The Risk-Return Relationship and Financial Crises

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 20 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Risk-Return Relationship and Financial Crises by : Eric Ghysels

Download or read book The Risk-Return Relationship and Financial Crises written by Eric Ghysels and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The risk-return trade-off implies that a riskier investment should demand a higher expected return relative to the risk-free return. The approach of Ghysels, Santa-Clara, and Valkanov (2005) consisted of estimating the risk-return trade-off with a mixed frequency, or MIDAS, approach. MIDAS strikes a compromise between on the one hand the need for longer horizons to model expected returns and on the other hand to use high frequency data to model the conditional volatility required to estimate expected returns. Using the approach of Ghysels, Santa-Clara, and Valkanov (2005), after correcting a coding error pointed out to us, we find that the Merton model holds over samples that exclude financial crises, in particular the Great Depression and/or the subprime mortgage financial crisis and the resulting Great Recession. We find that a simple flight to safety indicator separates the traditional risk-return relationship from financial crises which amount to fundamental changes in that relationship.

Money, Greed, and Risk

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780471626015
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Money, Greed, and Risk by : Charles R. Morris

Download or read book Money, Greed, and Risk written by Charles R. Morris and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume chronicles the evolution of modern financial markets against the backdrop of some of the finance world's most infamous crises. Financial periods are intricately and historically examined, simplifying the financial instruments and techniques so that even the non-financial reader can identify the pattern that Morris uncovers in the lead up to a crisis.

Extreme Downside Risk and Financial Crises

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (932 download)

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Book Synopsis Extreme Downside Risk and Financial Crises by : Richard D. F. Harris

Download or read book Extreme Downside Risk and Financial Crises written by Richard D. F. Harris and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Evaluation and Financial Crises

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Publisher : Pearson Education
ISBN 13 : 0132824663
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (328 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Evaluation and Financial Crises by : Vadim Tsudikman

Download or read book Risk Evaluation and Financial Crises written by Vadim Tsudikman and published by Pearson Education. This book was released on 2011-07-13 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The classification, measurement, and management of risk are central problems in the investment process. Over the past 25 years, Value at Risk (VaR) became the common universal standard in risk measurement. However, the financial crisis of 2007/2009 clearly demonstrated great discrepancies in risk estimates based on this indicator. In this report, three of the field’s leading experts objectively consider each key criticism of VaR in recent professional literature, including VaR’s underestimation of the magnitude and frequency of extreme outcomes, the difficulty of obtaining reliable VaR estimates for complex portfolios, the limited value of historical data, imperfections in the effective market hypothesis that underlies VaR, and several more. Next, the authors carefully review refinements and alternatives that have been proposed as potential replacements or complements, including Conditional VaR (Expected Shortfall), Shock VaR, modifications in the handling of parameters uncertainty, liquidity adjustment, higher moments, and more. They conclude by discussing why a sound risk management system continues to require deep understanding of complex adaptive and often irrational market mechanisms and still cannot be reduced to a mere combination of indicators, no matter how sophisticated they are.

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475561008
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications by : Mr.Stijn Claessens

Download or read book Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

Money, Greed, and Risk

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Publisher : Crown Business
ISBN 13 : 9780812931730
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (317 download)

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Book Synopsis Money, Greed, and Risk by : Charles R. Morris

Download or read book Money, Greed, and Risk written by Charles R. Morris and published by Crown Business. This book was released on 1999 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The world seems awash in financial crises. The Asian crisis of 1998, the near-demise of Long Term Capital Management, and the black hole of Russia are just a few of the most recent. Are they the result of greedy speculators, crony capitalism, or the warp speed of the forces of globalization? Can we send in the repairman and get things fixed through the legal and regulatory systems? Or are other causes at work that may be beyond our control? Money, Greed, and Risk is that rare book which, through adroit analysis of both historical and contemporary events and their leading players, lends new insights into the causes of financial turmoil. Charles Morris: Explores the eternal cycle of financial crises: from brilliant innovation to gross excess and inevitable crash, before investors and institutions catch up. Explains why the American financial system grew from a capital-starved backwater in the nineteenth century to one that plays the leading role in the world today. Examines the technological, economic, demographic, and industrial experiences that caused the financial engine to kick into such high gear in the 1980s and 1990s. Shows how the boom-and-bust cycle in early American history helps illuminate recent events in South Asia and Russia. In the process we become more realistic about what to expect during the nascent stages of capitalism and market development everywhere. Explains that globalization is nothing new. The investment system in the nineteenth century was perhaps even more global than the world today. Looks at contemporary financial geniuses--Michael Milken is a good example--and shows that they didn't invent any financial instruments thatnineteenth-century counterparts like Jay Gould hadn't already thought of. There are a handful of books about finance and the financial markets that are substantive enough to provide intellectual grist for sophisticated investors while also providing intriguing explanations of contemporary events that will be of interest to a general audience. Money, Greed, and Risk is one of them. Finance is the plumbing that makes capitalism run. And, like a good plumbing system, finance is invisible when working well. But just as a broken pipe can be a disaster, so too when the financial system breaks and crises and crashes occur. We look to understand the causes and Charles Morris provides unusual insights that bring our understanding to a new level.

