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The Rational Expectations Hypothesis In Models Of Primary Commodity Prices
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Book Synopsis The Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Models of Primary Commodity Prices by : C. L. Gilbert
Download or read book The Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Models of Primary Commodity Prices written by C. L. Gilbert and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The standard linear model fails to account for primary commodity price movements in any significant area, so it is important to do more empirical work to learn to which commodities this nonlinear model applies.
Book Synopsis Rational Expectations and Commodity Price Forecasts by : Boum-Jong Choe
Download or read book Rational Expectations and Commodity Price Forecasts written by Boum-Jong Choe and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Rational Expectations and Commodity Price Forecasts by : Boum Jong Choe
Download or read book Rational Expectations and Commodity Price Forecasts written by Boum Jong Choe and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasts for the primary commodity market by the Bank's International Commodity Markets Division - with significant but not excessive adaptation to spot- price movements - probably are reasonable, optimal short- term forecasts, superior to "naive" forecasts or futures prices.
Book Synopsis Primary Commodity Prices by : L. Alan Winters
Download or read book Primary Commodity Prices written by L. Alan Winters and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990-03-08 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodity markets are of considerable interest and importance to economists, econometricians and dealers. This book reports the proceedings of an international conference on 'Primary Commodity Prices: Economic Models and Policy', held in London under the auspices of the Centre for Economic Policy Research in March 1989. A range of papers by leading international authorities covers topics such as expectations formation in econometric commodity market models; price determination in the market for aluminium; the estimation of dynamic disequilibrium models with rational expectations; and a comparison of forward markets and buffer stocks as commodity earnings stabilizers. A key feature of this stock is its development of the policy implications of theoretical and empirical work in the field of commodity economics. Most papers are accompanied by discussant's comments to draw out their technical and policy implications. The book's readership will include commodity economists, commodity market practitioners and policy analysis, as well as professionals and advanced students interested in the fields of applied econometrics, economic development and international trade.
Book Synopsis Estimation of Dynamic Disequilibrium Models with Rational Expectations: the Case of Commodity Markets by : Gangadharrao S. Maddala
Download or read book Estimation of Dynamic Disequilibrium Models with Rational Expectations: the Case of Commodity Markets written by Gangadharrao S. Maddala and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Primary Commodity Markets and Models by : Walter C. Labys
Download or read book Primary Commodity Markets and Models written by Walter C. Labys and published by Gower Publishing Company, Limited. This book was released on 1987 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices by : Walter C. Labys
Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices written by Walter C. Labys and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-03-02 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent economic growth in China and other Asian countries has led to increased commodity demand which has caused price rises and accompanying price fluctuations not only for crude oil but also for the many other raw materials. Such trends mean that world commodity markets are once again under intense scrutiny. This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods of statistical time series analysis. The latter utilize econometric methods concerned with structural breaks, unobserved components, chaotic discovery, long memory, heteroskedasticity, wavelet estimation and fractional integration. Relevant tests employed include neural networks, correlation dimensions, Lyapunov exponents, fractional integration and rescaled range. The price forecasting involves structural time series trend plus cycle and cyclical trend models. Practical applications focus on the price behaviour of more than twenty international commodity markets.
Book Synopsis Commodity Price Dynamics by : Craig Pirrong
Download or read book Commodity Price Dynamics written by Craig Pirrong and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2011-10-31 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.
Book Synopsis A Two-country Rational Expectations Model of Joint Exchange Rate and Commodity Price Determination by : Paul Kofman
Download or read book A Two-country Rational Expectations Model of Joint Exchange Rate and Commodity Price Determination written by Paul Kofman and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Commodity, Futures and Financial Markets by : L. Phlips
Download or read book Commodity, Futures and Financial Markets written by L. Phlips and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Louis Phlips The stabilisation of primary commodity prices, and the related issue of the stabilisation of export earnings of developing countries, have traditionally been studied without reference to the futures markets (that exist or could exist) for these commodities. These futures markets have in turn been s~udied in isolation. The same is true for the new developments on financial markets. Over the last few years, in particular sine the 1985 tin crisis and the October 1987 stock exchange crisis, it has become evident that there are inter actions between commodity, futures, and financial markets and that these inter actions are very important. The more so as trade on futures and financial markets has shown a spectacular increase. This volume brings together a number of recent and unpublished papers on these interactions by leading specialists (and their students). A first set of papers examines how the use of futures markets could help stabilising export earnings of developing countries and how this compares to the rather unsuccessful UNCTAD type interventions via buffer stocks, pegged prices and cartels. A second set of papers faces the fact, largely ignored in the literature, that commodity prices are determined in foreign currencies, with the result that developing countries suffer from the volatility of exchange rates of these currencies (even in cases where commodity prices are relatively stable). Financial markets are thus explicitly linked to futures and commodity markets.
