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The St Petersburg Paradox A Discussion Of Some Recent Comments
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Book Synopsis Collected Papers by : Robert J. Aumann
Download or read book Collected Papers written by Robert J. Aumann and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2000 with total page 806 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Robert Aumann's career in game theory has spanned over research - from his doctoral dissertation in 1956 to papers as recent as January 1995. Threaded through all of Aumann's work (symbolized in his thesis on knots) is the study of relationships between different ideas, between different phenomena, and between ideas and phenomena. When you look closely at one scientific idea, writes Aumann, you find it hitched to all others. It is these hitches that I have tried to study.
Book Synopsis The World the Game Theorists Made by : Paul Erickson
Download or read book The World the Game Theorists Made written by Paul Erickson and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2015-11-04 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent decades game theory—the mathematics of rational decision-making by interacting individuals—has assumed a central place in our understanding of capitalist markets, the evolution of social behavior in animals, and even the ethics of altruism and fairness in human beings. With game theory’s ubiquity, however, has come a great deal of misunderstanding. Critics of the contemporary social sciences view it as part of an unwelcome trend toward the marginalization of historicist and interpretive styles of inquiry, and many accuse its proponents of presenting a thin and empirically dubious view of human choice. The World the Game Theorists Made seeks to explain the ascendency of game theory, focusing on the poorly understood period between the publication of John von Neumann and Oscar Morgenstern’s seminal Theory of Games and Economic Behavior in 1944 and the theory’s revival in economics in the 1980s. Drawing on a diverse collection of institutional archives, personal correspondence and papers, and interviews, Paul Erickson shows how game theory offered social scientists, biologists, military strategists, and others a common, flexible language that could facilitate wide-ranging thought and debate on some of the most critical issues of the day.
Book Synopsis General Equilibrium, Growth, and Trade by : Jerry R. Green
Download or read book General Equilibrium, Growth, and Trade written by Jerry R. Green and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 422 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: General Equilibrium, Growth, and Trade: Essays in Honor of Lionel McKenzie provides information pertinent to the three main areas of Professor McKenzie's scientific research, namely, international trade, economic growth, and general equilibrium theory. This book highlights the main aspects of McKenzie's work. Organized into three parts encompassing 21 chapters, this book begins with an overview of the regularizing effects of aggregation over nonregular microrelations. This text then examines the theory of a multiperiod monopolist incurring nonseparable labor adjustment costs, which is developed when investment is irreversible. Other chapters consider the behavior of a price-maker in a competitive market as a preliminary step to a more complete analysis of pure competition. This book discusses as well the effects of uncertainty on optimal decisions, which constitutes an increasingly essential area of economic research. The final chapter deals with the general equilibrium macroeconomic model. This book is a valuable resource for economists and economic theorists.
Book Synopsis Algorithmic Learning Theory by : Ricard Gavaldà
Download or read book Algorithmic Learning Theory written by Ricard Gavaldà and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-09-21 with total page 410 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 20th International Conference on Algorithmic Learning Theory, ALT 2009, held in Porto, Portugal, in October 2009, co-located with the 12th International Conference on Discovery Science, DS 2009. The 26 revised full papers presented together with the abstracts of 5 invited talks were carefully reviewed and selected from 60 submissions. The papers are divided into topical sections of papers on online learning, learning graphs, active learning and query learning, statistical learning, inductive inference, and semisupervised and unsupervised learning. The volume also contains abstracts of the invited talks: Sanjoy Dasgupta, The Two Faces of Active Learning; Hector Geffner, Inference and Learning in Planning; Jiawei Han, Mining Heterogeneous; Information Networks By Exploring the Power of Links, Yishay Mansour, Learning and Domain Adaptation; Fernando C.N. Pereira, Learning on the Web.
Book Synopsis Ten Great Ideas about Chance by : Persi Diaconis
Download or read book Ten Great Ideas about Chance written by Persi Diaconis and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-10-23 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A fascinating account of the breakthrough ideas that transformed probability and statistics In the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries, gamblers and mathematicians transformed the idea of chance from a mystery into the discipline of probability, setting the stage for a series of breakthroughs that enabled or transformed innumerable fields, from gambling, mathematics, statistics, economics, and finance to physics and computer science. This book tells the story of ten great ideas about chance and the thinkers who developed them, tracing the philosophical implications of these ideas as well as their mathematical impact. Persi Diaconis and Brian Skyrms begin with Gerolamo Cardano, a sixteenth-century physician, mathematician, and professional gambler who helped develop the idea that chance actually can be measured. They describe how later thinkers showed how the judgment of chance also can be measured, how frequency is related to chance, and how chance, judgment, and frequency could be unified. Diaconis and Skyrms explain how Thomas Bayes laid the foundation of modern statistics, and they explore David Hume’s problem of induction, Andrey Kolmogorov’s general mathematical framework for probability, the application of computability to chance, and why chance is essential to modern physics. A final idea—that we are psychologically predisposed to error when judging chance—is taken up through the work of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. Complete with a brief probability refresher, Ten Great Ideas about Chance is certain to be a hit with anyone who wants to understand the secrets of probability and how they were discovered.
