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Some Design Experiments For A Nested Grid Forecast Model Of Western Pacific Tropical Cyclones
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Book Synopsis Some Design Experiments for a Nested Grid Forecast Model of Western Pacific Tropical Cyclones by :
Download or read book Some Design Experiments for a Nested Grid Forecast Model of Western Pacific Tropical Cyclones written by and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A three-dimensional, triply nested tropical cyclone forecast model was initialized from hand-analyzed synoptic-scale wind data. The diagnostic phase forced the mass fields from the wind fields by use of a suitable balance equation. Latent heat parameterization and frictional dissipation were omitted from the model to study movement primarily due to advective processes. For comparison, a three-level uniform coarse mesh grid model was initialized with the same real data. Time averaging of the pressure gradient terms of the momentum equations was incorporated into each model in an attempt to increase the maximum time increment. Movement forecasts of Typhoon Irma to 48-hours with both dynamic models were compared with operational forecasts and the post-analysis 'best' track. Very satisfactory movement prognoses were obtained for the three periods forecasted with the dynamic models. The models correctly forecast the passage of a 500-mb trough to the north of the typhoon, apparently preventing recurvature. For movement forecasts, it appears that the nested model can be initialized with linear interpolation of data from the coarse grid to the finer mesh grids. The time increment was increased through use of the pressure averaging in the uniform CMG model; however, no time step increase was realized with the nested model due to lattice separation of the solution. (Author).
Book Synopsis Some Design Experiments for a Nested Grid Forecast Model of Western Pacific Tropical Cyclones by : Gary William Ley
Download or read book Some Design Experiments for a Nested Grid Forecast Model of Western Pacific Tropical Cyclones written by Gary William Ley and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A three-dimensional, triply nested tropical cyclone forecast model was initialized from hand-analyzed synoptic-scale wind data. The diagnostic phase forced the mass fields from the wind fields by use of a suitable balance equation. Latent heat parameterization and frictional dissipation were omitted from the model to study movement primarily due to advective processes. For comparison, a three-level uniform coarse mesh grid model was initialized with the same real data. Time averaging of the pressure gradient terms of the momentum equations was incorporated into each model in an attempt to increase the maximum time increment. Movement forecasts of Typhoon Irma to 48-hours with both dynamic models were compared with operational forecasts and the post-analysis 'best' track. Very satisfactory movement prognoses were obtained for the three periods forecasted with the dynamic models. The models correctly forecast the passage of a 500-mb trough to the north of the typhoon, apparently preventing recurvature. For movement forecasts, it appears that the nested model can be initialized with linear interpolation of data from the coarse grid to the finer mesh grids. The time increment was increased through use of the pressure averaging in the uniform CMG model; however, no time step increase was realized with the nested model due to lattice separation of the solution. (Author).
Book Synopsis Integration of a Tropical Cyclone Model on a Nested Grid by : Robert W. Jones
Download or read book Integration of a Tropical Cyclone Model on a Nested Grid written by Robert W. Jones and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports by :
Download or read book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 1572 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Feasibility of an Operational Tropical Cyclone Prediction Model for the Western North Pacific Area by : Russell L. Elsberry
Download or read book Feasibility of an Operational Tropical Cyclone Prediction Model for the Western North Pacific Area written by Russell L. Elsberry and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent developments in numerical simulation of tropical cyclones and in limited-area, fine-mesh modeling of non-tropical systems are reviewed. Feasibility of developing an operational model for the western North Pacific Ocean region is discussed in terms of a nested grid model. Boundary conditions, numerical techniques, initialization and representation of the physical processes are considered. It is recommended that several Navy agencies cooperate in the development of an operational model to improve meteorological and oceanographic support in the western Pacific region.
Book Synopsis Evaluation of the AFWA WRF 4-km Moving Nest Model Predictions for Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones by :
Download or read book Evaluation of the AFWA WRF 4-km Moving Nest Model Predictions for Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Air Force Weather Agency (AFWA) version of the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW) model with a moving 4-km nested grid is examined for 10 track and intensity predictions of six western North Pacific tropical cyclones during 2005. In three of the 10 integrations, the ARW vortex tracker algorithm based on the 500-mb height minimum failed to appropriately move the nest and thus lost track of the storm vortex. For the other seven cases, the ARW track forecasts are more skillful than the AFWA MM5 forecasts and (except at 12 h) the CLIPER-type forecasts. The ARW intensity forecasts were less skillful than the MM5 and CLIPER-type forecasts at all forecast intervals, and were severely degraded by a large negative bias at the initial time. The deficiency in these intensity forecasts is shown to be related to model spin-up (lasting 12-54 h) problems caused by the lack of a bogus vortex and a cold start initialization from the interpolation of the NCEP Global Forecast System (GFS) analysis to the 12- km and 4-km grids. Thus, a more appropriate initial vortex representation will be required to improve intensity forecasts.
