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Strategic Foresight At The International Monetary Fund
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Book Synopsis Strategic Foresight at the International Monetary Fund by : Mr. Alberto Behar
Download or read book Strategic Foresight at the International Monetary Fund written by Mr. Alberto Behar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-12-22 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note explains the value of strategic foresight and provides implementation advice based on the IMF’s experience with scenario planning and policy gaming. Section II provides an overview of strategic foresight and some of its tools. Scenario planning and policy gaming have been the Fund’s main foresight techniques so far, though other tools have been complementary. Accordingly, section III focuses on the scenario planning by illustrating applications before detailing the methods we have been using, while section IV describes policy gaming including the matrix policy gaming approach with which we have experimented so far. Section V summarizes the key points. In so doing, the note extends an invitation to those in the economics and finance fields (e.g., researchers, policymakers) to incorporate strategic foresight in their analysis and decision making.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 : Total Pages :21 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (2 download)
Book Synopsis Implementation Plan in Response to The Executive Board-Endorsed Recommendations From The IEO Evaluation on The IMF’s Pandemic Response by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
Download or read book Implementation Plan in Response to The Executive Board-Endorsed Recommendations From The IEO Evaluation on The IMF’s Pandemic Response written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-10-30 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Management Implementation Plan (MIP) proposes actions in response to the Board-endorsed recommendations provided by the Independent Evaluation Office (IEO)’s report on the IMF’s early response to the COVID pandemic. The two IEO recommendations aim for the Fund to (i) Develop special policies and procedures that could be quickly activated to address particular needs and circumstances of global crises and (ii) Take steps to reinforce the Fund’s institutional preparedness to deal with global crises and other large shocks. The MIP highlights how existing workstreams will be used to address part of the recommendations, specifically: (i) Drawing the lessons from the use of precautionary lending instruments during the pandemic and using them in the ongoing review of these facilities; (ii) Drawing the lessons from the implementation of governance safeguards in the context of covid-related emergency financing and respond to the actions identified in the final stocktaking; and (iii) Reviewing financial implications of covid-related lending on Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) resources in the regular updates on PRGT financing and resources. The MIP also defines new actions that aim to enhance the Fund’s preparedness to face future crises and are slated to be implemented by the end of FY25. These consists in: (i) Developing a crisis playbook, which will further codify Management’s commitment to an early participatory consultation with the Board in the event of a global crisis and inform the engagement with the Board on the broad strategy and institutional priorities for responding to the crisis; (ii) Enhancing the process of staff reallocation during a crisis through expanding the staff Talent Inventory to include skills and experience relevant in crises and examining HRD’s coordinating role in staff reallocation, as well as reviewing how recruitment processes could be made more agile in a crisis; (iii) Developing a strategy for surge capacity of the Crisis Management Team; (iv) Reviewing the experience of pandemic-related lending to low-income countries to consider the adequacy of access norms and the possible need for enhancements of the low-income lending toolkit against the long-term financial sustainability of the PRGT; and (v) Exploring ways to further strengthen the coordination with partners, especially the World Bank.
Book Synopsis The IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book The IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-03-14 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a comprehensive Strategy to strengthen IMF support to FCS in accordance with the Fund’s mandate and comparative advantage. The Strategy is a response to the Board-endorsed recommendations of the 2018 Independent Evaluation Office (IEO) Report on The IMF and Fragile States. To achieve these goals, the Strategy will benefit from additional resources reflected in the FY23-25 Medium-Term Budget, as per the budget augmentation framework discussed by the Board in December 2021. The Strategy also provides measures to better support staff working on FCS. Given the inherent risks in FCS engagement, the Strategy will be phased in starting in FY22, with implementation gradually accelerating between FY23-FY25.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498339948 Total Pages :37 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis The IMF Financial Surveillance Strategy by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Download or read book The IMF Financial Surveillance Strategy written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-08-28 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper outlines strategic priorities for the IMF’s financial surveillance in the coming years. It complements recent discussions on the work agenda in this area. It takes stock of innovations and gaps in financial surveillance by the Fund during the past decade, including in the wake of the current global financial crisis. It proposes concrete and prioritized steps to further strengthen financial surveillance so that the Fund can fulfill its mandate to ensure the effective operation of the international monetary system and support global economic and financial stability.
