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The Vix The Variance Premium And Stock Market Volatility
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Book Synopsis The VIX, the Variance Premium and Stock Market Volatility by : Geert Bekaert
Download or read book The VIX, the Variance Premium and Stock Market Volatility written by Geert Bekaert and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We decompose the squared VIX index, derived from US S&P500 options prices, into the conditional variance of stock returns and the equity variance premium. The latter is increasing in risk aversion in a wide variety of economic settings. We tackle several measurement issues assessing a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models. We then examine the predictive power of the VIX and its two components for stock market returns and economic activity. The variance premium predicts stock returns but the conditional stock market variance predicts economic activity, and is more contemporaneously correlated with financial instability than is the variance premium.
Book Synopsis Variance and Skew Risk Premiums for the Volatility Market by : José Da Fonseca
Download or read book Variance and Skew Risk Premiums for the Volatility Market written by José Da Fonseca and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We extract variance and skew risk premiums from volatility derivatives in a model-free way and analyze their relationships along with volatility index and equity index returns. These risk premiums can be synthesized through option trading strategies. Using a time series of option prices on the VIX, the most liquid volatility derivative market, we find that variance swap excess return can be partially explained by volatility index and equity index excess returns while these latter variables carry little information for the skew swap excess return. The results sharply contrast with those obtained for the equity index option market underlining very specific characteristics of the volatility derivative market.
Book Synopsis The Causal Relationship between the S&P 500 and the VIX Index by : Florian Auinger
Download or read book The Causal Relationship between the S&P 500 and the VIX Index written by Florian Auinger and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-02-13 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Florian Auinger highlights the core weaknesses and sources of criticism regarding the VIX Index as an indicator for the future development of financial market volatility. Furthermore, it is proven that there is no statistically significant causal relationship between the VIX and the S&P 500. As a consequence, the forecastability is not given in both directions. Obviously, there must be at least one additional variable that has a strong influence on market volatility such as emotions which, according to financial market experts, are considered to play a more and more important role in investment decisions.
Book Synopsis The VIX Index and Volatility-Based Global Indexes and Trading Instruments: A Guide to Investment and Trading Features by : Matthew T. Moran
Download or read book The VIX Index and Volatility-Based Global Indexes and Trading Instruments: A Guide to Investment and Trading Features written by Matthew T. Moran and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2020-04-28 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the past two decades, the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX® Index), a key measure of investor sentiment and 30-day future volatility expectations, has generated much investor attention because of its unique and powerful features. The introduction of VIX futures in 2004, VIX options in 2006, and other volatility-related trading instruments provided traders and investors access to exchange-traded vehicles for taking long and short exposures to expected S&P 500 Index volatility for a particular time frame. Certain VIX-related tradable products may provide benefits when used as tools for tail-risk hedging, diversification, risk management, or alpha generation. Gauges of expected stock market volatility for various regions include the VIX Index (United States), AXVI Index (Australia), VHSI Index (Hong Kong), NVIX Index (India) and VSTOXX Index (Europe). All five of these volatility indexes had negative correlations with their related stock indexes price movements, and all five volatility indexes rose more than 50% in 2008. Although the five volatility indexes are not investable, investors can explore VIX-based benchmark indexes that show the performance of hypothetical investment strategies using VIX futures or options. Before investing in volatility-related products, investors should closely study the pricing, roll cost, and volatility features of the tradable products and read the applicable prospectuses and risk disclosure statements.
Book Synopsis Beast on Wall Street by : Robert A. Haugen
Download or read book Beast on Wall Street written by Robert A. Haugen and published by Pearson. This book was released on 1999 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is now abundantly clear that stock volatility is a contagious disease that spreads virulently from market to market around the world. Price changes in one market drive subsequent price changes in that market as well as in others. In Beast, Haugen makes a compelling case for the fact that even under normal conditions, fully 80 percent of stock volatility is price driven. Moreover, this volatility is far from benign. It acts to reduce the level of investment spending and constitutes a significant and permanent drag on economic growth. Price-driven volatility is unstable. Dramatic and unpredictable explosions in price-driven volatility can send stock markets in a downward spiral and cause significant disruptions in economic activity. Haugen argues that this indeed happened in 1929 and 1930. If volatility in Asian markets persists, it can easily become the source of the problem rather than merely a symptom.
