. This book provides a comprehensive and systematic development of the basic concepts, principles, and procedures for verification and validation of models and simulations. The emphasis is placed on models that are described by partial differential and integral equations and the simulations that result from their numerical solution. The methods described can be applied to a wide range of technical fields, from the physical sciences, engineering and technology and industry, through to environmental regulations and safety, product and plant safety, financial investing, and governmental regulations. This book will be genuinely welcomed by researchers, practitioners, and decision makers in a broad range of fields, who seek to improve the credibility and reliability of simulation results. It will also be appropriate either for university courses or for independent study.

Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3

Author : H. Sezer Atamturktur
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3319045520
Total Pages : 419 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3 by : H. Sezer Atamturktur

Download or read book Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3 written by H. Sezer Atamturktur and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2014-04-11 with total page 419 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This third volume of eight from the IMAC - XXXII Conference, brings together contributions to this important area of research and engineering. The collection presents early findings and case studies on fundamental and applied aspects of Structural Dynamics, including papers on: Linear Systems Substructure Modelling Adaptive Structures Experimental Techniques Analytical Methods Damage Detection Damping of Materials & Members Modal Parameter Identification Modal Testing Methods System Identification Active Control Modal Parameter Estimation Processing Modal Data

Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3

Author : Sez Atamturktur
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319297546
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3 by : Sez Atamturktur

Download or read book Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3 written by Sez Atamturktur and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-27 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantifi cation, Volume 3. Proceedings of the 34th IMAC, A Conference and Exposition on Dynamics of Multiphysical Systems: From Active Materials to Vibroacoustics, 2016, the third volume of ten from the Conference brings together contributions to this important area of research and engineering. Th e collection presents early findings and case studies on fundamental and applied aspects of Structural Dynamics, including papers on: • Uncertainty Quantifi cation & Model Validation • Uncertainty Propagation in Structural Dynamics • Bayesian & Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods • Practical Applications of MVUQ • Advances in MVUQ & Model Updating • Robustness in Design & Validation • Verifi cation & Validation Methods

Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3

Author : Roland Platz
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031370031
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (313 download)

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Book Synopsis Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3 by : Roland Platz

Download or read book Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3 written by Roland Platz and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-10-06 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3: Proceedings of the 41st IMAC, A Conference and Exposition on Structural Dynamics, 2023, the third volume of ten from the Conference brings together contributions to this important area of research and engineering. The collection presents early findings and case studies on fundamental and applied aspects of Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, including papers on: Introduction of Uncertainty Quantification Uncertainty Quantification in Dynamics Model Form Uncertainty and Selection incl. Round Robin Challenge Sensor and Information Fusion Virtual Sensing, Certification, and Real-Time Monitoring Surrogate Modeling

Assessing the Reliability of Complex Models

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309256348
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing the Reliability of Complex Models by : National Research Council

Download or read book Assessing the Reliability of Complex Models written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2012-07-26 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in computing hardware and algorithms have dramatically improved the ability to simulate complex processes computationally. Today's simulation capabilities offer the prospect of addressing questions that in the past could be addressed only by resource-intensive experimentation, if at all. Assessing the Reliability of Complex Models recognizes the ubiquity of uncertainty in computational estimates of reality and the necessity for its quantification. As computational science and engineering have matured, the process of quantifying or bounding uncertainties in a computational estimate of a physical quality of interest has evolved into a small set of interdependent tasks: verification, validation, and uncertainty of quantification (VVUQ). In recognition of the increasing importance of computational simulation and the increasing need to assess uncertainties in computational results, the National Research Council was asked to study the mathematical foundations of VVUQ and to recommend steps that will ultimately lead to improved processes. Assessing the Reliability of Complex Models discusses changes in education of professionals and dissemination of information that should enhance the ability of future VVUQ practitioners to improve and properly apply VVUQ methodologies to difficult problems, enhance the ability of VVUQ customers to understand VVUQ results and use them to make informed decisions, and enhance the ability of all VVUQ stakeholders to communicate with each other. This report is an essential resource for all decision and policy makers in the field, students, stakeholders, UQ experts, and VVUQ educators and practitioners.

