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Tests Of An International Capital Asset Pricing Model With Stocks And Government Bonds And Regime Switching Prices Of Risk And Intercepts
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Book Synopsis Tests of an International Capital Asset Pricing Model with Stocks and Government Bonds and Regime Switching Prices of Risk and Intercepts by : Tom Arild Fearnley
Download or read book Tests of an International Capital Asset Pricing Model with Stocks and Government Bonds and Regime Switching Prices of Risk and Intercepts written by Tom Arild Fearnley and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper tests a conditional multivariate International Capital Asset Pricing Model for US, Japanese and European stocks and government bonds, covering the period 1993-2001. Time variation in the prices of market and currency risk is modelled by means of synchronous regime switching. The paper also explores the statistical significance and time variation of asset specific intercept terms, again using synchronous regime switching. The prices of risk are found to be highly time varying. The price of market risk is statistically significant, and the international CAPM risk premia are validated, although currency risk premia are not statistically significant. However, the intercept terms are typically large and significant, implying an overall rejection of the international CAPM, and suggesting that additional, unidentified pricing factors contribute to return expectations.
Book Synopsis An Empirical Study of a Conditional International Asset Pricing Model for US, Japanese, and European Stock and Government Bond Markets by : Tom Arild Fearnley
Download or read book An Empirical Study of a Conditional International Asset Pricing Model for US, Japanese, and European Stock and Government Bond Markets written by Tom Arild Fearnley and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dissertation consists of three papers dedicated to empirical tests of a multivariate conditional international Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). The aim is to evaluate to what extent such a model can explain stock and government bond returns in the US, Japan and Europe over the last 10 to 15 years, and whether the model can be usefully employed in global tactical asset allocation. The starting point is the international CAPM of Adler and Dumas (1983), which is made conditional through a multivariate GARCH-in-mean specification. The additional assumption that local inflation rates are zero or deterministic reduces inflation risk premia to currency risk premia. Data are analyzed at weekly frequency. The first paper introduces regime switching GARCH parameters. The second paper adds government bonds to the analysis, and evaluates four different models for the price of market risk. The third paper introduces regime switching prices of risk and intercept terms.
Book Synopsis Estimation of an International Capital Asset Pricing Model with Stocks and Government Bonds by : Tom Arild Fearnley
Download or read book Estimation of an International Capital Asset Pricing Model with Stocks and Government Bonds written by Tom Arild Fearnley and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 123 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper investigates whether US, Japanese and European stock and government bond return indices are jointly priced within a conditional multivariate form of the international Capital asset Pricing Model during the period 1993-2001. It also explores the time variation of the price of market risk within this framework, allowing for a structural change in the prices of market and currency risk. The corresponding conditional optimal portfolio weights are compared with the observed market capitalization weights of the assets. The agreement is found to be better for the stock markets than for the bond markets. Finally, out-of-sample performance of the conditional optimal portfolio is measured relative to the market portfolio of stocks and bonds.
Book Synopsis A New Model of Capital Asset Prices by : James W. Kolari
Download or read book A New Model of Capital Asset Prices written by James W. Kolari and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-03-01 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book proposes a new capital asset pricing model dubbed the ZCAPM that outperforms other popular models in empirical tests using US stock returns. The ZCAPM is derived from Fischer Black’s well-known zero-beta CAPM, itself a more general form of the famous capital asset pricing model (CAPM) by 1990 Nobel Laureate William Sharpe and others. It is widely accepted that the CAPM has failed in its theoretical relation between market beta risk and average stock returns, as numerous studies have shown that it does not work in the real world with empirical stock return data. The upshot of the CAPM’s failure is that many new factors have been proposed by researchers. However, the number of factors proposed by authors has steadily increased into the hundreds over the past three decades. This new ZCAPM is a path-breaking asset pricing model that is shown to outperform popular models currently in practice in finance across different test assets and time periods. Since asset pricing is central to the field of finance, it can be broadly employed across many areas, including investment analysis, cost of equity analyses, valuation, corporate decision making, pension portfolio management, etc. The ZCAPM represents a revolution in finance that proves the CAPM as conceived by Sharpe and others is alive and well in a new form, and will certainly be of interest to academics, researchers, students, and professionals of finance, investing, and economics.
