The Accuracy And Bias Of Equity Values Inferred From Analysts Earnings Forecasts

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Earnings, Earnings Growth and Value

Author : James A. Ohlson
Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1933019425
Total Pages : 90 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Earnings, Earnings Growth and Value by : James A. Ohlson

Download or read book Earnings, Earnings Growth and Value written by James A. Ohlson and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2006 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Earnings, Earnings Growth and Value presents a model of earnings and dividends leading up to the core principle that growth in earnings explains the price to forward-earnings ratio. This model is referred to as the OJ (Ohlson and Jeuttner-Nauroth) model. The OJ model takes into account two growth measures of earnings -- the near term and the long term -- to explain the price to forward-earnings ratio. Further, the model allows for a broad set of dividend policies. Earnings, Earnings Growth and Value starts from the basics and derives the valuation formula which shows how value depends on earnings and their growth. Some of the topics developed here are include dividend policy irrelevancy (DPI), how one extends the model to incorporate an underlying information dynamic, accounting rules and their influence on the model, and ways in which the model can be extended to reflect operating vs. financial activities. Earnings, Earnings Growth and Value should be required reading for researchers in accounting and finance with an interest in accounting theory, equity valuation and financial accounting.

The Valuation Handbook, (Custom Chapter 14)

Author : Rawley Thomas
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470539976
Total Pages : 842 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (75 download)

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Book Synopsis The Valuation Handbook, (Custom Chapter 14) by : Rawley Thomas

Download or read book The Valuation Handbook, (Custom Chapter 14) written by Rawley Thomas and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-10-01 with total page 842 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The definitive guide to valuation written by a who's who of today's top practitioners The Valuation Handbook differs significantly from other related books on this topic because the contributors are practitioners, academics, and investment firms that explain how they value companies and other assets. It concentrates on specific and innovative valuation techniques, rather than the theoretical approaches more generally accepted and discussed. Given the extreme volatility of the stock market, valuation is a critical issue for analysts, investors, and businesses. Here, various professional contributors explain how their firms approach the valuation process, while academic contributors share their valuation consulting and research experience. Examines how to value assets in today's dynamic market setting Offers a broad spectrum of ideas from some of the top practitioners and academics in this field Highlights state-of-the-art approaches to company valuation Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice, The Valuation Handbook puts this difficult discipline in perspective.

ValuFocus Investing

Author : Rawley Thomas
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118283244
Total Pages : 283 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis ValuFocus Investing by : Rawley Thomas

Download or read book ValuFocus Investing written by Rawley Thomas and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-11-26 with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A must-read book for investors who prefer to pick stocks based on cash flow facts, not on media hype and fiction How to Pick a Stock is written for the contrarian investor who wants an investing method that is based on cash flow facts, not on media hype and speculative impulse. This book combines an accessible presentation of a contrarian investment model and the ValuFocus tool that offers a highly studious, detailed explanation of understanding a company's true intrinsic value. If you can calculate a company's intrinsic value on the basis of knowing if the market is currently under, fairly, or over pricing its stock, then it is possible to invest wisely in the stock market. Investors who want to buy undervalued stocks, or sell (short) overvalued ones will find this book immensely useful. The ValuFocus investing tool calculates the intrinsic value of every company in their database automatically. Thus, an individual investor can become an "A" student of a modeling process, or can go right ahead in using this tool to pick stocks and manage their own portfolio. Additionally, this book helps to develop an enhanced framework to fundamental equity valuation. Contains the ValuFocus tool for calculating the intrinsic value of every company in the LCRT Nucleus database Offers specific and innovative valuation techniques of practicing professionals for individuals to use in picking stocks long-term Highlights the most state-of-the-art approaches to unconventional stock-picking for investors and corporate finance professionals Offering encouragement to individual investors by outlining a model that delivers satisfying returns, How to Pick a Stock is especially useful for those who are patient and believe in longer-term investing horizons.

