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Author : Dennis Gabor
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780140206630
Total Pages : 199 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (66 download)
Download or read book Inventing the Future written by Dennis Gabor and published by . This book was released on 1963 with total page 199 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher : Crown
ISBN 13 : 080413670X
Total Pages : 331 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (41 download)
Download or read book Superforecasting written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Crown. This book was released on 2015-09-29 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.
Author : M. Mitchell Waldrop
Publisher : Stripe Press
ISBN 13 : 1953953360
Total Pages : 583 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (539 download)
Download or read book The Dream Machine written by M. Mitchell Waldrop and published by Stripe Press. This book was released on 2018-09-25 with total page 583 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The story of the man who instigated the work that led to the internet—and shifted our understanding of what computers could be. Behind every great revolution is a vision and behind perhaps the greatest revolution of our time, personal computing, is the vision of J.C.R. Licklider. He did not design the first personal computers or write the software that ran on them, nor was he involved in the legendary early companies that brought them to the forefront of our everyday experience. He was instead a relentless visionary that saw the potential of the way individuals could interact with computers and software. At a time when computers were a short step removed from mechanical data processors, Licklider was writing treatises on "human-computer symbiosis", "computers as communication devices", and a now not-so-unfamiliar "Intergalactic Network." His ideas became so influential, his passion so contagious, that Waldrop called him "computing's Johnny Appleseed. In a simultaneously compelling personal narrative and comprehensive historical exposition, Waldrop tells the story of the man who not only instigated the work that led to the internet, but also shifted our understanding of what computers were and could be. Included in this edition are also the original texts of Licklider's three most influential writings: 'Man-computer symbiosis' (1960), which outlines the vision that inspired the personal computer revolution of the 1970s; his 'Intergalactic Network' memo (1963), which outlines the vision that inspired the internet; and "The computer as a communication device" (1968, co-authored with Robert Taylor), which amplifies his vision for what the network could become.
Author : Thomas Hatch
Publisher : Corwin Press
ISBN 13 : 1071838504
Total Pages : 181 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (718 download)
Download or read book The Education We Need for a Future We Can′t Predict written by Thomas Hatch and published by Corwin Press. This book was released on 2021-01-19 with total page 181 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Improve Schools and Transform Education In order for educational systems to change, we must reevaluate deep-seated beliefs about learning, teaching, schooling, and race that perpetuate inequitable opportunities and outcomes. Hatch, Corson, and Gerth van den Berg challenge the narrative when it comes to the "grammar of schooling"--or the conventional structures, practices, and beliefs that define educational experiences for so many children—to cast a new vision of what school could be. The book addresses current systemic problems and solutions as it: Highlights global examples of successful school change Describes strategies that improve educational opportunities and performance Explores promising approaches in developing new learning opportunities Outlines conditions for supporting wide-scale educational improvement This provocative book approaches education reform by highlighting what works, while also demonstrating what can be accomplished if we redefine conventional schools. We can make the schools we have more efficient, more effective, and more equitable, all while creating powerful opportunities to support all aspects of students’ development. "You won’t find a better book on system change in education than this one. We learn why schools don’t change; how they can improve; what it takes to change a system; and, in the final analysis, the possibilities of system change. Above all, The Education We Need renders complexity into clarity as the writing is so clear and compelling. A powerful read on a topic of utmost importance." ~Michael Fullan, Professor Emeritus, OISE/Universtiy of Toronto "I cannot recommend this book highly enough – Tom tackles long-standing and emerging educational issues in new ways with an impressive understanding of the challenging complexities, but also feasible possibilities, for ensuring excellence and equity for all students." ~Carol Campbell, Associate Professor, Ontario Institute for Studies in Education, University of Toronto
Author : Tyler Tarver Ed S
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (66 download)
Download or read book The Baller Teacher Playbook written by Tyler Tarver Ed S and published by . This book was released on 2021-02-18 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Does your classroom run the way you want? Most people enter the teaching profession wanting to make a difference in young people's lives. However, more and more teachers feel lost, frustrated, and overwhelmed with everything they're required to do. It's hard to be successful without a clear plan on getting control of your classroom, empowering your students, and making the learning experience more enjoyable for you and your students. These 18 chapters are crucial for any educator who wants to take their teaching to the next level. Teacher, Principal, Director, Dean, and YouTube/TikTok teacher, Tyler Tarver knows that education is more than just standing in front of students lecturing them on a specific topic - it's a culture of learning that educators foster to train the next generation. If you are attempting to be the best educator you can in the environment you're in, you need ideas and encouragement from someone who's been exactly where you are. Even if you had the time, money, and support we know teachers deserve, we know that applying any knowledge always has a greater impact when you're