Book Synopsis Mathematics of Complexity and Dynamical Systems by : Robert A. Meyers
Download or read book Mathematics of Complexity and Dynamical Systems written by Robert A. Meyers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-10-05 with total page 1885 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematics of Complexity and Dynamical Systems is an authoritative reference to the basic tools and concepts of complexity, systems theory, and dynamical systems from the perspective of pure and applied mathematics. Complex systems are systems that comprise many interacting parts with the ability to generate a new quality of collective behavior through self-organization, e.g. the spontaneous formation of temporal, spatial or functional structures. These systems are often characterized by extreme sensitivity to initial conditions as well as emergent behavior that are not readily predictable or even completely deterministic. The more than 100 entries in this wide-ranging, single source work provide a comprehensive explication of the theory and applications of mathematical complexity, covering ergodic theory, fractals and multifractals, dynamical systems, perturbation theory, solitons, systems and control theory, and related topics. Mathematics of Complexity and Dynamical Systems is an essential reference for all those interested in mathematical complexity, from undergraduate and graduate students up through professional researchers.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Utility Theory by : Salvador Barbera
Download or read book Handbook of Utility Theory written by Salvador Barbera and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2004-03-31 with total page 636 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The standard rationality hypothesis is that behaviour can be represented as the maximization of a suitably restricted utility function. This hypothesis lies at the heart of a large body of recent work in economics, of course, but also in political science, ethics, and other major branches of the social sciences. Though this hypothesis of utility maximization deserves our continued respect, finding further refinements and developing new critiques remain areas of active research. In fact, many fundamental conceptual problems remain unsettled. Where others have been resolved, their resolutions may be too recent to have achieved widespread understanding among social scientists. Last but not least, a growing number of papers attempt to challenge the rationality hypothesis head on, at least in its more orthodox formulation. The main purpose of this Handbook is to make more widely available some recent developments in the area. Yet we are well aware that the final chapter of a handbook like this can never be written as long as the area of research remains active, as is certainly the case with utility theory. The editors originally selected a list of topics that seemed ripe enough at the time that the book was planned. Then they invited contributions from researchers whose work had come to their attention. So the list of topics and contributors is largely the editors' responsibility, although some potential con tributors did decline our invitation. Each chapter has also been refereed, and often significantly revised in the light of the referees' remarks.
Book Synopsis Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics by : Robert A. Meyers
Download or read book Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics written by Robert A. Meyers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-03 with total page 919 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.
Book Synopsis Advanced Microeconomics by : Harald Wiese
Download or read book Advanced Microeconomics written by Harald Wiese and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-08-11 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook for master programs in economics offers a comprehensive overview of microeconomics. It employs a carefully graded approach where basic game theory concepts are already explained within the simpler decision framework. The unavoidable mathematical content is supplied when needed, not in an appendix. The book covers a lot of ground, from decision theory to game theory, from bargaining to auction theory, from household theory to oligopoly theory, and from the theory of general equilibrium to regulation theory. Additionally, cooperative game theory is introduced. This textbook has been recommended and developed for university courses in Germany, Austria and Switzerland.
Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Economics by : Julia Köhn
Download or read book Uncertainty in Economics written by Julia Köhn and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-07-04 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book the author develops a new approach to uncertainty in economics, which calls for a fundamental change in the methodology of economics. It provides a comprehensive overview and critical appraisal of the economic theory of uncertainty and shows that uncertainty was originally conceptualized both as an epistemic and an ontological problem. As a result of the economic professions’ attempt to become acknowledged as a science, the more problematic aspect of ontological uncertainty has been neglected and the subjective probability approach to uncertainty became dominant in economic theory. A careful analysis of ontological theories of uncertainty explains the blindness of modern economics to economic phenomena such as instability, slumps or excessive booms. Based on these findings the author develops a new approach that legitimizes a New Uncertainty Paradigm in economics.
