Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy in Armenia

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Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781451865080
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (65 download)

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Book Synopsis Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy in Armenia by : Mr.Holger Floerkemeier

Download or read book Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy in Armenia written by Mr.Holger Floerkemeier and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2006-11-01 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines monetary policy transmission in Armenia in light of the authorities' intention to shift to an inflation-targeting regime over the medium term. We find that the capability of monetary policy to influence economic activity and inflation is still limited, as important channels of monetary transmission are not fully functional. In particular, the interest rate channel remains weak, even though there is some evidence of transmission to prices of changes in the repo rate, the central bank's new operating target for inflation. As in other emerging and transition economies with a high degree of dollarization, the exchange rate channel has a strong impact on the inflation rate. Moreover, we find that inflation does respond to broad money shocks, once foreign currency deposits are included.

The Transmission Mechanism in Armenia

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455210773
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis The Transmission Mechanism in Armenia by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book The Transmission Mechanism in Armenia written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-11-01 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The introduction of inflation targeting in 2006, together with important economic developments such as dedollarization, marked the beginning of a new macroeconomic framework in Armenia, which is likely to have changed the effectiveness of monetary policy. This paper is the first attempt to analyze whether the transmission mechanism in Armenia has been subject to a structural break by employing a Markov-Switching VAR framework. Results support the existence of such a structural break around the time inflation targeting was introduced and reduced levels of dollarization were observed. Results from introducing a threshold variable into this framework furthermore show that reduced levels of dollarization are an important determinant of the effectiveness of monetary policy.

IMF Working Papers

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (842 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Working Papers by : Holger Floerkemeier

Download or read book IMF Working Papers written by Holger Floerkemeier and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange Rate, Money, and Wages

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate, Money, and Wages by : David A. Grigorian

Download or read book Exchange Rate, Money, and Wages written by David A. Grigorian and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-12 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper is the first attempt to look at inflation dynamics and monetary transmission mechanisms in Armenia in the context of a full information model containing three interrelated markets: foreign exchange, money, and labor. Using the vector error correction model (VECM) approach, we find that the exchange rate pass-through to prices is very strong relative to credit, wage, and interest rate channels. The analysis suggests a relatively fast adjustment of prices to long-run disequilibria in the exchange rate market, albeit with initial overshooting of the price level. In addition, we find no evidence of prices responding to changes in money and wages in a statistically significant manner.

Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513529730
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies by : Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques

Download or read book Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies written by Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-02-21 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Central banks in emerging and developing economies (EMDEs) have been modernizing their monetary policy frameworks, often moving toward inflation targeting (IT). However, questions regarding the strength of monetary policy transmission from interest rates to inflation and output have often stalled progress. We conduct a novel empirical analysis using Jordà’s (2005) approach for 40 EMDEs to shed a light on monetary transmission in these countries. We find that interest rate hikes reduce output growth and inflation, once we explicitly account for the behavior of the exchange rate. Having a modern monetary policy framework—adopting IT and independent and transparent central banks—matters more for monetary transmission than financial development.

Exchange Rate, Money, and Wages

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate, Money, and Wages by : David Grigorian

Download or read book Exchange Rate, Money, and Wages written by David Grigorian and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper is the first attempt to look at inflation dynamics and monetary transmission mechanisms in Armenia in the context of a full information model containing three interrelated markets: foreign exchange, money, and labor. Using the vector error correction model (VECM) approach, we find that the exchange rate pass-through to prices is very strong relative to credit, wage, and interest rate channels. The analysis suggests a relatively fast adjustment of prices to long-run disequilibria in the exchange rate market, albeit with initial overshooting of the price level. In addition, we find no evidence of prices responding to changes in money and wages in a statistically significant manner.

