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Three Experiments On Decision Making Under Uncertainty In Dynamic Environments
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Book Synopsis Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty by : Vincent A. W. J. Marchau
Download or read book Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty written by Vincent A. W. J. Marchau and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-04 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work. The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.
Book Synopsis Decision Making Under Uncertainty by : Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Download or read book Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Mykel J. Kochenderfer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-07-24 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.
Book Synopsis Dynamics under Uncertainty by : Dragan Pamucar
Download or read book Dynamics under Uncertainty written by Dragan Pamucar and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2021-09-08 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dynamics of systems have proven to be very powerful tools in understanding the behavior of different natural phenomena throughout the last two centuries. However, the attributes of natural systems are observed to deviate from their classical states due to the effect of different types of uncertainties. Actually, randomness and impreciseness are the two major sources of uncertainties in natural systems. Randomness is modeled by different stochastic processes and impreciseness could be modeled by fuzzy sets, rough sets, Dempster–Shafer theory, etc.
Book Synopsis Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making by : Derek J. Koehler
Download or read book Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making written by Derek J. Koehler and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 680 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making is a state-of-the art overview of current topics and research in the study of how people make evaluations, draw inferences, and make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and conflict. Contains contributions by experts from various disciplines that reflect current trends and controversies on judgment and decision making. Provides a glimpse at the many approaches that have been taken in the study of judgment and decision making and portrays the major findings in the field. Presents examinations of the broader roles of social, emotional, and cultural influences on decision making. Explores applications of judgment and decision making research to important problems in a variety of professional contexts, including finance, accounting, medicine, public policy, and the law.
Book Synopsis Neuroeconomic and Behavioral Aspects of Decision Making by : Kesra Nermend
Download or read book Neuroeconomic and Behavioral Aspects of Decision Making written by Kesra Nermend and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-10-06 with total page 409 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This proceedings volume presents the latest scientific research and trends in experimental economics, with particular focus on neuroeconomics. Derived from the 2016 Computational Methods in Experimental Economics (CMEE) conference held in Szczecin, Poland, this book features research and analysis of novel computational methods in neuroeconomics. Neuroeconomics is an interdisciplinary field that combines neuroscience, psychology and economics to build a comprehensive theory of decision making. At its core, neuroeconomics analyzes the decision-making process not only in terms of external conditions or psychological aspects, but also from the neuronal point of view by examining the cerebral conditions of decision making. The application of IT enhances the possibilities of conducting such analyses. Such studies are now performed by software that provides interaction among all the participants and possibilities to register their reactions more accurately. This book examines some of these applications and methods. Featuring contributions on both theory and application, this book is of interest to researchers, students, academics and professionals interested in experimental economics, neuroeconomics and behavioral economics.
Download or read book IBSS: Economics: 1993 Vol 42 written by and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 1994 with total page 660 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This bibliography lists the most important works published in economics in 1993. Renowned for its international coverage and rigorous selection procedures, the IBSS provides researchers and librarians with the most comprehensive and scholarly bibliographic service available in the social sciences. The IBSS is compiled by the British Library of Political and Economic Science at the London School of Economics, one of the world's leading social science institutions. Published annually, the IBSS is available in four subject areas: anthropology, economics, political science and sociology.
Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Cognitive Science by : Susan E. F. Chipman
Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Cognitive Science written by Susan E. F. Chipman and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016-11-10 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cognitive Science is an avowedly multidisciplinary field, drawing upon many traditional disciplines or research areas--including Linguistics, Neuroscience, Philosophy, Psychology, Anthropology, Artificial Intelligence, and Education--that contribute to our understanding of cognition. Just as learning and memory cannot truly prove effective as disconnected studies, practical applications of cognitive research, such as the improvement of education and human-computer interaction, require dealing with more complex cognitive phenomena by integrating the methods and insights from multiple traditional disciplines. The societal need for such applications has played an important role in the development of cognitive science. The Oxford Handbook of Cognitive Science emphasizes the research and theory that is most central to modern cognitive science. Sections of the volume address computational theories of human cognitive architecture; cognitive functioning, such as problem solving and decision making as they have been studied with both experimental methods and formal modeling approaches; and cognitive linguistics and the advent of big data. Chapters provide concise introductions to the present achievements of cognitive science, supplemented by references to suggested reading, and additional facets of cognitive science are discussed in the handbook's introductory chapter, complementing other key publications to access for further study. With contributions from among the best representatives in their fields, this volume will appeal as the critical resource for the students in training who determine the future of cognitive science.
