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Stochastic Volatility Trading Volume And The Daily Flow Of Information
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Book Synopsis Stochastic Volatility, Trading Volume, and the Daily Flow of Information by : Jeff Fleming
Download or read book Stochastic Volatility, Trading Volume, and the Daily Flow of Information written by Jeff Fleming and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use state-space methods to investigate the relation between volume, volatility, and ARCH effects within a Mixture-of-Distributions Hypothesis (MDH) framework. In most recent studies of the MDH, the information flow or its logarithm is modeled as an AR(1) process. We argue that this is too restrictive because it requires the information flow to be highly persistent. Using a more general process, we find evidence of a large nonpersistent component of return volatility that is closely related to the contemporaneous nonpersistent component of trading volume. However, unlike previous studies that fit volume-augmented GARCH models, we find no evidence that trading volume subsumes ARCH effects. Because volume-augmented GARCH models are subject to simultaneity bias, our findings should be more robust than these prior results.
Book Synopsis Return Volatility and Trading Volume by : Torben G. Andersen
Download or read book Return Volatility and Trading Volume written by Torben G. Andersen and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An empirical model for the return volatility-trading volume system is developed from a mircostructure framework in which informational asymmetries and liquidity needs motivate trade in response to the arrival of new information. The specification modifies the quot;Mixture of Distribution Hypothesisquot; (MDH). The dynamic features of the system are governed by the information flow, modeled as a stochastic volatility process that generalizes successful ARCH specifications. The persistence of volatility is fairly low, hinting at a quot;robustifyingquot; impact of including volume in the system. Speciification tests support the modified specification and show that it outperforms the standard MDH.
Book Synopsis Return Volatility and Trading Volume in Financial Markets by : Torben G. Andersen
Download or read book Return Volatility and Trading Volume in Financial Markets written by Torben G. Andersen and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Stochastic Volatility and Time Deformation by : Joann Jasiak
Download or read book Stochastic Volatility and Time Deformation written by Joann Jasiak and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we study stochastic volatility models with time deformation. Such processes relate to the early work by Mandelbrot and Taylor (1967), Clark (1973), Tauchen and Pitts (1983), among others. In our setup, the latent process of stochastic volatility evolves in an operational time which differs from calendar time. The time deformation can be determined by past volume of trade, past returns, possibly with an asymmetric leverage effect, and other variables setting the pace of information arrival. The econometric specification exploits the state-space approach for stochastic volatility models proposed by Harvey, Ruiz and Shephard (1994) as well as the matching moment estimation procedure using SNP densities of stock returns and trading volume estimated by Gallant, Rossi and Tauchen (1992). Daily data on returns and trading volume of the NYSE are used in the empirical application. Supporting evidence for a time deformation representation is found and its impact on the behavior of returns and volume is analyzed. We find that increases in volume accelerate operational time, resulting in volatility being less persistent and subject to shocks with a higher innovation variance. Downward price movements have similar effects while upward price movements increase the persistence in volatility and decrease the dispersion of shocks by slowing down market time. We present the basic model as well as several extensions; in particular, we formulate and estimate a bivariate return-volume stochastic volatility model with time deformation. The latter is examined through bivariate impulse response profiles following the example of Gallant, Rossi and Tauchen (1993).
Book Synopsis Trading Volume and Stochastic Volatility by : Sam Howison
Download or read book Trading Volume and Stochastic Volatility written by Sam Howison and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics by : Robert A. Meyers
Download or read book Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics written by Robert A. Meyers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-03 with total page 919 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Volatility and Time Deformation : an Application of Trading Volume and Leverage Effects by : Ghysels, Eric
Download or read book Stochastic Volatility and Time Deformation : an Application of Trading Volume and Leverage Effects written by Ghysels, Eric and published by Montréal : CIRANO. This book was released on 1994 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Applied Bayesian Analysis by : Anthony O' Hagan
Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Applied Bayesian Analysis written by Anthony O' Hagan and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2010-03-18 with total page 924 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian analysis has developed rapidly in applications in the last two decades and research in Bayesian methods remains dynamic and fast-growing. Dramatic advances in modelling concepts and computational technologies now enable routine application of Bayesian analysis using increasingly realistic stochastic models, and this drives the adoption of Bayesian approaches in many areas of science, technology, commerce, and industry. This Handbook explores contemporary Bayesian analysis across a variety of application areas. Chapters written by leading exponents of applied Bayesian analysis showcase the scientific ease and natural application of Bayesian modelling, and present solutions to real, engaging, societally important and demanding problems. The chapters are grouped into five general areas: Biomedical & Health Sciences; Industry, Economics & Finance; Environment & Ecology; Policy, Political & Social Sciences; and Natural & Engineering Sciences, and Appendix material in each touches on key concepts, models, and techniques of the chapter that are also of broader pedagogic and applied interest.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Volatility by : Neil Shephard
Download or read book Stochastic Volatility written by Neil Shephard and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2005 with total page 534 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic volatility is the main concept used in the fields of financial economics and mathematical finance to deal with time-varying volatility in financial markets. This work brings together some of the main papers that have influenced this field, andshows that the development of this subject has been highly multidisciplinary.
