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Sovereign Default Private Sector Creditors And The Ifis
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Book Synopsis Sovereign Default, Private Sector Creditors and the IFIs by : Ms.Emine Boz
Download or read book Sovereign Default, Private Sector Creditors and the IFIs written by Ms.Emine Boz and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-03-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper builds a model of a sovereign borrower that has access to credit from private sector creditors and an IFI. Private sector creditors and the IFI offer different debt contracts that are modelled based on the institutional frameworks of these two types of debt. We analyze the decisions of a sovereign on how to allocate its borrowing needs between these two types of creditors, and when to default on its debt to the private sector creditor. The numerical analysis shows that, consistent with the data; the model predicts countercyclical IFI debt along with procyclical commercial debt flows, also matching other features of the data such as frequency of IFI borrowing and mean IFI debt stock.
Book Synopsis Sovereign Default Risk and Private Sector Access to Capital in Emerging Markets by : Mr.Udaibir S. Das
Download or read book Sovereign Default Risk and Private Sector Access to Capital in Emerging Markets written by Mr.Udaibir S. Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Top down spillovers of sovereign default risk can have serious consequences for the private sector in emerging markets. This paper analyzes the effects of these spillovers using firm-level data from 31 emerging market economies. We assess how sovereign risk affects corporate access to international capital markets, in the form of external credit (loans and bond issuances) and equity issuances. The study first analyzes the impact of sovereign debt crises during the 1980s and 1990s. It goes on to examine the 1993 to 2007 period, using additional measures of sovereign risk-sovereign bond spreads and sovereign ratings-as explanatory variables. Overall, we find that sovereign default risk is a crucial determinant of private sector access to capital, be it external debt or equity. We also find that crisis resolution patterns matter and that defaults towards private creditors have stronger adverse consequences than defaults to official creditors.
Book Synopsis The International Architecture for Resolving Sovereign Debt Involving Private-sector Creditors by :
Download or read book The International Architecture for Resolving Sovereign Debt Involving Private-sector Creditors written by and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "There have been significant developments in sovereign debt restructuring involving private-sector creditors since the IMF’s last stocktaking in 2014. While the current contractual approach has been largely effective in resolving sovereign debt cases since 2014, it has gaps that could pose challenges in future restructurings."--Abstract.
Book Synopsis The Cost of Aggressive Sovereign Debt Policies by : Christoph Trebesch
Download or read book The Cost of Aggressive Sovereign Debt Policies written by Christoph Trebesch and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-02-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a new empirical measure of cooperative versus conflictual crisis resolution following sovereign default and debt distress. The index of government coerciveness is presented as a proxy for excusable versus inexcusable default behaviour and used to evaluate the costs of default for the domestic private sector, in particular its access to international debt markets. Our findings indicate that unilateral, aggressive sovereign debt policies lead to a strong decline in corporate access to external finance (loans and bond issuance). We conclude that coercive government actions towards external creditors can have strong signalling effects with negative spillovers on domestic firms. "Good faith" debt renegotiations may be crucial to minimize the domestic costs of sovereign defaults.
Book Synopsis Sovereign Debt by : Vinod K. Aggarwal
Download or read book Sovereign Debt written by Vinod K. Aggarwal and published by Chatham House (Formerly Riia). This book was released on 2003 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work examines the ongoing debate on resolving sovereign debt defaults and alleviating the debt burden of heavily indebted poor countries. Concentrating primarily on the period from the 1982 and focusing on money owed to both the public and the private sector, the volume examines the origins of debt crises, rescheduling tactics, and efforts to create a more enduring solution to the problem of coping with debt, as well as its efficacy. Policy recommendations are put forward for dealing with the onerous problem of debt default and rescheduling.
Book Synopsis The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts by : Mr.Francisco Roch
Download or read book The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts written by Mr.Francisco Roch and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-06 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the recent European debt crisis, this paper investigates the scope for a bailout guarantee in a sovereign debt crisis. Defaults may arise from negative income shocks, government impatience or a "sunspot"-coordinated buyers strike. We introduce a bailout agency, and characterize the minimal actuarially fair intervention that guarantees the no-buyers-strike fundamental equilibrium, relying on the market for residual financing. The intervention makes it cheaper for governments to borrow, inducing them borrow more, leaving default probabilities possibly rather unchanged. The maximal backstop will be pulled precisely when fundamentals worsen.
