Tactical Industry Allocation And Model Uncertainty

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Tactical Industry Allocation and Model Uncertainty

Author : Manuel Ammann
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Tactical Industry Allocation and Model Uncertainty by : Manuel Ammann

Download or read book Tactical Industry Allocation and Model Uncertainty written by Manuel Ammann and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use Bayesian model averaging to analyze the sample evidence on industry return predictability within the U.S. stock market in the presence of model uncertainty. The posterior analysis shows the importance of inflation and earnings yield in predicting industry returns. The out-of-sample performance of the Bayesian approach is, in general, superior to that of other statistical model selection criteria. However, the out-of-sample forecasting power of a naive iid forecast is similar to the Bayesian forecast. A variance decomposition into model risk, estimation risk, and forecast error shows that model risk is less important than estimation risk.

The Uncertainty Mindset

Author : Vaughn Tan
Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0231551878
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis The Uncertainty Mindset by : Vaughn Tan

Download or read book The Uncertainty Mindset written by Vaughn Tan and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2020-07-28 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Innovation is how businesses stay ahead of the competition and adapt to market conditions that change in unpredictable and uncertain ways. In the first decade of the twenty-first century, high-end cuisine underwent a profound transformation. Once an industry that prioritized consistency and reliability, it turned into one where constant change was a competitive necessity. A top restaurant’s reputation and success have become so closely bound up with its ability to innovate that a new organizational form, the culinary research and development team, has emerged. The best of these R&D teams continually expand the frontiers of food—they invent a constant stream of new dishes, new cooking processes and methods, and even new ways of experiencing food. How do they achieve this nonstop novelty? And what can culinary research and development teach us about how organizations innovate? Vaughn Tan opens up the black box of elite culinary R&D to provide essential insights. Drawing on years of unprecedented access to the best and most influential culinary R&D teams in the world, he reveals how they exemplify what he calls the uncertainty mindset. Such a mindset intentionally incorporates uncertainty into organization design rather than simply trying to reduce risk. It changes how organizations hire, set goals, and motivate team members and leads organizations to work in highly unconventional ways. A revelatory look at the R&D kitchen, The Uncertainty Mindset upends conventional wisdom about how to organize for innovation and offers practical insights for businesses trying to become innovative and adaptable.

Uncertainty Modeling In Knowledge Engineering And Decision Making - Proceedings Of The 10th International Flins Conference

Author : Cengiz Kahraman
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814417750
Total Pages : 1373 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modeling In Knowledge Engineering And Decision Making - Proceedings Of The 10th International Flins Conference by : Cengiz Kahraman

Download or read book Uncertainty Modeling In Knowledge Engineering And Decision Making - Proceedings Of The 10th International Flins Conference written by Cengiz Kahraman and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2012-08-10 with total page 1373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: FLINS, originally an acronym for Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Technologies in Nuclear Science, is now extended to Computational Intelligence for applied research. The contributions to the 10th of FLINS conference cover state-of-the-art research, development, and technology for computational intelligence systems, both from the foundations and the applications points-of-view.

Business Periodicals Index

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 2386 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Business Periodicals Index by :

Download or read book Business Periodicals Index written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 2386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Uncertainty Advantage

Author : Gary S. Lynch
Publisher : Archway Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1480839388
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Advantage by : Gary S. Lynch

Download or read book Uncertainty Advantage written by Gary S. Lynch and published by Archway Publishing. This book was released on 2017-01-12 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk and uncertainty may sound scary, but todays best business leaders are navigating both to gain strategic advantage over competitorsand you can, too. This guide for business leaders examines risk and opportunity through the lens of some of the worlds most respected visionaries, including Howard Schultz, Andy Grove, Peter Huntsman, John Krafcik, Peter Leibinger, Doug Hepper, and many more. These visionaries looked beyond financial performance to see opportunitiesand they did so by understanding uncertainty. Then, they decisively acted to create measurable results that coincided with the future they envisioned. Find out how they did it, and learn how to: identify, define, and convert uncertainty into value; become more opportunistic when facing uncertainty; develop the skill to spot where advantages are likely to emerge; and create an environment where managers and leaders complement each other. Filled with case studies on companies such as Hyundai, Starbucks, Roche, and Intel, this guide delivers proven ways to create value and leverage uncertainty. It is the culmination of a decade of research and interaction with dozens of companies and growth leaders who prove that pursuing a market driven strategy to navigating uncertainty will gain measurable market advantage.

Investing by the Numbers

Author : Jarrod W. Wilcox
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9781883249540
Total Pages : 364 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (495 download)

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Book Synopsis Investing by the Numbers by : Jarrod W. Wilcox

Download or read book Investing by the Numbers written by Jarrod W. Wilcox and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1999-04-15 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investing by the Numbers provides a framework for using scientific principles to problem solve for the pitfalls that inevitably occur when implementing financial theories into practice.

