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The Empirical Relationship Between The Spreads Of Credit Default Swaps And Bonds
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Book Synopsis The empirical relationship between the spreads of Credit Default Swaps and Bonds by : Ralf Koschmieder
Download or read book The empirical relationship between the spreads of Credit Default Swaps and Bonds written by Ralf Koschmieder and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2010-05-28 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scientific Essay from the year 2010 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, , language: English, abstract: Warren Buffet, the world’s richest man, once said that derivatives are financial “weapons of mass destruction.” a term popularized by George W. Bush to describe nuclear arms. Indeed financial derivatives have a far greater impact on the market than their underlying due to their leverage effect. And the most popular and important credit derivatives nowadays are credit default swaps with a current notional value of over 60 trillion US dollars according to ISDA 1 (International Swaps and Derivatives Association) and 58 trillion US dollars according to BIS 2 (Bank for international settlement) respectively. That is more than the whole world’s gross domestic product in the same year! 3 This paper examines the empirical relationship of CDS premium and credit spread by testing on their theoretical equivalence derived by Duffie (1999). It begins with an overview of CDS followed by the theoretical framework. The analysis starts with explanation of testing methods and description of data. After confirming the existence of the basis spread, this paper goes on to analyse the interactions of CDS spread and Bond spread using econometrics methods like Cointegration and Granger Causality tests. Also examined is the leadership of price discovery process between CDS market and traditional bond market.
Book Synopsis An Empirical Analysis of the Dynamic Relationship Between Investment-grade Bonds and Credit Default Swaps by : Roberto Blanco
Download or read book An Empirical Analysis of the Dynamic Relationship Between Investment-grade Bonds and Credit Default Swaps written by Roberto Blanco and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "In this paper the behaviour of credit default swaps (CDS) are analysed for a sample of firms and support found for the theoretical equivalence of CDS prices and credit spreads. When this is violated, the CDS price can be viewed as an upper bound on the price of credit risk, while the spread provides a lower bound. It is shown that the CDS market is the main forum for credit risk price discovery and that CDS prices are better integrated with firm-specific variables in the short run. Both markets equally reflect these factors in the long run, and this is primarily brought about by bond market adjustment"--Bank of England web site
Book Synopsis An Empirical Analysis of the Dynamic Relationship Between Investment-grade Bonds and Credit Default Swaps by : Roberto Blanco Escolar
Download or read book An Empirical Analysis of the Dynamic Relationship Between Investment-grade Bonds and Credit Default Swaps written by Roberto Blanco Escolar and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyses the behaviour of credit default swaps (CDS) for a sample of firms and finds support for the theoretical equivalence of CDS prices and credit spreads. When this is violated, the CDS price can be viewed as an upper bound on the price of credit risk, while the spread provides a lower bound. The paper shows that the CDS market is the main forum for credit risk price discovery and that CDS prices are better integrated with firm-specific variables in the short run. Both markets equally reflect these factors in the long run, and this is primarily brought about by bond market adjustment.
Book Synopsis Credit Default Swaps by : Christopher L. Culp
Download or read book Credit Default Swaps written by Christopher L. Culp and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-07-12 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, unique in its composition, reviews the academic empirical literature on how CDSs actually work in practice, including during distressed times of market crises. It also discusses the mechanics of single-name and index CDSs, the theoretical costs and benefits of CDSs, as well as comprehensively summarizes the empirical evidence on important aspects of these instruments of risk transfer. Full-time academics, researchers at financial institutions, and students will benefit from the dispassionate and comprehensive summary of the academic literature; they can read this book instead of identifying, collecting, and reading the hundreds of academic articles on the important subject of credit risk transfer using derivatives and benefit from the synthesis of the literature provided.
