Threshold Effects of Sovereign Debt

Download Threshold Effects of Sovereign Debt PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475504500
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Threshold Effects of Sovereign Debt by : Kevin Greenidge

Download or read book Threshold Effects of Sovereign Debt written by Kevin Greenidge and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-06-01 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper addresses the issue of threshold effects between public debt and economic growth in the Caribbean. The main finding is that there exists a threshold debt to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio of 55–56 percent. Moreover, the debt dynamics begin changing well before this threshold is reached. Specifically, at debt levels lower than 30 percent of GDP, increases in the debt-to-GDP ratio are associated with faster economic growth. However, as debt rises beyond 30 percent, the effects on economic growth diminishes rapidly and at debt levels reaching 55-56 percent of GDP, the growth impacts switch from positive to negative. Thus, beyond this threshold, debt becomes a drag on growth.

Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth?

Download Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth? PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513513354
Total Pages : 59 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth? by : Mr.Alexander Chudik

Download or read book Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth? written by Mr.Alexander Chudik and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-09-08 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt-growth relation varies with the level of indebtedness. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop tests for threshold effects in the context of dynamic heterogeneous panel data models with cross-sectionally dependent errors and illustrate, by means of Monte Carlo experiments, that they perform well in small samples. On the empirical side, using data on a sample of 40 countries (grouped into advanced and developing) over the 1965- 2010 period, we find no evidence for a universally applicable threshold effect in the relationship between public debt and economic growth, once we account for the impact of global factors and their spillover effects. Regardless of the threshold, however, we find significant negative long-run effects of public debt build-up on output growth. Provided that public debt is on a downward trajectory, a country with a high level of debt can grow just as fast as its peers in the long run.

Public Debt and Growth

Download Public Debt and Growth PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455201855
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Public Debt and Growth by : Jaejoon Woo

Download or read book Public Debt and Growth written by Jaejoon Woo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-07-01 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores the impact of high public debt on long-run economic growth. The analysis, based on a panel of advanced and emerging economies over almost four decades, takes into account a broad range of determinants of growth as well as various estimation issues including reverse causality and endogeneity. In addition, threshold effects, nonlinearities, and differences between advanced and emerging market economies are examined. The empirical results suggest an inverse relationship between initial debt and subsequent growth, controlling for other determinants of growth: on average, a 10 percentage point increase in the initial debt-to-GDP ratio is associated with a slowdown in annual real per capita GDP growth of around 0.2 percentage points per year, with the impact being somewhat smaller in advanced economies. There is some evidence of nonlinearity with higher levels of initial debt having a proportionately larger negative effect on subsequent growth. Analysis of the components of growth suggests that the adverse effect largely reflects a slowdown in labor productivity growth mainly due to reduced investment and slower growth of capital stock.

Is There a Debt-Threshold Effect on Output Growth?

Download Is There a Debt-Threshold Effect on Output Growth? PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Is There a Debt-Threshold Effect on Output Growth? by : Alexander Chudik

Download or read book Is There a Debt-Threshold Effect on Output Growth? written by Alexander Chudik and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt-growth relation varies with the level of indebtedness. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop tests for threshold effects in the context of dynamic heterogeneous panel data models with crosssectionally dependent errors and illustrate, by means of Monte Carlo experiments, that they perform well in small samples. On the empirical side, using data on a sample of 40 countries (grouped into advanced and developing) over the 1965-2010 period, we find no evidence for a universally applicable threshold effect in the relationship between public debt and economic growth, once we account for the impact of global factors and their spillover effects. Regardless of the threshold, however, we find significant negative long-run effects of public debt build-up on output growth. Provided that public debt is on a downward trajectory, a country with a high level of debt can grow just as fast as its peers.