Book Synopsis An Empirical and Theoretical Analysis of Capital Asset Pricing Model by : Mohammad Sharifzadeh
Download or read book An Empirical and Theoretical Analysis of Capital Asset Pricing Model written by Mohammad Sharifzadeh and published by Universal-Publishers. This book was released on 2010-11-18 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The problem addressed in this dissertation research was the inability of the single-factor capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to identify relevant risk factors that investors consider in forming their return expectations for investing in individual stocks. Identifying the appropriate risk factors is important for investment decision making and is pertinent to the formation of stocks' prices in the stock market. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to examine theoretical and empirical validity of the CAPM and to develop and test a multifactor model to address and resolve the empirical shortcomings of the single-factor CAPM. To verify the empirical validity of the standard CAPM and of the multifactor model, five hypotheses were developed and tested against historical monthly data for U.S. public companies. Testing the CAPM hypothesis revealed that the explanatory power of the overall stock market rate of return in explaining individual stock's expected rates of return is very weak, suggesting the existence of other risk factors. Testing of the other hypotheses verified that the implied volatility of the overall market as a systematic risk factor and the companies' size and financial leverage as nonsystematic risk factors are important in determining stock's expected returns and investors should consider these factors in their investment decisions. The findings of this research have important implications for social change. The outcome of this study can change the way individual and institutional investors as well as corporations make investment decisions and thus change the equilibrium prices in the stock market. These changes in turn could lead to significant changes in the resource allocation in the economy, in the economy's production capacity and production composition, and in the employment structure of the society.
Book Synopsis The World Price of Foreign Exchange Risk by : Bernard Dumas
Download or read book The World Price of Foreign Exchange Risk written by Bernard Dumas and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We consider a world capital market in which the investor population is heterogenous. Investors of different countries differ in the prices of goods at which they consume the income from their investments. In such a setting, the international CAPM incorporates rewards for exchange rate risk, in addition to the traditional reward for market-covariance risk. The aim of the paper is to determine whether these additional risk premia empirically playa significant role in the pricing of securities. The test being conducted is a test of a conditional version of the CAPM. It builds on the recent empirical literature which points out that stock market returns may, to some extent, be predicted on the basis of a number of instrumental variables, such as interest rates and dividend yields. All previous tests of the international CAPM with exchange risk premia have been tests of the unconditional version and have been inconclusive.
Book Synopsis An Empirical Test of the "Capital Asset Pricing Modell" (CAPM) on Current Stock Data by : Lucas Ammelung
Download or read book An Empirical Test of the "Capital Asset Pricing Modell" (CAPM) on Current Stock Data written by Lucas Ammelung and published by . This book was released on 2020-12-30 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bachelor Thesis from the year 2020 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, Munich University of Applied Sciences, language: English, abstract: The goal of this study is thus to determine the best available asset pricing model in Germany and whether the use of pre-existing datasets, with the factors already calculated, brings results as accurate as a custom dataset. This is relevant in Germany as the CAPM is still the most commonly used way to compute the cost of equity with 34% of companies using it. Another 16% of companies are using asset pricing models with additional risk factors. To determine the answer to this, this study will look into the aforementioned three most commonly used models: the CAPM, the Fama and French three-factor model and the Carhart four-factor model. After explaining the background and functioning of the CAPM, this study will show the flaws within the model and how these flaws led to extensions of the CAPM. Each model will then be statistically analyzed with three distinct sets of data. Two of these are publicly available, while the last has been calculated for this study. Lastly, to understand how the difference in data used can influence the results from asset pricing models, the runtime and underlying factor of datasets will be modified, re-analyzed and compared to the initial results.