Book Synopsis Credit Default Swap Spreads and Variance Risk Premia (VRP) by : Hao Wang
Download or read book Credit Default Swap Spreads and Variance Risk Premia (VRP) written by Hao Wang and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011-04 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis An Empirical Comparison of Credit Spreads between the Bond Market and the Credit Default Swap Market by : Haibin Zhu
Download or read book An Empirical Comparison of Credit Spreads between the Bond Market and the Credit Default Swap Market written by Haibin Zhu and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper compares the pricing of credit risk in the bond market and the fast-growing credit default swap (CDS) market. The empirical findings confirm the theoretical prediction that bond spreads and CDS spreads move together in the long run. Nevertheless, in the short run this relationship does not always hold. My study shows that the deviation is largely due to different responses of the two markets to changes in credit conditions. In particular, the CDS market appears to move ahead of the bond market in price discovery.
Book Synopsis The Term Structure of Credit Spreads and Credit Default Swaps - An Empirical Investigation by : Stefan Trück
Download or read book The Term Structure of Credit Spreads and Credit Default Swaps - An Empirical Investigation written by Stefan Trück and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the term structure of credit spreads and credit default swaps for different rating categories. It is well-known quite that for issuers with lower credit quality higher spreads can be observed in the market and vice versa. However, empirical results on spreads for bonds with the same rating but different maturities are rather controversial. We provide empirical results on the term structure of credit spreads based on a large sample of Eurobonds and domestic bonds from EWU-countries. Further we investigate maturity effects on credit default swaps and compare the results to those of corporate bonds. We find that for both instruments a positive relationship between maturity and spreads could be observed for investment grade debt. For speculative grade debt the results are rather ambiguous. We also find that spreads for the same rating class and same maturity exhibit very high variation.
Book Synopsis Anticipating Credit Events Using Credit Default Swaps, with An Application to Sovereign Debt Crises by : Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Download or read book Anticipating Credit Events Using Credit Default Swaps, with An Application to Sovereign Debt Crises written by Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-05-01 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In reduced-form pricing models, it is usual to assume a fixed recovery rate to obtain the probability of default from credit default swap prices. An alternative credit risk measure is proposed here: the maximum recovery rate compatible with observed prices. The analysis of the recent debt crisis in Argentina using this methodology shows that the correlation between the maximum recovery rate and implied default probabilities turns negative in advance of the credit event realization. This empirical finding suggests that the maximum recovery rate can be used for constructing early warning indicators of financial distress.
Book Synopsis Equity Prices, Credit Default Swaps, and Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets by : Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Download or read book Equity Prices, Credit Default Swaps, and Bond Spreads in Emerging Markets written by Jorge A. Chan-Lau and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines equilibrium price relationships and price discovery between credit default swap (CDS), bond, and equity markets for emerging market sovereign issuers. Findings suggest that CDS and bond spreads converge despite various pressures that arise in the market. In most countries, however, we do not find any equilibrium price relationship between the bond and CDS markets and the equity markets. As for price discovery, our results are mixed. This stands in contrast to the empirical findings on corporate issuers in the United States and Europe.
Book Synopsis Credit Default Swaps by : Marti Subrahmanyam
Download or read book Credit Default Swaps written by Marti Subrahmanyam and published by Now Publishers. This book was released on 2014-12-19 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit Default Swaps: A Survey is the most comprehensive review of all major research domains involving credit default swaps (CDS). CDS have been growing in importance in the global financial markets. However, their role has been hotly debated, in industry and academia, particularly since the credit crisis of 2007-2009. The authors review the extant literature on CDS that has accumulated over the past two decades and divide the survey into seven topics after providing a broad overview in the introduction. The second section traces the historical development of CDS markets and provides an introduction to CDS contract definitions and conventions. The third section discusses the pricing of CDS, from the perspective of no-arbitrage principles, structural, and reduced-form credit risk models. It also summarizes the literature on the determinants of CDS spreads, with a focus on the role of fundamental credit risk factors, liquidity and counterparty risk. The fourth section discusses how the development of the CDS market has affected the characteristics of the bond and equity markets, with an emphasis on market efficiency, price discovery, information flow, and liquidity. Attention is also paid to the CDS-bond basis, the wedge between the pricing of the CDS and its reference bond, and the mispricing between the CDS and the equity market. The fifth section examines the effect of CDS trading on firms' credit and bankruptcy risk, and how it affects corporate financial policy, including bond issuance, capital structure, liquidity management, and corporate governance. The sixth section analyzes how CDS impact the economic incentives of financial intermediaries. The seventh section reviews the growing literature on sovereign CDS and highlights the major differences between the sovereign and corporate CDS markets. The eighth section discusses CDS indices, especially the role of synthetic CDS index products backed by residential mortgage-backed securities during the financial crisis. The authors close with our suggestions for promising future research directions on CDS contracts and markets.