Book Synopsis Volatility Expectations and Returns by : Lars A. Lochstoer
Download or read book Volatility Expectations and Returns written by Lars A. Lochstoer and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide evidence that agents have slow-moving beliefs about stock market volatility that lead to initial underreaction to volatility shocks followed by delayed overreaction. These dynamics are mirrored in the VIX and variance risk premiums which reflect investor expectations about volatility and are also supported in surveys and in firm-level option prices. We embed these expectations into an asset pricing model and find that the model can account for a number of stylized facts about market returns and return volatility which are difficult to reconcile, including a weak, or even negative, risk-return tradeoff.
Book Synopsis Inferring Volatility Dynamics and Risk Premia from the S&P 500 and VIX Markets by : Chris Bardgett
Download or read book Inferring Volatility Dynamics and Risk Premia from the S&P 500 and VIX Markets written by Chris Bardgett and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper shows that the VIX market contains information that is not already contained by the S&P 500 market on the variance of the S&P 500 returns. We estimate a flexible affine model based on a joint time series of underlying indexes and option prices on both markets. We find that including VIX option prices in the model estimation allows better identification of the parameters driving the risk-neutral conditional distributions and term structure of volatility, thereby enhancing the estimation of the variance risk premium. We gain new insights on the properties of the premium's term structure and show how they can be used to form trading signals. Finally, our premium has better predictive power than the usual model-free estimate and the higher-order moments of its term structure allow improving forecasts of S&P 500 returns.
Book Synopsis Volatility of Volatility, Expected Stock Return and Variance Risk Premium by : Ruoyang Wang
Download or read book Volatility of Volatility, Expected Stock Return and Variance Risk Premium written by Ruoyang Wang and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Theory suggests a relationship between both volatility of volatility, variance risk premium, and the equity risk premium. We empirically investigate the relationship between volatility of volatility and the equity risk premium, and the relationship between the variance risk premium and the equity risk premium. We find that volatility of volatility alone explains 5 to 10% of the total variation of equity risk premium, and together with VIX data, it explains more than 20% of the total variation of equity premium. We fail to find a significant relationship between volatility of volatility and the variance risk premium.We use six measures of volatility of volatility based on non-parametric models, a GARCH model and VVIX data.
Book Synopsis The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics by : Jennifer Castle
Download or read book The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics written by Jennifer Castle and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2015-08-29 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Building upon, and celebrating the work of David F. Hendry, this volume consists of a number of specially commissioned pieces from some of the leading econometricians in the world. It reflects on the recent advances in econometrics and considers the future progress for the methodology of econometrics.
Book Synopsis Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives by : Yue Kuen Kwok
Download or read book Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives written by Yue Kuen Kwok and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-05-08 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives summarizes most of the recent research results in pricing models of derivatives on discrete realized variance and VIX. The book begins with the presentation of volatility trading and uses of variance derivatives. It then moves on to discuss the robust replication strategy of variance swaps using portfolio of options, which is one of the major milestones in pricing theory of variance derivatives. The replication procedure provides the theoretical foundation of the construction of VIX. This book provides sound arguments for formulating the pricing models of variance derivatives and establishes formal proofs of various technical results. Illustrative numerical examples are included to show accuracy and effectiveness of analytic and approximation methods. Features Useful for practitioners and quants in the financial industry who need to make choices between various pricing models of variance derivatives Fabulous resource for researchers interested in pricing and hedging issues of variance derivatives and VIX products Can be used as a university textbook in a topic course on pricing variance derivatives
Book Synopsis Variance Premiums in an Equilibrium Model with Two Stochastic Volatility Factors by : Cai Zhu
Download or read book Variance Premiums in an Equilibrium Model with Two Stochastic Volatility Factors written by Cai Zhu and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Variance premium is studied under a discrete-time consumption-based equilibrium model, with two stochastic volatility factors. The formulas for VIX and variance premium term structure are derived. As an empirical application of the model, the predicion power of VIX and variance premium term structure are studied, under the context of aggregate market return prediction. The implication of the model is that variance premium term structure contains information about two underlying volatility factors, and attitude of risks, therefore, should have prediction power for future equity returns. Use data of returns, realized variance and VIX term structure for S&P 500 index, the R2 of quarterly horizon prediction regression can achieve as high as 12%.