The Risk Return Tradeoff in the Long-Run

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis The Risk Return Tradeoff in the Long-Run by : Christian T. Lundblad

Download or read book The Risk Return Tradeoff in the Long-Run written by Christian T. Lundblad and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The risk-return tradeoff is fundamental to finance. However, while many asset pricing models imply a positive relationship between the risk premium on the market portfolio and the variance of its return, previous studies find the empirical relationship is weak at best. In sharp contrast, this study, demonstrates that the weak empirical relationship is an artifact of the small sample nature of the available data, as an extremely large number of time-series observations is required to precisely estimate this relationship. To maximize the available time-series, I employ the nearly two century history of US equity market returns from Schwert (1990), exploring the empirical risk-return tradeoff for a variety of specifications that allow for asymmetric volatility, regime-switching, and additional factors associated with intertemporal (ICAPM) hedging demands. Similar to studies that use the more recent US equity price history, conditional market volatility in the historical data is persistent and displays strong asymmetric relationships to return innovations. Further, the conditional correlation between stock and bond markets is closely related to periods of documented financial crises. Finally, in contrast to evidence based upon the recent US experience, the estimated relationship between risk and return is positive and statistically significant across every specification considered.

Financial Crises

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Publisher : BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN 13 : 1789238579
Total Pages : 118 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (892 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises by : Stelios Markoulis

Download or read book Financial Crises written by Stelios Markoulis and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2021-01-14 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book on financial crises is written at a time when the whole world is facing another crisis, a different one this time; one that is related to our health, as well as the economy in a painful manner. The first chapter of this book focuses on the economic effects of this crisis with particular emphasis on the financial sector. The remainder of the book presents a selection of readings related to the GFC. These touch upon issues such as corporate governance; the effect of the collapse of the Lehman Brothers on the net-worth of financial and non-financial firms; securitization and why the alchemy “did not work”; and finally, a case-study on Turkey and in particular the Turkish short-term interest rates and exchange rates and their relationship to political developments.

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report

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Publisher : Cosimo, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 1616405414
Total Pages : 692 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (164 download)

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Book Synopsis The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report by : Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission

Download or read book The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report written by Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission and published by Cosimo, Inc.. This book was released on 2011-05-01 with total page 692 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, published by the U.S. Government and the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in early 2011, is the official government report on the United States financial collapse and the review of major financial institutions that bankrupted and failed, or would have without help from the government. The commission and the report were implemented after Congress passed an act in 2009 to review and prevent fraudulent activity. The report details, among other things, the periods before, during, and after the crisis, what led up to it, and analyses of subprime mortgage lending, credit expansion and banking policies, the collapse of companies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the federal bailouts of Lehman and AIG. It also discusses the aftermath of the fallout and our current state. This report should be of interest to anyone concerned about the financial situation in the U.S. and around the world.THE FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION is an independent, bi-partisan, government-appointed panel of 10 people that was created to "examine the causes, domestic and global, of the current financial and economic crisis in the United States." It was established as part of the Fraud Enforcement and Recovery Act of 2009. The commission consisted of private citizens with expertise in economics and finance, banking, housing, market regulation, and consumer protection. They examined and reported on "the collapse of major financial institutions that failed or would have failed if not for exceptional assistance from the government."News Dissector DANNY SCHECHTER is a journalist, blogger and filmmaker. He has been reporting on economic crises since the 1980's when he was with ABC News. His film In Debt We Trust warned of the economic meltdown in 2006. He has since written three books on the subject including Plunder: Investigating Our Economic Calamity (Cosimo Books, 2008), and The Crime Of Our Time: Why Wall Street Is Not Too Big to Jail (Disinfo Books, 2011), a companion to his latest film Plunder The Crime Of Our Time. He can be reached online at www.newsdissector.com.