Advances in Business and Management Forecasting

Author : Kenneth D. Lawrence
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0857249606
Total Pages : 219 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (572 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Business and Management Forecasting by : Kenneth D. Lawrence

Download or read book Advances in Business and Management Forecasting written by Kenneth D. Lawrence and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2011-11-16 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Intends to present advanced studies in the application of forecasting methodologies to such areas as sales, marketing, and strategic decision making. This title includes topics such as: sales and marketing, forecasting, new product forecasting, judgmentally-based forecasting, the application of surveys to forecasting, and sales response models.

Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting (New Series，2011) Vol．9

Author : Cheng F. Lee
Publisher : Center for PBBEFR & Airiti Press
ISBN 13 : 9866286436
Total Pages : 339 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (662 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting (New Series，2011) Vol．9 by : Cheng F. Lee

Download or read book Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting (New Series，2011) Vol．9 written by Cheng F. Lee and published by Center for PBBEFR & Airiti Press. This book was released on 2011-10-01 with total page 339 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting (New Series) is an annual publication designed to disseminate developments in the quantitative analysis of finance and accounting. The publication is a forum for statistical and quantitative analyses of issues in finance and accounting as well as applications of quantitative methods to problems in financial management, financial accounting, and business management. The objective is to promote interaction between academic research in finance and accounting and applied research in the financial community and the accounting profession.

Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting

Author : Cheng-Few Lee
Publisher : Center for PBBEFR & Airiti Press
ISBN 13 : 9868518245
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (685 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting by : Cheng-Few Lee

Download or read book Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting written by Cheng-Few Lee and published by Center for PBBEFR & Airiti Press. This book was released on 2009-01-01 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in Quantitative Analysis of Finance and Accounting (New Series) is an annual publication designed to disseminate developments in the quantitative analysis of finance and accounting. The publication is a forum for statistical and quantitative analyses of issues in finance and accounting as well as applications of quantitative methods to problems in financial management, financial accounting, and business management. The objective is to promote interaction between academic research in finance and accounting and applied research in the financial community and the accounting profession. The papers in this volume cover a wide range of topics including corporate finance and debt management, earnings management, equity market, auditing, option pricing theory, and interest rate theory. In this volume there are eleven chapters, five of them are corporate finance and debt management: 1. Liquidity and Adverse Selection: Evidence from the Five-or-Fewer Rule Change; 2. Changing Business Environment and the Value of Relevance of Accounting Information; 3. Pricing Risky Securities in Hidden Markov-Modulated Poisson Processes; 4. An Empirical Assessment of Alternative Dividend Expectation Models; 5. Quantitative Market Risk Disclosure, Bond Default Risk and The Cost of Debt: Why Value At Risk? There are two of the other six chapters which cover interest rate theory: 1. Positive Interest Rates and Yields: Additional Serious Considerations; 2. Collapse of Dimensionality in the Interest Rate Term Structure. The remaining four chapters cover financial analysts earnings forecasts, equity market, auditing, and option pricing theory. These four papers are: 1. Investors’ Apparent Under-weighting of Financial Analysts’ Earnings Forecasts: The Role of Share Price Scaling and Omitted Risk Factors; 2. Predicting Stock Price by Applying the Residual Income Model and Bayesian Statistics; 3. Intertemporal Associations Between Non-Audit Services and Auditors’ Tendency to Allow Discretionary Accruals; 4. Put Option Portfolio Insurance vs. Asset Allocation.

Time Series Analysis and Its Applications

Author : Robert H. Shumway
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781475732627
Total Pages : 568 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (326 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis and Its Applications by : Robert H. Shumway

Download or read book Time Series Analysis and Its Applications written by Robert H. Shumway and published by . This book was released on 2014-01-15 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data

Author : Peter Easton
Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1601981945
Total Pages : 148 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data by : Peter Easton

