Stock-bond Return Correlation, Bond Risk Premium Fundamentals, and Fiscal-monetary Policy Regime

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (122 download)

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Book Synopsis Stock-bond Return Correlation, Bond Risk Premium Fundamentals, and Fiscal-monetary Policy Regime by : Erica X. N. Li

Download or read book Stock-bond Return Correlation, Bond Risk Premium Fundamentals, and Fiscal-monetary Policy Regime written by Erica X. N. Li and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Stock-bond Return Correlation, Bond Risk Premium Fundamental, and Fiscal-monetary Policy Regime

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis Stock-bond Return Correlation, Bond Risk Premium Fundamental, and Fiscal-monetary Policy Regime by : Erica X.N. Li

Download or read book Stock-bond Return Correlation, Bond Risk Premium Fundamental, and Fiscal-monetary Policy Regime written by Erica X.N. Li and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We incorporate regime switching between monetary and fiscal policies in a general equilibrium model to explain three stylized facts: (1) the positive stock-bond return correlation from 1971 to 2000 and the negative one after 2000, (2) the negative correlation between consumption and inflation from 1971 to 2000 and the positive one after 2000, and (3) the coexistence of positive bond risk premiums and the negative stock-bond return correlation. We show that two distinctive shocks--the technology and investment shocks--drive positive and negative stock-bond return correlations under two policy regimes, but positive bond risk premiums are driven by the same technology shock.

Does Fiscal Policy Matter for Stock-Bond Return Correlation?

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (125 download)

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Book Synopsis Does Fiscal Policy Matter for Stock-Bond Return Correlation? by : Erica X.N. Li

Download or read book Does Fiscal Policy Matter for Stock-Bond Return Correlation? written by Erica X.N. Li and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We explore an important role of monetary-fiscal policy interactions in explaining three stylized facts: (1) a positive correlation of stock and bond returns in 1971-2001 and a negative one after 2001, (2) a negative correlation of consumption and inflation in 1971-2001 and a positive one after 2001, and (3) the coexistence of a positive bond risk premium and a negative correlation of stock and bond returns. Our general equilibrium model shows that these correlation changes across two policy regimes are driven by a combination of technology and investment shocks, while positive risk premiums are driven by the technology shock only.

Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135984506
Total Pages : 513 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (359 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy by : Carl Chiarella

Download or read book Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy written by Carl Chiarella and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-06-02 with total page 513 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important new book from a group of Keynesian, but nonetheless technically-oriented economists explores one of the dominant paradigms in financial economics: the ‘intertemporal general equilibrium approach’.

The Equity Risk Premium

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199881979
Total Pages : 568 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (998 download)

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Book Synopsis The Equity Risk Premium by : William N. Goetzmann

Download or read book The Equity Risk Premium written by William N. Goetzmann and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2006-11-16 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.

The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780894991967
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (919 download)

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Book Synopsis The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions by : Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Download or read book The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions written by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.

Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective

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Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN 13 : 1944960155
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (449 download)

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Book Synopsis Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective by : Vasant Naik

Download or read book Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective written by Vasant Naik and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2016-12-30 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Asset Prices and Monetary Policy

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226092127
Total Pages : 444 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Prices and Monetary Policy by : John Y. Campbell

Download or read book Asset Prices and Monetary Policy written by John Y. Campbell and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-11-15 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic growth, low inflation, and financial stability are among the most important goals of policy makers, and central banks such as the Federal Reserve are key institutions for achieving these goals. In Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, leading scholars and practitioners probe the interaction of central banks, asset markets, and the general economy to forge a new understanding of the challenges facing policy makers as they manage an increasingly complex economic system. The contributors examine how central bankers determine their policy prescriptions with reference to the fluctuating housing market, the balance of debt and credit, changing beliefs of investors, the level of commodity prices, and other factors. At a time when the public has never been more involved in stocks, retirement funds, and real estate investment, this insightful book will be useful to all those concerned with the current state of the economy.

Strategic Asset Allocation

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 019160691X
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Asset Allocation by : John Y. Campbell

Download or read book Strategic Asset Allocation written by John Y. Campbell and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2002-01-03 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.