Book Synopsis Trading Volume, Volatility and Return Dynamics by : Leon Zolotoy
Download or read book Trading Volume, Volatility and Return Dynamics written by Leon Zolotoy and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we study the dynamic relationship between trading volume, volatility, and stock returns at the international stock markets. First, we examine the role of volume and volatility in the individual stock market dynamics using a sample of ten major developed stock markets. Next, we extend our analysis to a multiple market framework, based on a large sample of cross-listed firms. Our analysis is based on both semi-nonparametric (Flexible Fourier Form) and parametric techniques. Our major findings are as follows. First, we find no evidence of the trading volume affecting the serial correlation of stock market returns, as predicted by Campbell et.al (1993) and Wang (1994). Second, the stock market volatility has a negative and statistically significant impact on the serial correlation of the stock market returns, consistent with the positive feedback trading model of Sentana and Wadhwani (1992). Third, the lagged trading volume is positively related to the stock market volatility, supporting the information flow theory. Fourth, we find the trading volume to have both an economically and statistically significant impact on the price discovery process and the co-movement between the international stock markets. Overall, these findings suggest the importance of the trading volume as an information variable.
Book Synopsis The Chinese Stock Market Volume II by : S. Cheng
Download or read book The Chinese Stock Market Volume II written by S. Cheng and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-12-15 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both quantitative and qualitative analysis is used to review China's stock market in a book containing the latest research on China's IPO market, the 2006-07 market bubble, the development of institutional investors, the stock index futures market, stock sector performance, corporate governance of listed firms and China's growth enterprise market.
Book Synopsis Volatility and Correlation by : Riccardo Rebonato
Download or read book Volatility and Correlation written by Riccardo Rebonato and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-07-08 with total page 864 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Volatility and Correlation 2nd edition: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox, Rebonato looks at derivatives pricing from the angle of volatility and correlation. With both practical and theoretical applications, this is a thorough update of the highly successful Volatility & Correlation – with over 80% new or fully reworked material and is a must have both for practitioners and for students. The new and updated material includes a critical examination of the ‘perfect-replication’ approach to derivatives pricing, with special attention given to exotic options; a thorough analysis of the role of quadratic variation in derivatives pricing and hedging; a discussion of the informational efficiency of markets in commonly-used calibration and hedging practices. Treatment of new models including Variance Gamma, displaced diffusion, stochastic volatility for interest-rate smiles and equity/FX options. The book is split into four parts. Part I deals with a Black world without smiles, sets out the author’s ‘philosophical’ approach and covers deterministic volatility. Part II looks at smiles in equity and FX worlds. It begins with a review of relevant empirical information about smiles, and provides coverage of local-stochastic-volatility, general-stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and Variance-Gamma processes. Part II concludes with an important chapter that discusses if and to what extent one can dispense with an explicit specification of a model, and can directly prescribe the dynamics of the smile surface. Part III focusses on interest rates when the volatility is deterministic. Part IV extends this setting in order to account for smiles in a financially motivated and computationally tractable manner. In this final part the author deals with CEV processes, with diffusive stochastic volatility and with Markov-chain processes. Praise for the First Edition: “In this book, Dr Rebonato brings his penetrating eye to bear on option pricing and hedging.... The book is a must-read for those who already know the basics of options and are looking for an edge in applying the more sophisticated approaches that have recently been developed.” —Professor Ian Cooper, London Business School “Volatility and correlation are at the very core of all option pricing and hedging. In this book, Riccardo Rebonato presents the subject in his characteristically elegant and simple fashion...A rare combination of intellectual insight and practical common sense.” —Anthony Neuberger, London Business School
Book Synopsis Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics by : Cheng-Few Lee
Download or read book Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics written by Cheng-Few Lee and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-09-28 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics provides, in four volumes and over 100 chapters, a comprehensive overview of the primary methodologies in econometrics and statistics as applied to financial research. Including overviews of key concepts by the editors and in-depth contributions from leading scholars around the world, the Handbook is the definitive resource for both classic and cutting-edge theories, policies, and analytical techniques in the field. Volume 1 (Parts I and II) covers all of the essential theoretical and empirical approaches. Volumes 2, 3, and 4 feature contributed entries that showcase the application of financial econometrics and statistics to such topics as asset pricing, investment and portfolio research, option pricing, mutual funds, and financial accounting research. Throughout, the Handbook offers illustrative case examples and applications, worked equations, and extensive references, and includes both subject and author indices.