Book Synopsis A Statistical Model for the Prediction of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Motion (WPCLPR) by : Xu Yiming
Download or read book A Statistical Model for the Prediction of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Motion (WPCLPR) written by Xu Yiming and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Curricula in the Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences by : American Meteorological Society
Download or read book Curricula in the Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences written by American Meteorological Society and published by . This book was released on with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Remote Impacts of a Western Pacific Tropical Cyclone by : Craig E. Jakus
Download or read book The Remote Impacts of a Western Pacific Tropical Cyclone written by Craig E. Jakus and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The short term teleconnections arising from an individual tropical cyclone in tne western Pacific (typhoon Seth, October 1994) were examined using an operational global data assimilation system and numerical weather prediction model. During the data assimilation, the model's initial conditions were modified using a tropical cyclone bogusing procedure that either maintained or eliminated the individual storm. These different initial conditions were used in six extended-range forecasts of about 3.5 weeks duration. Three of these forecasts simulated the atmosphere with tne tropical cyclone and three without the storm. The ensemble average differences between the forecasts with the storm and those without it were used to infer the global teleconnection response to the tropical cyclone. This response was dominated by a strong and persistent Rossby wave train that extended from east Asia across the North Pacific into North America. This wave train was initiated when an anticyclonic circulation formed near Japan as the tropical cyclone approached the east Asian jet. The anticyclone formation was primarily the result of two factors: (1) vortex stretching; and (2) absolute vorticity advection as divergent outflow from the tropical cyclone crossed the large absolute vorticity gradient of the east Asian jet. The wave response was quasi-stationary. However, the basic wave train (i.e., the teleconnection pattern) developed within a week due to a relatively rapid eastward propagation of wave energy across the North Pacific and North America. In regions of strong jet flow, this propagation tended to parallel the flow while in regions of weaker flow, the propagation had stronger poleward or equatorward components. The wave train intensified well after the tropical cyclone and the initial wave formation process had dissipated.
Book Synopsis Simulations Of Tropical Cyclone In Regional Climate Models by : Zhong Zhong
Download or read book Simulations Of Tropical Cyclone In Regional Climate Models written by Zhong Zhong and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2018-02-01 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book studies the pitfalls of regional climate models in simulating track and intensity of tropical cyclone over western North Pacific for the East Asian summer monsoon climate.A number of sensitivity experiments related to tropical cyclone simulation with different model configurations and model physical schemes, including model resolution, model lateral boundary condition, effect of sea surface temperature, cumulus parameterization scheme and model microphysics scheme, as well as the features and the failure of tropical cyclone simulation in regional climate models were carefully analyzed with model output with high temporal resolution, to investigate shortcomings of the models, so as to come up with better models to simulate and study tropical cyclone track and intensity.The book is suitable for graduate students in meteorology with focuses in the tropical cyclone simulation, as well as professionals devoted to model development and study of tropical cyclone activities.
Book Synopsis Government Reports Annual Index by :
Download or read book Government Reports Annual Index written by and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 1296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Monthly Weather Review written by and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 932 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Advanced Satellite-Derived Wind Observations, Assimilation, and Targeting Strategies During TCS-08 for Developing Improved Operational Analysis and Prediction of Western Pacific Tropical Cyclones by :
Download or read book Advanced Satellite-Derived Wind Observations, Assimilation, and Targeting Strategies During TCS-08 for Developing Improved Operational Analysis and Prediction of Western Pacific Tropical Cyclones written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 7 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasts of tropical cyclone (TC) formation and intensity change in the north-western Pacific basin are often lacking in skill, in part due to the paucity of conventional oceanic observations that are assimilated into the operational models. This lack of observations has also constrained our understanding of how TC formation is governed by environmental processes. Recently, remotely-sensed observations from satellites have become a routine and important input to the global data assimilation systems. To our knowledge, this project represents the first time anyone has tried to evaluate the impact of targeted satellite data on TC forecasts using an automated dynamic targeted observing strategy. TCS-08 will afford us the opportunity to employ specially-processed satellite data along with observations collected in situ by the NAVY P-3, and other platforms, to investigate these objectives as they apply in the western north Pacific TC basin. The development of successful real-time strategies to optimally assimilate wind data from satellites will ultimately lead to the provision of improved initial and boundary conditions for the Navy's envisioned mesoscale coupled ocean-wave-atmosphere forecast model.
Book Synopsis Government Reports Annual Index: Keyword A-L by :
Download or read book Government Reports Annual Index: Keyword A-L written by and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 1204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Effects of Storm-related Parameters on the Accuracy of the Nested Tropical Cyclone Model by : Brian J. Williams
Download or read book Effects of Storm-related Parameters on the Accuracy of the Nested Tropical Cyclone Model written by Brian J. Williams and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The performance of the Nested Tropical Cyclone Model (NTCM) for 542 track forecasts in the western North Pacific is evaluated with respect to five storm-related parameters: intensity, 12-h change in intensity, latitude, longitude and size. This study is intended to aid the operational forecaster in deciding when to use the NTCM based on storm-related parameters at the forecast time. The storm-related parameters are divided into three subsamples (about 180 in each) and the forecasts are evaluated in terms of the mean forecast error, median forecast error and systematic (zonal and meridional) error. Cross-track (CT) and along-track (AT) components are computed relative to a Climatory and Persistence (CLIPER) track. A scoring system (M) that assesses penalty points for forecasts in incorrect terciles is used to compare the accuracy of the NTCM and CLIPER forecasts within the subsamples. For the entire sample, the NTCM has a slow bias, especially at the 12- through 36-h forecast periods. It also performs better for storms with initial latitudes south of 13 N and initial longitudes west of 129 E. For very large storms, the NTCM forecasts have both left-of-track and westward biases which indicate problems of the NTCM in predicting recurvature of such systems. The NTCM (which has a 60-kt bogus) forecasts for storms with initial intensities between 50 and 75 kt have much lower CT/AT M scores and smaller forecast errors than the subsamples with initial intensities less than 50 kt or greater than 75 kt. Keywords: Tropical cyclone forecasting; Forecast error statistics; Typhoons; Recurvature; Tropical cyclones; Cross track error; Along track error; Theses.
Author :William George Coppell Publisher :[Canberra, A.C.T.] : Research School of Pacific Studies, Australian National university ; [Honolulu] : Institute for Polynesian Studies, Brigham Young University, Hawaii Campus ISBN 13 : Total Pages :540 pages Book Rating :4.:/5 (318 download)
Book Synopsis A Bibliography of Pacific Island Theses and Dissertations by : William George Coppell
Download or read book A Bibliography of Pacific Island Theses and Dissertations written by William George Coppell and published by [Canberra, A.C.T.] : Research School of Pacific Studies, Australian National university ; [Honolulu] : Institute for Polynesian Studies, Brigham Young University, Hawaii Campus. This book was released on 1983 with total page 540 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Masters Theses in the Pure and Applied Sciences by : Wade H. Shafer
Download or read book Masters Theses in the Pure and Applied Sciences written by Wade H. Shafer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Masters Theses in the Pure and Applied Sciences was first conceived, published, and dis seminated by the Center for Information and Numerical Data Analysis and Synthesis (CINDAS) * at Purdue University in 1957, starting its coverage of theses with the academic year 1955. Beginning with Volume 13, the printing and dissemination phases of the ac tivity were transferred to University Microfilms/Xerox of Ann Arbor, Michigan, with the thought that such an arrangement would be more beneficial to the academic and general scientific and technical community. After five years of this joint undertaking we had concluded that it was in the interest of all concerned if the printing and distribution of the volume were handled by an international publishing house to assure improved service and broader dissemination. Hence, starting with Volume 18, Masters Theses in the Pure and Applied Sciences has been disseminated on a worldwide basis by Plenum Publishing Corporation of New York, and in the same year the coverage was broadened to include Canadian universities. All back issues can also be ordered from Plenum. We have reported in Volume 23 (thesis year 1978) a total of 10,148 theses titles from 27 Canadian and 220 United States universities. We are sure that this broader base for theses titles reported will greatly enhance the value of this important annual reference work. While Volume 23 reports these submitted in 1978, on occasion, certain universities do report theses submitted in previous years but not reported at the time.