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Testing The Expectations Hypothesis On The Term Structure Of Volatilities In Foreign Exchange Options
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Book Synopsis Testing the Expectations Hypothesis on the Term Structure of Volatilities in Foreign Exchange Options by : José Manuel Campa
Download or read book Testing the Expectations Hypothesis on the Term Structure of Volatilities in Foreign Exchange Options written by José Manuel Campa and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper tests the expectations hypothesis in the term structure of volatilities in foreign exchange options. In particular, it addresses whether long-dated volatility quotes are consistent with expected future short-dated volatility quotes, assuming rational expectations. For options observed daily from December 1, 1989 to August 31, 1992 on dollar exchange rates against the pound, mark, yen, and Swiss franc, we are unable to reject the expectations hypothesis in the great majority of cases. The current spread between long- and short-dated volatility rates proves to be a significant predictor of the direction of future short-dated rates.
Book Synopsis Testing the Expectations Hypothesis on the Term Structure of Volatilities in Foreign Exchange Options by : Jose Manuel Campa
Download or read book Testing the Expectations Hypothesis on the Term Structure of Volatilities in Foreign Exchange Options written by Jose Manuel Campa and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Testing the Expectations Hypothesis on the Term Structure of Implied Volatilities in Foreign Exchange Options by : José Campa
Download or read book Testing the Expectations Hypothesis on the Term Structure of Implied Volatilities in Foreign Exchange Options written by José Campa and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Testing the Expectation Hypothesis on the Term Structure of Volatilities in Foreign Exchange Options by : José Manuel Campa
Download or read book Testing the Expectation Hypothesis on the Term Structure of Volatilities in Foreign Exchange Options written by José Manuel Campa and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Implied Volatility by : Soku Byoun
Download or read book Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Implied Volatility written by Soku Byoun and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a stochastic volatility option pricing model, we show that the implied volatilities of at-the-money options are not necessarily unbiased and that the fixed interval time-series can produce misleading results. Our results do not support the expectations hypothesis: long-term volatilities rise relative to short-term volatilities, but the increases are not matched as predicted by the expectations hypothesis. In addition, an increase in the current long-term volatility relative to the current short-term volatility is followed by a subsequent decline. The results are similar for both foreign currency and the Samp;P 500 stock index options.
Book Synopsis Testing the Hypothesis on the Term Structure of Implied Volatilities in Foreign Exchange Options /by José Manuel Campa and P.H. Kevin Chang by : José Manuel Campa
Download or read book Testing the Hypothesis on the Term Structure of Implied Volatilities in Foreign Exchange Options /by José Manuel Campa and P.H. Kevin Chang written by José Manuel Campa and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Expectations hypothesis of the term structure of implied volatility: re-examination by : Soku Byoun
Download or read book Expectations hypothesis of the term structure of implied volatility: re-examination written by Soku Byoun and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis How Important is the Term Structure in Implied Volatility Surface Modeling? Evidence from Foreign Exchange Options by : George Chalamandaris
Download or read book How Important is the Term Structure in Implied Volatility Surface Modeling? Evidence from Foreign Exchange Options written by George Chalamandaris and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We claim that previously proposed parametric specifications that linearly approximate the term structure of the implied volatility surface (IVS) in option prices fail to capture important information regarding the expectations of market participants. This paper proposes a parametric specification for describing the IVS that allows flexible modeling of the term structure through a Nelson and Siegel (1987) factorization, recently proposed by Diebold and Li (2006) in the context of yield curve modeling. The specification is tested on implied volatilities from the overndash;thendash;counter foreign exchange options market, where contracts with long expiries are actively traded and thus the term structure dimension of the surface should be very important. We first show that the proposed volatility specification can consistently and remarkably improve our ability to describe the surface on any given day. We then establish the economic relevance of the incremental information captured by our proposed specification by showing that it can produce more accurate forecasts of implied volatility that can support longndash;term profitable trading strategies in the absence of transaction costs.