Book Synopsis Volatility Forecasts, Trading Volume, and the Arch Versus Option-Implied Volatility Trade-Off by : Glen Donaldson
Download or read book Volatility Forecasts, Trading Volume, and the Arch Versus Option-Implied Volatility Trade-Off written by Glen Donaldson and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate empirically the role of trading volume (1) in predicting the relative informativeness of volatility forecasts produced by autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) models versus the volatility forecasts derived from option prices, and (2) in improving volatility forecasts produced by ARCH and option models and combinations of models. Daily and monthly data are explored. We find that if trading volume was low during period t-1 relative to the recent past, ARCH is at least as important as options for forecasting future stock market volatility. Conversely, if volume was high during period t-1 relative to the recent past, option-implied volatility is much more important than ARCH for forecasting future volatility. Considering relative trading volume as a proxy for changes in the set of information available to investors, our findings reveal an important switching role for trading volume between a volatility forecast that reflects relatively stale information (the historical ARCH estimate) and the option-implied forward-looking estimate.
Book Synopsis Operations Research Proceedings 2004 by : Hein Fleuren
Download or read book Operations Research Proceedings 2004 written by Hein Fleuren and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-05-20 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These proceedings provide information on the most recent advances in operations research and related areas in economics, mathematics, and computer science, contributed by academics and practitioners from around the world.
Book Synopsis Natural Computing in Computational Finance by : Anthony Brabazon
Download or read book Natural Computing in Computational Finance written by Anthony Brabazon and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-10-14 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book follows on from Natural Computing in Computational Finance Volumes I, II and III. As in the previous volumes of this series, the book consists of a series of chapters each of which was selected following a rigorous, peer-reviewed, selection process. The chapters illustrate the application of a range of cutting-edge natural computing and agent-based methodologies in computational finance and economics. The applications explored include option model calibration, financial trend reversal detection, enhanced indexation, algorithmic trading, corporate payout determination and agent-based modeling of liquidity costs, and trade strategy adaptation. While describing cutting edge applications, the chapters are written so that they are accessible to a wide audience. Hence, they should be of interest to academics, students and practitioners in the fields of computational finance and economics. which was selected following a rigorous, peer-reviewed, selection process. The chapters illustrate the application of a range of cutting-edge natural computing and agent-based methodologies in computational finance and economics. The applications explored include option model calibration, financial trend reversal detection, enhanced indexation, algorithmic trading, corporate payout determination and agent-based modeling of liquidity costs, and trade strategy adaptation. While describing cutting edge applications, the chapters are written so that they are accessible to a wide audience. Hence, they should be of interest to academics, students and practitioners in the fields of computational finance and economics. The applications explored include option model calibration, financial trend reversal detection, enhanced indexation, algorithmic trading, corporate payout determination and agent-based modeling of liquidity costs, and trade strategy adaptation. While describing cutting edge applications, the chapters are written so that they are accessible to a wide audience. Hence, they should be of interest to academics, students and practitioners in the fields of computational finance and economics. written so that they are accessible to a wide audience. Hence, they should be of interest to academics, students and practitioners in the fields of computational finance and economics.
Book Synopsis Stock Market Volatility by : Greg N. Gregoriou
Download or read book Stock Market Volatility written by Greg N. Gregoriou and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2009-04-08 with total page 654 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Up-to-Date Research Sheds New Light on This Area Taking into account the ongoing worldwide financial crisis, Stock Market Volatility provides insight to better understand volatility in various stock markets. This timely volume is one of the first to draw on a range of international authorities who offer their expertise on market volatility in devel