Book Synopsis A Strategy for IMF Engagement on Social Spending by : International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Department
Download or read book A Strategy for IMF Engagement on Social Spending written by International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Department and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses case studies to explore the nature and extent of past IMF engagement on social spending issues and to draw lessons for future engagement.
Book Synopsis Staff Guidance Note on the Implementation of the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS) by : International Monetary
Download or read book Staff Guidance Note on the Implementation of the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS) written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-03-22 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note provides operational advice and information to help staff implement the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS) approved by the Executive Board on March 9, 2022. Topics covered include (i) the new IMF FCS classification methodology, which is aligned with that of the World Bank; (ii) the preparation of Country Engagement Strategies (CES) that will be rolled out across FCS to ensure that Fund engagement is appropriately tailored to country-specific manifestations of fragility and/or conflict; (iii) advice on tailoring the thematic focus of Article IV consultations and Fund analytics to FCS, as well as on the prioritization, design, and implementation of capacity development (CD) projects in fragile contexts; (iv) guidance on making full use of the flexibilities of the lending toolkit; (v) guidance on engaging in specific FCS situations, including building accountable institutions to exit fragility, cases of rising fragility risks, active conflict, post-conflict, and addressing the impact of external shocks and spillovers; and (v) strengthening partnerships with humanitarian, development, and peace actors, in accordance with the Fund's mandate. Dedicated annexes provide additional information on the CES process, addressing good governance in FCS, program design, and country examples of Fund engagement in FCS.
Book Synopsis Strategic Reframing by : Rafael Ramirez
Download or read book Strategic Reframing written by Rafael Ramirez and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditional strategy assumes stability and predictability. Today's world is better characterised by turbulence, uncertainty, novelty and ambiguity - conditions that contribute disruptive changes and trigger the search for new ways of coping. This book aims to become the premier guide on how to do scenario planning to support strategy and public policy. Co-authored by three experts in the field, the book presents The Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA). The approach is both intellectually rigorous and practical. Methodological choices and theoretical aspects in practice are detailed in reference to the relevant literatures and grounded in 6 case studies the authors have been involved with. The book makes several contributions to the field, centred on how learning with scenario planning is supported by re-framing and re-perception; how this iterative process can be embedded in corporate or government settings, and how it helps those that it supports to do well in today's world. The book is written in an accessible style and will be a useful introductory text as well as a useful guide for the more experienced scenario planning practitioner and scholar.
Book Synopsis Strategic Foresight by : Alfred Allen Marcus
Download or read book Strategic Foresight written by Alfred Allen Marcus and published by Macmillan. This book was released on 2009-06-15 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scenario planning is the principles, methods, and techniques for looking forward into the future and trying to anticipate and influence what is to come next. This book provides students and line managers in organizations with the means to create better scenarios and to use them to create winning business strategies. The purpose is to shed new light on scenarios and scenario-like thinking in organizations for managers at every level within a company. The book covers scenarios such as: economic outlooks; political environments; acquisitions; downsizing, and more.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Publisher :INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND ISBN 13 :9781513539744 Total Pages :177 pages Book Rating :4.5/5 (397 download)
Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, April 2020 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Download or read book World Economic Outlook, April 2020 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2020-04-14 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic is inflicting high and rising human costs worldwide, and the necessary protection measures are severely impacting economic activity. As a result of the pandemic, the global economy is projected to contract sharply by –3 percent in 2020, much worse than during the 2008–09 financial crisis. In a baseline scenario--which assumes that the pandemic fades in the second half of 2020 and containment efforts can be gradually unwound--the global economy is projected to grow by 5.8 percent in 2021 as economic activity normalizes, helped by policy support. The risks for even more severe outcomes, however, are substantial. Effective policies are essential to forestall the possibility of worse outcomes, and the necessary measures to reduce contagion and protect lives are an important investment in long-term human and economic health. Because the economic fallout is acute in specific sectors, policymakers will need to implement substantial targeted fiscal, monetary, and financial market measures to support affected households and businesses domestically. And internationally, strong multilateral cooperation is essential to overcome the effects of the pandemic, including to help financially constrained countries facing twin health and funding shocks, and for channeling aid to countries with weak health care systems.
