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The Pricing Of Options On Wig20 Using Garch Models
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Book Synopsis The Pricing of Options on WIG20 Using GARCH Models by : Szymon Kaminski
Download or read book The Pricing of Options on WIG20 Using GARCH Models written by Szymon Kaminski and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2013 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper the application of several option pricing models has been tested on the basis of options traded on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. The models have been evaluated by comparing option prices estimates to prices observed on the market. The chosen models are: a few alternative versions of the Duan (1995) GARCH Option Pricing Model, and two versions of the model by Black (1976). A separate section is devoted to the impact of the implied dividend yield on prices of options. The study covers a period from January 2006 to March 2012. Results show that the most accurate models are the Black model with a volatility term structure, and the Duan GARCH Option Pricing Model with implied dividend yield and Student's T random errors.
Book Synopsis Option Pricing Models with HF Data by : Ryszard Kokoszczynski
Download or read book Option Pricing Models with HF Data written by Ryszard Kokoszczynski and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we compared several Black option pricing models by applying different measures of volatility and examined the Black model with historical (BHV), implied (BIV), and several different types of realized (BRV) volatility. The main objective of the study was to find the best model; that is, the model that predicts the actual market price with the minimum error. The high frequency (HF) data and bid-ask quotes (instead of transactional data) for the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) were used to omit the problem of nonsynchronous trading and to increase the number of observations. Several error statistics and the percentage of price overpredictions (OP) showed the results that confirmed the initial intuition that the BIV model is the best model, the BHV model is the second best, and the BRV is the least efficient among the models studied.
Book Synopsis American Option Pricing Using GARCH Models and the Normal Inverse Gaussian Distribution by : Lars Stentoft
Download or read book American Option Pricing Using GARCH Models and the Normal Inverse Gaussian Distribution written by Lars Stentoft and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we propose a feasible way to price American options in a model with time-varying volatility and conditional skewness and leptokurtosis, using GARCH processes and the Normal Inverse Gaussian distribution. We show how the risk-neutral dynamics can be obtained in this model, we interpret the effect of the risk-neutralization, and we derive approximation procedures which allow for a computationally efficient implementation of the model. When the model is estimated on financial returns data the results indicate that compared to the Gaussian case the extension is important. A study of the model properties shows that there are important option pricing differences compared to the Gaussian case as well as to the symmetric special case. A large scale empirical examination shows that our model out-performs the Gaussian case for pricing options on the three large US stocks as well as a major index. In particular, improvements are found when it comes to explaining the smile in implied standard deviations.
Author :Sasseville, Caroline Publisher :Montréal : Service des archives, Université de Montréal, Section Microfilm ISBN 13 : Total Pages :166 pages Book Rating :4.:/5 (55 download)
Book Synopsis Option Pricing Using GARCH Models [microform] : an Empirical Examination by : Sasseville, Caroline
Download or read book Option Pricing Using GARCH Models [microform] : an Empirical Examination written by Sasseville, Caroline and published by Montréal : Service des archives, Université de Montréal, Section Microfilm. This book was released on 2002 with total page 166 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Using Stock and Options Data to Estimate the GARCH Options Pricing Model by : 鄭宏文
Download or read book Using Stock and Options Data to Estimate the GARCH Options Pricing Model written by 鄭宏文 and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Option Pricing Using GARCH Models by : Caroline Sasseville
Download or read book Option Pricing Using GARCH Models written by Caroline Sasseville and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 166 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Option Valuation Formula for General Garch-in-Mean Models by : Zhongmin Qian
Download or read book Option Valuation Formula for General Garch-in-Mean Models written by Zhongmin Qian and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We derive option pricing formulas based on general GARCH-M models by using risk-neutral arguments. These formulas are beautiful in nature and realistic for applications. We propose a parameter estimation procedure and employ Monte Carlo method to evaluate the price. Demonstrations of these formulas applying to S&P 500 index options are shown. Empirical evidence suggests that both in U.S. stock market and Chinese financial market the performances of these theoretical pricing formulas are better than the results via Black-Scholes' pricing formula with constant volatility.