able to give personal and practical application to the ideas you know matter. Besides sitting through 60+ hours a year of professional development, there is another way to incrementally improve your teaching week after week. Spoiler Alert: It can also be fun. Tyler Tarver learned how to create the culture he wanted in his classroom. He was able to pass this on to any educator who wanted to get excited about teaching and have a deeper impact on their students. He wrote The Baller Teacher Playbook to teach others what it takes to expand your teaching and create a community of happy and engaged learners. These short, weekly chapters and accompanying resources will add enormous value to your classroom and the school you work for. In this 18-week guide, readers will be introduced to the top areas where truly successful teachers and their students excel: Reason vs Excuses: How do you overcome the hurdles inherent in education? Fun: How do you get yourself and students excited about learning? Creativity: How do you create a culture where every day is unexpected but not chaotic? Positivity: How can we roll with the punches but not have to fake it? Authenticity: How can I be myself but genuinely connect with young people? Leadership: How do I get my students to lead without me? Collaboration: How do I work with my administrators, colleagues, and parents to better every student's education? Diversity: How do I help build empathy and understanding among myself and my students? Development: How am I always getting better? Plus more! The Baller Teacher Playbook is the must-have guide for anyone who feels lost or overwhelmed by the current educational climate, even if they have been teaching for years. Learn from a fellow educator who had their fair share of mistakes and successes through the simple but effective tactics shared in these pages. Take things further: If you want to move forward even faster as an educational professional, read a chapter once a week with your team, and come together at weekly meetings to discuss experience, ideas, triumphs, and a community of educators trying to improve themselves and their classroom.
Author : Octavia E. Butler
Publisher : Seven Stories Press
ISBN 13 : 9781888363814
Total Pages : 374 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (638 download)
Download or read book Parable of the Talents written by Octavia E. Butler and published by Seven Stories Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Parable of the Talents celebrates the classic Butlerian themes of alienation and transcendence, violence and spirituality, slavery and freedom, separation and community, to astonishing effect, in the shockingly familiar, broken world of 2032. Long awaited, Parable of the Talents is the continuation of the travails of Lauren Olamina, the heroine of 1994's Nebula-Prize finalist, bestselling Parable of the Sower. Parable of the Talents is told in the voice of Lauren Olamina's daughter&...from whom she has been separated for most of the girl's life&...with sections in the form of Lauren's journal. Against a background of a war-torn continent, and with a far-right religious crusader in the office of the U.S. presidency, this is a book about a society whose very fabric has been torn asunder, and where the basic physical and emotional needs of people seem almost impossible to meet.
Author : Michio Kaku
Publisher : Anchor
ISBN 13 : 0385530811
Total Pages : 456 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (855 download)
Download or read book Physics of the Future written by Michio Kaku and published by Anchor. This book was released on 2011-03-15 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NATIONAL BESTSELLER • The renowned theoretical physicist and national bestselling author of The God Equation details the developments in computer technology, artificial intelligence, medicine, space travel, and more, that are poised to happen over the next century. “Mind-bending…. [An] alternately fascinating and frightening book.” —San Francisco Chronicle Space elevators. Internet-enabled contact lenses. Cars that fly by floating on magnetic fields. This is the stuff of science fiction—it’s also daily life in the year 2100. Renowned theoretical physicist Michio Kaku considers how these inventions will affect the world economy, addressing the key questions: Who will have jobs? Which nations will prosper? Kaku interviews three hundred of the world’s top scientists—working in their labs on astonishing prototypes. He also takes into account the rigorous scientific principles that regulate how quickly, how safely, and how far technologies can advance. In Physics of the Future, Kaku forecasts a century of earthshaking advances in technology that could make even the last centuries’ leaps and bounds seem insignificant.
Author : Eric Garland
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780983559504
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (595 download)
Download or read book How to Predict the Future... and WIN!!! written by Eric Garland and published by . This book was released on 2011-04-18 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As much as we say through business books and keynote speeches that we want to expect the unexpected, provide early warning, think outside of the box and create the future - we don't. Not usually. Bureaucracies are designed to maintain their current structure, not to evolve to meet future challenges. Is this the result of fifty years of futurism, of thousands of executive retreats, of millions of pages of trend analysis? With decades of advanced intellectual techniques in foresight, why do we seem to keep stumbling into housing bubbles, financial collapse, disruptive technologies and wildcard events and then declare, "Nobody could see it coming!" In this world of superconnected economies and increasingly fragile institutions, we must restore our ability to imagine the future, based on critical thinking instead of fear. In How to Predict the Future...and WIN!!! Eric Garland illustrates how bureaucracies avoid actual discussions of their futures and recommends how we can turn our organizations around to become truly future-focused. His narrator in this intellectual journey is P. Hughes Egon, the world's "premier futurological predictologist" for the past forty years who doesn't realize how 1988 his visions of the future really are. In the book, Garland exposes Egon's twenty-five "tips" on foresight so that our organizations can achieve actual vision of what's next.