Book Synopsis The Future of the SDR in Light of Changes in the International Monetary System by : Mr.James M. Boughton
Download or read book The Future of the SDR in Light of Changes in the International Monetary System written by Mr.James M. Boughton and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-09-26 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book edited by Michael Mussa, James M. Boughton, and Peter Isard, records the proceedings of a seminar held at the IMF in March 1996 on the future of the special drawing right (SDR), given changes in the international monetary system since the inception of the SDR. The seminar focuses on the differences in opinion in the international community on the desirability or feasibility of an additional allocation of SDRs.
Book Synopsis Asset Purchase Programs in European Emerging Markets by : Mr. Marco Arena
Download or read book Asset Purchase Programs in European Emerging Markets written by Mr. Marco Arena and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-09-24 with total page 81 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several emerging market central banks in Europe deployed asset purchase programs (APPs) amid the 2020 pandemic. The common main goals were to address market dysfunction and impaired monetary transmission, distinct from the quantitative easing conducted by major advanced economy central banks. Likely reflecting the global nature of the crisis, these APPs defied the traditional emerging market concern of destabilizing the exchange rate or inflation expectations and instead alleviated markets successfully. We uncover some evidence that APPs in European emerging markets stabilized government bond markets and boosted equity prices, with no indication of exchange rate pressure. Examining global and domestic factors that could limit the usability of APPs, in the event of renewed market dysfunction we see a potential scope for scaling up APPs in most European emerging markets that used APPs during the pandemic, provided that they remain consistent with the primary objective of monetary policy and keep a safe distance from the risk of fiscal dominance. As central banks in the region move towards monetary policy tightening, the tapering, ending, and unwinding of APPs must also be carefully considered. Clear and transparent communication is critical at each step of the process, from the inception to the closure of APPs, particularly when a large shock hits and triggers a major policy shift.
Book Synopsis 2021 Comprehensive Surveillance Review— Background Paper on The Surveillance Priority Confronting Risks and Uncertainties by : International Monetary
Download or read book 2021 Comprehensive Surveillance Review— Background Paper on The Surveillance Priority Confronting Risks and Uncertainties written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-18 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The coverage of risks has become more systematic since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC): staff reports now regularly identify major risks and provide an assessment of their likelihood and economic impact, summarized in Risk Assessment Matrices (RAM). But still limited attention is paid to the range of possible outcomes. Also, risk identification is useful only so much as to inform policy design to preemptively respond to relevant risks and/or better prepare for them. In this regard, policy recommendations in surveillance could be richer in considering various risk management approaches. To this end, progress is needed on two dimensions: • Increasing emphasis on the range of potential outcomes to improve policy design. • Encouraging more proactive policy advice on how to manage risks. Efforts should continue to leverage internal and external resources to support risk analysis and advice in surveillance.
Book Synopsis Economic Principles for Integrating Adaptation to Climate Change Into Fiscal Policy by : Mr. Matthieu Bellon
Download or read book Economic Principles for Integrating Adaptation to Climate Change Into Fiscal Policy written by Mr. Matthieu Bellon and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-03-23 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Adaptation to climate change is a necessity for advanced and developing economies alike. Policymakers face the challenge of facilitating this transition. This Note argues that adaptation to climate change should be part of a holistic development strategy involving both private and public sector responses. Governments can prioritize public investment in adaptation programs with positive externalities, address market imperfections and policies that make private adaptation inefficient, and mobilize revenues for, and distribute the benefits of, adaptation. Although the choice of what should be done and at what cost ultimately depends on each society’s preferences, economic theory provides a useful framework to maximize the impact of public spending. Cost-benefit analysis, complemented by the analysis of distributional effects, can be used to prioritize adaptation programs as well as all other development programs to promote an efficient and just transition to a changed climate. While compensations may be needed to offset damages that are either impossible or too expensive to abate, subsidies for adaptation require careful calibration to prevent excessive risk taking.