How Risky Are Banks' Risk Weighted Assets? Evidence From the Financial Crisis

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1463933797
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)

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Book Synopsis How Risky Are Banks' Risk Weighted Assets? Evidence From the Financial Crisis by : Mr.Sonali Das

Download or read book How Risky Are Banks' Risk Weighted Assets? Evidence From the Financial Crisis written by Mr.Sonali Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study how investors account for the riskiness of banks' risk-weighted assets (RWA) by examining the determinants of stock returns and market measures of risk. We find that banks with higher RWA had lower stock returns over the US and European crises. This relationship is weaker in Europe where banks can use Basel II internal risk models. For large banks, investors paid less attention to RWA and rewarded instead lower wholesale funding and better asset quality. RWA do not, in general, predict market measures of risk although there is evidence of a positive relationship before the US crisis which becomes negative afterwards.

Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes, Second Edition

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319715283
Total Pages : 508 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes, Second Edition by : Harold L. Vogel

Download or read book Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes, Second Edition written by Harold L. Vogel and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-08-16 with total page 508 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists broadly define financial asset price bubbles as episodes in which prices rise with notable rapidity and depart from historically established asset valuation multiples and relationships. Financial economists have for decades attempted to study and interpret bubbles through the prisms of rational expectations, efficient markets, and equilibrium, arbitrage, and capital asset pricing models, but they have not made much if any progress toward a consistent and reliable theory that explains how and why bubbles (and crashes) evolve and can also be defined, measured, and compared. This book develops a new and different approach that is based on the central notion that bubbles and crashes reflect urgent short-side rationing, which means that, as such extreme conditions unfold, considerations of quantities owned or not owned begin to displace considerations of price.

Risk-Return Trade-Off on Currency Portfolios

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk-Return Trade-Off on Currency Portfolios by : Joseph Byrne

Download or read book Risk-Return Trade-Off on Currency Portfolios written by Joseph Byrne and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unconditional asset pricing models have generally found it challenging to identify evidence ofrisk aversion. This paper addresses this challenge by examining whether currency portfolios display an intertemporal risk-return relationship. We consider time-varying relations because investors' risk-aversion may change over time, based upon changing economic states. Moreover, we take into account a broad based measure of investors' expectation from a data rich environment and factor model. We identify that the relations between risk and return vary over time, and the risk-aversion parameters on momentum and value currency portfolios increased during the financial crisis. Those parameters can command both positive and negative values. Therefore traditional time-invariant models may not identify strong risk-return relations because state dependent evidence is "washed out."

Plight of the Fortune Tellers

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400824370
Total Pages : 303 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Plight of the Fortune Tellers by : Riccardo Rebonato

Download or read book Plight of the Fortune Tellers written by Riccardo Rebonato and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2007-09-17 with total page 303 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today's top financial-risk professionals have come to rely on ever-more sophisticated mathematics in their attempts to come to grips with financial risk. But this excessive reliance on quantitative precision is misleading--and it puts us all at risk. This is the case that Riccardo Rebonato makes in Plight of the Fortune Tellers--and coming from someone who is both an experienced market professional and an academic, this heresy is worth listening to. Rebonato forcefully argues that we must restore genuine decision making to our financial planning, and he shows us how to do it using probability, experimental psychology, and decision theory. This is the only way to effectively manage financial risk in a manner congruent with how human beings actually react to chance. Rebonato challenges us to rethink the standard wisdom about probability in financial-risk management. Risk managers have become obsessed with measuring risk and believe that these quantitative results by themselves can guide sound financial choices--but they can't. In this book, Rebonato offers a radical yet surprisingly commonsense solution, one that seeks to remind us that managing risk comes down to real people making decisions under uncertainty. Plight of the Fortune Tellers is not only a book for the decision makers of Wall Street, it's a must-read for anyone concerned about how today's financial markets are run. The stakes have never been higher--can you risk it?