Author : Michael Batty
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262349906
Total Pages : 301 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)
Download or read book Inventing Future Cities written by Michael Batty and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2018-12-11 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How we can invent—but not predict—the future of cities. We cannot predict future cities, but we can invent them. Cities are largely unpredictable because they are complex systems that are more like organisms than machines. Neither the laws of economics nor the laws of mechanics apply; cities are the product of countless individual and collective decisions that do not conform to any grand plan. They are the product of our inventions; they evolve. In Inventing Future Cities, Michael Batty explores what we need to understand about cities in order to invent their future. Batty outlines certain themes—principles—that apply to all cities. He investigates not the invention of artifacts but inventive processes. Today form is becoming ever more divorced from function; information networks now shape the traditional functions of cities as places of exchange and innovation. By the end of this century, most of the world's population will live in cities, large or small, sometimes contiguous, and always connected; in an urbanized world, it will be increasingly difficult to define a city by its physical boundaries. Batty discusses the coming great transition from a world with few cities to a world of all cities; argues that future cities will be defined as clusters in a hierarchy; describes the future “high-frequency,” real-time streaming city; considers urban sprawl and urban renewal; and maps the waves of technological change, which grow ever more intense and lead to continuous innovation—an unending process of creative destruction out of which future cities will emerge.
Author : Paul B. Brown
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351861891
Total Pages : 162 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (518 download)
Download or read book Entrepreneurship for the Rest of Us written by Paul B. Brown and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-11-03 with total page 162 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today when the competition, technology, and the economy are evolving faster than ever before, organizations and the people like us who work in them need a proven approach to help us adapt--and succeed. The key, according to Paul B. Brown, is to think like an entrepreneur, no matter what your position or industry. What works for the most successful entrepreneurs will work for us, Brown argues, whether we want to stay employed working for someone else or are thinking of going off on our own. Based on extensive research, Entrepreneurship for the Rest of Us reveals the best practices of the most successful entrepreneurs, those who are adept at continually innovating and seeing opportunity where others do not. They do that by following a rigid approach. For example: They never start with a new idea, but by trying to solve a market need. Financing is an afterthought. They get started with the resources at hand (not only does that allow them to move quickly, if things don't work out, they are not out much). Perfect is the enemy of good, it is much more important to get out into the marketplace with a prototype than to keep fiddling with what you have. In short, the entrepreneurial mindset is a protection against economic uncertainty, and Brown's goal is to spread that thinking to individuals and large organizations alike. Though of course we won't all start or run our own companies, we need to learn to think like entrepreneurs so that when uncertainty hits, as it will again and again, individuals and companies will be better prepared to not only survive but win.
Author : Andromeda Romano-Lax
Publisher : Soho Press
ISBN 13 : 1616959029
Total Pages : 409 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (169 download)
Download or read book Plum Rains written by Andromeda Romano-Lax and published by Soho Press. This book was released on 2018-06-05 with total page 409 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a tour-de-force tapestry of science fiction and historical fiction, Andromeda Romano-Lax presents a story set in Japan and Taiwan that spans a century of empire, conquest, progress, and destruction. 2029: In Japan, a historically mono-cultural nation, childbirth rates are at an all-time low and the elderly are living increasingly longer lives. This population crisis has precipitated the mass immigration of foreign medical workers from all over Asia, as well as the development of finely tuned artificial intelligence to step in where humans fall short. In Tokyo, Angelica Navarro, a Filipina nurse who has been in Japan for the last five years, works as caretaker for Sayoko Itou, a moody, secretive woman about to turn 100 years old. One day, Sayoko receives a present: a cutting-edge robot “friend” that will teach itself to anticipate Sayoko’s every need. Angelica wonders if she is about to be forced out of her much-needed job by an inanimate object—one with a preternatural ability to uncover the most deeply buried secrets of the humans around it. Meanwhile, Sayoko becomes attached to the machine. The old woman has been hiding secrets of her own for almost a century—and she’s too old to want to keep them anymore. What she reveals is a hundred-year saga of forbidden love, hidden identities, and the horrific legacy of WWII and Japanese colonialism—a confession that will tear apart her own life and Angelica’s. Is the helper robot the worst thing that could have happened to the two women—or is it forcing the changes they both desperately needed?