Book Synopsis Construction and Interpretation of Model-free Implied Volatility by : Torben G. Andersen
Download or read book Construction and Interpretation of Model-free Implied Volatility written by Torben G. Andersen and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The notion of model-free implied volatility (MFIV), constituting the basis for the highly publicized VIX volatility index, can be hard to measure with accuracy due to the lack of precise prices for options with strikes in the tails of the return distribution. This is reflected in practice as the VIX index is computed through a tail-truncation which renders it more compatible with the related concept of corridor implied volatility (CIV). We provide a comprehensive derivation of the CIV measure and relate it to MFIV under general assumptions. In addition, we price the various volatility contracts, and hence estimate the corresponding volatility measures, under the standard Black-Scholes model. Finally, we undertake the first empirical exploration of the CIV measures in the literature. Our results indicate that the measure can help us refine and systematize the information embedded in the derivatives markets. As such, the CIV measure may serve as a tool to facilitate empirical analysis of both volatility forecasting and volatility risk pricing across distinct future states of the world for diverse asset categories and time horizons.
Book Synopsis Expected and Realized Returns on Volatility by : Guanglian Hu
Download or read book Expected and Realized Returns on Volatility written by Guanglian Hu and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Expected returns on market volatility, which can be obtained from VIX futures in closed form, predict subsequent multi-period realized volatility returns. Expected volatility returns are negative on average, but become more negative after volatility increases. This generates a positive relation with subsequent realized returns on volatility, which are more negative following increases in volatility. Expected volatility returns also predict future index returns, because realized volatility returns are negatively correlated with realized index returns. We show how these results are related to existing results on the predictive power of the market variance risk premium, the slope of the VIX term structure, and the VIX premium. The results are robust to a wide range of variations in the empirical setup.
Book Synopsis Trading VIX Derivatives by : Russell Rhoads
Download or read book Trading VIX Derivatives written by Russell Rhoads and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-08-09 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide to using the VIX to forecast and trade markets Known as the fear index, the VIX provides a snapshot of expectations about future stock market volatility and generally moves inversely to the overall stock market. Trading VIX Derivatives will show you how to use the Chicago Board Options Exchange's S&P 500 volatility index to gauge fear and greed in the market, use market volatility to your advantage, and hedge stock portfolios. Engaging and informative, this book skillfully explains the mechanics and strategies associated with trading VIX options, futures, exchange traded notes, and options on exchange traded notes. Many market participants look at the VIX to help understand market sentiment and predict turning points. With a slew of VIX index trading products now available, traders can use a variety of strategies to speculate outright on the direction of market volatility, but they can also utilize these products in conjunction with other instruments to create spread trades or hedge their overall risk. Reviews how to use the VIX to forecast market turning points, as well as reveals what it takes to implement trading strategies using VIX options, futures, and ETNs Accessible to active individual traders, but sufficiently sophisticated for professional traders Offers insights on how volatility-based strategies can be used to provide diversification and enhance returns Written by Russell Rhoads, a top instructor at the CBOE's Options Institute, this book reflects on the wide range of uses associated with the VIX and will interest anyone looking for profitable new forecasting and trading techniques.
Book Synopsis A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility by : Ser-Huang Poon
Download or read book A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility written by Ser-Huang Poon and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-08-19 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial market volatility forecasting is one of today's most important areas of expertise for professionals and academics in investment, option pricing, and financial market regulation. While many books address financial market modelling, no single book is devoted primarily to the exploration of volatility forecasting and the practical use of forecasting models. A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility provides practical guidance on this vital topic through an in-depth examination of a range of popular forecasting models. Details are provided on proven techniques for building volatility models, with guide-lines for actually using them in forecasting applications.
Book Synopsis Volatility and Time Series Econometrics by : Mark Watson
Download or read book Volatility and Time Series Econometrics written by Mark Watson and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2010-02-11 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A volume that celebrates and develops the work of Nobel Laureate Robert Engle, it includes original contributions from some of the world's leading econometricians that further Engle's work in time series economics
Book Synopsis Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia by : Tim Bollerslev
Download or read book Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia written by Tim Bollerslev and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