Book Synopsis Cross-dynamics of Volatility Term Structure Implied by Foreign Exchange Options by : Elizaveta Krylova
Download or read book Cross-dynamics of Volatility Term Structure Implied by Foreign Exchange Options written by Elizaveta Krylova and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Implied Volatility Term Structure of Stock Index Options by : Scott Mixon
Download or read book The Implied Volatility Term Structure of Stock Index Options written by Scott Mixon and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper tests the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of implied volatility for several national stock market indices (Samp;P 500, FTSE 100, DAX, CAC, and Nikkei 225). The tests indicate that the slope of at-the-money implied volatility over different maturities has predictive ability for future short dated implied volatility, although not to the extent predicted by the expectations hypothesis. Equivalently, the forward implied volatility is a biased forecast of future implied volatility. The low forecast power may be due to a failure to control for a risk premium in the prices of options. Evidence is presented that a time varying risk premium that increases in volatility is consistent with the results. Including a volatility risk proxy in the specification improves the forecasting ability beyond that embedded in the implied volatility term structure.
Book Synopsis Currency Options and Exchange Rate Economics by : Zhaohui Chen
Download or read book Currency Options and Exchange Rate Economics written by Zhaohui Chen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1998 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is a collection of classical and recent empirical studies of currency options and their implications for issues of exchange rate economics, such as exchange rate risk premium, volatility, market expectations, and credibility of exchange rate regimes. It contains applications on how to extract useful information from option market data for financial forecasting policy purposes. The subjects are discussed in a self-contained, user-friendly format, with introductory chapters on currency option theory and currency option markets. The book can be used as supplementary reading for graduate finance and international economics courses, as training material for central bank and regulatory authorities, or as a reference book for financial analysts.
Book Synopsis Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques by : Sheldon Natenberg
Download or read book Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques written by Sheldon Natenberg and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 1994-08 with total page 485 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides a thorough discussion of volatility, the most important aspect of options trading. Shows how to identify mispriced options and to construct volatility and "delta neutral" spreads.
Book Synopsis Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction by : Stephen J. Taylor
Download or read book Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction written by Stephen J. Taylor and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-02-11 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book shows how current and recent market prices convey information about the probability distributions that govern future prices. Moving beyond purely theoretical models, Stephen Taylor applies methods supported by empirical research of equity and foreign exchange markets to show how daily and more frequent asset prices, and the prices of option contracts, can be used to construct and assess predictions about future prices, their volatility, and their probability distributions. Stephen Taylor provides a comprehensive introduction to the dynamic behavior of asset prices, relying on finance theory and statistical evidence. He uses stochastic processes to define mathematical models for price dynamics, but with less mathematics than in alternative texts. The key topics covered include random walk tests, trading rules, ARCH models, stochastic volatility models, high-frequency datasets, and the information that option prices imply about volatility and distributions. Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction is ideal for students of economics, finance, and mathematics who are studying financial econometrics, and will enable researchers to identify and apply appropriate models and methods. It will likewise be a valuable resource for quantitative analysts, fund managers, risk managers, and investors who seek realistic expectations about future asset prices and the risks to which they are exposed.
Book Synopsis Options on Foreign Exchange by : David F. DeRosa
Download or read book Options on Foreign Exchange written by David F. DeRosa and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-07-05 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive guide to the world's largest financial market Foreign exchange is the world's largest financial market and continues to grow at a rapid pace. As economies intertwine and currencies fluctuate there is hardly a corporate entity that doesn't need to use options on foreign exchange to hedge risk or increase returns. Moreover, currency options, both vanilla and exotic, are part of standard toolkit of professional portfolio managers and hedge funds. Written by a practitioner with real-world experience in this field, the Third Edition of Options on Foreign Exchange opens with a substantive discussion of the spot and forward foreign exchange market and the mechanics of trading currency options. The Black-Scholes-Merton option-pricing model as applied to currency options is also covered, along with an examination of currency futures options. Throughout the book, author David DeRosa addresses the essential elements of this discipline and prepares you for the various challenges you could face. Updates new developments in the foreign exchange markets, particularly regarding the volatility surface Includes expanded coverage of the currency crises and capital controls, electronic trading, forward contracts, exotic options, and more Employs real-world terminology so you can a firm understanding of this dynamic marketplace The only way to truly succeed in today's foreign exchange market is by becoming more familiar with currency options. The Third Edition of Options on Foreign Exchange will help you achieve this goal and put you in better position to make more profitable decisions in this arena.