Too Smart for Our Own Good: Ingenious Investment Strategies, Illusions of Safety, and Market Crashes

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Publisher : McGraw-Hill Education
ISBN 13 : 9781260440546
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (45 download)

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Book Synopsis Too Smart for Our Own Good: Ingenious Investment Strategies, Illusions of Safety, and Market Crashes by : Bruce I. Jacobs

Download or read book Too Smart for Our Own Good: Ingenious Investment Strategies, Illusions of Safety, and Market Crashes written by Bruce I. Jacobs and published by McGraw-Hill Education. This book was released on 2018-12-05 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How investment strategies designed to reduce risk can increase risk for everyone—and can crash markets and economies Financial crises are often blamed on unforeseeable events, the unforgiving nature of capital markets, or just plain bad luck. Too Smart for Our Own Good argues that these crises are caused by certain alluring investment strategies that promise both high returns and safety of capital. In other words, the severe and widespread crises we have suffered in recent decades were not perfect storms. Instead, they were made by us. By understanding how and why this is so, we may be able to avoid or ameliorate future crises—and maybe even anticipate them. One of today’s leading financial thinkers, Bruce I. Jacobs, examines recent financial crises—including the 1987 stock market crash, the 1998 collapse of the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management, the 2007–2008 credit crisis, and the European debt crisis—and reveals the common threads that explain these market disruptions. In each case, investors in search of safety were drawn to novel strategies that were intended to reduce risk but actually magnified it—and blew up markets. Too Smart for Our Own Good takes a behind-the-curtain look at: • The inseparable nature of investment risk and reward and the often counterproductive effects of some popular approaches for reducing risk • A trading strategy known as portfolio insurance and the key role it played in the 1987 stock market crash • How option-related trading disrupted markets in the decade following the 1987 crash • Why the demise of Long-Term Capital Management in 1998 wreaked havoc on US stock and bond markets • How mortgage-backed financial products, by shifting risk from one party to another, created the credit crisis of 2007–2008 and contributed to the subsequent European debt crisis This broad, detailed investigation of financial crises is the most penetrating and objective look at the subject to date. In addition, Jacobs, an industry insider, offers invaluable insights into the nature of investment risk and reward, and how to manage risk. Risk is unavoidable—especially in investing—and financial markets connect us all. Until we accept these facts and manage risk in responsible ways, major crises will always be just around the bend. Too Smart for Our Own Good is a big step toward smarter investing—and a better financial future for everyone.

Financial Crises

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484355261
Total Pages : 754 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises by : Mr.Stijn Claessens

Download or read book Financial Crises written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-02-19 with total page 754 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The lingering effects of the economic crisis are still visible—this shows a clear need to improve our understanding of financial crises. This book surveys a wide range of crises, including banking, balance of payments, and sovereign debt crises. It begins with an overview of the various types of crises and introduces a comprehensive database of crises. Broad lessons on crisis prevention and management, as well as the short-term economic effects of crises, recessions, and recoveries, are discussed.

Financial Crisis and Changes in Determinants of Risk and Return

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crisis and Changes in Determinants of Risk and Return by : Yaz Gulnur Muradoglu

Download or read book Financial Crisis and Changes in Determinants of Risk and Return written by Yaz Gulnur Muradoglu and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines how determinants of volatility and stock returns change with financial crisis. The contributions of the paper are twofold. First, using a GARCH-M framework, risk and return are jointly modeled by using macroeconomic variables both in the variance and the mean equations. The conditional variance equation is specified by including macro-economic variables, a relevant information set for emerging economies, that is often overlooked in various GARCH specifications. Second, determinants of risk and return are investigated before during and after a major financial crisis at ISE. We show that, both the determinants of risk and the risk-return relationship change as the economy switches from one regime to the other.

After the Great Complacence

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191620351
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis After the Great Complacence by : Ewald Engelen

Download or read book After the Great Complacence written by Ewald Engelen and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2011-09-29 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What is the relationship between the financial system and politics? In a democratic system, what kind of control should elected governments have over the financial markets? What policies should be implemented to regulate them? What is the role played by different elites - financial, technocratic, and political - in the operation and regulation of the financial system? And what role should citizens, investors, and savers play? These are some of the questions addressed in this challenging analysis of the particular features of the contemporary capitalist economy in Britain, the USA, and Western Europe. The authors argue that the causes of the financial crisis lay in the bricolage and innovation in financial markets, resulting in long chains and circuits of transactions and instruments that enabled bankers to earn fees, but which did not sufficiently take into account system risk, uncertainty, and unintended consequences. In the wake of the crisis, the authors argue that social scientists, governments, and citizens need to re-engage with the political dimensions of financial markets. This book offers a controversial and accessible exploration of the disorders of our financial capitalism and its justifications. With an innovative emphasis on the economically 'undisclosed' and the political 'mystifying', it combines technical understanding of finance, cultural analysis, and al political account of interests and institutions.