Book Synopsis Economic and Environmental Risk and Uncertainty by : Robert Nau
Download or read book Economic and Environmental Risk and Uncertainty written by Robert Nau and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 269 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 1980s and 1990s have been a period of exciting new developments in the modelling of decision-making under risk and uncertainty. Extensions of the theory of expected utility and alternative theories of `non-expected utility' have been devised to explain many puzzles and paradoxes of individual and collective choice behaviour. This volume presents some of the best recent work on the modelling of risk and uncertainty, with applications to problems in environmental policy, public health, economics and finance. Eighteen papers by distinguished economists, management scientists, and statisticians shed new light on phenomena such as the Allais and St. Petersburg paradoxes, the equity premium puzzle, the demand for insurance, the valuation of public health and safety, and environmental goods. Audience: This work will be of interest to economists, management scientists, risk and policy analysts, and others who study risky decision-making in economic and environmental contexts.
Book Synopsis On Rationality, Artificial Intelligence And Economics by : Daniel Muller
Download or read book On Rationality, Artificial Intelligence And Economics written by Daniel Muller and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2022-03-09 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The world we live in presents plenty of tricky, impactful, and hard-tomake decisions to be taken. Sometimes the available options are ample, at other times they are apparently binary, either way, they often confront us with dilemmas, paradoxes, and even denial of values.In the dawn of the age of intelligence, when robots are gradually taking over most decision-making from humans, this book sheds a bit of light on decision rationale. It delves into the limits of these decision processes (for both humans and machines), and it does so by providing a new perspective that is somehow opposed to orthodox economics. All Economics reflections in this book are underlined and linked to Artificial Intelligence.The authors hope that this comprehensive and modern analysis, firmly grounded in the opinions of various groundbreaking Nobel laureate economists, may be helpful to a broad audience interested in how decisions may lead us all to flourishing societies. That is, societies in which economic blunders (caused by over simplification of problems and super estimation of tools) are reduced substantially.
Book Synopsis Financial Economics by : Thorsten Hens
Download or read book Financial Economics written by Thorsten Hens and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-01 with total page 365 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial economics is a fascinating topic where ideas from economics, mathematics and, most recently, psychology are combined to understand financial markets. This book gives a concise introduction into this field and includes for the first time recent results from behavioral finance that help to understand many puzzles in traditional finance. The book is tailor made for master and PhD students and includes tests and exercises that enable the students to keep track of their progress. Parts of the book can also be used on a bachelor level. Researchers will find it particularly useful as a source for recent results in behavioral finance and decision theory.
Book Synopsis Axiomatic Utility Theory under Risk by : Ulrich Schmidt
Download or read book Axiomatic Utility Theory under Risk written by Ulrich Schmidt and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first attempts to develop a utility theory for choice situations under risk were undertaken by Cramer (1728) and Bernoulli (1738). Considering the famous St. Petersburg Paradox! - a lottery with an infinite expected monetary value -Bernoulli (1738, p. 209) observed that most people would not spend a significant amount of money to engage in that gamble. To account for this observation, Bernoulli (1738, pp. 199-201) proposed that the expected monetary value has to be replaced by the expected utility ("moral expectation") as the relevant criterion for decision making under risk. However, Bernoulli's 2 argument and particularly his choice of a logarithmic utility function seem to be rather arbitrary since they are based entirely on intuitively 3 appealing examples. Not until two centuries later, did von Neumann and Morgenstern (1947) prove that if the preferences of the decision maker satisfy cer tain assumptions they can be represented by the expected value of a real-valued utility function defined on the set of consequences. Despite the identical mathematical form of expected utility, the theory of von Neumann and Morgenstern and Bernoulli's approach have, however, IFor comprehensive discussions of this paradox cf. Menger (1934), Samuelson (1960), (1977), Shapley (1977a), Aumann (1977), Jorland (1987), and Zabell (1987). 2Cramer (1728, p. 212), on the other hand, proposed that the utility of an amount of money is given by the square root of this amount.
Book Synopsis Journal of Mathematical Economics by :
Download or read book Journal of Mathematical Economics written by and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 1030 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Machine Learning for Financial Engineering by : György Ottucsák
Download or read book Machine Learning for Financial Engineering written by György Ottucsák and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2012 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Preface v 1 On the History of the Growth-Optimal Portfolio M.M. Christensen 1 2 Empirical Log-Optimal Portfolio Selections: A Survey L. Györfi Gy. Ottucsáak A. Urbán 81 3 Log-Optimal Portfolio-Selection Strategies with Proportional Transaction Costs L. Györfi H. Walk 119 4 Growth-Optimal Portfoho Selection with Short Selling and Leverage M. Horváth A. Urbán 153 5 Nonparametric Sequential Prediction of Stationary Time Series L. Györfi Gy. Ottucsák 179 6 Empirical Pricing American Put Options L. Györfi A. Telcs 227 Index 249.
Book Synopsis Kalecki's Principle of Increasing Risk by : Tracy Mott
Download or read book Kalecki's Principle of Increasing Risk written by Tracy Mott and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