Book Synopsis Equity Prices, Bond Spreads, and Credit Default Swaps in Emerging Markets by : Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Download or read book Equity Prices, Bond Spreads, and Credit Default Swaps in Emerging Markets written by Jorge A. Chan-Lau and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines equilibrium price relationships and price discovery between credit defaul swap (CDS), bond, and equity markets for emerging market sovereign issuers. Findings suggest that CDS and bond spreads converge despite various pressures that arise in the market. In most countries, however, we do not find any equilibrium price relationship between the bond and CDS markets and the equity markets. As for price discovery, our results are mixed. This stands in contrast to the empirical findings on corporate issuers in the United States and Europe.
Download or read book Credit Risk written by Niklas Wagner and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2008-05-28 with total page 600 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Featuring contributions from leading international academics and practitioners, Credit Risk: Models, Derivatives, and Management illustrates how a risk management system can be implemented through an understanding of portfolio credit risks, a set of suitable models, and the derivation of reliable empirical results. Divided into six sectio
Book Synopsis Empirical Study of Liquidity Effects in the Relation Between Corporate Credit Spread and Credit Default Swaps by : Christian Villouta
Download or read book Empirical Study of Liquidity Effects in the Relation Between Corporate Credit Spread and Credit Default Swaps written by Christian Villouta and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The motivation of this study was to construct an empirical test to observe whether liquidity in Fixed Income and Credit Derivative markets have an effect on the theoretical relationship that link these markets. The test was performed taking daily quotes for 4,943 bonds and Credit Default Swap (CDS) Premiums for 3, 5, 7 and 10 years for 614 companies from UK and US markets. The total data collected amounted to more than 5 million singles quotes, which is considerably higher than previous empirical studies on the Credit Derivatives market. Liquidity effects were tested empirically through the construction of equally weighted portfolios based in measures that capture liquidity of securities. Each portfolio was rebalanced in a daily basis using information from 01/01/2003 to 31/03/2006. The main conclusions of this empirical study are: - Liquidity has empirical effects to the behaviour of the CDS Basis in a range of +22 to +80 basis points, and substantial increases in volatility were observed for all maturities. - Liquidity effect is different across maturities, eliminating the possibility to hedge positions using trading strategies in different maturities. - Bid-Ask spread is not enough to explain the deviations in the CDS Basis in low liquidity environments. When maturity increases, the explanation power of the bid-ask spread and transaction cost is not enough for the empirical deviation in the CDS Basis. - Credit Arbitrage trading strategies perform badly in low liquidity environments, even after adjusting for liquidity.
Book Synopsis The VAR Implementation Handbook, Chapter 7 - Explaining Cross-Sectional Differences in Credit Default Swap Spreads: An Alternative Approach Using Value at Risk by : Greg N. Gregoriou
Download or read book The VAR Implementation Handbook, Chapter 7 - Explaining Cross-Sectional Differences in Credit Default Swap Spreads: An Alternative Approach Using Value at Risk written by Greg N. Gregoriou and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2009-02-19 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The following is a chapter from The VaR Implementation Handbook, which examines the latest strategies for measuring, managing, and modeling risk across a variety of applications. Packed with the insights, methods, and models that make experienced professionals competitive all over the world, this comprehensive guide features cutting-edge research and findings from some of the industry's most respected academics, practitioners, and consultants.
