The Decision Making Network

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Network Meta-Analysis for Decision-Making

Author : Sofia Dias
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118647505
Total Pages : 484 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (186 download)

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Book Synopsis Network Meta-Analysis for Decision-Making by : Sofia Dias

Download or read book Network Meta-Analysis for Decision-Making written by Sofia Dias and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2018-03-19 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A practical guide to network meta-analysis with examples and code In the evaluation of healthcare, rigorous methods of quantitative assessment are necessary to establish which interventions are effective and cost-effective. Often a single study will not provide the answers and it is desirable to synthesise evidence from multiple sources, usually randomised controlled trials. This book takes an approach to evidence synthesis that is specifically intended for decision making when there are two or more treatment alternatives being evaluated, and assumes that the purpose of every synthesis is to answer the question "for this pre-identified population of patients, which treatment is 'best'?" A comprehensive, coherent framework for network meta-analysis (mixed treatment comparisons) is adopted and estimated using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods implemented in the freely available software WinBUGS. Each chapter contains worked examples, exercises, solutions and code that may be adapted by readers to apply to their own analyses. This book can be used as an introduction to evidence synthesis and network meta-analysis, its key properties and policy implications. Examples and advanced methods are also presented for the more experienced reader. Methods used throughout this book can be applied consistently: model critique and checking for evidence consistency are emphasised. Methods are based on technical support documents produced for NICE Decision Support Unit, which support the NICE Methods of Technology Appraisal. Code presented is also the basis for the code used by the ISPOR Task Force on Indirect Comparisons. Includes extensive carefully worked examples, with thorough explanations of how to set out data for use in WinBUGS and how to interpret the output. Network Meta-Analysis for Decision Making will be of interest to decision makers, medical statisticians, health economists, and anyone involved in Health Technology Assessment including the pharmaceutical industry.

Decision Making with the Analytic Network Process

Author : Thomas L. Saaty
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461472792
Total Pages : 333 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making with the Analytic Network Process by : Thomas L. Saaty

Download or read book Decision Making with the Analytic Network Process written by Thomas L. Saaty and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-05-14 with total page 333 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Analytic Network Process (ANP), developed by Thomas Saaty in his work on multicriteria decision making, applies network structures with dependence and feedback to complex decision making. This new edition of Decision Making with the Analytic Network Process is a selection of the latest applications of ANP to economic, social and political decisions, and also to technological design. The ANP is a methodological tool that is helpful to organize knowledge and thinking, elicit judgments registered in both in memory and in feelings, quantify the judgments and derive priorities from them, and finally synthesize these diverse priorities into a single mathematically and logically justifiable overall outcome. In the process of deriving this outcome, the ANP also allows for the representation and synthesis of diverse opinions in the midst of discussion and debate. The book focuses on the application of the ANP in three different areas: economics, the social sciences and the linking of measurement with human values. Economists can use the ANP for an alternate approach for dealing with economic problems than the usual mathematical models on which economics bases its quantitative thinking. For psychologists, sociologists and political scientists, the ANP offers the methodology they have sought for some time to quantify and derive measurements for intangibles. Finally the book applies the ANP to provide people in the physical and engineering sciences with a quantitative method to link hard measurement to human values. In such a process, one is able to interpret the true meaning of measurements made on a uniform scale using a unit.

Management in Networks

Author : J. A. de Bruijn
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0415462487
Total Pages : 174 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (154 download)

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Book Synopsis Management in Networks by : J. A. de Bruijn

Download or read book Management in Networks written by J. A. de Bruijn and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2008 with total page 174 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Getting what you want - even if you are the boss - isn't always easy. Almost every organization, big or small, works among a network of competing interests. Whether it's governments pushing through policies, companies trying to increase profits, or even families deciding where to move house, rarely can decisions be made in isolation from competing interests both within the organization and outside it. In this accessible and straightforward account, Hans de Bruijn and Ernst ten Heuvelhof cast light on multi-stakeholder decision-making. Shunning simplistic model talk, they reveal the nuts and bolts of decision-making within the numerous dilemmas and tensions at work. Using a diverse range of illustrative examples throughout, their perceptive analysis examines how different interests can either support or block change, and the strategies available in managing a variety of stakeholders This insightful text provides both depth of understanding and a wealth of advice. It is invaluable reading to students working in business and management, public administration and organizational studies, plus practitioners - or actors - operating in a range of contexts.

