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Testing Long Run Neutrality
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Book Synopsis Testing Long Run Neutrality by : Robert Graham King
Download or read book Testing Long Run Neutrality written by Robert Graham King and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Propositions about long run neutrality are at the heart of most macroeconomic models. Yet, since the 1970's when Lucas and Sargent presented powerful critiques of traditional neutrality tests, empirical researchers have made little progress on testing these propositions. In this paper we show that. in spite of the Lucas-Sargent critique. long run neutrality can be tested without specifying a complete model of economic activity. This is possible when the variables are integrated. In this case, permanent shifts in the historical data can be uncovered using VAR methods, and neutrality can be tested when there is a priori knowledge of one of the structural impact multipliers or one of the structural long run multipliers. In most circumstances such a priori knowledge is available. We use this framework to test four long run neutrality propositions: (i) the neutrality of money, (ii) the superneutrality of money. (iii) a vertical long run Phillips curve, and (iv) the Fisher effect. In each application, our a priori knowledge consists of a range of plausible values for the relevant impact and long run multipliers. We find that the U.S. postwar data are consistent with the neutrality of money and a vertical long run Phillips curve. but find evidence against the superneutrality of money and the long run Fisher relation. The sign of the estimated effect of money growth on output depends on the particular identifying assumption used. For a wide range of plausible identifying restrictions, nominal interest rates are found to move less than one-for-one with inflation in the long run.
Book Synopsis A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics by : Frederic S. Mishkin
Download or read book A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics written by Frederic S. Mishkin and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics pursues a rational expectations approach to the estimation of a class of models widely discussed in the macroeconomics and finance literature: those which emphasize the effects from unanticipated, rather than anticipated, movements in variables. In this volume, Fredrick S. Mishkin first theoretically develops and discusses a unified econometric treatment of these models and then shows how to estimate them with an annotated computer program.
Book Synopsis On Long-run Monetary Neutrality in Japan by : Hiroyuki Ōi
Download or read book On Long-run Monetary Neutrality in Japan written by Hiroyuki Ōi and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper comprehensively investigates long-run monetary neutrality in Japan , with due consideration to the order of integration of the money stock and real output, mainly using long term time-series data retroactively available from the Meiji Era (1868-1912). The empirical results indicate little evidence against the long-run neutrality of money (especially defined as M2) with respect to real GNP. In addition, such findings are robust to a wide range of identifying assumptions.
Book Synopsis Issues in Computation: 2013 Edition by :
Download or read book Issues in Computation: 2013 Edition written by and published by ScholarlyEditions. This book was released on 2013-05-01 with total page 1202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Issues in Computation / 2013 Edition is a ScholarlyEditions™ book that delivers timely, authoritative, and comprehensive information about Computing. The editors have built Issues in Computation: 2013 Edition on the vast information databases of ScholarlyNews.™ You can expect the information about Computing in this book to be deeper than what you can access anywhere else, as well as consistently reliable, authoritative, informed, and relevant. The content of Issues in Computation / 2013 Edition has been produced by the world’s leading scientists, engineers, analysts, research institutions, and companies. All of the content is from peer-reviewed sources, and all of it is written, assembled, and edited by the editors at ScholarlyEditions™ and available exclusively from us. You now have a source you can cite with authority, confidence, and credibility. More information is available at http://www.ScholarlyEditions.com/.
Download or read book Econometrics written by Bruce Hansen and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2022-08-16 with total page 1080 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The most authoritative and up-to-date core econometrics textbook available Econometrics is the quantitative language of economic theory, analysis, and empirical work, and it has become a cornerstone of graduate economics programs. Econometrics provides graduate and PhD students with an essential introduction to this foundational subject in economics and serves as an invaluable reference for researchers and practitioners. This comprehensive textbook teaches fundamental concepts, emphasizes modern, real-world applications, and gives students an intuitive understanding of econometrics. Covers the full breadth of econometric theory and methods with mathematical rigor while emphasizing intuitive explanations that are accessible to students of all backgroundsDraws on integrated, research-level datasets, provided on an accompanying websiteDiscusses linear econometrics, time series, panel data, nonparametric methods, nonlinear econometric models, and modern machine learningFeatures hundreds of exercises that enable students to learn by doingIncludes in-depth appendices on matrix algebra and useful inequalities and a wealth of real-world examplesCan serve as a core textbook for a first-year PhD course in econometrics and as a follow-up to Bruce E. Hansen’s Probability and Statistics for Economists
Book Synopsis Purchasing Power Parity, Balanced Growth, and Volatility Forecasting: An Application of Recent Developments in Time Series Analysis by : Periklis Gogas
Download or read book Purchasing Power Parity, Balanced Growth, and Volatility Forecasting: An Application of Recent Developments in Time Series Analysis written by Periklis Gogas and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2014-12-18 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I use recent advance in statistics and econometrics in an effort to re-test some well-known theoretical propositions, examine whether those new techniques support the theory, provide models that are better fitted to describe and forecast economic time-series. The Purchasing Power Parity theory is tested using the Fisher and Seater (1993) and King and Watson (1997) methodologies and strong evidence in support of PPP is found. I use the general class of ARCH/GARCH processes to model financial time series in an ARIMA framework and the best fitted models outperform traditional ARIMA models in terms of the forecast variance. Finally, I test the balanced growth theory and try to estimate a money demand function using the Johansen and Juselius (1993) methodology. I do not find evidence in support of the balanced growth theory and a stable money demand function, and these results are not sensitive to different monetary aggregates that are constructed according to recent index number theory.
