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The Nexus Between Monetary Policy Banking Market Structure And Bank Risk Taking
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Book Synopsis The Nexus Between Monetary Policy, Banking Market Structure and Bank Risk Taking by : Tobias C. Michalak
Download or read book The Nexus Between Monetary Policy, Banking Market Structure and Bank Risk Taking written by Tobias C. Michalak and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a sample of stock-listed bank holding companies located in Western Europe over the period from 1997 to 2008 this paper provides empirical evidence that an increase in short-term interest rates as well as an extended period of expansionary monetary policy has a negative impact on European stock-listed banks' soundness as measured by the Expected Default Frequency. Against this background and in order to evaluate interactions between the risk-taking channel of monetary policy and the competitiveness of a country's banking market we find a negative impact of an increase in competition in the loan market - proxied by the Boone-indicator - on financial soundness. Referring to the structural-conduct performance (SCP) paradigm, this paper provides further evidence that an increase in concentration in the banking market spurs financial soundness.
Book Synopsis Bank Leverage and Monetary Policy's Risk-Taking Channel by : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Download or read book Bank Leverage and Monetary Policy's Risk-Taking Channel written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-06-06 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present evidence of a risk-taking channel of monetary policy for the U.S. banking system. We use confidential data on the internal ratings of U.S. banks on loans to businesses over the period 1997 to 2011 from the Federal Reserve’s survey of terms of business lending. We find that ex-ante risk taking by banks (as measured by the risk rating of the bank’s loan portfolio) is negatively associated with increases in short-term policy interest rates. This relationship is less pronounced for banks with relatively low capital or during periods when banks’ capital erodes, such as episodes of financial and economic distress. These results contribute to the ongoing debate on the role of monetary policy in financial stability and suggest that monetary policy has a bearing on the riskiness of banks and financial stability more generally.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Bank Risk-Taking by : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Bank Risk-Taking written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-07-27 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper contributes to the current debate on what role financial stability considerations should play in monetary policy decision and how best to integrate macro-prudential and monetary policy frameworks. The paper broadly supports the view that monetary policy easing induces greater risk-taking by banks but also shows that the relationship between real interest rates and banking risk is more complex. Ultimately, it depends on how much skin in the game banks have. The central message of the paper is broadly complementary to those in the recent MCM board paper “Central Banking Lessons from the Crisis.”
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy, Leverage, and Bank Risk Taking by : Mr.Luc Laeven
Download or read book Monetary Policy, Leverage, and Bank Risk Taking written by Mr.Luc Laeven and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide a theoretical foundation for the claim that prolonged periods of easy monetary conditions increase bank risk taking. The net effect of a monetary policy change on bank monitoring (an inverse measure of risk taking) depends on the balance of three forces: interest rate pass-through, risk shifting, and leverage. When banks can adjust their capital structures, a monetary easing leads to greater leverage and lower monitoring. However, if a bank's capital structure is fixed, the balance depends on the degree of bank capitalization: when facing a policy rate cut, well capitalized banks decrease monitoring, while highly levered banks increase it. Further, the balance of these effects depends on the structure and contestability of the banking industry, and is therefore likely to vary across countries and over time.
Book Synopsis Competition Policy for Modern Banks by : Mr.Lev Ratnovski
Download or read book Competition Policy for Modern Banks written by Mr.Lev Ratnovski and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-05-23 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditional bank competition policy seeks to balance efficiency with incentives to take risk. The main tools are rules guiding entry/exit and consolidation of banks. This paper seeks to refine this view in light of recent changes to financial services provision. Modern banking is largely market-based and contestable. Consequently, banks in advanced economies today have structurally low charter values and high incentives to take risk. In such an environment, traditional policies that seek to affect the degree of competition by focusing on market structure (i.e. concentration) may have limited effect. We argue that bank competition policy should be reoriented to deal with the too-big-to-fail (TBTF) problem. It should also focus on the permissible scope of activities rather than on market structure of banks. And following a crisis, competition policy should facilitate resolution by temporarily allowing higher concentration and government control of banks.
Book Synopsis Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus by : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
Download or read book Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-07 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.
Book Synopsis Bank Profitability and Risk-Taking by : Natalya Martynova
Download or read book Bank Profitability and Risk-Taking written by Natalya Martynova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-11-25 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditional theory suggests that more profitable banks should have lower risk-taking incentives. Then why did many profitable banks choose to invest in untested financial instruments before the crisis, realizing significant losses? We attempt to reconcile theory and evidence. In our setup, banks are endowed with a fixed core business. They take risk by levering up to engage in risky ‘side activities’(such as market-based investments) alongside the core business. A more profitable core business allows a bank to borrow more and take side risks on a larger scale, offsetting lower incentives to take risk of given size. Consequently, more profitable banks may have higher risk-taking incentives. The framework is consistent with cross-sectional patterns of bank risk-taking in the run up to the recent financial crisis.