Debt and Growth

Download Debt and Growth PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484306449
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Debt and Growth by : Mr.Andrea Pescatori

Download or read book Debt and Growth written by Mr.Andrea Pescatori and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-02-13 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a novel empirical approach and an extensive dataset developed by the Fiscal Affairs Department of the IMF, we find no evidence of any particular debt threshold above which medium-term growth prospects are dramatically compromised. Furthermore, we find the debt trajectory can be as important as the debt level in understanding future growth prospects, since countries with high but declining debt appear to grow equally as fast as countries with lower debt. Notwithstanding this, we find some evidence that higher debt is associated with a higher degree of output volatility.

Public Debt and Economic Growth

Download Public Debt and Economic Growth PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642017452
Total Pages : 148 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (42 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Public Debt and Economic Growth by : Alfred Greiner

Download or read book Public Debt and Economic Growth written by Alfred Greiner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-07-24 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Starting point of this book is the observation that an increase in public debt must be accompanied by a rise in the primary surplus of the government to guarantee sustainability of public debt. The book first elaborates on that principle from a theoretical point of view and then tests whether empirical evidence for that rule can be found. Additional tests are implemented to gain further evidence on sustainability of public debt. In order to allow for time varying coefficients penalized spline estimations are performed. The theoretical chapters present endogenous growth models and assume that the primary surplus rises as public debt increases so that sustainability of public debt is given. Implications of public deficits and debt are studied assuming full employment and for unemployment. The conclusion summarizes the findings and compares the results of the different models. Finally, policy implications are given showing how governments should deal with high public debt to GDP ratios.

Debt Default and Democracy

Download Debt Default and Democracy PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 178811793X
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (881 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Debt Default and Democracy by : Giuseppe Eusepi

Download or read book Debt Default and Democracy written by Giuseppe Eusepi and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2018 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The original chapters in this book connect the microeconomic and macroeconomic approaches to public debt. Through their thought-provoking views, leading scholars offer insights into the incentives that individuals and governments may have in resorting to public debt, thereby promoting a clearer understanding of its economic consequences.

From Banking to Sovereign Stress - Implications For Public Debt

Download From Banking to Sovereign Stress - Implications For Public Debt PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498342434
Total Pages : 88 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis From Banking to Sovereign Stress - Implications For Public Debt by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book From Banking to Sovereign Stress - Implications For Public Debt written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-22 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores how banking sector developments and characteristics influence the propagation of risks from the banking sector to sovereign debt, including how they affect the extent of fiscal costs of banking crises when those occur. It then proposes practices and policies for the fiscal authorities to help manage the risks and enhance crisis preparedness.

The U.S. Public Debt

Download The U.S. Public Debt PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451841973
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The U.S. Public Debt by : Mr.Carlos M. Asilis

Download or read book The U.S. Public Debt written by Mr.Carlos M. Asilis and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-01-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The increase in the U.S. public debt over the past twelve years raises questions about its implications for investment and economic growth. This paper places these developments within an international and historical context and quantitatively examines the implications of various measures of the current U.S. public debt-to-GDP ratio on economic growth. The analysis is undertaken through extensions of recently developed endogenous growth models. The results suggest that while higher levels of the public debt may affect long-run economic growth negatively, the order of magnitude is not large enough to be a cause for serious concern.

Public Debt in Advanced Economies and its Spillover Effectson Long-Term Yields

Download Public Debt in Advanced Economies and its Spillover Effectson Long-Term Yields PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1463902204
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Public Debt in Advanced Economies and its Spillover Effectson Long-Term Yields by : Mr.Emre Alper

Download or read book Public Debt in Advanced Economies and its Spillover Effectson Long-Term Yields written by Mr.Emre Alper and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-08-01 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several models establish a positive association between public debt ratios and long-term real yields, but the empirical evidence is not always conclusive. We reconsider this issue, focusing in particular on possible spillover effects of large advanced economies' debt levels to other economies' borrowing yields, especially in emerging markets. We extend the existing literature by using real time expectations of fiscal and other macroeconomic variables for a large sample of advanced and emerging economies. We show that an increase in the public debt levels of large advanced economies - especially the United States - spills over to both emerging markets and other advanced economies' long-term real yields and that this effect is significant at the current levels of advanced economies' debt ratios.