Book Synopsis The Forecasting Ability of Correlations Implied in Foreign Exchange Options by : José Campa
Download or read book The Forecasting Ability of Correlations Implied in Foreign Exchange Options written by José Campa and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper evaluates the forecasting accuracy of correlation derived from implied volatilities in dollar-mark, dollar-yen, and mark-yen options from January 1989 to May 1995. As a forecast of realized correlation between the dollar-mark and dollar-yen, implied correlation is compared against three alternative forecasts based on time series data: historical correlation, RiskMetrics' exponentially weighted moving average correlation, and correlation estimated using a bivariate GARCH (1,1) model. At the one-month and three-month forecast horizons, we find that implied correlation outperforms, often significantly, these alternative forecasts. In combinations, implied correlation always incrementally improves the performance of other forecasts, but not the converse; in certain cases historically based forecasts contribute no incremental information to implied forecasts. The superiority of the implied correlation forecast holds even when forecast errors are weighted by realized variances, reflecting correlation's contribution to the dollar variance of a multicurrency portfolio.
Book Synopsis Financial Econometrics by : Christian Gourieroux
Download or read book Financial Econometrics written by Christian Gourieroux and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2018-06-05 with total page 529 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial econometrics is a great success story in economics. Econometrics uses data and statistical inference methods, together with structural and descriptive modeling, to address rigorous economic problems. Its development within the world of finance is quite recent and has been paralleled by a fast expansion of financial markets and an increasing variety and complexity of financial products. This has fueled the demand for people with advanced econometrics skills. For professionals and advanced graduate students pursuing greater expertise in econometric modeling, this is a superb guide to the field's frontier. With the goal of providing information that is absolutely up-to-date—essential in today's rapidly evolving financial environment—Gourieroux and Jasiak focus on methods related to foregoing research and those modeling techniques that seem relevant to future advances. They present a balanced synthesis of financial theory and statistical methodology. Recognizing that any model is necessarily a simplified image of reality and that econometric methods must be adapted and applied on a case-by-case basis, the authors employ a wide variety of data sampled at frequencies ranging from intraday to monthly. These data comprise time series representing both the European and North American markets for stocks, bonds, and foreign currencies. Practitioners are encouraged to keep a critical eye and are armed with graphical diagnostics to eradicate misspecification errors. This authoritative, state-of-the-art reference text is ideal for upper-level graduate students, researchers, and professionals seeking to update their skills and gain greater facility in using econometric models. All will benefit from the emphasis on practical aspects of financial modeling and statistical inference. Doctoral candidates will appreciate the inclusion of detailed mathematical derivations of the deeper results as well as the more advanced problems concerning high-frequency data and risk control. By establishing a link between practical questions and the answers provided by financial and statistical theory, the book also addresses the needs of applied researchers employed by financial institutions.
Author :Compiled by the British Library of Political and Economic Science at the London School of Economics Publisher :Psychology Press ISBN 13 :9780415152150 Total Pages :680 pages Book Rating :4.1/5 (521 download)
Book Synopsis Ibss: Economics: 1995 by : Compiled by the British Library of Political and Economic Science at the London School of Economics
Download or read book Ibss: Economics: 1995 written by Compiled by the British Library of Political and Economic Science at the London School of Economics and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 1996 with total page 680 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The IBSS is the essential tool for librarians, university departments, research institutions and any public or private institutions whose work requires access to up-to-date and comprehensive knowledge of the social sciences.