Book Synopsis 2021 Comprehensive Surveillance Review— Background Paper on Scenario Planning by : International Monetary
Download or read book 2021 Comprehensive Surveillance Review— Background Paper on Scenario Planning written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-18 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The scenario planning exercises help to draw out the surveillance priorities and stress- test the robustness of those priorities to uncertainties in the decade ahead. To inform the two priorities on confronting risks and uncertainties and mitigating spillovers, the scenarios illustrate how different shocks and alternative policy approaches carry their own risks and can have both positive and negative spillovers. The scenarios also illustrate some of the complex economic and non-economic factors that feed into the priority on economic sustainability and demonstrate how resource constraints and changing economic structures underpin the need for a unified policy approach.
Book Synopsis The IMF and the Silent Revolution by : Mr.James M. Boughton
Download or read book The IMF and the Silent Revolution written by Mr.James M. Boughton and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2000-09-11 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This pamphlet is adapted from Chapter 1 of Silent Revolution: The International Monetary Fund, 1979-89, by the same author. That book is full of history of the evolution of the Fund during 11 years in which the institution truly came of age as a participant in the international financial system.
Book Synopsis Does What You Export Matter? by : Daniel Lederman
Download or read book Does What You Export Matter? written by Daniel Lederman and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2012-06-18 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Does what economies export matter for development? If so, can industrial policies improve on the export basket generated by the market? This book approaches these questions from a variety of conceptual and policy viewpoints. Reviewing the theoretical arguments in favor of industrial policies, the authors first ask whether existing indicators allow policy makers to identify growth-promoting sectors with confidence. To this end, they assess, and ultimately cast doubt upon, the reliability of many popular indicators advocated by proponents of industrial policy. Second, and central to their critique, the authors document extraordinary differences in the performance of countries exporting seemingly identical products, be they natural resources or 'high-tech' goods. Further, they argue that globalization has so fragmented the production process that even talking about exported goods as opposed to tasks may be misleading. Reviewing evidence from history and from around the world, the authors conclude that policy makers should focus less on what is produced, and more on how it is produced. They analyze alternative approaches to picking winners but conclude by favoring 'horizontal-ish' policies--for instance, those that build human capital or foment innovation in existing and future products—that only incidentally favor some sectors over others.
Book Synopsis Risk Management and Regulation by : Tobias Adrian
Download or read book Risk Management and Regulation written by Tobias Adrian and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-08-01 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The evolution of risk management has resulted from the interplay of financial crises, risk management practices, and regulatory actions. In the 1970s, research lay the intellectual foundations for the risk management practices that were systematically implemented in the 1980s as bond trading revolutionized Wall Street. Quants developed dynamic hedging, Value-at-Risk, and credit risk models based on the insights of financial economics. In parallel, the Basel I framework created a level playing field among banks across countries. Following the 1987 stock market crash, the near failure of Salomon Brothers, and the failure of Drexel Burnham Lambert, in 1996 the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision published the Market Risk Amendment to the Basel I Capital Accord; the amendment went into effect in 1998. It led to a migration of bank risk management practices toward market risk regulations. The framework was further developed in the Basel II Accord, which, however, from the very beginning, was labeled as being procyclical due to the reliance of capital requirements on contemporaneous volatility estimates. Indeed, the failure to measure and manage risk adequately can be viewed as a key contributor to the 2008 global financial crisis. Subsequent innovations in risk management practices have been dominated by regulatory innovations, including capital and liquidity stress testing, macroprudential surcharges, resolution regimes, and countercyclical capital requirements.