Book Synopsis The Monetary Transmission Process by : D. Bundesbank
Download or read book The Monetary Transmission Process written by D. Bundesbank and published by Springer. This book was released on 2001-01-29 with total page 329 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The start of the European monetary union gave additional impetus to the lively debate on the effects of monetary policy and the appropriate strategy for central banks. This book collects papers and comments by leading academics and central bankers such as O.Issing, M.King, B.McCallum, A.Meltzer, L.Svensson and H.Tietmeyer. The volume examines methodological questions, the actual role played by the financial sectors and labour markets in implementing monetary policy in Europe, and the likely future developments in these areas.
Book Synopsis Long-Run Economic Growth by : Steven Durlauf
Download or read book Long-Run Economic Growth written by Steven Durlauf and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the most enduring questions in economics involves how a nation could accelerate the pace of its economic development. One of the most enduring answers to this question is to promote exports -either because doing so directly influences development via encouraging production of goods for export, or because export promotion permits accumulation of foreign exchange which permits importation of high-quality goods and services, which can in turn be used to expand the nation's production possibilities. In either case, growth is said to be export-led; the latter case is the so-called "two-gap" hypothesis (McKinnon, 1964; Findlay, 1973). The early work on export-led growth consisted of static cross-country com parisons (Michaely, 1977; Balassa, 1978; Tyler, 1981; Kormendi and Meguire, 1985). These studies generally concluded that there is strong evidence in favour of export-led growth because export growth and income growth are highly correlated. However, Kravis pointed out in 1970 that the question is an essen tially dynamic one: as he put it, are exports the handmaiden or the engine of growth? To make this determination one needs to look at time series to see whether or not exports are driving income. This approach has been taken in a number of papers (Jung and Marshall, 1985; Chow, 1987; Serletis, 1992; Kunst and Marin, 1989; Marin, 1992; Afxentiou and Serletis, 1991), designed to assess whether or not individual countries exhibit statistically significant evidence of export-led growth using Granger causality tests.
Book Synopsis Money and the Economy by : Apostolos Serletis
Download or read book Money and the Economy written by Apostolos Serletis and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2006 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive and systematic introduction to the problem of the definition of money and investigates the gains that can be achieved by a rigorous use of microeconomic- and aggregation-theoretic foundations in the construction of monetary aggregates. It provides readers with key aspects of monetary economics and macroeconomics, including monetary aggregation, demand systems, flexible functional forms, long-run monetary neutrality, the welfare cost of inflation, and nonlinear chaotic dynamics.This book offers the following conclusions: the simple-sum approach to monetary aggregation and log-linear money demand functions, currently used by central banks, are inappropriate for monetary policy purposes; the choice of monetary aggregation procedure is crucial in evaluating the welfare cost of inflation; the inter-related problems of monetary aggregation and money demand will be successfully investigated in the context of flexible functional forms that satisfy theoretical regularity globally, pointing the way forward to useful and productive research.