Book Synopsis (Un)Conventional Monetary Policy and Bank Risk-Taking by : Sophie Brana
Download or read book (Un)Conventional Monetary Policy and Bank Risk-Taking written by Sophie Brana and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the effect of monetary policy - especially unconventional monetary policy - on bank risk-taking behavior in Europe over the period 2000-2015. Using a dynamic panel model with a threshold effect, we estimate this effect on two measures of bank risk: the Distance to Default, which reflects the market perception of risk, and the asymmetric Z-score, which corresponds to an accounting-based measure of the risk. We find that loosening monetary policy via low interest rates and increasing central banks' liquidity has a harmful effect on banks' risk, confirming the existence of the risk-taking channel. Moreover, we show that this relationship is nonlinear, i.e., with the sustainable implementation of unconventional monetary policies, the effects are stronger below a certain threshold.
Book Synopsis Banking Competition and Capital Ratios by : Martin Cihák
Download or read book Banking Competition and Capital Ratios written by Martin Cihák and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-09 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use data for more than 2,600 European banks to test whether increased competition causes banks to hold higher capital ratios. Employing panel data techniques, and distinguishing between the competitive conduct of small and large banks, we show that banks tend to hold higher capital ratios when operating in a more competitive environment. This result holds when controlling for the degree of concentration in banking systems, inter-industry competition, characteristics of the wider financial system, and the regulatory and institutional environment.
Book Synopsis Bank Risk-Taking and Competition Revisited by : Gianni De Nicoló
Download or read book Bank Risk-Taking and Competition Revisited written by Gianni De Nicoló and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-06 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study reinvestigates the theoretical relationship between competition in banking and banks' exposure to risk of failure. There is a large existing literature that concludes that when banks are confronted with increased competition, they rationally choose more risky portfolios. We briefly review this literature and argue that it has had a significant influence on regulators and central bankers, causing them to take a less favorable view of competition and encouraging anti-competitive consolidation as a response to banking instability. We then show that existing theoretical analyses of this topic are fragile, since they do not detect two fundamental risk-incentive mechanisms that operate in exactly the opposite direction, causing banks to aquire more risk per portfolios as their markets become more concentrated. We argue that these mechanisms should be essential ingredients of models of bank competition.
Book Synopsis Bank Size and Systemic Risk by : Mr.Luc Laeven
Download or read book Bank Size and Systemic Risk written by Mr.Luc Laeven and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-05-08 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The proposed SDN documents the evolution of bank size and activities over the past 20 years. It discusses whether this evolution can be explained by economies of scale or “too big to fail” subsidies. The paper then presents evidence on the extent to which bank size and market-based activities contribute to systemic risk. The paper concludes with policy messages in the area of capital regulation and activity restrictions to reduce the systemic risk posed by large banks. The analysis of the paper complements earlier Fund work, including SDN 13/04 and the recent GFSR chapter on “too big to fail” subsidies, and its policy message is in line with this earlier work.