Download or read book Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data written by Peter Easton and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2009 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data focuses on estimating the expected rate of return implied by market prices, summary accounting numbers, and forecasts of earnings and dividends. Estimates of the expected rate of return, often used as proxies for the cost of capital, are obtained by inverting accounting-based valuation models. The author describes accounting-based valuation models and discusses how these models have been used, and how they may be used, to obtain estimates of the cost of capital. The practical appeal of accounting-based valuation models is that they focus on the two variables that are commonly at the heart of valuations carried out by equity analysts -- forecasts of earnings and forecasts of earnings growth. The question at the core of this monograph is -- How can these forecasts be used to obtain an estimate of the cost of capital? The author examines the empirical validity of the estimates based on these forecasts and explores ways to improve these estimates. In addition, this monograph details a method for isolating the effect of any factor of interest (such as cross-listing, fraud, disclosure quality, taxes, analyst following, accounting standards, etc.) on the cost of capital. If you are interested in understanding the academic literature on accounting-based estimates of expected rate of return this monograph is for you. Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data provides a foundation for a deeper comprehension of this literature and will give a jump start to those who have an interest in these topics. The key ideas are introduced via examples based on actual forecasts, accounting information, and market prices for listed firms, and the numerical examples are based on sound algebraic relations.

Essays on the Residual Income Valuaiton Model

Author : Qiang Cheng
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on the Residual Income Valuaiton Model by : Qiang Cheng

Download or read book Essays on the Residual Income Valuaiton Model written by Qiang Cheng and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes)

Author : Cheng Few Lee
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9811202400
Total Pages : 5053 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) by : Cheng Few Lee

Download or read book Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) written by Cheng Few Lee and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-07-30 with total page 5053 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This four-volume handbook covers important concepts and tools used in the fields of financial econometrics, mathematics, statistics, and machine learning. Econometric methods have been applied in asset pricing, corporate finance, international finance, options and futures, risk management, and in stress testing for financial institutions. This handbook discusses a variety of econometric methods, including single equation multiple regression, simultaneous equation regression, and panel data analysis, among others. It also covers statistical distributions, such as the binomial and log normal distributions, in light of their applications to portfolio theory and asset management in addition to their use in research regarding options and futures contracts.In both theory and methodology, we need to rely upon mathematics, which includes linear algebra, geometry, differential equations, Stochastic differential equation (Ito calculus), optimization, constrained optimization, and others. These forms of mathematics have been used to derive capital market line, security market line (capital asset pricing model), option pricing model, portfolio analysis, and others.In recent times, an increased importance has been given to computer technology in financial research. Different computer languages and programming techniques are important tools for empirical research in finance. Hence, simulation, machine learning, big data, and financial payments are explored in this handbook.Led by Distinguished Professor Cheng Few Lee from Rutgers University, this multi-volume work integrates theoretical, methodological, and practical issues based on his years of academic and industry experience.

Valuation Approaches and Metrics

Author : Aswath Damodaran
Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1601980140
Total Pages : 102 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Valuation Approaches and Metrics by : Aswath Damodaran

Download or read book Valuation Approaches and Metrics written by Aswath Damodaran and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Valuation lies at the heart of much of what we do in finance, whether it is the study of market efficiency and questions about corporate governance or the comparison of different investment decision rules in capital budgeting. In this paper, we consider the theory and evidence on valuation approaches. We begin by surveying the literature on discounted cash flow valuation models, ranging from the first mentions of the dividend discount model to value stocks to the use of excess return models in more recent years. In the second part of the paper, we examine relative valuation models and, in particular, the use of multiples and comparables in valuation and evaluate whether relative valuation models yield more or less precise estimates of value than discounted cash flow models. In the final part of the paper, we set the stage for further research in valuation by noting the estimation challenges we face as companies globalize and become exposed to risk in multiple countries.

Continuing Value Determinants in Accounting Based Valuation Models

Author : Luis Enrique Palencia
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 366 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Continuing Value Determinants in Accounting Based Valuation Models by : Luis Enrique Palencia

Download or read book Continuing Value Determinants in Accounting Based Valuation Models written by Luis Enrique Palencia and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 366 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Business Periodicals Index

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 2806 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Business Periodicals Index by :

Download or read book Business Periodicals Index written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 2806 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Equity Asset Valuation

Author : Jerald E. Pinto
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119104645
Total Pages : 624 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis Equity Asset Valuation by : Jerald E. Pinto