Book Synopsis The Demand for Money by : Apostolos Serletis
Download or read book The Demand for Money written by Apostolos Serletis and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-21 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Almost half a century has elapsed since the demand for money began to attract widespread attention from economists and econometricians, and it has been a topic of ongoing controversy and research ever since. Interest in the topic stemmed from three principal sources. First of all, there was the matter of the internal dynamics of macroeco nomics, to which Harry Johnson drew attention in his 1971 Ely Lecture on "The Keynesian Revolution and the Monetarist Counter-Revolution," American Economic Review 61 (May 1971). The main lesson about money that had been drawn from the so-called "Keynesian Revolution" was - rightly or wrongly - that it didn't matter all that much. The inherited wisdom that undergraduates absorbed in the 1950s was that macroeconomics was above all about the determination of income and employment, that the critical factors here were saving and investment decisions, and that monetary factors, to the extent that they mattered at all, only had an influence on these all important variables through a rather narrow range of market interest rates. Conventional wisdom never goes unchallenged in economics, except where its creators manage to control access to graduate schools and the journals, and it is with no cynical intent that I confirm Johnson's suggestion that those of us who embarked on academic careers in the '60s found in this wisdom a ready-made target.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and the German Unemployment Problem in Macroeconomic Models by : Jan Gottschalk
Download or read book Monetary Policy and the German Unemployment Problem in Macroeconomic Models written by Jan Gottschalk and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-04-29 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Having the high unemployment in Germany in mind, this book discusses how macroeconomic theory has evolved over the past forty years. It shows that in recent years a convergence has taken place, with modern models embodying a Keynesian transmission mechanism, monetarist policy implication, and modeling techniques inspired by new classical economics and real business cycle theory. It also probes in which direction models may be extended from here. Empirically, the book uses different econometric techniques to investigate the relevance and implications of different macroeconomic theories for German data. A key question this book investigates is the role of demand and supply side conditions for the increase in the German unemployment rate. On a policy level, the book relates the implications of the different theories to the ongoing debate on the appropriate roles of demand and supply side policies for curing the German unemployment problem.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Monetary Policy by : Jack Rabin
Download or read book Handbook of Monetary Policy written by Jack Rabin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2020-04-30 with total page 1009 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handbook explains the development and implementation of monetary policy. It examines theories and issues related to the preservation of economic activity and explores why the preservation of economic stability is a principal goal of public policy.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy by : N. Gregory Mankiw
Download or read book Monetary Policy written by N. Gregory Mankiw and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Monetary Policy, leading monetary economists discuss applied aspects of monetary policy and offer practical new research on the timing, magnitude, and channels of central banking actions. Some of the papers in this volume evaluate a variety of policy rules based on monetary aggregates, nominal income, commodity prices, and other economic variables. Others analyze price behavior and inflation, particularly the short-run behavior of prices. Still others examine the monetary transmission mechanism—the channel through which the central bank's actions affect spending on goods and services—with a special focus on the reduction in bank lending that must accompany a reduction in reserves. This new research will be of special interest to central bankers and academic economists.
Book Synopsis The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics by :
Download or read book The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics written by and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-05-18 with total page 7493 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The award-winning The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition is now available as a dynamic online resource. Consisting of over 1,900 articles written by leading figures in the field including Nobel prize winners, this is the definitive scholarly reference work for a new generation of economists. Regularly updated! This product is a subscription based product.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Monetary and Fiscal Policy by : Alan A. Rabin
Download or read book Handbook of Monetary and Fiscal Policy written by Alan A. Rabin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2001-12-19 with total page 1848 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examines the politics of economic policy, focusing on forecasting, inflation, interest rates, market expectations, financial crises, disruptions in global markets, and tax policy, as well as state and local government budgeting, financial management, and policy initiatives for development and growth.
Book Synopsis Identifying Domestic and Imported Core Inflation by : Hilde C. Bjørnland
Download or read book Identifying Domestic and Imported Core Inflation written by Hilde C. Bjørnland and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2000-01-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates core inflation in Norway, identified as that component of inflation that has no long-run effect on GDP. The model distinguishes explicitly between domestic and imported core inflation. The results show that (domestic) core inflation is the main component of CPI inflation. CPI inflation, however, misrepresents core inflation in some periods. The differences are well explained by the other shocks identified in the model, in particular the oil price shocks of the 1970s when Norway imported inflation, and the negative noncore (supply) shocks of the late 1980s, which pushed inflation up temporarily relative to core inflation.
Book Synopsis Monetary Economics in Globalised Financial Markets by : Ansgar Belke
Download or read book Monetary Economics in Globalised Financial Markets written by Ansgar Belke and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-06-14 with total page 833 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book integrates the fundamentals of monetary theory, monetary policy theory and financial market theory, providing an accessible introduction to the workings and interactions of globalised financial markets. Includes examples and extensive data analyses.