Book Synopsis Smarter Than the Options-Market? A Real-Measure GARCH Option Pricing Model with Volatility Regime Simulation by : Chrilly Donninger
Download or read book Smarter Than the Options-Market? A Real-Measure GARCH Option Pricing Model with Volatility Regime Simulation written by Chrilly Donninger and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This working paper uses as a starting point the filtered historical simulation (FHS) approach developed by Barone-Adesi et al. One builds a GRJ-GARCH model and generates Monte-Carlo return/price paths with normalized returns. This introduces a severe drift-bias. The Volatility Regime Simulation (VRS) avoids the bias by sampling from the same volatility regime.Barone-Adesi et al. transform the real-world into the risk-neutral measure. They calibrate the GARCH model to the market prices of plain-vanilla options.The current model stays in the real-measure. One simulates a realistic trading behavior by hedging the options along the Monte-Carlo paths. The model generates the stylized facts of S&P-500 index options. The overall agreement with market-prices is quite good. According the model Calls are somewhat under-, Puts are somewhat overpriced. The second part of the paper demonstrates the promising application of the model for index options trading.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Option Pricing Using Asymmetric GARCH Models by : Luc Bauwens
Download or read book Bayesian Option Pricing Using Asymmetric GARCH Models written by Luc Bauwens and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper shows how one can compute option prices from a Bayesian inference viewpoint, using a GARCH model for the dynamics of the volatility of the underlying asset. The proposed evaluation of an option is the predictive expectation of its payoff function. The predictive distribution of this function provides a natural metric, provided it is neutralised with respect to risk, for gauging the predictive option price or other option evaluations. The proposed method is compared to the Black and Scholes evaluation, in which a marginal mean volatility is plugged, but which does not provide a natural metric. The methods are illustrated using symmetric, asymmetric and smooth transition GARCH models with data on a stock index in Brussels.
Book Synopsis Analysis of the garch option pricing model using telebras calls by :
Download or read book Analysis of the garch option pricing model using telebras calls written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Este trabalho procura confirmar a hipótese de o modelo de apreçamento de opções GARCH reduzir alguns dos já amplamente estudados vieses do modelo de Black & Scholes, utilizando opções de compra da Telebras no período julho de 1995 a junho de 2000. Para isso, comparam-se os preços encontrados por intermédio do modelo GARCH com os do modelo de Black & Scholes, cotejando-os com os preços de mercado. Os resultados indicaram que o modelo GARCH foi capaz de diminuir alguns dos vieses, principalmente para opções fora-do-dinheiro com curto tempo para o vencimento. Desta forma, o modelo GARCH se mostrou uma alternativa eficaz ao modelo de Black e Scholes, sobretudo para opções com pouca liquidez, nas quais não é possível a utilização da volatilidade implícita da equação de Black e Scholes.
Book Synopsis Estimating and Using GARCH Models with VIX Data for Option Valuation by : Juho Kanniainen
Download or read book Estimating and Using GARCH Models with VIX Data for Option Valuation written by Juho Kanniainen and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses information on VIX to improve the empirical performance of GARCH models for pricing options on the S&P 500. In pricing multiple cross-sections of options, the models' performance can clearly be improved by extracting daily spot volatilities from the series of VIX rather than by linking spot volatility with different dates by using the series of the underlying's returns. Moreover, in contrast to traditional returns-based maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), a joint MLE with returns and VIX improves option pricing performance, and for NGARCH, joint MLE can yield empirically almost the same out-of-sample option pricing performance as direct calibration does to in-sample options, but without costly computations. Finally, consistently with the existing research, this paper finds that non-affine models clearly outperform affine models.
Book Synopsis A Closed-Form GARCH Option Pricing Model by : Steven L. Heston
Download or read book A Closed-Form GARCH Option Pricing Model written by Steven L. Heston and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a closed-form option pricing formula for a spot asset whose variance follows a GARCH process. The model allows for correlation between returns of the spot asset and variance and also admits multiple lags in the dynamics of the GARCH process. The single factor (one lag) version of this model contains Heston's (1993) stochastic volatility model as a diffusion limit and therefore unifies the discrete GARCH and continuous-time stochastic volatility literature of option pricing. The new model provides the first option formula for a random volatility model that is solely a function of observables; all the parameters can be easily estimated from the history of asset prices, observed at discreteintervals. Empirical analysis on Samp;P500 index options shows the single factor version of the GARCH model to be a substantial improvement over the Black-Scholes (1973) model. The GARCH model continues to substantially outperform the Black-Scholes model even when the Black-Scholes model is updated every period while the parameters of the GARCH model are held constant. The improvement is due largely to the ability of the GARCH model to describe the correlation of volatility with spot returns. This allows the GARCH model to capture strike price biases in the Black-Scholes model that give rise to the skew in implied volatilities in the index options market.