Republic of Armenia

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Republic of Armenia by : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Download or read book Republic of Armenia written by International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-12-14 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Republic of Armenia: Selected Issues

Modalities of Moving to Inflation Targeting in Armenia and Georgia

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Modalities of Moving to Inflation Targeting in Armenia and Georgia by : Andreas Billmeier

Download or read book Modalities of Moving to Inflation Targeting in Armenia and Georgia written by Andreas Billmeier and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-06 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the current monetary and exchange rate policy frameworks in Armenia and Georgia, and the challenges associated with the choice of a credible nominal anchor in the context of large nominal and real shocks. The paper makes a case for a gradual transition to full-fledged inflation targeting (FFIT) in both countries in the medium term. The implications of this option are examined from various angles. In particular, the monetary transmission mechanisms and compliance with major institutional prerequisites for successful FFIT adoption are analyzed. Based on this analysis, the paper identifies a series of short- and medium-term recommendations, drawing on the experience of emerging market countries that successfully moved to FFIT.

Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy in Armenia

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy in Armenia by : Era Dabla-Norris

Download or read book Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy in Armenia written by Era Dabla-Norris and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines monetary policy transmission in Armenia in light of the authorities' intention to shift to an inflation-targeting regime over the medium term. We find that the capability of monetary policy to influence economic activity and inflation is still limited, as important channels of monetary transmission are not fully functional. In particular, the interest rate channel remains weak, even though there is some evidence of transmission to prices of changes in the repo rate, the central bank's new operating target for inflation. As in other emerging and transition economies with a high degree of dollarization, the exchange rate channel has a strong impact on the inflation rate. Moreover, we find that inflation does respond to broad money shocks, once foreign currency deposits are included.

Republic of Armenia

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498387993
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Republic of Armenia by : International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Download or read book Republic of Armenia written by International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-03-11 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper analyzes scope for further de-dollarization policies in Armenia. High financial dollarization makes Armenia more vulnerable to external shocks and limits its capacity to respond. The de-dollarization strategy is broad and comprehensive, and has achieved a reduction of deposit dollarization during the past few years. Additional efforts should focus on reducing inflation volatility and external imbalances, using prudential regulations to increase foreign currency liquidity in the banking system, and strengthening the monitoring of currency mismatches. International experience suggests, however, that further reductions in dollarization are likely to occur only gradually.

Strengthening Monetary Policy Frameworks in the Caucasus and Central Asia

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Strengthening Monetary Policy Frameworks in the Caucasus and Central Asia by : Mr. Tigran Poghosyan

Download or read book Strengthening Monetary Policy Frameworks in the Caucasus and Central Asia written by Mr. Tigran Poghosyan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-08-28 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Amidst a global backdrop of persistent post-COVID inflation and spillovers from Russia’s war in Ukraine, the countries of the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) region have faced strong price pressures in recent years. Inflation is estimated to have peaked in early 2023, but still exceeds central bank targets. In particular, core inflation remains stubbornly high reflecting a combination of second-round effects, surges in global energy and food prices, and domestic demand pressures. More broadly, uncertainty and downside risks also weigh on the economic outlook, including due to regional tensions, financial turmoil related to international monetary policy normalization, and a growth slowdown in key trading partners. In this context, CCA countries’ ability to contain inflationary pressures and anchor inflation expectations hinges on the credibility and effectiveness of their monetary policy frameworks. Since gaining independence in the 1990s, countries in the CCA region have made considerable progress in modernizing their monetary policy frameworks. CCA central banks have strengthened their legal frameworks and established broad de-jure independence. Armenia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, and Uzbekistan are transitioning to inflation targeting regimes, while the central banks of Azerbaijan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan rely on the exchange rate as an operational target. However, the post-COVID surge in inflation has highlighted the limitations of current frameworks and triggered a fresh policy debate on the need to strengthen monetary policy effectiveness in the CCA. This paper reviews the CCA region’s monetary policy landscape, highlights challenges in monetary policy design and implementation, and identifies areas that warrant strengthening. It draws on original surveys of country authorities, IMF country teams, and the work by Unsal and others (2022). It uses novel empirical work to analyze monetary policy transmission, the link between foreign exchange interventions and exchange rate dynamics, the drivers of financial de-dollarization, and the effects of central bank communication in the CCA.