Book Synopsis Resolving Sovereign Debt Crises by : Jürgen Kaiser
Download or read book Resolving Sovereign Debt Crises written by Jürgen Kaiser and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498343333 Total Pages :112 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis The Fund’s Lending Framework and Sovereign Debt - Annexes by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book The Fund’s Lending Framework and Sovereign Debt - Annexes written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-05-23 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL
Author :International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1455243140 Total Pages :12 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (552 download)
Book Synopsis IMF Research Bulletin, September 2010 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Download or read book IMF Research Bulletin, September 2010 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-09-30 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes transmission of the great recession from advanced to emerging economies. The widespread impact of the global financial crisis of 2008–09 has spurred researchers to examine how the associated recession was transmitted from advanced to emerging economies. Recent IMF studies have found that precrisis vulnerabilities such as large current account deficits, rapid credit growth, and high levels of short-term debt were strongly associated with the magnitude of spillovers. Trade, bank lending, and financial markets served as key transmission channels.
Download or read book Raise the Debt written by Jonas B. Bunte and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019-01-29 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit is the lifeblood of capitalism and development. Brazil, Russia, India, and China-also called BRICs-have become important creditors to developing countries. However, how will their loans affect economic development and democracy in recipient countries? We need to understand why governments accept Chinese over Western loan offers before we can predict their likely consequences. In Raise the Debt, Jonas B. Bunte systematically explains how governments choose among competing loan offers. Using statistical analyses and extensive interview data, he shows that the strings attached to loans vary across creditors. Consequently, one domestic interest group may benefit from Chinese credit but not U.S. loans, while the opposite is the case for other groups. Bunte provides evidence that governments cater to whichever domestic interest group is politically dominant when deciding between competing loan offers. Combining a comparative politics approach with international political economy methods, Raise the Debt shows how a deeper understanding of governments' borrowing decisions is critical for gaining insights into how these loans could impact growth and democracy on a global scale.
Book Synopsis Debt Dilution and Sovereign Default Risk by : Mr.Leonardo Martinez
Download or read book Debt Dilution and Sovereign Default Risk written by Mr.Leonardo Martinez and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-03-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a modification to a baseline sovereign default framework that allows us to quantify the importance of debt dilution in accounting for the level and volatility of the interest rate spread paid by sovereigns. We measure the effects of debt dilution by comparing the simulations of the baseline model (with debt dilution) with the ones of the modified model without dilution. We calibrate the baseline model to mimic the mean and standard deviation of the spread, as well as the external debt level, the mean debt duration and a measure of default frequency in the data. We find that, even without commitment to future repayment policies and withoutcontingency of sovereign debt, if the sovereign could eliminate debt dilution, the number of default per 100 years decreases from 3.10 to 0.42. The mean spread decreases from 7.38% to 0.57%. The standard deviation of the spread decreases from 2.45 to 0.72. Default risk falls in part because of a reduction of the level of sovereign debt (36% of the face value and of 11% of the market value). But we show that the most important effect of dilution on default risk results from a shift in the set of government's borrowing opportunities. Our analysis is also relevant for the study of other credit markets where the debt dilution problem could be present.
Book Synopsis The Impact of Bailouts on the Probability of Sovereign Debt Crises: Evidence from IMF-Supported Programs by : Hippolyte W. Balima
Download or read book The Impact of Bailouts on the Probability of Sovereign Debt Crises: Evidence from IMF-Supported Programs written by Hippolyte W. Balima and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-01-11 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the role of IMF-supported programs in mitigating the likelihood of subsequent sovereign defaults in borrowing countries. Using a panel of 106 developing countries from 1970 to 2016 and an entropy balancing methodology, we find that IMF-supported programs significantly reduce the likelihood of subsequent sovereign defaults. This finding is robust to different specifications of the entropy balancing and alternative identification strategies. Our results suggest that a country that signs a program with the IMF, typically experiences a slight improvement in its sovereign credit rating and a decrease in both government debt-to-GDP and fiscal deficit-to-GDP.