Research Anthology on Decision Support Systems and Decision Management in Healthcare, Business, and Engineering

Author : Management Association, Information Resources
Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1799890244
Total Pages : 1538 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (998 download)

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Book Synopsis Research Anthology on Decision Support Systems and Decision Management in Healthcare, Business, and Engineering by : Management Association, Information Resources

Download or read book Research Anthology on Decision Support Systems and Decision Management in Healthcare, Business, and Engineering written by Management Association, Information Resources and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2021-05-28 with total page 1538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision support systems (DSS) are widely touted for their effectiveness in aiding decision making, particularly across a wide and diverse range of industries including healthcare, business, and engineering applications. The concepts, principles, and theories of enhanced decision making are essential points of research as well as the exact methods, tools, and technologies being implemented in these industries. From both a standpoint of DSS interfaces, namely the design and development of these technologies, along with the implementations, including experiences and utilization of these tools, one can get a better sense of how exactly DSS has changed the face of decision making and management in multi-industry applications. Furthermore, the evaluation of the impact of these technologies is essential in moving forward in the future. The Research Anthology on Decision Support Systems and Decision Management in Healthcare, Business, and Engineering explores how decision support systems have been developed and implemented across diverse industries through perspectives on the technology, the utilizations of these tools, and from a decision management standpoint. The chapters will cover not only the interfaces, implementations, and functionality of these tools, but also the overall impacts they have had on the specific industries mentioned. This book also evaluates the effectiveness along with benefits and challenges of using DSS as well as the outlook for the future. This book is ideal for decision makers, IT consultants and specialists, software developers, design professionals, academicians, policymakers, researchers, professionals, and students interested in how DSS is being used in different industries.

Decision Making with Dependence and Feedback

Author : Thomas L. Saaty
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 400 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making with Dependence and Feedback by : Thomas L. Saaty

Download or read book Decision Making with Dependence and Feedback written by Thomas L. Saaty and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book shows how to make decisions when alternatives depend on criteria, but also the criteria depend on the alternatives. It shows how to cope with dependence between different groups of people, goals and criteria. The Analytic Network Process is particularly useful to project the future of a group or company considering all the influences and risks: economic, social, political, technological, environmental, and others. Accompanying ANP software is under development.

Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks

Author : Norman Fenton
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439809100
Total Pages : 527 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks by : Norman Fenton

Download or read book Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks written by Norman Fenton and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2012-11-07 with total page 527 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although many Bayesian Network (BN) applications are now in everyday use, BNs have not yet achieved mainstream penetration. Focusing on practical real-world problem solving and model building, as opposed to algorithms and theory, Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use (Bayesian) causal models of risk that provide powerful insights and better decision making. Provides all tools necessary to build and run realistic Bayesian network models Supplies extensive example models based on real risk assessment problems in a wide range of application domains provided; for example, finance, safety, systems reliability, law, and more Introduces all necessary mathematics, probability, and statistics as needed The book first establishes the basics of probability, risk, and building and using BN models, then goes into the detailed applications. The underlying BN algorithms appear in appendices rather than the main text since there is no need to understand them to build and use BN models. Keeping the body of the text free of intimidating mathematics, the book provides pragmatic advice about model building to ensure models are built efficiently. A dedicated website, www.BayesianRisk.com, contains executable versions of all of the models described, exercises and worked solutions for all chapters, PowerPoint slides, numerous other resources, and a free downloadable copy of the AgenaRisk software.

Transportation Decision Making

Author : Kumares C. Sinha
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118169662
Total Pages : 576 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis Transportation Decision Making by : Kumares C. Sinha

Download or read book Transportation Decision Making written by Kumares C. Sinha and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-09-09 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This pioneering text provides a holistic approach to decisionmaking in transportation project development and programming, whichcan help transportation professionals to optimize their investmentchoices. The authors present a proven set of methodologies forevaluating transportation projects that ensures that all costs andimpacts are taken into consideration. The text's logical organization gets readers started with asolid foundation in basic principles and then progressively buildson that foundation. Topics covered include: Developing performance measures for evaluation, estimatingtravel demand, and costing transportation projects Performing an economic efficiency evaluation that accounts forsuch factors as travel time, safety, and vehicle operatingcosts Evaluating a project's impact on economic development and landuse as well as its impact on society and culture Assessing a project's environmental impact, including airquality, noise, ecology, water resources, and aesthetics Evaluating alternative projects on the basis of multipleperformance criteria Programming transportation investments so that resources can beoptimally allocated to meet facility-specific and system-widegoals Each chapter begins with basic definitions and concepts followedby a methodology for impact assessment. Relevant legislation isdiscussed and available software for performing evaluations ispresented. At the end of each chapter, readers are providedresources for detailed investigation of particular topics. Theseinclude Internet sites and publications of international anddomestic agencies and research institutions. The authors alsoprovide a companion Web site that offers updates, data foranalysis, and case histories of project evaluation and decisionmaking. Given that billions of dollars are spent each year ontransportation systems in the United States alone, and that thereis a need for thorough and rational evaluation and decision makingfor cost-effective system preservation and improvement, this textshould be on the desks of all transportation planners, engineers,and educators. With exercises in every chapter, this text is anideal coursebook for the subject of transportation systems analysisand evaluation.