Operations Research Proceedings 2010

Author : Bo Hu
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642200095
Total Pages : 664 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis Operations Research Proceedings 2010 by : Bo Hu

Download or read book Operations Research Proceedings 2010 written by Bo Hu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-06-24 with total page 664 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains selected papers from the symposium "Operations Research 2010" which was held from September 1-3, 2010 at the "Universität der Bundeswehr München", Germany. The international conference, which also serves as the annual meeting of the German Operations Research Society (GOR), attracted more than 600 participants from more than thirty countries. The general theme "Mastering Complexity" focusses on a natural component of the globalization process. Financial markets, traffic systems, network topologies and, last but not least, energy resource management, all contain complex behaviour and economic interdependencies which necessitate a scientific solution. Operations Research is one of the key instruments to model, simulate and analyze such systems. In the process of developing optimal solutions, suitable heuristics and efficient procedures are some of the challenges which are discussed in this volume.

Design Optimization Under Uncertainty

Author : Weifei Hu
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031492080
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (314 download)

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Book Synopsis Design Optimization Under Uncertainty by : Weifei Hu

Download or read book Design Optimization Under Uncertainty written by Weifei Hu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-12-22 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces the fundamentals of probability, statistical, and reliability concepts, the classical methods of uncertainty quantification and analytical reliability analysis, and the state-of-the-art approaches of design optimization under uncertainty (e.g., reliability-based design optimization and robust design optimization). The topics include basic concepts of probability and distributions, uncertainty quantification using probabilistic methods, classical reliability analysis methods, time-variant reliability analysis methods, fundamentals of deterministic design optimization, reliability-based design optimization, robust design optimization, other methods of design optimization under uncertainty, and engineering applications of design optimization under uncertainty.

Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management

Author : Jiuping Xu
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1447145992
Total Pages : 1030 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (471 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management by : Jiuping Xu

Download or read book Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management written by Jiuping Xu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-09-27 with total page 1030 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Welcome to the proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management (ICMSEM2012) held from November 11 to 14, 2012 at Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan and supported by Sichuan University (Chengdu, China), Quaid-i-Azam University (Islamabad, Pakistan) and The National Natural Science Foundation of China. The International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management is the annual conference organized by the International Society of Management Science and Engineering Management. The goals of the Conference are to foster international research collaborations in Management Science and Engineering Management as well as to provide a forum to present current research results. The papers are classified into 8 sections: Computer and Networks, Information Technology, Decision Support System, Industrial Engineering, Supply Chain Management, Project Management, Manufacturing and Ecological Engineering. The key issues of the sixth ICMSEM cover various areas in MSEM, such as Decision Support System, Computational Mathematics, Information Systems, Logistics and Supply Chain Management, Relationship Management, Scheduling and Control, Data Warehousing and Data Mining, Electronic Commerce, Neural Networks, Stochastic models and Simulation, Heuristics Algorithms, Risk Control, and Carbon Credits.

Theory and Methodology of Tactical Asset Allocation

Author : Wai Lee
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9781883249724
Total Pages : 168 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (497 download)

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Book Synopsis Theory and Methodology of Tactical Asset Allocation by : Wai Lee

Download or read book Theory and Methodology of Tactical Asset Allocation written by Wai Lee and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2000-08-15 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asset allocation has long been viewed as a safe bet for reducing risk in a portfolio. Asset allocators strive to buy when prices are low and sell when prices rise. Tactical asset allocation (TAA) practitioners tend to emphasize shorter-term adjustments, reducing exposure when recent market performance has been good, and increasing exposure in a slipping market (in contrast to dynamic asset allocation, or portfolio insurance). As interest in this technique continues to grow, J.P. Morgan's Wai Lee provides comprehensive coverage of the analytical tools needed to successfully implement and monitor tactical asset allocation.

Defence Planning and Uncertainty

Author : Stephan Frühling
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317817850
Total Pages : 253 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (178 download)

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Book Synopsis Defence Planning and Uncertainty by : Stephan Frühling

Download or read book Defence Planning and Uncertainty written by Stephan Frühling and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-04-24 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How can countries decide what kind of military forces they need, if threats are uncertain and history is full of strategic surprises? This is a question that is more pertinent than ever, as countries across the Asia-Pacific are faced with the military and economic rise of China. Uncertainty is inherent in defence planning, but different types of uncertainty mean that countries need to approach decisions about military force structure in different ways. This book examines four different basic frameworks for defence planning, and demonstrates how states can make decisions coherently about the structure and posture of their defence forces despite strategic uncertainty. It draws on case studies from the United States, Australian and New Zealand, each of which developed key concepts for their particular circumstances and risk perception in Asia. Success as well as failure in developing coherent defence planning frameworks holds lessons for the United States and other countries as they consider how best to structure their military forces for the uncertain challenges of the future.

