Some Implications of the Zero Lower Bound on Interest Rates for the Term Structure and Monetary Policy

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Publisher : Montréal : Université de Montréal, Dép. de sciences économiques
ISBN 13 : 9782893824437
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (244 download)

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Book Synopsis Some Implications of the Zero Lower Bound on Interest Rates for the Term Structure and Monetary Policy by : Francisco J. Ruge-Murcia

Download or read book Some Implications of the Zero Lower Bound on Interest Rates for the Term Structure and Monetary Policy written by Francisco J. Ruge-Murcia and published by Montréal : Université de Montréal, Dép. de sciences économiques. This book was released on 2002 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP)

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475524471
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) by : Andreas Jobst

Download or read book Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) written by Andreas Jobst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-08-10 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: More than two years ago the European Central Bank (ECB) adopted a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) to achieve its price stability objective. Negative interest rates have so far supported easier financial conditions and contributed to a modest expansion in credit, demonstrating that the zero lower bound is less binding than previously thought. However, interest rate cuts also weigh on bank profitability. Substantial rate cuts may at some point outweigh the benefits from higher asset values and stronger aggregate demand. Further monetary accommodation may need to rely more on credit easing and an expansion of the ECB’s balance sheet rather than substantial additional reductions in the policy rate.

Zero Lower Bound Term Structure Modeling

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137401826
Total Pages : 409 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (374 download)

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Book Synopsis Zero Lower Bound Term Structure Modeling by : L. Krippner

Download or read book Zero Lower Bound Term Structure Modeling written by L. Krippner and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-01-05 with total page 409 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nominal yields on government debt in several countries have fallen very near their zero lower bound (ZLB), causing a liquidity trap and limiting the capacity to stimulate economic growth. This book provides a comprehensive reference to ZLB structure modeling in an applied setting.

Monetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Bound

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Publisher : www.bnpublishing.com
ISBN 13 : 9781607961055
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (61 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Bound by : Ben S. Bernanke

Download or read book Monetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Bound written by Ben S. Bernanke and published by www.bnpublishing.com. This book was released on 2009-03 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The success over the years in reducing inflation and, consequently, the average level of nominal interest rates has increased the likelihood that the nominal policy interest rate may become constrained by the zero lower bound. When that happens, a central bank can no longer stimulate aggregate demand by further interest-rate reductions and must rely on "non-standard" policy alternatives. To assess the potential effectiveness of such policies, we analyze the behavior of selected asset prices over short periods surrounding central bank statements or other types of financial or economic news and estimate "noarbitrage" models of the term structure for the United States and Japan. There is some evidence that central bank communications can help to shape public expectations of future policy actions and that asset purchases in large volume by a central bank would be able to affect the price or yield of the targeted asset.

The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Monetary Policy During a Zero-Interest-Rate Period

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451874723
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Monetary Policy During a Zero-Interest-Rate Period by : Mr.Jun Nagayasu

Download or read book The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Monetary Policy During a Zero-Interest-Rate Period written by Mr.Jun Nagayasu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-10-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper empirically evaluates the validity of the term structure of interest rates in a low-interest-rate environment. Applying a time-series method to high-frequency Japanese data, the term-structure model is found to be useful for economic analysis only when interest rates are high. When interest rates are low, the usefulness of the model declines, since the interest spread contains little information that can be used for predicting future economic activity. The term-structure relationship is also weakened by the Bank of Japan's use of interest rate smoothing.

Negative Monetary Policy Rates and Portfolio Rebalancing: Evidence from Credit Register Data

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498300855
Total Pages : 59 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Negative Monetary Policy Rates and Portfolio Rebalancing: Evidence from Credit Register Data by : Margherita Bottero

Download or read book Negative Monetary Policy Rates and Portfolio Rebalancing: Evidence from Credit Register Data written by Margherita Bottero and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-02-28 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study negative interest rate policy (NIRP) exploiting ECB's NIRP introduction and administrative data from Italy, severely hit by the Eurozone crisis. NIRP has expansionary effects on credit supply-- -and hence the real economy---through a portfolio rebalancing channel. NIRP affects banks with higher ex-ante net short-term interbank positions or, more broadly, more liquid balance-sheets, not with higher retail deposits. NIRP-affected banks rebalance their portfolios from liquid assets to credit—especially to riskier and smaller firms—and cut loan rates, inducing sizable real effects. By shifting the entire yield curve downwards, NIRP differs from rate cuts just above the ZLB.

Lower Bound Beliefs and Long-Term Interest Rates

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475588224
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Lower Bound Beliefs and Long-Term Interest Rates by : Christian Grisse

Download or read book Lower Bound Beliefs and Long-Term Interest Rates written by Christian Grisse and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-03-22 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the transmission of changes in the believed location of the lower bound to longterm interest rates since the introduction of negative interest rate policies. The expectations hypothesis of the term structure combined with a lower bound on policy rates suggests that normal policy transmission is reduced when policy rates approach this lower bound. We show that if market participants revise downward the believed location of the lower bound, this may in itself reduce long-term yields. Moreover, normal policy transmission to long-term rates increases. A cross-country event study suggests that such effects have been empirically relevant during the recent negative interest rate episode.

Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484398777
Total Pages : 89 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide by : Ruchir Agarwal

Download or read book Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide written by Ruchir Agarwal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-04-29 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The experience of the Great Recession and its aftermath revealed that a lower bound on interest rates can be a serious obstacle for fighting recessions. However, the zero lower bound is not a law of nature; it is a policy choice. The central message of this paper is that with readily available tools a central bank can enable deep negative rates whenever needed—thus maintaining the power of monetary policy in the future to end recessions within a short time. This paper demonstrates that a subset of these tools can have a big effect in enabling deep negative rates with administratively small actions on the part of the central bank. To that end, we (i) survey approaches to enable deep negative rates discussed in the literature and present new approaches; (ii) establish how a subset of these approaches allows enabling negative rates while remaining at a minimum distance from the current paper currency policy and minimizing the political costs; (iii) discuss why standard transmission mechanisms from interest rates to aggregate demand are likely to remain unchanged in deep negative rate territory; and (iv) present communication tools that central banks can use both now and in the event to facilitate broader political acceptance of negative interest rate policy at the onset of the next serious recession.

Negative Interest Rates

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513570080
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Negative Interest Rates by : Luís Brandão Marques

Download or read book Negative Interest Rates written by Luís Brandão Marques and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on negative interest rate policies and covers a broad range of its effects, with a detailed discussion of findings in the academic literature and of broader country experiences.

Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642559344
Total Pages : 260 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing by : Shouyang Wang

Download or read book Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing written by Shouyang Wang and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In our daily life, almost every family owns a portfolio of assets. This portfolio could contain real assets such as a car, or a house, as well as financial assets such as stocks, bonds or futures. Portfolio theory deals with how to form a satisfied portfolio among an enormous number of assets. Originally proposed by H. Markowtiz in 1952, the mean-variance methodology for portfolio optimization has been central to the research activities in this area and has served as a basis for the development of modem financial theory during the past four decades. Follow-on work with this approach has born much fruit for this field of study. Among all those research fruits, the most important is the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) proposed by Sharpe in 1964. This model greatly simplifies the input for portfolio selection and makes the mean-variance methodology into a practical application. Consequently, lots of models were proposed to price the capital assets. In this book, some of the most important progresses in portfolio theory are surveyed and a few new models for portfolio selection are presented. Models for asset pricing are illustrated and the empirical tests of CAPM for China's stock markets are made. The first chapter surveys ideas and principles of modeling the investment decision process of economic agents. It starts with the Markowitz criteria of formulating return and risk as mean and variance and then looks into other related criteria which are based on probability assumptions on future prices of securities.

Breaking Through the Zero Lower Bound

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513567322
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Breaking Through the Zero Lower Bound by : Ruchir Agarwal

Download or read book Breaking Through the Zero Lower Bound written by Ruchir Agarwal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-10-23 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There has been much discussion about eliminating the “zero lower bound” by eliminating paper currency. But such a radical and difficult approach as eliminating paper currency is not necessary. Much as during the Great Depression—when countries were able to revive their economies by going off the gold standard—all that is needed to empower monetary policy to cut interest rates as much as needed for economic stimulus now is to change from a paper standard to an electronic money standard, and to be willing to have paper currency go away from par. This paper develops the idea further and shows how such a mechanism can be implemented in a minimalist way by using a time-varying paper currency deposit fee between private banks and the central bank. This allows the central bank to create a crawling-peg exchange rate between paper currency and electronic money; the paper currency interest rate can be either lowered below zero or raised above zero. Such an ability to vary the paper currency interest rate along with other key interest rates, makes it possible to stimulate investment and net exports as much as needed to revive the economy, even when inflation, interest rates, and economic activity are quite low, as they are currently in many countries. The paper also examines different options available to the central bank to return to par when negative interest rates are no longer needed, and the associated implications for the financial sector and debt contracts. Finally, the paper discusses various legal, political, and economic challenges of putting in place such a framework and how policymakers could address them.

U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization and Global Interest Rates

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475543069
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization and Global Interest Rates by : Carlos Caceres

Download or read book U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization and Global Interest Rates written by Carlos Caceres and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-29 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the Federal Reserve continues to normalize its monetary policy, this paper studies the impact of U.S. interest rates on rates in other countries. We find a modest but nontrivial pass-through from U.S. to domestic short-term interest rates on average. We show that, to a large extent, this comovement reflects synchronized business cycles. However, there is important heterogeneity across countries, and we find evidence of limited monetary autonomy in some cases. The co-movement of longer term interest rates is larger and more pervasive. We distinguish between U.S. interest rate movements that surprise markets versus those that are anticipated, and find that most countries receive greater spillovers from the former. We also distinguish between movements in the U.S. term premium and the expected path of risk-free rates, concluding that countries respond differently to these shocks. Finally, we explore the determinants of monetary autonomy and find strong evidence for the role of exchange rate flexibility, capital account openness, but also for other factors, such as dollarization of financial system liabilities, and the credibility of fiscal and monetary policy.