Intelligent Decision Making: An AI-Based Approach

Author : Gloria Phillips-Wren
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3540768297
Total Pages : 414 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Intelligent Decision Making: An AI-Based Approach by : Gloria Phillips-Wren

Download or read book Intelligent Decision Making: An AI-Based Approach written by Gloria Phillips-Wren and published by Springer. This book was released on 2008-02-27 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Intelligent Decision Support Systems have the potential to transform human decision making by combining research in artificial intelligence, information technology, and systems engineering. The field of intelligent decision making is expanding rapidly due, in part, to advances in artificial intelligence and network-centric environments that can deliver the technology. Communication and coordination between dispersed systems can deliver just-in-time information, real-time processing, collaborative environments, and globally up-to-date information to a human decision maker. At the same time, artificial intelligence techniques have demonstrated that they have matured sufficiently to provide computational assistance to humans in practical applications. This book includes contributions from leading researchers in the field beginning with the foundations of human decision making and the complexity of the human cognitive system. Researchers contrast human and artificial intelligence, survey computational intelligence, present pragmatic systems, and discuss future trends. This book will be an invaluable resource to anyone interested in the current state of knowledge and key research gaps in the rapidly developing field of intelligent decision support.

Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks

Author : Norman Fenton
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1351978969
Total Pages : 783 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks by : Norman Fenton

Download or read book Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks written by Norman Fenton and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-09-03 with total page 783 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the first edition of this book published, Bayesian networks have become even more important for applications in a vast array of fields. This second edition includes new material on influence diagrams, learning from data, value of information, cybersecurity, debunking bad statistics, and much more. Focusing on practical real-world problem-solving and model building, as opposed to algorithms and theory, it explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use (Bayesian) causal models of risk that provide more powerful insights and better decision making than is possible from purely data-driven solutions. Features Provides all tools necessary to build and run realistic Bayesian network models Supplies extensive example models based on real risk assessment problems in a wide range of application domains provided; for example, finance, safety, systems reliability, law, forensics, cybersecurity and more Introduces all necessary mathematics, probability, and statistics as needed Establishes the basics of probability, risk, and building and using Bayesian network models, before going into the detailed applications A dedicated website contains exercises and worked solutions for all chapters along with numerous other resources. The AgenaRisk software contains a model library with executable versions of all of the models in the book. Lecture slides are freely available to accredited academic teachers adopting the book on their course.

Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs

Author : Thomas Dyhre Nielsen
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387682821
Total Pages : 457 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (876 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs by : Thomas Dyhre Nielsen

Download or read book Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs written by Thomas Dyhre Nielsen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-03-17 with total page 457 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a brand new edition of an essential work on Bayesian networks and decision graphs. It is an introduction to probabilistic graphical models including Bayesian networks and influence diagrams. The reader is guided through the two types of frameworks with examples and exercises, which also give instruction on how to build these models. Structured in two parts, the first section focuses on probabilistic graphical models, while the second part deals with decision graphs, and in addition to the frameworks described in the previous edition, it also introduces Markov decision process and partially ordered decision problems.

Emotion and Decision Making Explained

Author : Edmund T. Rolls
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 0199659893
Total Pages : 729 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (996 download)

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Book Synopsis Emotion and Decision Making Explained by : Edmund T. Rolls

Download or read book Emotion and Decision Making Explained written by Edmund T. Rolls and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 729 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What produces emotions? Why do we have emotions? How do we have emotions? Why do emotional states feel like something? What is the relation between emotion, and reward value, and subjective feelings of pleasure? These are just some of the question considered in this book, written by a leading neuroscientist in this field.

Network Security

Author : Tansu Alpcan
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521119320
Total Pages : 332 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (193 download)

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Book Synopsis Network Security by : Tansu Alpcan

Download or read book Network Security written by Tansu Alpcan and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-10-21 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Covering attack detection, malware response, algorithm and mechanism design, privacy, and risk management, this comprehensive work applies unique quantitative models derived from decision, control, and game theories to understanding diverse network security problems. It provides the reader with a system-level theoretical understanding of network security, and is essential reading for researchers interested in a quantitative approach to key incentive and resource allocation issues in the field. It also provides practitioners with an analytical foundation that is useful for formalising decision-making processes in network security.

Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making

Author : Derek J. Koehler
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470752912
Total Pages : 680 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (77 download)

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Book Synopsis Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making by : Derek J. Koehler

Download or read book Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making written by Derek J. Koehler and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 680 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making is a state-of-the art overview of current topics and research in the study of how people make evaluations, draw inferences, and make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and conflict. Contains contributions by experts from various disciplines that reflect current trends and controversies on judgment and decision making. Provides a glimpse at the many approaches that have been taken in the study of judgment and decision making and portrays the major findings in the field. Presents examinations of the broader roles of social, emotional, and cultural influences on decision making. Explores applications of judgment and decision making research to important problems in a variety of professional contexts, including finance, accounting, medicine, public policy, and the law.

Structured Decision Making

Author : Robin Gregory
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1444333410
Total Pages : 315 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (443 download)

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Book Synopsis Structured Decision Making by : Robin Gregory

Download or read book Structured Decision Making written by Robin Gregory and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-03-19 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book outlines the creative process of making environmental management decisions using the approach called Structured Decision Making. It is a short introductory guide to this popular form of decision making and is aimed at environmental managers and scientists. This is a distinctly pragmatic label given to ways for helping individuals and groups think through tough multidimensional choices characterized by uncertain science, diverse stakeholders, and difficult tradeoffs. This is the everyday reality of environmental management, yet many important decisions currently are made on an ad hoc basis that lacks a solid value-based foundation, ignores key information, and results in selection of an inferior alternative. Making progress – in a way that is rigorous, inclusive, defensible and transparent – requires combining analytical methods drawn from the decision sciences and applied ecology with deliberative insights from cognitive psychology, facilitation and negotiation. The authors review key methods and discuss case-study examples based in their experiences in communities, boardrooms, and stakeholder meetings. The goal of this book is to lay out a compelling guide that will change how you think about making environmental decisions. Visit www.wiley.com/go/gregory/ to access the figures and tables from the book.

Strategic Decision Making

Author : Navneet Bhushan
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1852338644
Total Pages : 175 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (523 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Decision Making by : Navneet Bhushan

Download or read book Strategic Decision Making written by Navneet Bhushan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-28 with total page 175 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Strategic Decision Making provides an effective, formal methodology that provides help with decision making problems, especially strategic ones with high stakes involving human perceptions and judgements. Focusing on applying the AHP to decision-making problems, Strategic Decision Making covers problems in the realms of business, defence and governance. Using case studies drawn from years of experience, the book discusses decision making for real life problems and includes many worked examples and solutions to problems throughout. The reader will gain comprehensive exposure to the extent of assistance that a formal methodology, such as AHP, can provide to the decision maker in evolving decisions in complex and varied domains.

Encyclopedia of Decision Making and Decision Support Technologies

Author : Adam, Frederic
Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1599048442
Total Pages : 1019 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (99 download)

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Book Synopsis Encyclopedia of Decision Making and Decision Support Technologies by : Adam, Frederic

Download or read book Encyclopedia of Decision Making and Decision Support Technologies written by Adam, Frederic and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2008-04-30 with total page 1019 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As effective organizational decision making is a major factor in a company's success, a comprehensive account of current available research on the core concepts of the decision support agenda is in high demand by academicians and professionals. Through 110 authoritative contributions by over 160 of the world's leading experts the Encyclopedia of Decision Making and Decision Support Technologies presents a critical mass of research on the most up-to-date research on human and computer support of managerial decision making, including discussion on support of operational, tactical, and strategic decisions, human vs. computer system support structure, individual and group decision making, and multi-criteria decision making.

How the Brain Makes Decisions

Author : Thomas Boraud
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192557769
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (925 download)

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Book Synopsis How the Brain Makes Decisions by : Thomas Boraud

Download or read book How the Brain Makes Decisions written by Thomas Boraud and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2020-10-08 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What if our ability to make decisions was more a matter of chance than a rational process? It has long been recognized that the mind decides, the body obeys. However, as the author of this book argues, in reality it might just be the opposite. The decision-making process is produced by cerebral matter. It is a random phenomenon that results from competing processes within a network whose architecture has changed little since the first vertebrates. This book presents a 'bottom-up' approach to understanding decision making, starting from the fundamental question: what are the basic properties that a neural network of decision making needs to possess? Combining data drawn from phylogeny and physiology, the book provides a general framework for the neurobiology of decision-making in vertebrates, and explains how it evolved from the lamprey to the apes. It also looks at the consequences of such a framework: how it impacts our capacity for reasoning, and considers some aspects of the pathophysiology of higher brain functions. It ends with an open discussion of more philosophical concepts such as the nature of Free-will. Written in a lively and accessible style, the book presents an exciting perspective on understanding decision making.