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Short Term Forecasting With Business Surveys
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Book Synopsis Short-Term Forecasting for Empirical Economists by : Maximo Camacho
Download or read book Short-Term Forecasting for Empirical Economists written by Maximo Camacho and published by . This book was released on 2013-11-01 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Short-term Forecasting for Empirical Economists seeks to close the gap between research and applied short-term forecasting. The authors review some of the key theoretical results and empirical findings in the recent literature on short-term forecasting, and translate these findings into economically meaningful techniques to facilitate their widespread application to compute short-term forecasts in economics, and to monitor the ongoing business cycle developments in real time.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Survey- Based Business Cycle Analysis by : Georg Goldrian
Download or read book Handbook of Survey- Based Business Cycle Analysis written by Georg Goldrian and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2007-01-01 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Handbook aims to provide an overview of regular survey activities, as well as to show how survey results can be used scientifically in the context of business-cycle analysis and forecasting. - Examples of various business surveys are described in detail, starting with their objectives, the questions they pose, how they are weighted and extrapolated and the representativeness of their results. A detailed scientific examination of the explanatory value of the data is also made in order to demonstrate their potential usefulness. The Handbook has three parts: firstly, it presents the importance of business surveys for empirical research. Secondly, selected surveys are introduced in detail such as the Ifo Business Survey and the Ifo Investment Survey, and thirdly, a broad spectrum of studies on the consequence of the survey results is presented. The significance of the surveys applied equally to business cycle analysis and to forecasting. An array of modern methods of time series analysis and econometric model construction is used in these investigations.
Book Synopsis Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis by : Jan-Egbert Sturm
Download or read book Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis written by Jan-Egbert Sturm and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-03-30 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A pilot ?ying to a distant city needs to check his position, ?ight path and weather conditions, and must constantly keep his plane under control to land safely.TheIfosurveydataprovideadvanceinformationonchangingeconomic weather conditions and help keep the economy under control. To be sure, by their very nature they only provide short-term information. But like a plane, the economy will not be able to reach its long-term goals if it strays o? course in the short term. The Ifo survey data provide the most comprehensive and accurate, - to-date database in Europe on the state of the business cycle, and the Ifo climate indicator, sometimes simply called “The Ifo”, is the most frequently cited indicator of its kind in Europe. Both the European stock market and theeuroreacttoourindicator.Ifo’smethodologyfordeterminingthebusiness climateindicatorhasbeenexportedtomorethan?ftycountries,mostrecently toTurkeyandChina.TheIfopeoplewereproudtohavebeenaskedtohelpset up polling systems in these countries. It is said that the Chinese government relies more on their “Ifo indicator” than on their o?cial accounting statistics.
Book Synopsis The Employment Forecast Survey by : Douglas G. Hartle
Download or read book The Employment Forecast Survey written by Douglas G. Hartle and published by University of Toronto Press. This book was released on 1962-12-15 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this report Professor Hartle presents the findings of a series of investigations that have been carried out, partly under the auspices and partly with the co-operation, of the Canadian Department of Labour. The object of the investigations, the Employment Forecast Survey, was initiated by the Economics and Research Branch of that Department in 1946 to obtain information about the future levels and trends of employment in industry. The first phase of the investigation was carried out in 1953 by Professor William C. Hood assisted by Professor Hartle, and their report, dealing with the administration, policy, and technique of the Survey, constituted the foundation of the present study. In 1956-7 Professor Hartle conducted further studies of the Survey and its administration, analysing in particular the predictions which have been derived from the forecasts provided by individual establishments, and evaluating improvements which might have been made in the reliability both of the employer's forecasts and the Department's conclusions. The final phase of investigation carried out by Professor Hartle has been concerned mainly with an analysis of the forecasts of individual establishments. Professor Hartle's monograph, comprising as it does the findings of this whole series of studies, thus provides a comprehensive and detailed analysis of the Employment Forecast Survey. It is valuable for its comparison of the EFS with similar surveys conducted in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany. Canadian Studies in Economics, No. 14.
Book Synopsis Use of Survey Data for Industry, Research and Economic Policy: Selected Papers Presented at the 24th CIRET Conference, Wellington, New Zealand 1999 by : Karl Heinrich Oppenlander
Download or read book Use of Survey Data for Industry, Research and Economic Policy: Selected Papers Presented at the 24th CIRET Conference, Wellington, New Zealand 1999 written by Karl Heinrich Oppenlander and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-02-06 with total page 591 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title was first published in 2000: This text offers a comprehensive collection of selected papers from the 24th Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET) conference. Areas selected include leading indicators and turning points, classifications of business cycles, survey data and policy decisions, attitudes and behaviour of firms, and economic forecasting. The text aims to be of interest to all those concerned with the use of business and consumer surveys in a global context.
