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Author : Wayne Umberger
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Short-term Hog Price and Pork Supply Forecasting Models written by Wayne Umberger and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Kenneth A. Zielinski
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Short-term Hog Production and Price Forecasting Models written by Kenneth A. Zielinski and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Daniel Philip Klein
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (786 download)
Download or read book Short-term Hog Price Forecasting Models for Iowa written by Daniel Philip Klein and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Richard J. Foote
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Quarterly and Shorter-term Price Forecasting Models Relating to Cash and Futures Quotations for Pork Bellies written by Richard J. Foote and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Karl S. Wright
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 354 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (111 download)
Download or read book Short-term Forecasting Models of Feeder Pig Prices written by Karl S. Wright and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Shakib Mbabaali
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (184 download)
Download or read book Short Term Hog Price Forecasting Models for the Manitoba Hog Industry written by Shakib Mbabaali and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Manitoba hog industry operates under uncertain and changing circumstances. Manitoba Department of Agriculture cites some of the factors responsible for the uncertain and changing environment. Such factors include high costs of new facilities, rising energy costs, variable prices for feed grains and protein supplements, and uncertainties about future hog market prices. The research reported in this study concentrates on the uncertainties about future hog market prices by identifying the factors responsible for hog price fluctuations both on a weekly and monthly basis. The identified factors are used to generate knowledge about future hog market prices by using univariate time series, econometric and compsite models as forecasting toos. The forecasts generated using those models are evaluated against the naive or no change model for their quantitative and qualitative forecasting performance. Evaluation measures used include Mean Squared Error, Mean Absolute Percentage Error and Theil's U1 inequality coefficient for quantitative evaluation. The qualitative evaluation measures include the Naik and Leuthold 4 x 4 contingency table method and the Henriksson-Merton probability-based method. Under certain circumstances the Naik and Leuthold 4 x 4 contingency table method is shown to be inappropriate and a 9 x 9 contingency table is suggested. Overall, the models developed do not perform very well quantitatively but the univariate time series model performs well at predicting turning points. The study demonstrates how producers could benefit from the turning point information generated by the univariate times series model. Keywords: forcasting, time series, econometric model, composite model, naive model, quantitiative forecast evaluation, qualitative forecast evaluation.
Author : Karl S. Wright
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 194 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (19 download)
Download or read book Development of Short-term Forecasting Models for Feeder Pig Prices written by Karl S. Wright and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Oris Vernon Wells
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)
Download or read book Farmers' Response to Price in Hog Production and Marketing written by Oris Vernon Wells and published by . This book was released on 1933 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (2 download)
Download or read book Technical Bulletin written by and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Ton Viet Ta
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 86 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (26 download)
Download or read book Price-Forecasting Models for Lean Hogs Futures, Apr-2021 HE=F Stock written by Ton Viet Ta and published by . This book was released on 2021-03-11 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: https: //www.dinhxa.com One-Week Free Trial (subject to change) Do you want to earn up to a 1002% annual return on your money by two trades per day on Lean Hogs Futures, Apr-2021 HE=F Stock? Reading this book is the only way to have a specific strategy. This book offers you a chance to trade HE=F Stock at predicted prices. Eight methods for buying and selling HE=F Stock at predicted low/high prices are introduced. These prices are very close to the lowest and highest prices of the stock in a day. All methods are explained in a very easy-to-understand way by using many examples, formulas, figures, and tables. The BIG DATA of the 4228 consecutive trading days (from March 4, 2002 to March 4, 2021) are utilized. The methods do not require any background on mathematics from readers. Furthermore, they are easy to use. Each takes you no more than 30 seconds for calculation to obtain a specific predicted price. The methods are not transient. They cannot be beaten by Mr. Market in several years, even until the stock doubles its current age. They are traits of Mr. Market. The reason is that the author uses the law of large numbers in the probability theory to construct them. In other words, you can use the methods in a long time without worrying about their change. The efficiency of the methods can be checked easily. Just compare the predicted prices with the actual price of the stock while referring to the probabilities of success which are shown clearly in the book (click the LOOK INSIDE button to read more information before buying this book). The book is very useful for Investors who have decided to buy the stock and keep it for a long time (as the strategy of Warren Buffett), or to sell the stock and pay attention to other stocks. The methods will help them to maximize profits for their decision. Day traders who buy and sell the stock many times in a day. Although each method is valid one time per day, the information from the methods will help the traders buy/sell the stock in the second time, third time or more in a day. Beginners to HE=F Stock. The book gives an insight about the behavior of the stock. They will surely gain their knowledge of HE=F Stock after reading the book. Everyone who wants to know about the U.S. stock market. https: //www.dinhxa.com includes a software (app) for stock price forecasting using the methods in this book. The software gives 114 predictions while this book gives 16. One-Week Free Trial (subject to change)
Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 100384670X
Total Pages : 222 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)
Download or read book Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis written by Walter C. Labys and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2024-02-01 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1984 this book remains as relevant as when it was first published. At that time the oil crises of the 1970s and the growing international debt burden highlighted the extent to which events in primary commodity markets continue to influence the economies of developing and industrialized economies alike. Commodity modelling has become a valuable tool in efforts to predict and understand the behaviour of commodity markets and thereby reduce their fluctuations. This book provides an overview of the nature of the different types of commodity model as well as their diverse applications. In non-technical language the reader is introduced to the underlying modelling methodologies, including their advantages, limitations and commodity specific implications. The book will be of interest to commodity economists, traders and analysts, economic planners and those involved in agricultural, mineral and energy modelling.
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 684 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Agricultural Economics Staff Paper Series written by and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 684 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : In Seck Kim
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 242 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (574 download)
Download or read book A Monthly Structural Model of U.S. Slaughter Hog and Pork Markets written by In Seck Kim and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Neither structural econometric models based on the yearly or quarterly data nor monthly econometric models with limited variables appropriately capture the dynamics of short-run livestock production, and hence market price determination process. This study presents a new monthly data series which make it possible to develop monthly analysis reflecting the short-run production process and hence the supply and price determination process. Monthly supply side structural equations describing explicit biological production process of slaughter hogs from breeding to slaughter allow the study to show that the supply of slaughter hogs in month t was predetermined by hog producers in month (t-11). Consequently, the number of hogs slaughtered in month t is not affected by changes in hog prices or input costs during the 11 month period. This indicates that the number of hogs slaughtered in month t, and hence the supply of pork placed in the market in month t, is perfectly inelastic with respect to changes in prices and price expectations that occur between month (t-11) and month t. This, in turn, implies that the supply elasticity for slaughter hogs for periods less than one year is zero. The biological production process built into the supply side structural equations also make it possible to generate 10 month-ahead forecast values for slaughter hogs numbers. These supply projections in conjunction with price dependent demand side structural equations enable us to project monthly changes in the farm to wholesale price spread for pork and gain information about expected changes in live hog prices and wholesale pork prices for periods up to 10 months into the future.
Author : Richard P. Stillman
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)
Download or read book A Quarterly Model of the Livestock Industry written by Richard P. Stillman and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Renyuan Shao
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (528 download)
Download or read book The Design and Evaluation of Price Risk Management Strategies in the U.S. Hog Industry written by Renyuan Shao and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: During recent years, more U.S. hog producers and meat packers are involved in marketing contracts to enhance net revenue and to limit downside price risk. This research explores new ways to efficiently price a subset of these contracts, window contracts, and to evaluate the effectiveness of these contracts to help producers and packers enter contracts that more effectively satisfy their preferences. A Monte Carlo simulation model in which thousands ofpaths for hog, corn and soybean meal prices are simulated is developed. These commodity prices are assumed following a random walk with drift. Futures prices are used to calibrate the means of the expected joint distribution of these three spot prices. To calibrate volatility of prices, the forecasting power of severalfrequently used volatility forecasting methods are examined; implied volatility is used to forecast volatility for near term and historical volatility is used for longer term horizons. Historical correlation is introduced to capture the co-movement of the three price series. Alternative basis forecasting approaches are also compared. The futures spread model performs best for short-term while a five-year historical average is best for long-term forecasting. The window contracts are decomposed into a portfolio of long Asian-Basket put and short Asian-Basket call options. A projected breakeven price is used to determine the floor price, and then the Monte Carlo simulation method is applied to price both a moving and a fixed window contract. These methods provide unbiased pricing of fixed and moving window contracts of one-year duration. A moving window contract may be preferred by contract issuers who value volatility reduction and due to cumulative performance issues. This same Monte Carlo method is also used to forecast net revenue for hog producers. Based on this forecasting model and the assumption of a mean-variance utility function, the prospective evaluation, which utilizes the Monte Carlo simulation methods described above, is compared with retrospective evaluation, which uses only past performance of the risk management strategy, for a net revenue and a utility maximizing producer. Prospective evaluation is marginally better than retrospective evaluation in terms of net revenue enhancement and risk reduction.
Author : James Dwight Sullivan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (312 download)
Download or read book A systems analysis of the hog-pork subsector written by James Dwight Sullivan and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : William Noel Blisard
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 222 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (974 download)
Download or read book A Comparison of Alternative Price Forecasting Models for Slaughter Hogs written by William Noel Blisard and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