Book Synopsis The Capital Asset Pricing Model, Tests of Portfolios Selected from Stocks with Poor Past Performance and an Investigation of the Acility [sic] of Discriminant Analysis to Differentiate Performance by : Wayne Alan Fairburn
Download or read book The Capital Asset Pricing Model, Tests of Portfolios Selected from Stocks with Poor Past Performance and an Investigation of the Acility [sic] of Discriminant Analysis to Differentiate Performance written by Wayne Alan Fairburn and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 166 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Tests of CAPM on an International Portfolio of Bonds and Stocks by : Charles Engel
Download or read book Tests of CAPM on an International Portfolio of Bonds and Stocks written by Charles Engel and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates and tests an international version of the Capital Asset Pricing Model. Investors from the U.S., Germany and Japan choose a portfolio that includes bonds and equities from each of these countries to maximize a function of the mean and variance of returns. Investors in each country evaluate returns in terms of their home currency. The CAPM does have some power in explaining ex ante returns. It predicts fairly large risk premia on the equities, but small ones on bonds. The model is rejected, however, when tested against a more general alternative that allows for more investor heterogeneity than the CAPM.
Book Synopsis Alternative Capital Asset Pricing Models by : Attiya Y. Javed
Download or read book Alternative Capital Asset Pricing Models written by Attiya Y. Javed and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Application of Capital Asset Pricing (CAPM) and Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) Models in Athens Exchange Stock Market by : Eleftherios Giovanis
Download or read book Application of Capital Asset Pricing (CAPM) and Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) Models in Athens Exchange Stock Market written by Eleftherios Giovanis and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2010-03-26 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2007 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 90.0%, , language: English, abstract: This paper examines the estimating and forecasting performance of the different and various Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity-GARCH’s models in relation to Capital Asste Pricing Model (CAPM) model. We apply the CAPM model with ordinary least squares (OLS) method to investigate if an ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) is presented and we are trying to decide and to analyze which GARCH model is the most appropriate and the best fitted for the financial time series that we have chosen. We apply CAPM model in the financial time series of the share prices of Technology-Software Sector in Athens Exchange stock market for the period January 1st of 2002 to October 30th of 2007 for the enterprises “Unibrain” “MLS Informatics” and “Dionic” respectively , from April 2nd of 2002 to 30th October of 2007 for the enterprise “Compucon”, from August 2nd of 2002 to 30th October of 2007 for the enterprise “Centric”, and finally from February 2nd of 2004 to 30th October of 2007 for the enterprise “Ilyda”. Additionally, we apply roiling regressions, where the full programming routines in EVIEWS and MATLAB are described detailed. We conclude that the slope β coefficient of CAPM model is not constant through the time period of rolling regressions we apply. In the final part we examine a simple Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) model.
Book Synopsis Partial- Vs. General-equilibrium Models of the International Capital Market by : Bernard Dumas
Download or read book Partial- Vs. General-equilibrium Models of the International Capital Market written by Bernard Dumas and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this essay, I discuss and compare two ways of modeling international capital market equilibrium: the orthodox, general-equilibrium approach and the heterodox, partial-equilibrium CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model) approach. The benchmark for this comparison is the model's ability to provide an explanation for, or take into account, a number of stylized facts of international finance: UIRP deviations, home-equity preference, PPP deviations and their persistence, consumption behavior in relation to wealth. In addition, I ask which approach is more likely in future research to help us identify the relevant state variables of the economy. None of the models satisfactorily explains the stylized facts but the CAPM approach affords the most productive avenue for empirical research in the immediate future.