A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling

Author : Division on Earth and Life Studies
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309259770
Total Pages : 252 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling by : Division on Earth and Life Studies

Download or read book A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling written by Division on Earth and Life Studies and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2013-01-24 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As climate change has pushed climate patterns outside of historic norms, the need for detailed projections is growing across all sectors, including agriculture, insurance, and emergency preparedness planning. A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling emphasizes the needs for climate models to evolve substantially in order to deliver climate projections at the scale and level of detail desired by decision makers, this report finds. Despite much recent progress in developing reliable climate models, there are still efficiencies to be gained across the large and diverse U.S. climate modeling community. Evolving to a more unified climate modeling enterprise-in particular by developing a common software infrastructure shared by all climate researchers and holding an annual climate modeling forum-could help speed progress. Throughout this report, several recommendations and guidelines are outlined to accelerate progress in climate modeling. The U.S. supports several climate models, each conceptually similar but with components assembled with slightly different software and data output standards. If all U.S. climate models employed a single software system, it could simplify testing and migration to new computing hardware, and allow scientists to compare and interchange climate model components, such as land surface or ocean models. A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling recommends an annual U.S. climate modeling forum be held to help bring the nation's diverse modeling communities together with the users of climate data. This would provide climate model data users with an opportunity to learn more about the strengths and limitations of models and provide input to modelers on their needs and provide a venue for discussions of priorities for the national modeling enterprise, and bring disparate climate science communities together to design common modeling experiments. In addition, A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling explains that U.S. climate modelers will need to address an expanding breadth of scientific problems while striving to make predictions and projections more accurate. Progress toward this goal can be made through a combination of increasing model resolution, advances in observations, improved model physics, and more complete representations of the Earth system. To address the computing needs of the climate modeling community, the report suggests a two-pronged approach that involves the continued use and upgrading of existing climate-dedicated computing resources at modeling centers, together with research on how to effectively exploit the more complex computer hardware systems expected over the next 10 to 20 years.

Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3

Author : Robert Barthorpe
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319747932
Total Pages : 303 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3 by : Robert Barthorpe

Download or read book Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3 written by Robert Barthorpe and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-07-30 with total page 303 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3: Proceedings of the 36th IMAC, A Conference and Exposition on Structural Dynamics, 2018, the third volume of nine from the Conference brings together contributions to this important area of research and engineering. The collection presents early findings and case studies on fundamental and applied aspects of Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, including papers on: Uncertainty Quantification in Material Models Uncertainty Propagation in Structural Dynamics Practical Applications of MVUQ Advances in Model Validation & Uncertainty Quantification: Model Updating Model Validation & Uncertainty Quantification: Industrial Applications Controlling Uncertainty Uncertainty in Early Stage Design Modeling of Musical Instruments Overview of Model Validation and Uncertainty

Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification

Author : Roger Ghanem
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9783319123844
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (238 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification by : Roger Ghanem

Download or read book Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification written by Roger Ghanem and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-08 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The topic of Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has witnessed massive developments in response to the promise of achieving risk mitigation through scientific prediction. It has led to the integration of ideas from mathematics, statistics and engineering being used to lend credence to predictive assessments of risk but also to design actions (by engineers, scientists and investors) that are consistent with risk aversion. The objective of this Handbook is to facilitate the dissemination of the forefront of UQ ideas to their audiences. We recognize that these audiences are varied, with interests ranging from theory to application, and from research to development and even execution.

Uncertainty Quantification in Multiscale Materials Modeling

Author : Yan Wang
Publisher : Woodhead Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0081029411
Total Pages : 604 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Quantification in Multiscale Materials Modeling by : Yan Wang

Download or read book Uncertainty Quantification in Multiscale Materials Modeling written by Yan Wang and published by Woodhead Publishing. This book was released on 2020-03-12 with total page 604 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty Quantification in Multiscale Materials Modeling provides a complete overview of uncertainty quantification (UQ) in computational materials science. It provides practical tools and methods along with examples of their application to problems in materials modeling. UQ methods are applied to various multiscale models ranging from the nanoscale to macroscale. This book presents a thorough synthesis of the state-of-the-art in UQ methods for materials modeling, including Bayesian inference, surrogate modeling, random fields, interval analysis, and sensitivity analysis, providing insight into the unique characteristics of models framed at each scale, as well as common issues in modeling across scales.