Author : Jeremy Gutsche
Publisher : Greenleaf Book Group
ISBN 13 : 173243915X
Total Pages : 358 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (324 download)
Download or read book Create the Future + The Innovation Handbook written by Jeremy Gutsche and published by Greenleaf Book Group. This book was released on 2020-03-10 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learn to Innovate and Make Real Change In our era of disruption and possibility, there are so many great opportunities within your grasp; however, most smart and successful people miss out. Unfortunately, your capabilities are limited by the seven traps of path dependency, which cause you to repeat past decisions. These traps can limit you from seeing the potential of what could be. If you could overcome these traps, what could you accomplish? How much more successful could you be? Create the Future teaches you how to think disruptively, providing specific steps to create real innovation and change. This book combines Jeremy's high energy, provocative thinking with tactics that have been battle-tested through thousands of his team's projects advising leading innovators like Disney, Starbucks, Amex, IBM, Adidas, Google, and NASA. On top of all that, this is a double-sided book, paired with The Innovation Handbook, a revised edition of Jeremy's award-winning book, Exploiting Chaos.
Download or read book InfoWorld written by and published by . This book was released on 1984-06-11 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: InfoWorld is targeted to Senior IT professionals. Content is segmented into Channels and Topic Centers. InfoWorld also celebrates people, companies, and projects.
Author : Dagmar Divjak
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107085756
Total Pages : 343 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)
Download or read book Frequency in Language written by Dagmar Divjak and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019-10-10 with total page 343 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Re-examines frequency, entrenchment and salience, three foundational concepts in usage-based linguistics, through the prism of learning, memory, and attention.
Author : Ignacio Palacios-Huerta
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262026910
Total Pages : 211 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)
Download or read book In 100 Years written by Ignacio Palacios-Huerta and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, ten prominent economists—including Nobel laureates and several likely laureates—offer their ideas about what the future might hold in 100 years. This pithy and engaging volume shows that economists may be better equipped to predict the future than science fiction writers. Economists' ideas, based on both theory and practice, reflect their knowledge of the laws of human interactions as well as years of experimentation and reflection. Although perhaps not as screenplay-ready as a work of fiction, these economists' predictions are ready for their close-ups. In this book, ten prominent economists—including Nobel laureates and several likely laureates—offer their ideas about the world of the twenty-second century. In scenarios that range from the optimistic to the guardedly gloomy, these thinkers consider such topics as the transformation of work and wages, the continuing increase in inequality, the economic rise of China and India, the endlessly repeating cycle of crisis and (projected) recovery, the benefits of technology, the economic consequences of political extremism, and the long-range effects of climate change. For example, 2013 Nobelist Robert Shiller provides an innovative view of future risk management methods using information technology; and Martin Weitzman raises the intriguing but alarming possibility of using geoengineering techniques to mitigate the inevitable effects of climate change. Contributors Daron Acemoglu, Angus Deaton, Avinash K. Dixit, Edward L. Glaeser, Andreu Mas-Colell, John E. Roemer, Alvin E. Roth, Robert J. Shiller, Robert M. Solow, Martin L. Weitzman
Author : Ray Kurzweil
Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 1101218886
Total Pages : 992 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (12 download)
Download or read book The Singularity Is Near written by Ray Kurzweil and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2005-09-22 with total page 992 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • Celebrated futurist Ray Kurzweil, hailed by Bill Gates as “the best person I know at predicting the future of artificial intelligence,” presents an “elaborate, smart, and persuasive” (The Boston Globe) view of the future course of human development. “Artfully envisions a breathtakingly better world.”—Los Angeles Times “Startling in scope and bravado.”—Janet Maslin, The New York Times “An important book.”—The Philadelphia Inquirer At the onset of the twenty-first century, humanity stands on the verge of the most transforming and thrilling period in its history. It will be an era in which the very nature of what it means to be human will be both enriched and challenged as our species breaks the shackles of its genetic legacy and achieves inconceivable heights of intelligence, material progress, and longevity. While the social and philosophical ramifications of these changes will be profound, and the threats they pose considerable, The Singularity Is Near presents a radical and optimistic view of the coming age that is both a dramatic culmination of centuries of technological ingenuity and a genuinely inspiring vision of our ultimate destiny.
Author : Torleif Halkjelsvik
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319749536
Total Pages : 117 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)
Download or read book Time Predictions written by Torleif Halkjelsvik and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-02-28 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is published open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. Predicting the time needed to complete a project, task or daily activity can be difficult and people frequently underestimate how long an activity will take. This book sheds light on why and when this happens, what we should do to avoid it and how to give more realistic time predictions. It describes methods for predicting time usage in situations with high uncertainty, explains why two plus two is usually more than four in time prediction contexts, reports on research on time prediction biases, and summarizes the evidence in support of different time prediction methods and principles. Based on a comprehensive review of the research, it is the first book summarizing what we know about judgment-based time predictions. Large parts of the book are directed toward people wishing to achieve better time predictions in their professional life, such as project managers, graphic designers, architects, engineers, film producers, consultants, software developers, or anyone else in need of realistic time usage predictions. It is also of benefit to those with a general interest in judgment and decision-making or those who want to improve their ability to predict and plan ahead in daily life.