Book Synopsis Advances in Fuzzy Logic and Technology 2017 by : Janusz Kacprzyk
Download or read book Advances in Fuzzy Logic and Technology 2017 written by Janusz Kacprzyk and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-08-29 with total page 639 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume constitutes the proceedings of two collocated international conferences: EUSFLAT-2017 – the 10th edition of the flagship Conference of the European Society for Fuzzy Logic and Technology held in Warsaw, Poland, on September 11–15, 2017, and IWIFSGN’2017 – The Sixteenth International Workshop on Intuitionistic Fuzzy Sets and Generalized Nets, held in Warsaw on September 13–15, 2017. The conferences were organized by the Systems Research Institute, Polish Academy of Sciences, Department IV of Engineering Sciences, Polish Academy of Sciences, and the Polish Operational and Systems Research Society in collaboration with the European Society for Fuzzy Logic and Technology (EUSFLAT), the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences and various European universities. The aim of the EUSFLAT-2017 was to bring together theoreticians and practitioners working on fuzzy logic, fuzzy systems, soft computing and related areas and to provide a platform for exchanging ideas and discussing the l atest trends and ideas, while the aim of IWIFSGN’2017 was to discuss new developments in extensions of the concept of a fuzzy set, such as an intuitionistic fuzzy set, as well as other concepts, like that of a generalized net. The papers included, written by leading international experts, as well as the special sessions and panel discussions contribute to the development the field, strengthen collaborations and intensify networking.
Download or read book Time Series Models written by D.R. Cox and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-11-26 with total page 243 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The analysis prediction and interpolation of economic and other time series has a long history and many applications. Major new developments are taking place, driven partly by the need to analyze financial data. The five papers in this book describe those new developments from various viewpoints and are intended to be an introduction accessible to readers from a range of backgrounds. The book arises out of the second Seminaire European de Statistique (SEMSTAT) held in Oxford in December 1994. This brought together young statisticians from across Europe, and a series of introductory lectures were given on topics at the forefront of current research activity. The lectures form the basis for the five papers contained in the book. The papers by Shephard and Johansen deal respectively with time series models for volatility, i.e. variance heterogeneity, and with cointegration. Clements and Hendry analyze the nature of prediction errors. A complementary review paper by Laird gives a biometrical view of the analysis of short time series. Finally Astrup and Nielsen give a mathematical introduction to the study of option pricing. Whilst the book draws its primary motivation from financial series and from multivariate econometric modelling, the applications are potentially much broader.
Book Synopsis East European Transition and EU Enlargement by : Wojciech W. Charemza
Download or read book East European Transition and EU Enlargement written by Wojciech W. Charemza and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In March 1998 the European Union formally launched the accession process that will lead to a significant enlargement of the Union. So far ten countries from Central Europe: Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, the Slovak Republic and Slovenia have submitted their applications for EU membership. This unique process immediately attracted attention of economists and policy makers. Nevertheless, it can be noticed that among numerous results already published, there is a distinctive shortage of books and papers in which quantitative research methods are applied. This is to a large extent justified by the fact that the transition and accession processes are new to the economic sciences, their methodology is not wellresearched, statistical data for the Central and East European countries are scarce and not always reliable and, generally, quantitative approach seems to be a risky and uncertain business. All these all problems can also be seen as a challenge rather than an obstacle. With this on mind, we have decided to clarify the status quo by organising a research seminar which focused on the methodology and quantitative analysis of the Central and East European transition and pre-accession processes. The seminar, East European Transition and EU Enlargement: a Quantitative Approach organised by Macroeconomic and Financial Data Centre (University of Gdansk and University ofLeicester) took place in Gdansk in June 2001. Our edited volume contains papers developed from this seminar.
Book Synopsis Statistical Tools for Finance and Insurance by : Pavel Cizek
Download or read book Statistical Tools for Finance and Insurance written by Pavel Cizek and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-12-06 with total page 509 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written in an accessible and engaging style, this self-instructional book makes a good use of extensive examples and full explanations. The electronic edition, allowing the reader to run, modify, and enhance all quantlets on the spot, can be downloaded at no cost via the attached license registration card.
Book Synopsis Emerging Research on Monetary Policy, Banking, and Financial Markets by : Spulbar, Cristi
Download or read book Emerging Research on Monetary Policy, Banking, and Financial Markets written by Spulbar, Cristi and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2019-06-14 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As more and more emerging markets seek to compete in an ever-growing pool of global competitors, rapidly growing economies are consistently running into issues relating to the proper understanding of fiscal markets. The future of global economics depends on the wellbeing of sustainable economic growth and the expansion of banking systems. Emerging Research on Monetary Policy, Banking, and Financial Markets is an essential reference source that discusses the complex nature of financial markets and the growth of developing economies. Featuring research on topics such as international markets, transition economies, and financial instability, this book is ideally designed for academicians, students, researchers, policymakers, professionals, financial analysts, and economists interested in the future of reformed worldwide banking systems.
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