Threshold Effects of Sovereign Debt

Download Threshold Effects of Sovereign Debt PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475514298
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Threshold Effects of Sovereign Debt by : Kevin Greenidge

Download or read book Threshold Effects of Sovereign Debt written by Kevin Greenidge and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-06-01 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper addresses the issue of threshold effects between public debt and economic growth in the Caribbean. The main finding is that there exists a threshold debt to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio of 55–56 percent. Moreover, the debt dynamics begin changing well before this threshold is reached. Specifically, at debt levels lower than 30 percent of GDP, increases in the debt-to-GDP ratio are associated with faster economic growth. However, as debt rises beyond 30 percent, the effects on economic growth diminishes rapidly and at debt levels reaching 55-56 percent of GDP, the growth impacts switch from positive to negative. Thus, beyond this threshold, debt becomes a drag on growth.

This Time Is Different

Download This Time Is Different PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691152640
Total Pages : 513 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis This Time Is Different by : Carmen M. Reinhart

Download or read book This Time Is Different written by Carmen M. Reinhart and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-08-07 with total page 513 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An empirical investigation of financial crises during the last 800 years.

Global Waves of Debt

Download Global Waves of Debt PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815453
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Global Waves of Debt by : M. Ayhan Kose

Download or read book Global Waves of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.

Guidelines for Public Debt Management -- Amended

Download Guidelines for Public Debt Management -- Amended PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 149832892X
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Guidelines for Public Debt Management -- Amended by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Guidelines for Public Debt Management -- Amended written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-09-12 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL

The Sovereign Debt Crisis

Download The Sovereign Debt Crisis PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789461383372
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (833 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Sovereign Debt Crisis by : Anton Brender

Download or read book The Sovereign Debt Crisis written by Anton Brender and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The Sovereign Debt Crisis," 2012 edition, looked at how governments ran up substantial deficits in order to avert a worldwide depression and their subsequent attempts to rebalance their budgets. This updated edition concentrates on the delicate balancing act the economies of the United States, Japan, and the eurozone face between the present need to boost sluggish economic growth by providing sufficiently cheap, low-risk credit and the longer-term challenges of cutting massive debt and returning to a sustainable fiscal policy. The authors argue that many of the euro area economies, having noticeable difficulty paying their international debts, are in a sovereign debt crisis, while America and Japan are, for now, holding steady but in real danger of slipping into crisis. The book shows how the process has evolved in these three major developed economies and how their policy choices impact global financial markets.

A Guide and Tool for Projecting Public Debt and Fiscal Adjustment Paths with Local- and Foreign-Currency Debt

Download A Guide and Tool for Projecting Public Debt and Fiscal Adjustment Paths with Local- and Foreign-Currency Debt PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 151357728X
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis A Guide and Tool for Projecting Public Debt and Fiscal Adjustment Paths with Local- and Foreign-Currency Debt by : Mr. Santiago Acosta Ormaechea

Download or read book A Guide and Tool for Projecting Public Debt and Fiscal Adjustment Paths with Local- and Foreign-Currency Debt written by Mr. Santiago Acosta Ormaechea and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-28 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This guide presents the analytical underpinnings and a user manual for the Excel-based Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT).

The Motives to Borrow

Download The Motives to Borrow PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498312101
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Motives to Borrow by : Antonio Fatás

Download or read book The Motives to Borrow written by Antonio Fatás and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-10 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Governments issue debt for good and bad reasons. While the good reasons—intertemporal tax-smoothing, fiscal stimulus, and asset management—can explain some of the increases in public debt in recent years, they cannot account for all of the observed changes. Bad reasons for borrowing are driven by political failures associated with intergenerational transfers, strategic manipulation, and common pool problems. These political failures are a major cause of overborrowing though budgetary institutions and fiscal rules can play a role in mitigating governments’ tendencies to overborrow. While it is difficult to establish a clear causal link from high public debt to low output growth, it is likely that some countries pay a price—in terms of lower growth and greater output volatility—for excessive debt accumulation.