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Author : Nengzhi Jiang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 226 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (728 download)
Download or read book Three Essays on the Foreign Exchange Markets written by Nengzhi Jiang and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 496 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (94 download)
Download or read book Three Essays on Bubbles, Fundamentals and Efficiency in the Foreign Exchange Market written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 496 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Byong-Ju Lee
Publisher : Stanford University
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Three Essays in International Finance written by Byong-Ju Lee and published by Stanford University. This book was released on 2011 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of three essays on international finance. The first essay is "Exchange rates and Fundamentals". A new open interest rate parity condition that takes account of economic fundamentals is developed from stochastic discount factors (SDFs) of two countries. Through this parity condition, business cycles or fundamentals are linked to exchange rates. Key empirical findings from this parity condition are as follows. First, this model beats the random walk hypothesis: economic fundamentals explain exchange rate movements for high interest rate currencies. Exchange rates of low interest rate currencies act like a random walk because they are less correlated with fundamentals owing to their low risk. For example, U.S. business cycles explain the direction of changes in exchange rates against the dollar. The same thing is true for Japan. Second, this model resolves the forward premium puzzle: the forward premium puzzle is not a general characteristic as regarded in previous studies. It happens when the risk awareness of investors is low, during economic expansions and for low risk currencies. The second essay is "Carry Trade and Global Financial Instability". Carry trade, an opportunistic investment strategy that takes advantage of interest rate differential across countries, is identified the cause of the large-scale depreciations of peripheral currencies in the later half of 2008. A simultaneous equations model, which is derived from a conceptual partial equilibrium model for a local foreign exchange market, is estimated from a cross-sectional sample. The results suggest that the larger appreciation of the yen than the dollar was brought about by a lack of the local supply of the yen rather than a more severe crunch of yen credits. The third essay is "The Economic Origin of Letters of Credit". This essay discusses the economic origin of letters of credit, an instrument widely used in international trade. A game theoretical analysis shows that letters of credit improve efficiency in trade settlements, increasing returns in trade. A few notable facts on letters of credit are discussed. First, the new institution is adopted by merchant banks to maximize their profits and in the process, an improvement in efficiency of international transactions is obtained. Second, the organization established by the legacy institution, bills of exchange, played a critical role in adopting the new institution. Third, the legal enforcement is not essential in this economic institution. Finally, two drivers are identified that improve efficiency of transactions: concentration and projection.
Author : Yi David Wang
Publisher : Stanford University
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 133 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Three Essays on China's Foreign Exchange Markets written by Yi David Wang and published by Stanford University. This book was released on 2011 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation is a compilation of three essays I wrote during my investigation of China's foreign exchange markets. I list the abstract of each in the following paragraphs. Essay 1: Anomaly in China's Dollar--RMB Forward Market Newly-established data on onshore deliverable US dollar--RMB forwards and the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate from October 2006 to April 2009 reveal significant violations of covered interest rate parity. This paper hypothesizes that these violations are caused by an increase in US dollar-to-RMB conversion restrictions. Given that Chinese monetary authorities want to prevent market participants from taking advantage of the predictable appreciation of the RMB, China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange has to tighten up the control on US dollar-to-RMB conversions. Under the tightened conversion restrictions, similar deviations will resurface in the forward market whenever hot money inflow increases. One way to avoid covered interest rate parity violations in the forward market is to decrease hot money inflow into China by maintaining a stable and credible exchange rate policy. Essay 2: Convertibility Restriction in China's Foreign Exchange Market and its Impact on Forward Pricing Different from the well established markets such as the dollar-Euro market, recent CIP deviations observed in the onshore dollar-RMB forward market were primarily caused by conversion restrictions in the spot market rather than changes in credit risk and/or liquidity constraint. This paper proposes a theoretical framework under which the Chinese authorities impose conversion restrictions in the spot market in an attempt to achieve capital flow balance, but face the tradeoff between achieving such balance and disturbing current account transactions. Consequently, the level of conversion restriction should increase with the amount of capital account transactions and decrease with the amount of current account transactions. Such conversion restriction in turn places a binding constraint on forward traders' ability to cover their forward positions, resulting in the observed CIP deviation. More particularly, the model predicts that onshore forward rate is equal to a weighted average of CIP-implied forward rate and the market's expectation of future spot rate, with the weight determined by the level of conversion restriction. As a secondary result, the model also implies that offshore non-deliverable forwards reflect the market's expectation of future spot rate. Empirical results are consistent with these predictions. Essay 3: The Global Credit Crisis and China's Exchange Rate The case for stabilizing China's exchange rate against the dollar is strong. Before 2005 when the yuan/dollar rate was credibly fixed, it helped anchor China's domestic price level. But gradual RMB appreciation from July 2005 to July 2008 created a "one-way-bet" that disordered China's financial markets in two respects: (1) no private capital outflows to finance China's huge trade surplus leading to an undue build up of official exchange reserves and erosion of monetary control, and (2) a breakdown of the forward exchange market in 2007-08 so that exporters could no longer get trade credit—probably worsening the severe slump in Chinese exports. But after July 2008, the credit crunch induced an unexpected unwinding of the dollar carry trade leading to a sharp appreciation in the dollar's effective exchange rate. The People's Bank of China (PBC) then stopped RMB appreciation against the dollar. China's forward exchange market was restored and monetary control regained. Now the PBC can better support the fiscal stimulus by promoting a parallel expansion of bank credit. But, since March 2009, the fall in the dollar (with the RMB tied to it) again threatens to undermine the yuan/dollar rate and China's monetary stability.