Aspects of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Under Exchange Rate Targeting

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (535 download)

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Book Synopsis Aspects of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Under Exchange Rate Targeting by : Joaquim Vieira Ferreira Levy

Download or read book Aspects of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism Under Exchange Rate Targeting written by Joaquim Vieira Ferreira Levy and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498344062
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-10-23 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past two decades, many low- and lower-middle income countries (LLMICs) have improved control over fiscal policy, liberalized and deepened financial markets, and stabilized inflation at moderate levels. Monetary policy frameworks that have helped achieve these ends are being challenged by continued financial development and increased exposure to global capital markets. Many policymakers aspire to move beyond the basics of stability to implement monetary policy frameworks that better anchor inflation and promote macroeconomic stability and growth. Many of these LLMICs are thus considering and implementing improvements to their monetary policy frameworks. The recent successes of some LLMICs and the experiences of emerging and advanced economies, both early in their policy modernization process and following the global financial crisis, are valuable in identifying desirable features of such frameworks. This paper draws on those lessons to provide guidance on key elements of effective monetary policy frameworks for LLMICs.

Conditionality in Evolving Monetary Policy Regimes

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498343694
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Conditionality in Evolving Monetary Policy Regimes by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Conditionality in Evolving Monetary Policy Regimes written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-05-03 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With single-digit inflation and substantial financial deepening, developing countries are adopting more flexible and forward-looking monetary policy frameworks and ascribing a greater role to policy interest rates and inflation objectives. While some countries have adopted formal inflation targeting regimes, others have developed frameworks with greater target flexibility to accommodate changing money demand, use of policy rates to signal the monetary policy stance, and implicit inflation targets.

Inflation in Tajikistan

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451962177
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation in Tajikistan by : Svetlana Vtyurina

Download or read book Inflation in Tajikistan written by Svetlana Vtyurina and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper attempts to explain short- and long-term dynamics of-and forecast-inflation in Tajikistan using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Autoregressive Moving Average Model (ARMA). By analyzing different transmission channels through the VECM, we were able to evaluate their relative dominance, magnitude, and speed of transition to the equilibrium price level, with the view of identifying those policy tools that will enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy. We found that excess supply of broad money is inflationary in both the short and long term. The dynamic analysis also demonstrates that the exchange rate and international inflation have a strong impact on local prices. Available monetary instruments, such as the refinancing rate, have proven to be ineffective. Therefore, the Tajik monetary authority could greatly benefit from enhancing its monetary instruments toolkit, including by developing the interest rate channel, to improve its monetary policy execution and to achieve stable inflationary conditions.

Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanisms in Pacific Island Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455254274
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanisms in Pacific Island Countries by : Mr.Jonathan C. Dunn

Download or read book Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanisms in Pacific Island Countries written by Mr.Jonathan C. Dunn and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-04-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the global financial crisis, central banks in Pacific island countries eased monetary policy to stimulate economic activity. Judging by the ensuing movements in commercial bank interest rates and private sector credit, monetary policy transmission appears to be weak. This is confirmed by an empirical examination of interest rate pass-through and credit growth. Weak credit demand and underdeveloped financial markets seem to have limited the effectiveness of monetary policy, but the inflexibility of exchange rates and rising real interest rates have also served to frustrate the central banks’ efforts despite a supporting fiscal policy. While highlighting the importance of developing domestic financial markets in the long run, this experience also points to the need to coordinate macroeconomic policies and to use all macroeconomic tools available in conducting countercyclical policies, including exchange rate flexibility.

Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the East African Community

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475553498
Total Pages : 59 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the East African Community by : Mr.Hamid Reza Davoodi

Download or read book Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the East African Community written by Mr.Hamid Reza Davoodi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-02-06 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do changes in monetary policy affect inflation and output in the East African Community (EAC)? We find that (i) Monetary Transmission Mechanism (MTM) tends to be generally weak when using standard statistical inferences, but somewhat strong when using non-standard inference methods; (ii) when MTM is present, the precise transmission channels and their importance differ across countries; and (iii) reserve money and the policy rate, two frequently used instruments of monetary policy, sometimes move in directions that exert offsetting expansionary and contractionary effects on inflation—posing challenges to harmonization of monetary policies across the EAC and transition to a future East African Monetary Union. The paper offers some suggestions for strengthening the MTM in the EAC.