The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691243247
Total Pages : 585 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level by : John H. Cochrane

Download or read book The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level written by John H. Cochrane and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2023-01-17 with total page 585 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive account of how government deficits and debt drive inflation Where do inflation and deflation ultimately come from? The fiscal theory of the price level offers a simple answer: Prices adjust so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of taxes less spending. Inflation breaks out when people don’t expect the government to fully repay its debts. The fiscal theory is well suited to today’s economy: Financial innovation undermines money demand, and central banks don’t control the money supply or aggressively change interest rates, invalidating classic theories, while large debts and deficits threaten inflation and constrain monetary policy. This book presents a comprehensive account of this important theory from one of its leading developers and advocates. John Cochrane aims to make fiscal theory useful as a conceptual framework and modeling tool, and for analyzing history and policy. He merges fiscal theory with standard models in which central banks set interest rates, giving a novel account of monetary policy. He generalizes the theory to explain data and make realistic predictions. For example, inflation decreases in recessions despite deficits because discount rates fall, raising the value of debt; specifying that governments promise to partially repay debt avoids classic puzzles and allows the theory to apply at all times, not just during periods of high inflation. Cochrane offers an extensive rethinking of monetary doctrines and institutions through the eyes of fiscal theory, and analyzes the era of zero interest rates and post-pandemic inflation. Filled with research by Cochrane and others, The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level offers important new insights about fiscal and monetary policy.

Guidance Note For Developing Government Local Currency Bond Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513573926
Total Pages : 157 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Guidance Note For Developing Government Local Currency Bond Markets by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Guidance Note For Developing Government Local Currency Bond Markets written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-12 with total page 157 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This guidance note was prepared by International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank Group staff under a project undertaken with the support of grants from the Financial Sector Reform and Strengthening Initiative, (FIRST).The aim of the project was to deliver a report that provides emerging market and developing economies with guidance and a roadmap in developing their local currency bond markets (LCBMs). This note will also inform technical assistance missions in advising authorities on the formulation of policies to deepen LCBMs.

A Macroeconomic Approach to the Term Premium

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484363671
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis A Macroeconomic Approach to the Term Premium by : Emanuel Kopp

Download or read book A Macroeconomic Approach to the Term Premium written by Emanuel Kopp and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-06-15 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, term premia have been very low and sometimes even negative. Now, with the United States economy growing above potential, inflationary pressures are on the rise. Term premia are very sensitive to the expected future path of growth, inflation, and monetary policy, and an inflation surprise could require monetary policy to tighten faster than anticipated, inducing to a sudden decompression of term and other risk premia, thus tightening financial conditions. This paper proposes a semi-structural dynamic term structure model augmented with macroeconomic factors to include cyclical dynamics with a focus on medium- to long-run forecasts. Our results clearly show that a macroeconomic approach is warranted: While term premium estimates are in line with those from other studies, we provide (i) plausible, stable estimates of expected long-term interest rates and (ii) forecasts of short- and long-term interest rates as well as cyclical macroeconomic variables that are stunningly close to those generated from large-scale macroeconomic models.

A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484350545
Total Pages : 133 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks by : Thordur Jonasson

Download or read book A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks written by Thordur Jonasson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-04-06 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides an overview of sovereign debt portfolio risks and discusses various liability management operations (LMOs) and instruments used by public debt managers to mitigate these risks. Debt management strategies analyzed in the context of helping reach debt portfolio targets and attain desired portfolio structures. Also, the paper outlines how LMOs could be integrated into a debt management strategy and serve as policy tools to reduce potential debt portfolio vulnerabilities. Further, the paper presents operational issues faced by debt managers, including the need to develop a risk management framework, interactions of debt management with fiscal policy, monetary policy, and financial stability, as well as efficient government bond markets.

Policy Responses to Capital Flows in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1463935129
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)

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Book Synopsis Policy Responses to Capital Flows in Emerging Markets by : Mahmood Pradhan

Download or read book Policy Responses to Capital Flows in Emerging Markets written by Mahmood Pradhan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-04-20 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.

Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484359623
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus by : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia

Download or read book Managing the Sovereign-Bank Nexus written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-07 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.

Risk and Return for Regulated Industries

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128125888
Total Pages : 362 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk and Return for Regulated Industries by : Bente Villadsen

Download or read book Risk and Return for Regulated Industries written by Bente Villadsen and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2017-04-27 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk and Return for Regulated Industries provides a much-needed, comprehensive review of how cost of capital risk arises and can be measured, how the special risks regulated industries face affect fair return, and the challenges that regulated industries are likely to face in the future. Rather than following the trend of broad industry introductions or textbook style reviews of utility finance, it covers the topics of most interest to regulators, regulated companies, regulatory lawyers, and rate-of-return analysts in all countries. Accordingly, the book also includes case studies about various countries and discussions of the lessons international regulatory procedures can offer. Presents a unified treatment of the regulatory principles and practices used to assess the required return on capital Addresses current practices before exploring the ways methods play out in practice, including irregularities, shortcomings, and concerns for the future Focuses on developed economies instead of providing a comprehensive global reviews Foreword by Stewart C. Myers

Financial Stability Monitoring

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Stability Monitoring by : Tobias Adrian

Download or read book Financial Stability Monitoring written by Tobias Adrian and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a recently released New York Fed staff report, we present a forward-looking monitoring program to identify and track time-varying sources of systemic risk.