Book Synopsis A Reappraisal of the Efficiency of Financial Markets by : Rui M.C. Guimaraes
Download or read book A Reappraisal of the Efficiency of Financial Markets written by Rui M.C. Guimaraes and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 799 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The behaviour of market prices is a fascinating subject for researchers. Opinions vary substantially. from the view that prices accurately and quickly reflect relevant information to the other extreme that prices are not rationally determined and are hence to some degree predictable. This diversity of belief about the efficiency of markets is reflected in these proceedings of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop on "A reappraisal of the efficiency of financial markets". The thirty-one workshop papers cover stock. currency and commodity markets. We are pleased to have contributions on markets in eleven NATO countries: Belgium. Canada. Denmark. France. Germany. Greece. Italy. the Netherlands. Portugal. the United Kingdom and the United States. The workshop papers thus provide a wide-ranging account of contemporary research into financial markets worldwide. The workshop was held at the Hotel do Mar. Sesimbra. Portugal from April 11 th to April 15th. 1988. We record our gratitude to Jose Cabral for ensuring the smooth progress of the workshop. The generous financial assistance of NATO was supplemented by contributions from: The Chicago Board of Trade. Alianca Seguradora. Banco Comercial Portugues. Fundacao Luso-Americana Para 0 Desenvolvimento. Junta Nacional de Investigacao Cientifica e Tecnologica. We speak for all the workshop participants in expressing our thanks to all our sponsors. Rui M. Campos Guimaraes. University of Porto.
Book Synopsis Optimal Hedging Strategy Re-visited by : Ying Qian
Download or read book Optimal Hedging Strategy Re-visited written by Ying Qian and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1994 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The optimal portfolio model for hedging commodity price and exchange rate risks is extended to nonstationary economic time series data. The new approach corrects the problem of unstable solutions often found with earlier models using economic time series that are nonstationary.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Interactions Between North and South by : David Currie
Download or read book Macroeconomic Interactions Between North and South written by David Currie and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1988-08-26 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains the proceedings of a September 1987 conference and focuses on the North-South macroeconomic interactions.
Book Synopsis Applied Computational Economics and Finance by : Mario J. Miranda
Download or read book Applied Computational Economics and Finance written by Mario J. Miranda and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2004-08-20 with total page 529 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a variety of computational methods used to solve dynamic problems in economics and finance. It emphasizes practical numerical methods rather than mathematical proofs and focuses on techniques that apply directly to economic analyses. The examples are drawn from a wide range of subspecialties of economics and finance, with particular emphasis on problems in agricultural and resource economics, macroeconomics, and finance. The book also provides an extensive Web-site library of computer utilities and demonstration programs. The book is divided into two parts. The first part develops basic numerical methods, including linear and nonlinear equation methods, complementarity methods, finite-dimensional optimization, numerical integration and differentiation, and function approximation. The second part presents methods for solving dynamic stochastic models in economics and finance, including dynamic programming, rational expectations, and arbitrage pricing models in discrete and continuous time. The book uses MATLAB to illustrate the algorithms and includes a utilities toolbox to help readers develop their own computational economics applications.
Book Synopsis Policy, Research, and External Affairs Working Papers by :
Download or read book Policy, Research, and External Affairs Working Papers written by and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Economics of Food Price Volatility by : Jean-Paul Chavas
Download or read book The Economics of Food Price Volatility written by Jean-Paul Chavas and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2014-10-17 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There has been an increase in food price instability in recent years, with varied consequences for farmers, market participants, and consumers. Before policy makers can design schemes to reduce food price uncertainty or ameliorate its effects, they must first understand the factors that have contributed to recent price instability. Does it arise primarily from technological or weather-related supply shocks, or from changes in demand like those induced by the growing use of biofuel? Does financial speculation affect food price volatility? The researchers who contributed to The Economics of Food Price Volatility address these and other questions. They examine the forces driving both recent and historical patterns in food price volatility, as well as the effects of various public policies in affecting this volatility. The chapters include studies of the links between food and energy markets, the impact of biofuel policy on the level and variability of food prices, and the effects of weather-related disruptions in supply. The findings shed light on the way price volatility affects the welfare of farmers, traders, and consumers.
Book Synopsis Development Macroeconomics by : Pierre-Richard Agénor
Download or read book Development Macroeconomics written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2015-06-23 with total page 792 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis triggered severe shocks for developing countries, whose embrace of greater commercial and financial openness has increased their exposure to external shocks, both real and financial. This new edition of Development Macroeconomics has been fully revised to address the more open and less stable environment in which developing countries operate today. Describing the latest advances in this rapidly changing field, the book features expanded coverage of public debt and the management of capital inflows as well as new material on fiscal discipline, monetary policy regimes, currency, banking and sovereign debt crises, currency unions, and the choice of an exchange-rate regime. A new chapter on dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with financial frictions has been added to reflect how the financial crisis has reshaped our thinking on the role of such frictions in generating and propagating real and financial shocks. The book also discusses the role of macroprudential regulation, both independently and through its interactions with monetary policy, in preserving financial and macroeconomic stability. Now in its fourth edition, Development Macroeconomics remains the definitive textbook on the macroeconomics of developing countries. The most authoritative book on the subject—now fully revised and expanded Features new material on fiscal discipline, monetary policy regimes, currency, banking and sovereign debt crises, and much more Comes with online supplements on informal financial markets, stabilization programs, the solution of DSGE models with financial frictions, and exchange rate crises