Book Synopsis Uses and Abuses of Forecasting by : Tom Whiston
Download or read book Uses and Abuses of Forecasting written by Tom Whiston and published by Springer. This book was released on 1979-06-17 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Entropy Application for Forecasting by : Ana Jesus Lopez-Menendez
Download or read book Entropy Application for Forecasting written by Ana Jesus Lopez-Menendez and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-12-29 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book shows the potential of entropy and information theory in forecasting, including both theoretical developments and empirical applications. The contents cover a great diversity of topics, such as the aggregation and combination of individual forecasts, the comparison of forecasting performance, and the debate concerning the tradeoff between complexity and accuracy. Analyses of forecasting uncertainty, robustness, and inconsistency are also included, as are proposals for new forecasting approaches. The proposed methods encompass a variety of time series techniques (e.g., ARIMA, VAR, state space models) as well as econometric methods and machine learning algorithms. The empirical contents include both simulated experiments and real-world applications focusing on GDP, M4-Competition series, confidence and industrial trend surveys, and stock exchange composite indices, among others. In summary, this collection provides an engaging insight into entropy applications for forecasting, offering an interesting overview of the current situation and suggesting possibilities for further research in this field.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : G. Elliott
Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by G. Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2006-05-30 with total page 1071 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research on forecasting methods has made important progress over recent years and these developments are brought together in the Handbook of Economic Forecasting. The handbook covers developments in how forecasts are constructed based on multivariate time-series models, dynamic factor models, nonlinear models and combination methods. The handbook also includes chapters on forecast evaluation, including evaluation of point forecasts and probability forecasts and contains chapters on survey forecasts and volatility forecasts. Areas of applications of forecasts covered in the handbook include economics, finance and marketing.*Addresses economic forecasting methodology, forecasting models, forecasting with different data structures, and the applications of forecasting methods *Insights within this volume can be applied to economics, finance and marketing disciplines
Book Synopsis Economic Surveys and Data Analysis CIRET Conference Proceedings, Paris 2000 by : OECD
Download or read book Economic Surveys and Data Analysis CIRET Conference Proceedings, Paris 2000 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2002-12-17 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the proceedings of the 25th CIRET Conference, entitled "Business Surveys and Empirical Analysis of Economic and Social Survey Data" was hosted by OECD and INSEE in Paris, France in 2000.
Book Synopsis Leading Indicators and Business Cycle Surveys by : Karl Heinrich Oppenländer
Download or read book Leading Indicators and Business Cycle Surveys written by Karl Heinrich Oppenländer and published by Gower Publishing Company, Limited. This book was released on 1984 with total page 684 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting in macro-economic policy; Implication of survey data for business cycle analysis; Consumer surveys; Investment surveys; Uses of business.
Book Synopsis Economic Forecasting and Policy by : N. Carnot
Download or read book Economic Forecasting and Policy written by N. Carnot and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-07-26 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting.
Book Synopsis A Dynamic Use Of Survey Data And High Frequency Model Forecasting by : Yoshihisa Inada
Download or read book A Dynamic Use Of Survey Data And High Frequency Model Forecasting written by Yoshihisa Inada and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2018-03-08 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume investigates the accuracy and dynamic performance of a high-frequency forecast model for the Japanese and United States economies based on the Current Quarter Model (CQM) or High Frequency Model (HFM) developed by the late Professor Emeritus Lawrence R. Klein. It also presents a survey of recent developments in high-frequency forecasts and gives an example application of the CQM model in forecasting Gross Regional Products (GRPs).
Download or read book Business Economics written by HL Ahuja and published by S. Chand Publishing. This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book provides conceptual understanding of essential concepts in business life. It details the foundations of business economics with special emphasis on demand analysis and consumer behaviour. It also discusses analysis of production and cost of the firm, market structures and pricing of products, factor pricing and income distribution and concludes with the discussion of capital budgeting. Based on the authors extensive teaching experience, the book champions a collaborative approach to delivering an appropriate textbook that is curriculum relevant.
Book Synopsis A Survey of University Business and Economic Research Reports ... by : United States. Small Business Administration
Download or read book A Survey of University Business and Economic Research Reports ... written by United States. Small Business Administration and published by . This book was released on 1963 with total page 716 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Business Economics, Microeconomic Analysis 13e by : Ahuja H.L.
Download or read book Business Economics, Microeconomic Analysis 13e written by Ahuja H.L. and published by S. Chand Publishing. This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edition is specially revised to cater to the changed syllabi requirements of business economics as per UGC model curriculum, and in the light of the new UGC's Choice Based Credit System (CBCS) syllabus for B.Com and B.Com (Hons.). The book is a recommended text by UGC in its model curriculum.
Book Synopsis China in the World Economy by : Zhongmin Wu
Download or read book China in the World Economy written by Zhongmin Wu and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-03-30 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China's economy continues to grow at a great rate, with important consequences for China's society and environment, as well as for the wider world economy. Reforms are being undertaken in many areas within China, both to encourage continued economic growth and also to mitigate the adverse effects of growth on society and the environment. This book, based on extensive original research by a wide range of leading experts, examines many key issues connected to China's economic growth and its impact. Subjects covered amongst many others include: growth and inequality; labour market reforms; technological innovations and their impact; employment, unemployment and training; and the search for economic development that is ecologically sustainable.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Expectations by : Ruediger Bachmann
Download or read book Handbook of Economic Expectations written by Ruediger Bachmann and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2022-11-04 with total page 876 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Economic Expectations discusses the state-of-the-art in the collection, study and use of expectations data in economics, including the modelling of expectations formation and updating, as well as open questions and directions for future research. The book spans a broad range of fields, approaches and applications using data on subjective expectations that allows us to make progress on fundamental questions around the formation and updating of expectations by economic agents and their information sets. The information included will help us study heterogeneity and potential biases in expectations and analyze impacts on behavior and decision-making under uncertainty. - Combines information about the creation of economic expectations and their theories, applications and likely futures - Provides a comprehensive summary of economics expectations literature - Explores empirical and theoretical dimensions of expectations and their relevance to a wide array of subfields in economics