Download or read book Equity Asset Valuation written by Jerald E. Pinto and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-10-16 with total page 624 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Navigate equity investments and asset valuation with confidence Equity Asset Valuation, Third Edition blends theory and practice to paint an accurate, informative picture of the equity asset world. The most comprehensive resource on the market, this text supplements your studies for the third step in the three-level CFA certification program by integrating both accounting and finance concepts to explore a collection of valuation models and challenge you to determine which models are most appropriate for certain companies and circumstances. Detailed learning outcome statements help you navigate your way through the content, which covers a wide range of topics, including how an analyst approaches the equity valuation process, the basic DDM, the derivation of the required rate of return within the context of Markowitz and Sharpe's modern portfolio theory, and more. Equity investments encompass the buying and holding of shares of stock in the anticipation of collecting income from dividends and capital gains. Determining which shares will be profitable is key, and an array of valuation techniques is applied on today's market to decide which stocks are ripe for investment and which are best left out of your portfolio. Access the most comprehensive equity asset valuation text on the market Leverage detailed learning outcome statements that focus your attention on key concepts, and guide you in applying the material accurately and effectively Explore a wide range of essential topics, such as the free cash flow approach, valuation using Graham and Dodd type concepts of earning power, associated market multiples, and residual income models Improve your study efforts by leveraging the text during your CFA certification program prep Equity Asset Valuation, Third Edition is a comprehensive, updated text that guides you through the information you need to know to fully understand the general analysis of equity investments.

Earnings Quality

Author : Jennifer Francis
Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1601981147
Total Pages : 97 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Earnings Quality by : Jennifer Francis

Download or read book Earnings Quality written by Jennifer Francis and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2008 with total page 97 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This review lays out a research perspective on earnings quality. We provide an overview of alternative definitions and measures of earnings quality and a discussion of research design choices encountered in earnings quality research. Throughout, we focus on a capital markets setting, as opposed, for example, to a contracting or stewardship setting. Our reason for this choice stems from the view that the capital market uses of accounting information are fundamental, in the sense of providing a basis for other uses, such as stewardship. Because resource allocations are ex ante decisions while contracting/stewardship assessments are ex post evaluations of outcomes, evidence on whether, how and to what degree earnings quality influences capital market resource allocation decisions is fundamental to understanding why and how accounting matters to investors and others, including those charged with stewardship responsibilities. Demonstrating a link between earnings quality and, for example, the costs of equity and debt capital implies a basic economic role in capital allocation decisions for accounting information; this role has only recently been documented in the accounting literature. We focus on how the precision of financial information in capturing one or more underlying valuation-relevant constructs affects the assessment and use of that information by capital market participants. We emphasize that the choice of constructs to be measured is typically contextual. Our main focus is on the precision of earnings, which we view as a summary indicator of the overall quality of financial reporting. Our intent in discussing research that evaluates the capital market effects of earnings quality is both to stimulate further research in this area and to encourage research on related topics, including, for example, the role of earnings quality in contracting and stewardship.

A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics

Author : Frederic S. Mishkin
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226531929
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (265 download)

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Book Synopsis A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics by : Frederic S. Mishkin

Download or read book A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics written by Frederic S. Mishkin and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics pursues a rational expectations approach to the estimation of a class of models widely discussed in the macroeconomics and finance literature: those which emphasize the effects from unanticipated, rather than anticipated, movements in variables. In this volume, Fredrick S. Mishkin first theoretically develops and discusses a unified econometric treatment of these models and then shows how to estimate them with an annotated computer program.

Valuation of Unlisted Direct Investment Equity

Author : Emmanuel O. Kumah
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451873891
Total Pages : 75 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Valuation of Unlisted Direct Investment Equity by : Emmanuel O. Kumah

Download or read book Valuation of Unlisted Direct Investment Equity written by Emmanuel O. Kumah and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-11-01 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the seven valuation methods for unlisted direct investment equity included in the recently adopted IMF Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, Sixth Edition (BPM6). Based on publicly available Danish data, we test the three methods that are generally applicable and find that the choice of valuation method and estimation technique can have a highly significant impact on the international investment position, pointing to the need for further harmonization. The results show that the price-to-book value method generates more robust market value estimates than the price-to-earnings method. This finding suggests that the valuation basis for the forthcoming Coordinated Direct Investment Survey - own funds at book value -will provide useful information for compiling the international investment position.