Author : Siroos Khademalomoom
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (965 download)
Download or read book Three Essays on the Intraday Dynamics of the Foreign Exchange Market written by Siroos Khademalomoom and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Containing three essays on the intraday dynamics of the foreign exchange market, the dissertation highlights the role of higher-moments in improving the forecasting ability of exchange rates models while contributing to the literature through the identification of new calendar anomalies in the currency market which has implications for regulators and investors.
Author : Alain Chaboud
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 292 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Three Essays in International Economics written by Alain Chaboud and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Mr.Mark P. Taylor
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451947038
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)
Download or read book Intervention, Interest Rates, and Charts written by Mr.Mark P. Taylor and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-11-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper contains essays on sterilized intervention, on covered interest rate parity, and on chartist analysis in financial markets. Each essay contains a definition, brief survey of the empirical evidence and overall assessment of each topic.
Download or read book Three Essays on Price Discovery Between the Foreign Exchange Spot and Futures Markets written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Chu-Sheng Tai
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 242 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (432 download)
Download or read book Three Essays on International Asset Pricing written by Chu-Sheng Tai and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Two dimensions that complicate finance in an international setting are market segmentation and foreign exchange risk. With the increasing globalization of financial markets, these two effects require that many issues such as investment analysis, risk management, asset pricing and capital budgeting confronting financial professionals have to rethink in an international context. My dissertation consists of three essays that intend to address the following questions: "Can time-varying risk premia explain the deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP)?", "Is foreign exchange risk priced in international financial markets?", and "Are emerging financial markets integrated with world markets?"
Author : Byong-Ju Lee
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (748 download)
Download or read book Three Essays in International Finance written by Byong-Ju Lee and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of three essays on international finance. The first essay is "Exchange rates and Fundamentals". A new open interest rate parity condition that takes account of economic fundamentals is developed from stochastic discount factors (SDFs) of two countries. Through this parity condition, business cycles or fundamentals are linked to exchange rates. Key empirical findings from this parity condition are as follows. First, this model beats the random walk hypothesis: economic fundamentals explain exchange rate movements for high interest rate currencies. Exchange rates of low interest rate currencies act like a random walk because they are less correlated with fundamentals owing to their low risk. For example, U.S. business cycles explain the direction of changes in exchange rates against the dollar. The same thing is true for Japan. Second, this model resolves the forward premium puzzle: the forward premium puzzle is not a general characteristic as regarded in previous studies. It happens when the risk awareness of investors is low, during economic expansions and for low risk currencies. The second essay is "Carry Trade and Global Financial Instability". Carry trade, an opportunistic investment strategy that takes advantage of interest rate differential across countries, is identified the cause of the large-scale depreciations of peripheral currencies in the later half of 2008. A simultaneous equations model, which is derived from a conceptual partial equilibrium model for a local foreign exchange market, is estimated from a cross-sectional sample. The results suggest that the larger appreciation of the yen than the dollar was brought about by a lack of the local supply of the yen rather than a more severe crunch of yen credits. The third essay is "The Economic Origin of Letters of Credit". This essay discusses the economic origin of letters of credit, an instrument widely used in international trade. A game theoretical analysis shows that letters of credit improve efficiency in trade settlements, increasing returns in trade. A few notable facts on letters of credit are discussed. First, the new institution is adopted by merchant banks to maximize their profits and in the process, an improvement in efficiency of international transactions is obtained. Second, the organization established by the legacy institution, bills of exchange, played a critical role in adopting the new institution. Third, the legal enforcement is not essential in this economic institution. Finally, two drivers are identified that improve efficiency of transactions: concentration and projection.