Uncertainty Quantification

Author : Ralph C. Smith
Publisher : SIAM
ISBN 13 : 1611977843
Total Pages : 571 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Quantification by : Ralph C. Smith

Download or read book Uncertainty Quantification written by Ralph C. Smith and published by SIAM. This book was released on 2024-09-13 with total page 571 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty quantification serves a fundamental role when establishing the predictive capabilities of simulation models. This book provides a comprehensive and unified treatment of the mathematical, statistical, and computational theory and methods employed to quantify uncertainties associated with models from a wide range of applications. Expanded and reorganized, the second edition includes advances in the field and provides a comprehensive sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification framework for models from science and engineering. It contains new chapters on random field representations, observation models, parameter identifiability and influence, active subspace analysis, and statistical surrogate models, and a completely revised chapter on local sensitivity analysis. Other updates to the second edition are the inclusion of over 100 exercises and many new examples — several of which include data — and UQ Crimes listed throughout the text to identify common misconceptions and guide readers entering the field. Uncertainty Quantification: Theory, Implementation, and Applications, Second Edition is intended for advanced undergraduate and graduate students as well as researchers in mathematics, statistics, engineering, physical and biological sciences, operations research, and computer science. Readers are assumed to have a basic knowledge of probability, linear algebra, differential equations, and introductory numerical analysis. The book can be used as a primary text for a one-semester course on sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification or as a supplementary text for courses on surrogate and reduced-order model construction and parameter identifiability analysis.

From Maps to Models

Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309449944
Total Pages : 135 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (94 download)

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Book Synopsis From Maps to Models by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book From Maps to Models written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2016-10-31 with total page 135 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States faces numerous, varied, and evolving threats to national security, including terrorism, scarcity and disruption of food and water supplies, extreme weather events, and regional conflicts around the world. Effectively managing these threats requires intelligence that not only assesses what is happening now, but that also anticipates potential future threats. The National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) is responsible for providing geospatial intelligence on other countriesâ€"assessing where exactly something is, what it is, and why it is importantâ€"in support of national security, disaster response, and humanitarian assistance. NGA's approach today relies heavily on imagery analysis and mapping, which provide an assessment of current and past conditions. However, augmenting that approach with a strong modeling capability would enable NGA to also anticipate and explore future outcomes. A model is a simplified representation of a real-world system that is used to extract explainable insights about the system, predict future outcomes, or explore what might happen under plausible what-if scenarios. Such models use data and/or theory to specify inputs (e.g., initial conditions, boundary conditions, and model parameters) to produce an output. From Maps to Models: Augmenting the Nation's Geospatial Intelligence Capabilities describes the types of models and analytical methods used to understand real-world systems, discusses what would be required to make these models and methods useful for geospatial intelligence, and identifies supporting research and development for NGA. This report provides examples of models that have been used to help answer the sorts of questions NGA might ask, describes how to go about a model-based investigation, and discusses models and methods that are relevant to NGA's mission.

Computer Simulation Validation

Author : Claus Beisbart
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319707663
Total Pages : 1056 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis Computer Simulation Validation by : Claus Beisbart

Download or read book Computer Simulation Validation written by Claus Beisbart and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-09 with total page 1056 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This unique volume introduces and discusses the methods of validating computer simulations in scientific research. The core concepts, strategies, and techniques of validation are explained by an international team of pre-eminent authorities, drawing on expertise from various fields ranging from engineering and the physical sciences to the social sciences and history. The work also offers new and original philosophical perspectives on the validation of simulations. Topics and features: introduces the fundamental concepts and principles related to the validation of computer simulations, and examines philosophical frameworks for thinking about validation; provides an overview of the various strategies and techniques available for validating simulations, as well as the preparatory steps that have to be taken prior to validation; describes commonly used reference points and mathematical frameworks applicable to simulation validation; reviews the legal prescriptions, and the administrative and procedural activities related to simulation validation; presents examples of best practice that demonstrate how methods of validation are applied in various disciplines and with different types of simulation models; covers important practical challenges faced by simulation scientists when applying validation methods and techniques; offers a selection of general philosophical reflections that explore the significance of validation from a broader perspective. This truly interdisciplinary handbook will appeal to a broad audience, from professional scientists spanning all natural and social sciences, to young scholars new to research with computer simulations. Philosophers of science, and methodologists seeking to increase their understanding of simulation validation, will also find much to benefit from in the text.