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2004

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Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
ISBN 13 : 9780815706755
Total Pages : 398 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (67 download)

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Book Synopsis Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2004 by : William C. Brainard

Download or read book Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2004 written by William C. Brainard and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2010-12 with total page 398 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For almost thirty years, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (BPEA) has provided academic and business economists, government officials, and members of the financial and business communities with timely research on current economic issues. Contents include: Investment, Fiscal Policy, and Capital Overhang by Austan Goolsbee (University of Chicago) and Mihir Desai (Harvard University) Monetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Bound: An Empirical Assessment by Ben S. Bernanke and Vincent Reinhart (Federal Reserve) and Brian P. Sack (Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC) What Happened to the Great U.S. Job Machine? The Role of Trade and Electronic Offshoring Martin N. Baily (Institute for International Economics) and Robert Z. Lawrence (Harvard University) Budget Deficits, National Saving, and Interest Rates William Gale, Peter Orszag (Brookings Institution)

Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble

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Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437985297
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble by :

Download or read book Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Monetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Bound

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 134 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Bound by : Ben Bernanke

Download or read book Monetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Bound written by Ben Bernanke and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The success over the years in reducing inflation and, consequently, the average level of nominal interest rates has increased the likelihood that the nominal policy interest rate may become constrained by the zero lower bound. When that happens, a central bank can no longer stimulate aggregate demand by further interest-rate reductions and must rely on "non-standard" policy alternatives. To assess the potential effectiveness of such policies, we analyze the behavior of selected asset prices over short periods surrounding central bank statements or other types of financial or economic news and estimate "noarbitrage" models of the term structure for the United States and Japan. There is some evidence that central bank communications can help to shape public expectations of future policy actions and that asset purchases in large volume by a central bank would be able to affect the price or yield of the targeted asset"--Abstract.

Bank Leverage and Monetary Policy's Risk-Taking Channel

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484381130
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Bank Leverage and Monetary Policy's Risk-Taking Channel by : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia

Download or read book Bank Leverage and Monetary Policy's Risk-Taking Channel written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-06-06 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present evidence of a risk-taking channel of monetary policy for the U.S. banking system. We use confidential data on the internal ratings of U.S. banks on loans to businesses over the period 1997 to 2011 from the Federal Reserve’s survey of terms of business lending. We find that ex-ante risk taking by banks (as measured by the risk rating of the bank’s loan portfolio) is negatively associated with increases in short-term policy interest rates. This relationship is less pronounced for banks with relatively low capital or during periods when banks’ capital erodes, such as episodes of financial and economic distress. These results contribute to the ongoing debate on the role of monetary policy in financial stability and suggest that monetary policy has a bearing on the riskiness of banks and financial stability more generally.

Japan's Financial Crisis and Its Parallels to U.S. Experience

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Author :
Publisher : Peterson Institute
ISBN 13 : 9780881322897
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (228 download)

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Book Synopsis Japan's Financial Crisis and Its Parallels to U.S. Experience by : Ryōichi Mikitani

Download or read book Japan's Financial Crisis and Its Parallels to U.S. Experience written by Ryōichi Mikitani and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 2000 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Japan is only one of many industrialized economies to suffer a financial crisis in the past 15 years, but it has suffered the most from its crisis--as measured in lost output and investment opportunities, and in the direct costs of clean-up. Comparing the response of Japanese policy in the 1990s to that of US monetary and financial policy to the American Savings and Loan Crisis of the late 1980s sheds light on the reasons for this outcome. This volume was created by bringing together several leading academics from the United States and Japan--plus former senior policymakers from both countries--to discuss the challenges to Japanese financial and monetary policy in the 1990s. The papers address in turn both the monetary and financial aspects of the crisis, and the discussants bring together broad themes across the two countries' experiences. As the papers in this Special Report demonstrate, while the Japanese government's policy response to its banking crisis in the 1990s was slow in comparison to that of the US government a decade earlier, the underlying dynamics were similar. A combination of mismanaged partial deregulation and regulatory forebearance gave rise to the crisis and allowed it to deepen, and only the closure of some banks and injection of new capital into others began the resolution. The Bank of Japan's monetary policy from the late 1980s onward, however, was increasingly out of step with US or other developed country norms. In particular, the Bank of Japan's limited response to deflation after being granted independence in 1998 stands out as a dangerous and unusual stance.