Book Synopsis The Arbitrage Pricing Theory as an Approach to Capital Asset Valuation by : Christian Koch
Download or read book The Arbitrage Pricing Theory as an Approach to Capital Asset Valuation written by Christian Koch and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2009-02-27 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Diploma Thesis from the year 1996 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, European Business School - International University Schloß Reichartshausen Oestrich-Winkel, language: English, abstract: A “few surprises” could be the trivial answer of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory if asked for the major determinants of stock returns. The APT was developed as a traceable framework of the main principles of capital asset pricing in financial markets. It investigates the causes underlying one of the most important fields in financial economics, namely the relationship between risk and return. The APT provides a thorough understanding of the nature and origins of risk inherent in financial assets and how capital markets reward an investor for bearing risk. Its fundamental intuition is the absence of arbitrage which is, indeed, central to finance and which has been used in virtually all areas of financial study. Since its introduction two decades ago, the APT has been subject to extensive theoretical as well as empirical research. By now, the arbitrage theory is well established in both respects and has enlightened our perception of capital markets. This paper aims to present the APT as an appropriate instrument of capital asset pricing and to link its principles to the valuation of risky income streams. The objective is also to provide an overview of the state of art of APT in the context of alternative capital market theories. For this purpose, Section 2 describes the basic concepts of the traditional asset pricing model, the CAPM, and indicates differences to arbitrage theory. Section 3 constitutes the main part of this paper introducing a derivation of the APT. Emphasis is laid on principles rather than on rigorous proof. The intuition of the pricing formula and its consistency with the state space preference theory are discussed. Important contributions to the APT are classified and briefly reviewed, the question of APT’s empirical evidence and of its risk factors is attempted to be answered. In Section 4, arbitrage theory is linked to traditional as well as to innovative valuation methods. It includes a discussion of the DCF method, arbitrage valuation and previews an option pricing approach to security valuation. Finally, Section 5 concludes the paper with some practical considerations from the investment community.
Book Synopsis International Capital Market Equilibrium by : Lemma Wolde Senbet
Download or read book International Capital Market Equilibrium written by Lemma Wolde Senbet and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Testing the Linear Relationship of the Capital Asset Pricing Model by : Jad Zouheir Nohra
Download or read book Testing the Linear Relationship of the Capital Asset Pricing Model written by Jad Zouheir Nohra and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The main purpose of the project is to relate the risk of assets to their expecte d returns (mainly assets that are traded on a handful of developed markets, incl uding US, Japanese, French, and German exchanges). In order to do so, we refer t o the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) which consists of relating the risk of an asset to its expected return by comparing it to the overall stock market. Thi s model is based on the existence of a linear relationship between the expected return of a given asset, and the market rate of return. Consequently, any return that is not explained by this linear relationship (abnormal return) will lead u s to reject the theoretical linear relationship stated and formulated in the CAP M. The first chapter will introduce the topic. The second chapter consists of prese nting the CAPM, its critiques and extensions. In the third chapter, a literature review will be conducted. Then, in the fourth chapter I will undertake time ser ies/cross-sectional analyses of the aforementioned equity markets in order to te st the CAPM model itself. The same stocks will be tested using the international version of the model. Finally, in the fifth chapter I will conclude with the im plications of my findings for asset pricing and investment.
Book Synopsis International Capital Market Integration and the Asset Pricing Mechanism by : Cheol S. Eun
Download or read book International Capital Market Integration and the Asset Pricing Mechanism written by Cheol S. Eun and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Asset Pricing Model Specification and the Term Structure Evidence by : Terry Marsh
Download or read book Asset Pricing Model Specification and the Term Structure Evidence written by Terry Marsh and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, a set of tests of models of relative capital asset pricesis developed. The tests are used to examine how well the models explain maturity premiums on Government bonds, though they are perfectly general and hence could be applied to stocks or other assets. Allowance is made in the tests for the nonobservability of investors' optimal per capita consumption (or expected marginal utility). It is found that the returns on Government bonds bear a systematic risk which is better measured by their covariability with aggregate per capita consumption than with the returns on the NYSE stock market index, the latter being the surrogate-wealth portfolio typically used to measure risk in the traditional Sharpe-Lintner-Mossin CAPM.
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