Book Synopsis Credit Derivatives Pricing Models by : Philipp J. Schönbucher
Download or read book Credit Derivatives Pricing Models written by Philipp J. Schönbucher and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-10-31 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The credit derivatives market is booming and, for the first time, expanding into the banking sector which previously has had very little exposure to quantitative modeling. This phenomenon has forced a large number of professionals to confront this issue for the first time. Credit Derivatives Pricing Models provides an extremely comprehensive overview of the most current areas in credit risk modeling as applied to the pricing of credit derivatives. As one of the first books to uniquely focus on pricing, this title is also an excellent complement to other books on the application of credit derivatives. Based on proven techniques that have been tested time and again, this comprehensive resource provides readers with the knowledge and guidance to effectively use credit derivatives pricing models. Filled with relevant examples that are applied to real-world pricing problems, Credit Derivatives Pricing Models paves a clear path for a better understanding of this complex issue. Dr. Philipp J. Schönbucher is a professor at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH), Zurich, and has degrees in mathematics from Oxford University and a PhD in economics from Bonn University. He has taught various training courses organized by ICM and CIFT, and lectured at risk conferences for practitioners on credit derivatives pricing, credit risk modeling, and implementation.
Book Synopsis Credit Default Swap Markets in the Global Economy by : Go Tamakoshi
Download or read book Credit Default Swap Markets in the Global Economy written by Go Tamakoshi and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-01-19 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive overview for various segments of the global credit default swap (CDS) markets, touching upon how they were affected by the recent financial turmoil. The book uses empirical analysis on credit default swap markets, applying advanced econometric methodologies to the time series data. It covers not only well-studied sovereign credit default swap markets but also sector credit default swap indices (i.e., CDS index for the banking sector) and corporate credit default swap indices (i.e., Markit iTraxx Japan CDS index), which have not been fully examined by the previous literature. The book also investigates causality and co-movement among several credit default swap markets, or between CDS and other financial markets.
Book Synopsis Three Essays in Credit Risk by : Mirela Raluca Predescu Vasvari
Download or read book Three Essays in Credit Risk written by Mirela Raluca Predescu Vasvari and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of three essays in credit risk. The first essay examines the relationship between credit default swap (CDS) spreads and bond yields as well as the relationship between CDS spreads and credit rating announcements. We test the no-arbitrage theoretical relationship between CDS spreads and bond yields and reach conclusions on the benchmark risk-free rate used by participants in the credit derivatives market. We then carry out a series of tests to explore the extent to which credit rating announcements by Moody's are anticipated by participants in the credit default swap market. The third essay extends the 1976 Black and Cox structural model in order to value correlation-dependent credit derivatives. The proposed model assumes that the correlations between the assets of the obligors are determined by one or more common factors. We first implement a base case model where the asset correlations and recovery rates are constant. We compare our model with the widely used Gaussian copula model of survival time and test how well our model fits market prices of CDO tranches. We then consider two extensions of the base case model. One reflects empirical research showing that default correlations are positively dependent on default rates. The other reflects empirical research showing that recovery rates are negatively dependent on default rates. The second essay investigates the performance of structural models of credit risk along two dimensions. First, I analyze the models' ability to explain CDS spreads. I find that the pricing accuracy of structural models depends heavily on the market information set used in the estimation. Incorporating past time series of CDS spreads in addition to equity and balance sheet information improves the out-of-sample model pricing performance by 50%. Second, I investigate the incremental value of structural models above and beyond CDS spreads in predicting credit ratings migrations. I find evidence that three-month changes in the Distance to Default (DD) have incremental value for anticipating rating downgrades over and above changes in CDS spreads. However, this is not the case for one-month changes in DD.