Demystifying Climate Models

Author : Andrew Gettelman
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3662489597
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (624 download)

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Book Synopsis Demystifying Climate Models by : Andrew Gettelman

Download or read book Demystifying Climate Models written by Andrew Gettelman and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-09 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book demystifies the models we use to simulate present and future climates, allowing readers to better understand how to use climate model results. In order to predict the future trajectory of the Earth’s climate, climate-system simulation models are necessary. When and how do we trust climate model predictions? The book offers a framework for answering this question. It provides readers with a basic primer on climate and climate change, and offers non-technical explanations for how climate models are constructed, why they are uncertain, and what level of confidence we should place in them. It presents current results and the key uncertainties concerning them. Uncertainty is not a weakness but understanding uncertainty is a strength and a key part of using any model, including climate models. Case studies of how climate model output has been used and how it might be used in the future are provided. The ultimate goal of this book is to promote a better understanding of the structure and uncertainties of climate models among users, including scientists, engineers and policymakers.

International Assessment of Research and Development in Simulation-based Engineering and Science

Author : Sharon C. Glotzer
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 1848166974
Total Pages : 313 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (481 download)

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Book Synopsis International Assessment of Research and Development in Simulation-based Engineering and Science by : Sharon C. Glotzer

Download or read book International Assessment of Research and Development in Simulation-based Engineering and Science written by Sharon C. Glotzer and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2011 with total page 313 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Simulation-Based Engineering and Science (SBE&S) cuts across disciplines, showing tremendous promise in areas from storm prediction and climate modeling to understanding the brain and the behavior of numerous other complex systems.In this groundbreaking volume, nine distinguished leaders assess the latest research trends, as a result of 52 site visits in Europe and Asia and hundreds of hours of expert interviews, and discuss the implications of their findings for the US government.The authors conclude that while the US remains the quantitative leader in SBE&S research and development, it is very much in danger of losing that edge to Europe and Asia.Commissioned by the National Science Foundation, this multifaceted study will capture the attention of Fortune 500 companies and policymakers.Distinguished contributors: Sharon C Goltzer, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA Sangtae Kim, Morgridge Institute for Research, USA Peter T Cummings, Vanderbilt University, USA and Oak Ridge National Laboratory, USA Abhijit Deshmukh, Texas A&M University, USA Martin Head-Gordon, University of California, Berkeley, USA George Em Karniadakis, Brown University, USA Linda Petzold, University of California, Santa Barbara, USA Celeste Sagui, North Carolina State University, USA Masanobu Shinozuka, University of California, Irvine, USA

Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards

Author : Jonathan Rougier
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107310768
Total Pages : 587 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (73 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards by : Jonathan Rougier

Download or read book Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards written by Jonathan Rougier and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-02-21 with total page 587 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assessment of risk and uncertainty is crucial for natural hazard risk management, facilitating risk communication and informing strategies to successfully mitigate our society's vulnerability to natural disasters. Written by some of the world's leading experts, this book provides a state-of-the-art overview of risk and uncertainty assessment in natural hazards. It presents the core statistical concepts using clearly defined terminology applicable across all types of natural hazards and addresses the full range of sources of uncertainty, the role of expert judgement and the practice of uncertainty elicitation. The core of the book provides detailed coverage of all the main hazard types and concluding chapters address the wider societal context of risk management. This is an invaluable compendium for academic researchers and professionals working in the fields of natural hazards science, risk assessment and management and environmental science, and will be of interest to anyone involved in natural hazards policy.

Energy and Water Development Appropriations for 2012: Dept. of Energy FY 2012 justifications (cont.)

Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on Energy and Water Development
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1092 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (121 download)

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Book Synopsis Energy and Water Development Appropriations for 2012: Dept. of Energy FY 2012 justifications (cont.) by : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on Energy and Water Development

Download or read book Energy and Water Development Appropriations for 2012: Dept. of Energy FY 2012 justifications (cont.) written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Appropriations. Subcommittee on Energy and Water Development and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 1092 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: