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Social Forecasting
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Book Synopsis Social Forecasting Methodology by : Daniel P. Harrison
Download or read book Social Forecasting Methodology written by Daniel P. Harrison and published by Russell Sage Foundation. This book was released on 1976-03-26 with total page 99 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A volume in the Social Science Frontiers series, which are occasional publications reviewing new fields for social science development. These occasional publications seek to summarize recent work being done in particular areas of social research, to review new developments in the field, and to indicate issues needing further investigation. The publications are intended to help orient those concerned with developing current research programs and broadening the use of social science in the policy-making process. A Volume in the Russell Sage Foundation's Social Science Frontiers Series
Book Synopsis Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences by : Kenneth C. Land
Download or read book Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences written by Kenneth C. Land and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Social and natural scientists often are called upon to produce, or participate, in the pro duction of forecasts. This volume assembles essays that (a) describe the organizational and political context of applied forecasting, (b) review the state-of-the-art for many fore casting models and methods, and (c) discuss issues of predictability, the implications of forecaSt errors, and model construction, linkage and verification. The essays should be of particular interest to social and natural scientists concerned with forecasting large-scale systems. This project had its origins in discussions of social forecasts and forecasting method ologies initiated a few years ago by several social and natural science members of the Social Science Research Council's Committee on Social Indicators. It became appar ent in these discussions that certain similar problems were confronted in forecasting large-scale systems-be they social or natural. In response, the Committee hypothesized that much could be learned through more extended and systematic interchanges among social and natural scientists focusing on the formal methodologies applied in forecasting. To put this conjecture to the test, the Committee sponsored a conference at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, on June 10-13, 1984, on forecasting in the social and natural sciences. The conference was co-chaired by Committee members Kenneth C. Land and Stephen H. Schneider representing, respectively, the social and natural science mem bership of the Committee. Support for the conference was provided by a grant to the Council from the Division of Social and Economic Science of the National Science Foundation.
Book Synopsis Social Forecasting for Company Planning by : Brian C. Twiss
Download or read book Social Forecasting for Company Planning written by Brian C. Twiss and published by Springer. This book was released on 1982-06-18 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Politics and Big Data by : Andrea Ceron
Download or read book Politics and Big Data written by Andrea Ceron and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-12-19 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The importance of social media as a way to monitor an electoral campaign is well established. Day-by-day, hour-by-hour evaluation of the evolution of online ideas and opinion allows observers and scholars to monitor trends and momentum in public opinion well before traditional polls. However, there are difficulties in recording and analyzing often brief, unverified comments while the unequal age, gender, social and racial representation among social media users can produce inaccurate forecasts of final polls. Reviewing the different techniques employed using social media to nowcast and forecast elections, this book assesses its achievements and limitations while presenting a new technique of "sentiment analysis" to improve upon them. The authors carry out a meta-analysis of the existing literature to show the conditions under which social media-based electoral forecasts prove most accurate while new case studies from France, the United States and Italy demonstrate how much more accurate "sentiment analysis" can prove.
Book Synopsis Ecological Forecasting by : Michael C. Dietze
Download or read book Ecological Forecasting written by Michael C. Dietze and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2017-05-30 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An authoritative and accessible introduction to the concepts and tools needed to make ecology a more predictive science Ecologists are being asked to respond to unprecedented environmental challenges. How can they provide the best available scientific information about what will happen in the future? Ecological Forecasting is the first book to bring together the concepts and tools needed to make ecology a more predictive science. Ecological Forecasting presents a new way of doing ecology. A closer connection between data and models can help us to project our current understanding of ecological processes into new places and times. This accessible and comprehensive book covers a wealth of topics, including Bayesian calibration and the complexities of real-world data; uncertainty quantification, partitioning, propagation, and analysis; feedbacks from models to measurements; state-space models and data fusion; iterative forecasting and the forecast cycle; and decision support. Features case studies that highlight the advances and opportunities in forecasting across a range of ecological subdisciplines, such as epidemiology, fisheries, endangered species, biodiversity, and the carbon cycle Presents a probabilistic approach to prediction and iteratively updating forecasts based on new data Describes statistical and informatics tools for bringing models and data together, with emphasis on: Quantifying and partitioning uncertainties Dealing with the complexities of real-world data Feedbacks to identifying data needs, improving models, and decision support Numerous hands-on activities in R available online
Book Synopsis Social Indicator Models by : Kenneth C. Land
Download or read book Social Indicator Models written by Kenneth C. Land and published by Russell Sage Foundation. This book was released on 1975-02-14 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Deals in comprehensive fashion with a diverse array of objective and subjective social indicators and shows how these indicators can be used, potentially, to inform and perhaps guide social policy. Written with clarity and authority, it will be of paramount interest to those concerned with the interpretation and analysis of social indicators and to those interested in their use. For the former, it serves as an illuminating introduction to some of the analytical tasks that lie ahead in the study of social indicators. For the latter, it provides a solid foundation upon which future policy analysis may be based.
Book Synopsis The Will to Predict by : Eglė Rindzevičiūtė
Download or read book The Will to Predict written by Eglė Rindzevičiūtė and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2023-05-15 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In The Will to Predict, Eglė Rindzevičiūtė demonstrates how the logic of scientific expertise cannot be properly understood without knowing the conceptual and institutional history of scientific prediction. She notes that predictions of future population, economic growth, environmental change, and scientific and technological innovation have shaped much of twentieth and twenty-first-century politics and social life, as well as government policies. Today, such predictions are more necessary than ever as the world undergoes dramatic environmental, political, and technological change. But, she asks, what does it mean to predict scientifically? What are the limits of scientific prediction and what are its effects on governance, institutions, and society? Her intellectual and political history of scientific prediction takes as its example twentieth-century USSR. By outlining the role of prediction in a range of governmental contexts, from economic and social planning to military strategy, she shows that the history of scientific prediction is a transnational one, part of the history of modern science and technology as well as governance. Going beyond the Soviet case, Rindzevičiūtė argues that scientific predictions are central for organizing uncertainty through the orchestration of knowledge and action. Bridging the fields of political sociology, organization studies, and history, The Will to Predict considers what makes knowledge scientific and how such knowledge has impacted late modern governance.
Book Synopsis Forecasting and Management of Technology by : Alan L. Porter
Download or read book Forecasting and Management of Technology written by Alan L. Porter and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1991 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Consistently practical in its coverage, the book discusses general issues related to forecasting and management; introduces a variety of methods, and shows how to apply these methods to significant issues in managing technological development. With numerous exhibits, case studies and exercises throughout, it requires only basic mathematics and includes a special technology forecasting TOOLKIT for the IBM and compatibles, along with full instructions for installing and running the program.
Author :Prof. Dr. Osman TITREK Publisher :Prof. Dr. Osman Titrek Assoc. Prof. Dr. Fariz Ahmadov Res. Assist. Ilkin Mammadov ISBN 13 :6056649571 Total Pages :1338 pages Book Rating :4.0/5 (566 download)
Book Synopsis Library of Congress Subject Headings by : Library of Congress
Download or read book Library of Congress Subject Headings written by Library of Congress and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 1160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Managing Innovation by : John Ettlie
Download or read book Managing Innovation written by John Ettlie and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2007-06-07 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Managing Innovation: New Technology, New Products, and New Services in a Global Economy, 2nd Edition is devoted to providing a better understanding and better management of all of the causes and consequences of change that have technological implications in and around our global organizations. This text is a unique, original contribution and represents a significant alternative to the collection of chapters written by others. The second edition has new cases with a few classics from the first edition that have been retained in response to reader feedback. The key subjects that are included have been significantly updated and treated in greater depth. The number of chapters has been reduced from 12 to 10 so it is easy to adapt to almost any course or training on the subject in any discipline or to any audience. This exceptionally informative book provides a broad perspective on how technological change can be effectively managed in modern organizations. The text explains the conceptual frameworks supported by new and original case studies for start-up companies like Askmen.com, the complex challenges of managing international technology-based companies like NexPress (a joint venture of Kodak and Heidelberg) in the digital printing industry, and corporate sustainability using innovative new product technologies illustrated by the case of Evinrude’s launch of the E-tec® outboard motor. John E. Ettlie's three decades in the field of innovation as an instructor and researcher bring an exceptional perspective to this subject. His text is unique in its discussion of how technology has transformed the service sector. Few books on technology make the distinction between new offerings in manufacturing and the service sector which is emphasized in this text.
Book Synopsis Library of Congress Subject Headings by : Library of Congress. Cataloging Policy and Support Office
Download or read book Library of Congress Subject Headings written by Library of Congress. Cataloging Policy and Support Office and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 1924 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Study of the Future written by and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Interdisciplinary Planning by : Kan Chen
Download or read book Interdisciplinary Planning written by Kan Chen and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-09-04 with total page 237 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Critiques of traditional urban planning are numerous. The debate about direction within the profession and why urban planning seems to be in a state of despair continues. However, and as Milan J. Dluhy and Kan Chen note, the more critical issue is the future direction of planning, particularly interdisciplinary planning. In this regard, they note five principal areas of concern: planning is action research, planning is knowledge driven, planning is both process and technologically oriented, planning is interdisciplinary, and planning is adaptive to emerging concerns.Reviewing the literature and empirical studies on roles and attitudes, the editors note that planners seem committed to symbols and expressions of advocacy as well as traditional planning doctrine. This emphasizes rational planning and neutral policy roles for practitioners. Without a guiding theory to give a unified approach to practice, planners remain free to select the role most compatible with their personal background and training. This volume asserts that diversity need not be a drawback as long as careful analysis and open planning processes are used.This title will be an invaluable resource. Part I illustrates the critical dilemmas in planning, Part II focuses on planning skills and orientations, the third part focuses sharply on planning roles, while the final section answers a fundamental question: can interdisciplinary planning offer a more useful perspective than others on how to achieve more successful planning outcomes?
Book Synopsis Senses of the Future by : Gerard Delanty
Download or read book Senses of the Future written by Gerard Delanty and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2024-03-04 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The future has become a problem for the present. Almost every critical issue is now understood and experienced through the prism of the future since this is the primary focus for the playing out of crises. Senses of the Future offers a wide-ranging discussion of theories of the future. It covers the main ideas of the future in modern thought and explores how we should view the future today in light of a plurality of very different and conflicting visions. The key contribution of this book is to bring together the different approaches with an account that is grounded in sociological and philosophical analysis as opposed to visions of the future that are inspired by extreme visions of catastrophe or approaches that see the future as only the continuation of the present. Given a revival of apocalyptical visions of the ‘end times’ and dystopian views of the future of human societies, there is urgent need for a new approach on how we should imagine the future. The author explores the future as a field of tensions that is revealed in narratives, utopian desires, hope, imaginaries, and social struggles concerning the potential possibilities of the present: the future does not just arrive; it has to be fought for. This book is an important contribution to a critical sociology of the future. It is both a work of reconstruction and critique grounded in a historical and philosophical hermeneutics of the future.
Book Synopsis Congressional Research Support and Information Services, Hearings Before... by : United States. Congress. Congressional Operations Joint Committee
Download or read book Congressional Research Support and Information Services, Hearings Before... written by United States. Congress. Congressional Operations Joint Committee and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :United States. Congress. Joint Committee on Congressional Operations Publisher : ISBN 13 : Total Pages :506 pages Book Rating :4.0/5 (17 download)
Book Synopsis Congressional Research Support and Information Services by : United States. Congress. Joint Committee on Congressional Operations
Download or read book Congressional Research Support and Information Services written by United States. Congress. Joint Committee on Congressional Operations and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 506 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