Energy Management of Integrated Energy System in Large Ports

Author : Wentao Huang
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9819987954
Total Pages : 300 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Energy Management of Integrated Energy System in Large Ports by : Wentao Huang

Download or read book Energy Management of Integrated Energy System in Large Ports written by Wentao Huang and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2024-01-31 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book provides a detailed exploration of energy management in seaport integrated energy systems, highlighting their potential to replace conventional fuel-based energy usage and promote sustainable development of large ports. In order to achieve carbon neutrality, energy management technologies are crucial for the sustainable development of port systems that couple energies, logistics, and maritime transportation. Research on seaport integrated energy systems has attracted scholars and scientists from various disciplines, such as port electrification, logistics, microgrids, renewable energies, energy storages, and port automation. Taking a holistic approach, this book establishes a fundamental framework for the topic and discusses the electrification process, coupling mechanisms and modeling, optimal planning, low-carbon and economic operation, as well as applications of integrated energy systems in seaports. This book is intended for researchers, graduate students, and other readers interested in green seaport energy management and low-carbon operation technologies under the coupling between logistics and multi-energy systems.

18th International Conference on Soft Computing Models in Industrial and Environmental Applications (SOCO 2023)

Author : Pablo García Bringas
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031425294
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (314 download)

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Book Synopsis 18th International Conference on Soft Computing Models in Industrial and Environmental Applications (SOCO 2023) by : Pablo García Bringas

Download or read book 18th International Conference on Soft Computing Models in Industrial and Environmental Applications (SOCO 2023) written by Pablo García Bringas and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-08-30 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book of Advances in Intelligent and Soft Computing contains accepted papers presented at SOCO 2023 conference held in the beautiful and historic city of Salamanca (Spain) in September 2023. Soft computing represents a collection or set of computational techniques in machine learning, computer science, and some engineering disciplines, which investigate, simulate, and analyze very complex issues and phenomena. After a through peer-review process, the 18th SOCO 2023 International Program Committee selected 61 papers which are published in these conference proceedings and represents an acceptance rate of 60%. In this relevant edition, a particular emphasis was put on the organization of special sessions. Seven special sessions were organized related to relevant topics such as: Time Series Forecasting in Industrial and Environmental Applications, Technological Foundations and Advanced Applications of Drone Systems, Soft Computing Methods in Manufacturing and Management Systems, Efficiency and Explainability in Machine Learning and Soft Computing, Machine Learning and Computer Vision in Industry 4.0, Genetic and Evolutionary Computation in Real World and Industry, and Soft Computing and Hard Computing for a Data Science Process Model. The selection of papers was extremely rigorous to maintain the high quality of the conference. We want to thank the members of the Program Committees for their hard work during the reviewing process. This is a crucial process for creating a high-standard conference; the SOCO conference would not exist without their help.

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Author : Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262331713
Total Pages : 350 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making Under Uncertainty by : Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Download or read book Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Mykel J. Kochenderfer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-07-24 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.

Intelligent Decision-making Models for Production and Retail Operations

Author : Zhaoxia Guo
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3662526816
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Intelligent Decision-making Models for Production and Retail Operations by : Zhaoxia Guo

Download or read book Intelligent Decision-making Models for Production and Retail Operations written by Zhaoxia Guo and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-27 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an overview of intelligent decision-making techniques and discusses their application in production and retail operations. Manufacturing and retail enterprises have stringent standards for using advanced and reliable techniques to improve decision-making processes, since these processes have significant effects on the performance of relevant operations and the entire supply chain. In recent years, researchers have been increasingly focusing attention on using intelligent techniques to solve various decision-making problems. The opening chapters provide an introduction to several commonly used intelligent techniques, such as genetic algorithm, harmony search, neural network and extreme learning machine. The book then explores the use of these techniques for handling various production and retail decision-making problems, such as production planning and scheduling, assembly line balancing, and sales forecasting.

32nd European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering

Author : Ludovic Montastruc
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 032395880X
Total Pages : 1760 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (239 download)

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Book Synopsis 32nd European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering by : Ludovic Montastruc

Download or read book 32nd European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering written by Ludovic Montastruc and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2022-06-30 with total page 1760 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 32nd European Symposium on Computer Aided Process Engineering: ESCAPE-32 contains the papers presented at the 32nd European Symposium of Computer Aided Process Engineering (ESCAPE) event held in Toulouse, France. It is a valuable resource for chemical engineers, chemical process engineers, researchers in industry and academia, students and consultants for chemical industries who work in process development and design. - Presents findings and discussions from the 32nd European Symposium of Computer Aided Process Engineering (ESCAPE) event

Model Rules of Professional Conduct

Author : American Bar Association. House of Delegates
Publisher : American Bar Association
ISBN 13 : 9781590318737
Total Pages : 216 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (187 download)

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Book Synopsis Model Rules of Professional Conduct by : American Bar Association. House of Delegates

Download or read book Model Rules of Professional Conduct written by American Bar Association. House of Delegates and published by American Bar Association. This book was released on 2007 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Model Rules of Professional Conduct provides an up-to-date resource for information on legal ethics. Federal, state and local courts in all jurisdictions look to the Rules for guidance in solving lawyer malpractice cases, disciplinary actions, disqualification issues, sanctions questions and much more. In this volume, black-letter Rules of Professional Conduct are followed by numbered Comments that explain each Rule's purpose and provide suggestions for its practical application. The Rules will help you identify proper conduct in a variety of given situations, review those instances where discretionary action is possible, and define the nature of the relationship between you and your clients, colleagues and the courts.