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Transmission Of Financial Stress In Europe
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Author :Ms.Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1484368193 Total Pages :28 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (843 download)
Book Synopsis Transmission of Financial Stress in Europe by : Ms.Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo
Download or read book Transmission of Financial Stress in Europe written by Ms.Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-05-02 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a stochastic volatility model to measure sovereign financial distress. It examines how key European sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads affect each other; specifically, the paper analyses the volatility structure of Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Spain and Portugal. The stability of Germany is a close proxy for the resilience of the euro area as markets use Germany’s sovereign CDS as a hedge for systemic risk. Although most of the CDS changes for Germany during 2009–12 were due to idiosyncratic factors, market developments in Italy and Spain contributed significantly, likely due to their relative importance in the region. Changes in Greece’s sovereign CDS had no significant effect on Germany’s sovereign CDS despite initial widespread concerns about such linkages. Spain and Italy show a notable co-dependence in explaining each other’s volatility while Germany also plays an important role. It is found that extreme bad news led to persistent and nearly permanent effects on the stochastic volatility of European sovereign CDS spreads.
Author :Ms.Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1484368347 Total Pages :28 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (843 download)
Book Synopsis Transmission of Financial Stress in Europe by : Ms.Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo
Download or read book Transmission of Financial Stress in Europe written by Ms.Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-05-02 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a stochastic volatility model to measure sovereign financial distress. It examines how key European sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads affect each other; specifically, the paper analyses the volatility structure of Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Spain and Portugal. The stability of Germany is a close proxy for the resilience of the euro area as markets use Germany’s sovereign CDS as a hedge for systemic risk. Although most of the CDS changes for Germany during 2009–12 were due to idiosyncratic factors, market developments in Italy and Spain contributed significantly, likely due to their relative importance in the region. Changes in Greece’s sovereign CDS had no significant effect on Germany’s sovereign CDS despite initial widespread concerns about such linkages. Spain and Italy show a notable co-dependence in explaining each other’s volatility while Germany also plays an important role. It is found that extreme bad news led to persistent and nearly permanent effects on the stochastic volatility of European sovereign CDS spreads.
Book Synopsis Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics by :
Download or read book Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics written by and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A financial stress index for the United States is introduced -an index that was used in real time by the staff of the Federal Reserve Board to monitor the financial crisis of 2008-9 and the interaction with real activity, inflation and monetary policy is demonstrated using a richly parameterized Markov-switching VAR model, estimated using Bayesian methods. A "stress event" is defined as a period where the latent Markov states for both shock variances and model coefficients are adverse. Results show that allowing for time variation is economically and statistically important, with solid (quasi) real-time properties. Stress events line up well with financial events in history. A shift to a stress event is highly detrimental to the outlook for the real economy, and conventional monetary policy is relatively weak during such periods.
Book Synopsis The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging Economies by :
Download or read book The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging Economies written by and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Determinants of Financial Stress in Emerging Market Economies by : Cyn-Young Park
Download or read book Determinants of Financial Stress in Emerging Market Economies written by Cyn-Young Park and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis of 2008/09 illustrates how financial turmoil in advanced economies triggered severe financial stress in emerging markets. Previous studies showed the conditions and linkages through which financial stress is transmitted from advanced to emerging markets. This paper extends the existing literature on the use of financial stress index (FSI) in understanding this transmission. The computed financial stress index for twenty-five emerging markets captures key episodes of financial stress in emerging economies and appears to follow financial stress in advanced economies. Using panel regression, we find that advanced and emerging market FSI (excluding the country) significantly increases domestic emerging market FSI; global and domestic factors are both significant; and common regional factor appears significant for emerging Asia and emerging Europe, implying the vulnerability of both regions to regional financial contagion. (Results for the vector autoregression with blocked exogeneity to be included).
Book Synopsis The European Sovereign Debt Crisis by : Phoebus Athanassiou
Download or read book The European Sovereign Debt Crisis written by Phoebus Athanassiou and published by . This book was released on 2021-08 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction -- The sovereign-banks Nexus : an economic analysis -- The European sovereign debt crisis as a source of case studies -- An economic analysis of policy options -- Closing the first channel of contagion from banks to sovereigns : Hitherto European actions and their critique -- Closing the second channel of contagion from sovereigns to banks : legal assessment of policy options.
Book Synopsis International Transmission of Financial Stress by : Jonas Dovern
Download or read book International Transmission of Financial Stress written by Jonas Dovern and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Financial Connectedness Between Eurozone Core and Periphery by : Georgios Magkonis
Download or read book The Financial Connectedness Between Eurozone Core and Periphery written by Georgios Magkonis and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the financial stress interconnectedness among GIIPS economies and Germany. Based on market level financial stress indices, it examines the stress transmission process as well as the causal network relationships in banking sector, bond, money and stock markets. The period under investigation, 2001-2013, allows to test the effects of financial crisis of 2008 as well as the subsequent European sovereign crisis. Using two alternative techniques for connectedness analysis, our evidence suggests that the peripheral economies of Italy and Spain play a highly significant role in the stress transmission in all markets, especially in the cases of banks and equity markets. Moreover, we visualize our results using network analysis. Contrary to common wisdom, Portugal, Ireland, and mainly Greece, do not seem to have an important role in amplifying stress levels.