Book Synopsis Controlling Uncertainty by : Magda Osman
Download or read book Controlling Uncertainty written by Magda Osman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-07-18 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Controlling Uncertainty: Decision Making and Learning in Complex Worlds reviews and discusses the most current research relating to the ways we can control the uncertain world around us. Features reviews and discussions of the most current research in a number of fields relevant to controlling uncertainty, such as psychology, neuroscience, computer science and engineering Presents a new framework that is designed to integrate a variety of disparate fields of research Represents the first book of its kind to provide a general overview of work related to understanding control
Book Synopsis Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Experimental Economics by : Arthur Schram
Download or read book Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Experimental Economics written by Arthur Schram and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2019 with total page 437 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume offers a comprehensive review of experimental methods in economics. Its 21 chapters cover theoretical and practical issues such as incentives, theory and policy development, data analysis, recruitment, software and laboratory organization. The Handbook includes separate parts on procedures, field experiments and neuroeconomics, and provides the first methodological overview of replication studies and a novel set-valued equilibrium concept. As a whole, the combination of basic methods and current developments will aid both beginners and advanced experimental economists.
Book Synopsis Structural Dynamics, Volume 3 by : Tom Proulx
Download or read book Structural Dynamics, Volume 3 written by Tom Proulx and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-06-10 with total page 1545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This the fifth volume of five from the 28th IMAC on Structural Dynamics and Renewable Energy, 2010,, brings together 146 chapters on Structural Dynamics. It presents early findings from experimental and computational investigations of on a wide range of area within Structural Dynamics, including studies such as Simulation and Validation of ODS Measurements made Using a Continuous SLDV Method on a Beam Excited by a Pseudo Random Signal, Comparison of Image Based, Laser, and Accelerometer Measurements, Modal Parameter Estimation Using Acoustic Modal Analysis, Mitigation of Vortex-induced Vibrations in Long-span Bridges, and Vibration and Acoustic Analysis of Brake Pads for Quality Control.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Choice Modelling by : Stephane Hess
Download or read book Handbook of Choice Modelling written by Stephane Hess and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2024-06-05 with total page 797 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thoroughly revised second edition Handbook provides an authoritative and in-depth overview of choice modelling, covering essential topics range from data collection through model specification and estimation to analysis and use of results. It aptly emphasises the broad relevance of choice modelling when applied to a multitude of fields, including but not limited to transport, marketing, health and environmental economics.
Book Synopsis Improving Human Performance in Dynamic Tasks by : Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
Download or read book Improving Human Performance in Dynamic Tasks written by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-08-30 with total page 91 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is about improving human decision making and performance in complex, dynamic tasks. The defining characteristics of a dynamic decision task are that there are a number of decisions required, that decisions are interdependent and that the environment in which the decision is made is transient and feedback is pervasive. Examples of dynamic tasks include the sustainable management of renewable resources and how businesses might allocate resources for research and development (R&D) projects. Decision making in dynamic tasks can be improved through training with system dynamics–based interactive learning environments (ILE’s) that include systematic debriefing. Some key features of the book include its didactic approach, numerous tables, figures, and the multidimensional evaluative model. Researchers can use the developed “evaluation model” to gauge various decision-aiding technologies. How to Improve Human Performance in Dynamic Tasks appeals to those interested in the design and evaluation of simulation-based decision support systems, as well as policy makers, students, researchers, and industrialists concerned by the issue of improving human performance in organizational tasks.
Book Synopsis HCI and Usability for Medicine and Health Care by : Andreas Holzinger
Download or read book HCI and Usability for Medicine and Health Care written by Andreas Holzinger and published by Springer. This book was released on 2007-11-08 with total page 473 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the Third Usability Symposium of the Human-Computer Interaction and Usability Engineering Workgroup of the Austrian Computer Society, USAB 2007, held in Graz, Austria, in November 2007. The 21 revised full papers and 18 revised short papers presented together with one poster paper and one tutorial were carefully reviewed and selected from 97 submissions during two rounds of reviewing and improvement.
Book Synopsis Judgment and Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Descriptive, Normative, and Prescriptive Perspectives by : David R. Mandel
Download or read book Judgment and Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Descriptive, Normative, and Prescriptive Perspectives written by David R. Mandel and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2019-09-26 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports by :
Download or read book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 702 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis University of Michigan Official Publication by : University of Michigan
Download or read book University of Michigan Official Publication written by University of Michigan and published by UM Libraries. This book was released on 1999 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Each number is the catalogue of a specific school or college of the University.
Book Synopsis Judgment and Decision Making by : David Hardman
Download or read book Judgment and Decision Making written by David Hardman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-02-09 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Judgment and Decision Making is a refreshingly accessible text that explores the wide variety of ways people make judgments. An accessible examination of the wide variety of ways people make judgments Features up-to-date theoretical coverage, including perspectives from evolutionary psychology and neuroscience Covers dynamic decision making, everyday decision making, individual differences, group decision making, and the nature of mind and brain in relation to judgment and decision making Illustrates key concepts with boxed case studies and cartoons