Book Synopsis The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts by : Mr.Francisco Roch
Download or read book The Dynamics of Sovereign Debt Crises and Bailouts written by Mr.Francisco Roch and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-07-11 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Motivated by the recent European debt crisis, this paper investigates the scope for a bailout guarantee in a sovereign debt crisis. Defaults may arise from negative income shocks, government impatience or a "sunspot"-coordinated buyers strike. We introduce a bailout agency, and characterize the minimal actuarially fair intervention that guarantees the no-buyers-strike fundamental equilibrium, relying on the market for residual financing. The intervention makes it cheaper for governments to borrow, inducing them borrow more, leaving default probabilities possibly rather unchanged. The maximal backstop will be pulled precisely when fundamentals worsen.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Rules and the Sovereign Default Premium by : Juan Carlos Hatchondo
Download or read book Fiscal Rules and the Sovereign Default Premium written by Juan Carlos Hatchondo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper finds optimal fiscal rule parameter values and measures the effects of imposing fiscal rules using a default model calibrated to an economy that in the absence of a fiscal rule pays a significant sovereign default premium. The paper also studies the case in which the government conducts a voluntary debt restructuring to capture the capital gains from the increase in its debt market value implied by a rule announcement. In addition, the paper shows how debt ceilings may reduce the procyclicality of fiscal policy and thus consumption volatility.
Book Synopsis International Debt Statistics 2021 by : World Bank
Download or read book International Debt Statistics 2021 written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2020-12-21 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International Debt Statistics (IDS), a long-standing annual publication of the World Bank, features external debt statistics and analysis for the 120 low- and middle-income countries that report to the World Bank Debtor Reporting System. IDS 2021 includes (1) an overview analyzing global trends in debt stocks of and debt flows to low- and middle-income countries within the framework of aggregate capital flows (debt and equity); (2) a feature story on the World Bank and International Monetary Fund Debt Service Suspension Initiative in response to the COVID-19 pandemic; (3) tables and charts detailing debtor and creditor composition of debt stock and flows, terms of new commitments, and maturity structure of future debt service payments and debt burdens, measured in relation to gross national income and export earnings for each country; (4) one-page summaries per country, plus global, regional, and income group aggregates showing debt stocks and flows, relevant debt indicators, and metadata for six years (2009 and 2015†“19); and (5) a user guide describing the tables and content, definitions and rationale for the country and income groupings used in the report, data notes, and information about additional resources and comprehensive data sets available to users online. Unique in its coverage of the important trends and issues fundamental to the financing of low- and middle-income countries, IDS 2021 is an indispensable resource for governments, economists, investors, financial consultants, academics, bankers, and the entire development community. For more information on IDS 2021 and related products, please visit the World Bank’s Data Catalog at https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/dataset/international-debt-statistics.
Book Synopsis Non-Defaultable Debt and Sovereign Risk by : Mr.Juan Carlos Hatchondo
Download or read book Non-Defaultable Debt and Sovereign Risk written by Mr.Juan Carlos Hatchondo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-10-28 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We quantify gains from introducing non-defaultable debt as a limited additional financing option into a model of equilibrium sovereign risk. We find that, for an initial (defaultable) sovereign debt level equal to 66 percent of trend aggregate income and a sovereign spread of 2.9 percent, introducing the possibility of issuing non-defaultable debt for up to 10 percent of aggregate income reduces immediately the spread to 1.4 percent, and implies a welfare gain equivalent to a permanent consumption increase of 0.9 percent. The spread reduction would be only 0.1 (0.2) percentage points higher if the government uses nondefaultable debt to buy back (finance a “voluntary” debt exchange for) previously issued defaultable debt. Without restrictions to defaultable debt issuances in the future, the spread reduction achieved by the introduction of non-defaultable debt is short lived. We also show that allowing governments in default to increase non-defaultable debt is damaging at the time non-defaultable debt is introduced and inconsequential in the medium term. These findings shed light on different aspects of proposals to introduce common euro-area sovereign bonds that could be virtually non-defaultable.
Book Synopsis Economics—Advances in Research and Application: 2012 Edition by :
Download or read book Economics—Advances in Research and Application: 2012 Edition written by and published by ScholarlyEditions. This book was released on 2012-12-26 with total page 2231 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economics—Advances in Research and Application: 2012 Edition is a ScholarlyEditions™ eBook that delivers timely, authoritative, and comprehensive information about Economics. The editors have built Economics—Advances in Research and Application: 2012 Edition on the vast information databases of ScholarlyNews.™ You can expect the information about Economics in this eBook to be deeper than what you can access anywhere else, as well as consistently reliable, authoritative, informed, and relevant. The content of Economics—Advances in Research and Application: 2012 Edition has been produced by the world’s leading scientists, engineers, analysts, research institutions, and companies. All of the content is from peer-reviewed sources, and all of it is written, assembled, and edited by the editors at ScholarlyEditions™ and available exclusively from us. You now have a source you can cite with authority, confidence, and credibility. More information is available at http://www.ScholarlyEditions.com/.