Book Synopsis International Banking and Transmission of the 1931 Financial Crisis by : Olivier Accominotti
Download or read book International Banking and Transmission of the 1931 Financial Crisis written by Olivier Accominotti and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In May-July 1931, a series of financial panics shook Central Europe before spreading to the rest of the world. This paper explores how the 1931 Central European crisis propagated to the London and New York financial centers; it also examines the role of cross-border banking linkages in international crisis transmission. Using archival bank-level data, I document US and British banks' asset-side exposure to the crisis region. The Continental crisis disturbed few US banks but endangered several British financial institutions and triggered severe stress in the London money market. Central European credits were mostly held by large and diversified commercial banks in the United States and by small and geographically specialized financial institutions in Britain. Differences in the market structure of the trade finance industry explain why the 1931 Central European crisis infected London banks but not New York banks.
Book Synopsis Does Financial Connectedness Predict Crises? by : Ms.Camelia Minoiu
Download or read book Does Financial Connectedness Predict Crises? written by Ms.Camelia Minoiu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-12-24 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis has reignited interest in models of crisis prediction. It has also raised the question whether financial connectedness - a possible source of systemic risk - can serve as an early warning indicator of crises. In this paper we examine the ability of connectedness in the global network of financial linkages to predict systemic banking crises. Our results indicate that increases in a country's financial interconnectedness and decreases in its neighbors' connectedness are associated with a higher probability of banking crises after controlling for macroeconomic fundamentals.
Book Synopsis Economic Crisis in Europe by : Paul van den Noord
Download or read book Economic Crisis in Europe written by Paul van den Noord and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The European economy is emerging from its deepest recession since the 1930s. This volume, which brings together economic analysis from the European Commission services, explains how swift policy response avoided a financial meltdown. Europe also needs an improved co-ordinated crisis-management framework to help it respond to any similar situations that may arise in the future. Economic Crisis in Europe is a much-anticipated volume which shows that the beginnings of such a crisis-management framework are emerging, building on existing institutions and legislation and complemented by new initiatives.
Book Synopsis The Transformation of the European Financial System by : Vitor Gaspar
Download or read book The Transformation of the European Financial System written by Vitor Gaspar and published by . This book was released on 2003-01-01 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND ISBN 13 :9781589067578 Total Pages :227 pages Book Rating :4.0/5 (675 download)
Book Synopsis Global Financial Stability Report, October 2008: Financial Stress and Deleveraging Macrofi nancial Implications and Policy by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report, October 2008: Financial Stress and Deleveraging Macrofi nancial Implications and Policy written by International Monetary Fund and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2009-04-27 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Global Financial Stability Report identifies potential fault lines in the global financial system that could lead to crisis, while providing comprehensive coverage of mature and emerging financial markets. The GFSR focuses on current conditions in global financial markets, highlighting issues that could pose risks to financial market stability and market access by emerging market borrowers. The October 2008 GFSR reflects information available up to September 15, 2008.
Author :International Monetary Fund Staff Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :145197941X Total Pages :210 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (519 download)
Book Synopsis Global Financial Stability Report by : International Monetary Fund Staff
Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report written by International Monetary Fund Staff and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-04-08 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The events of the past six months have demonstrated the fragility of the global financial system and raised fundamental questions about the effectiveness of the response by private and public sector institutions. the report assesses the vulnerabilities that the system is facing and offers tentative conclusions and policy lessons. the report reflects information available up to March 21, 2008.
Book Synopsis Powering the Digital Economy: Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Finance by : El Bachir Boukherouaa
Download or read book Powering the Digital Economy: Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Finance written by El Bachir Boukherouaa and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-22 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.
Book Synopsis Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications by : Mr.Stijn Claessens
Download or read book Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.
Book Synopsis Corporate Liquidity and Solvency in Europe during COVID-19: The Role of Policies by : Mr.Christian H Ebeke
Download or read book Corporate Liquidity and Solvency in Europe during COVID-19: The Role of Policies written by Mr.Christian H Ebeke and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-02 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The spread of COVID-19, containment measures, and general uncertainty led to a sharp reduction in activity in the first half of 2020. Europe was hit particularly hard—the economic contraction in 2020 is estimated to have been among the largest in the world—with potentially severe repercussions on its nonfinancial corporations. A wave of corporate bankruptcies would generate mass unemployment, and a loss of productive capacity and firm-specific human capital. With many SMEs in Europe relying primarily on the banking sector for external finance, stress in the corporate sector could easily translate into pressures in the banking system (Aiyar et al., forthcoming).