Author : Keun Yeong Lee
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 314 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Three Essays on International Finance written by Keun Yeong Lee and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Xueyan Guo
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (71 download)
Download or read book Three Essays in International Finance written by Xueyan Guo and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Peter L. Bossaerts
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 266 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 ( download)
Download or read book Three Essays on Spot and Forward Foreign Exchange Rates written by Peter L. Bossaerts and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Yi David Wang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (727 download)
Download or read book Three Essays on China's Foreign Exchange Markets written by Yi David Wang and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation is a compilation of three essays I wrote during my investigation of China's foreign exchange markets. I list the abstract of each in the following paragraphs. Essay 1: Anomaly in China's Dollar--RMB Forward Market Newly-established data on onshore deliverable US dollar--RMB forwards and the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate from October 2006 to April 2009 reveal significant violations of covered interest rate parity. This paper hypothesizes that these violations are caused by an increase in US dollar-to-RMB conversion restrictions. Given that Chinese monetary authorities want to prevent market participants from taking advantage of the predictable appreciation of the RMB, China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange has to tighten up the control on US dollar-to-RMB conversions. Under the tightened conversion restrictions, similar deviations will resurface in the forward market whenever hot money inflow increases. One way to avoid covered interest rate parity violations in the forward market is to decrease hot money inflow into China by maintaining a stable and credible exchange rate policy. Essay 2: Convertibility Restriction in China's Foreign Exchange Market and its Impact on Forward Pricing Different from the well established markets such as the dollar-Euro market, recent CIP deviations observed in the onshore dollar-RMB forward market were primarily caused by conversion restrictions in the spot market rather than changes in credit risk and/or liquidity constraint. This paper proposes a theoretical framework under which the Chinese authorities impose conversion restrictions in the spot market in an attempt to achieve capital flow balance, but face the tradeoff between achieving such balance and disturbing current account transactions. Consequently, the level of conversion restriction should increase with the amount of capital account transactions and decrease with the amount of current account transactions. Such conversion restriction in turn places a binding constraint on forward traders' ability to cover their forward positions, resulting in the observed CIP deviation. More particularly, the model predicts that onshore forward rate is equal to a weighted average of CIP-implied forward rate and the market's expectation of future spot rate, with the weight determined by the level of conversion restriction. As a secondary result, the model also implies that offshore non-deliverable forwards reflect the market's expectation of future spot rate. Empirical results are consistent with these predictions. Essay 3: The Global Credit Crisis and China's Exchange Rate The case for stabilizing China's exchange rate against the dollar is strong. Before 2005 when the yuan/dollar rate was credibly fixed, it helped anchor China's domestic price level. But gradual RMB appreciation from July 2005 to July 2008 created a "one-way-bet" that disordered China's financial markets in two respects: (1) no private capital outflows to finance China's huge trade surplus leading to an undue build up of official exchange reserves and erosion of monetary control, and (2) a breakdown of the forward exchange market in 2007-08 so that exporters could no longer get trade credit--probably worsening the severe slump in Chinese exports. But after July 2008, the credit crunch induced an unexpected unwinding of the dollar carry trade leading to a sharp appreciation in the dollar's effective exchange rate. The People's Bank of China (PBC) then stopped RMB appreciation against the dollar. China's forward exchange market was restored and monetary control regained. Now the PBC can better support the fiscal stimulus by promoting a parallel expansion of bank credit. But, since March 2009, the fall in the dollar (with the RMB tied to it) again threatens to undermine the yuan/dollar rate and China's monetary stability.
Author : Kemal Burak Bekircan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (126 download)
Download or read book Three Essays on International Financial and Monetary Interactions written by Kemal Burak Bekircan and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation develops three essays on safe haven currency behavior and international monetary interactions. Essay one notes the dramatic appreciation of the U.S. dollar vis-Ã -vis all world currencies, along with its reversal after a year on the account of the Great Recession. This paper investigates bilateral U.S. dollar exchange rate movements during and in the aftermath of the Great Recession. I find that increasing global market uncertainty has a significant and consistent effect in strengthening of the U.S. dollar. This striking finding suggests flight-to-safety phenomenon of foreign investors, and repatriation of capital flows to the United States by the U.S. investors during and after the last financial crisis. This essay also demonstrates that global investors consider the 3-month and 1-year T-bill, the 5-year T-note, and the 20-year T-bond as the strongest safe haven instruments that can be bought and sold in U.S. dollars. In essay two, it is noted that existing literature assumes that the euro is a safe haven currency but there is no evidence whether it actually behaves as a safe haven. This essay studies the validity of the safe haven hypothesis for the euro. A safe haven currency works as a hedge in the face of extreme market uncertainty. The results of this research imply that the euro is a safe haven currency if the market uncertainty originates in the U.S. market. I show that there is no significant evidence to suggest that the euro serves as a safe haven currency if the uncertainty originates in the Euro-area. From the standpoint of world investors, however, this paper does not find any Euro-area safe haven asset (other than cash) using the EURO STOXX 50 Index as a measure of uncertainty. Essay three studies whether the European Central Bank or the Federal Reserve have an influence on monetary policy implementations of each other and other major industrialized countries since the advent of the euro. I find that the Federal Reserve causes an endogenous monetary policy response in the Euro-area, and in other non-US G7 countries, with the exception of Japan, during the conventional monetary policy period of the post-euro era. I also show that exogenous Euro-area conventional monetary policy innovations cause foreign monetary policy endogeneity in Canada and the UK, but do not cause similar endogeneity in the US and Japan. I define foreign monetary policy endogeneity as the reaction of G7 monetary authorities (that persists for at least two time periods) following a monetary policy innovation of the other. The results of this chapter further reveal that, with respect to the G7 economies, U.S. unconventional monetary policy shocks induce endogenous policy reactions only in Japan during the Great Recession and its aftermath. Unconventional monetary policy innovations by the European Central Bank, instead, lead to a response by the monetary authorities of Japan, the UK, and the US.
Author : Menzie David Chinn
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 318 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (33 download)
Download or read book Three Essays in International Finance written by Menzie David Chinn and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Alan Glen Isaac
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 252 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (34 download)
Download or read book Three Essays in International Economics written by Alan Glen Isaac and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