Book Synopsis Bank Risk-Taking and Competition Revisited by : Mr.Gianni De Nicolo
Download or read book Bank Risk-Taking and Competition Revisited written by Mr.Gianni De Nicolo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-12-01 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies two new models in which banks face a non-trivial asset allocation decision. The first model (CVH) predicts a negative relationship between banks' risk of failure and concentration, indicating a trade-off between competition and stability. The second model (BDN) predicts a positive relationship, suggesting no such trade-off exists. Both models can predict a negative relationship between concentration and bank loan-to-asset ratios, and a nonmonotonic relationship between bank concentration and profitability. We explore these predictions empirically using a cross-sectional sample of about 2,500 U.S. banks in 2003 and a panel data set of about 2,600 banks in 134 nonindustrialized countries for 1993-2004. In both these samples, we find that banks' probability of failure is positively and significantly related to concentration, loan-to-asset ratios are negatively and significantly related to concentration, and bank profits are positively and significantly related to concentration. Thus, the risk predictions of the CVH model are rejected, those of the BDN model are not, there is no trade-off between bank competition and stability, and bank competition fosters the willingness of banks to lend.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Bank Risk-taking by : Paul Gaggl
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Bank Risk-taking written by Paul Gaggl and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I study whether expansive monetary policy over an extended period under benign economic conditions induces banks to shift their asset portfolios toward more risky investments. This may contribute to aggregate financial instability. Moreover, I investigate whether such a portfolio adjustment is also likely to be highly correlated among financial institutions. The second phenomenon not only leads to more individual risk but also contributes to systemic risk. I believe these are relevant policy questions for at least two reasons: First, the financial crisis of 2007-08 had a devastating impact on the world economy. Thus, it is important to investigate the role that monetary policy played for the extreme buildup of aggregate risk throughout the mid 2000s. I find that the period of expansive ECB monetary policy in the period 2003-2005 induced banks to significantly increase the default risk allowed in their loan portfolios. Second, policy interest rates across the world are currently very low. My theoretic and empirical research suggests that a significant improvement in economic conditions together with expansive monetary policy could spur another round of excessive risk buildup in financial institutions' asset portfolios. Furthermore, one of the greatest concerns during the financial crisis of 2007-08 was systemic risk within the financial sector. Thus, I ask whether financial institutions intentionally choose portfolios that are highly correlated with their competitors. Based on an extensive matched firm-bank panel I construct multiple time varying measures of bank herding within the Austrian business loan market during 2000-08. I show that bank herding in business lending markets was sizable and significant throughout the period 2000-08. Moreover, banks' tendency to herd into default-risk classes was especially pronounced during the low policy interest rate period 2003-05. This suggests that not only do low and stable monetary policy interest rates encourage more bank risk-taking, but the additional risk is also likely to be correlated across banks.
Book Synopsis International Evidence on Government Support and Risk Taking in the Banking Sector by : Mr.Luis Brandão Brandao Marques
Download or read book International Evidence on Government Support and Risk Taking in the Banking Sector written by Mr.Luis Brandão Brandao Marques and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-05-02 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Government support to banks through the provision of explicit or implicit guarantees affects the willingness of banks to take on risk by reducing market discipline or by increasing charter value. We use an international sample of bank data and government support to banks for the periods 2003-2004 and 2009-2010. We find that more government support is associated with more risk taking by banks, especially during the financial crisis (2009-10). We also find that restricting banks' range of activities ameliorates the moral hazard problem. We conclude that strengthening market discipline in the banking sector is needed to address this moral hazard problem.
Book Synopsis Does Monetary Policy Affect Bank Risk-taking? by : Yener Altunbas
Download or read book Does Monetary Policy Affect Bank Risk-taking? written by Yener Altunbas and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the relationship between short-term interest rates and bank risk. Using a unique database that includes quarterly balance sheet information for listed banks operating in the European Union and the United States in the last decade, we find evidence that unusually low interest rates over an extended period of time contributed to an increase in banks' risk. This result holds for a wide range of measures of risk, as well as macroeconomic and institutional controls.
Book Synopsis Bank Ownership, Market Structure and Risk by : Gianni De Nicoló
Download or read book Bank Ownership, Market Structure and Risk written by Gianni De Nicoló and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-09 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a model of a banking industry with heterogeneous banks that delivers predictions on the relationship between banks' risk of failure, market structure, bank ownership, and banks' screening and bankruptcy costs. These predictions are explored empirically using a panel of individual banks data and ownership information including more than 10,000 bank-year observations for 133 non-industrialized countries during the 1993-2004 period. Four main results obtain. First, the positive and significant relationship between bank concentration and bank risk of failure found in Boyd, De Nicolò and Al Jalal (2006) is stronger when bank ownership is taken into account, and it is strongest when state-owned banks have sizeable market shares. Second, conditional on country and firm specific characteristics, the risk profiles of foreign (state-owned) banks are significantly higher than (not significantly different from) those of private domestic banks. Third, private domestic banks do take on more risk as a result of larger market shares of both state-owned and foreign banks. Fourth, the model rationalizes this evidence if both state-owned and foreign banks have either larger screening and/or lower bankruptcy costs than private domestic banks, banks' differences in market shares, screening or bankruptcy costs are not too large, and loan markets are sufficiently segmented across banks of different ownership.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Bank Risk-Taking by : Bang Nam Jeon
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Bank Risk-Taking written by Bang Nam Jeon and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper addresses the impact of monetary policy on banks' risk-taking levels by using the bank-level panel data from more than 1000 banks in 33 emerging economies during 2000-2012. We find that, consistent with the proposition of the “bank risk-taking channel” of monetary policy transmission, banks' riskiness increases when monetary policy is eased. The effect is more conspicuous in small and less liquid banks, and in countries with a stronger deposit insurance scheme and a fixed exchange rate regime. In addition, we find that the monetary policy-bank risk nexus is dampened in more concentrated banking markets and when monetary policy is more transparent.
