Economic Time Series

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439846588
Total Pages : 544 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Time Series by : William R. Bell

Download or read book Economic Time Series written by William R. Bell and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-11-14 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Time Series: Modeling and Seasonality is a focused resource on analysis of economic time series as pertains to modeling and seasonality, presenting cutting-edge research that would otherwise be scattered throughout diverse peer-reviewed journals. This compilation of 21 chapters showcases the cross-fertilization between the fields of time s

The Econometric Analysis of Seasonal Time Series

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521565882
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (658 download)

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Book Synopsis The Econometric Analysis of Seasonal Time Series by : Eric Ghysels

Download or read book The Econometric Analysis of Seasonal Time Series written by Eric Ghysels and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2001-06-18 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Eric Ghysels and Denise R. Osborn provide a thorough and timely review of the recent developments in the econometric analysis of seasonal economic time series, summarizing a decade of theoretical advances in the area. The authors discuss the asymptotic distribution theory for linear nonstationary seasonal stochastic processes. They also cover the latest contributions to the theory and practice of seasonal adjustment, together with its implications for estimation and hypothesis testing. Moreover, a comprehensive analysis of periodic models is provided, including stationary and nonstationary cases. The book concludes with a discussion of some nonlinear seasonal and periodic models. The treatment is designed for an audience of researchers and advanced graduate students.

Seasonal Analysis of Economic Time Series

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 508 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (121 download)

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Book Synopsis Seasonal Analysis of Economic Time Series by : Arnold Zellner

Download or read book Seasonal Analysis of Economic Time Series written by Arnold Zellner and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 508 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Analysis of Economic Time Series

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483218880
Total Pages : 495 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Analysis of Economic Time Series by : Marc Nerlove

Download or read book Analysis of Economic Time Series written by Marc Nerlove and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 495 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analysis of Economic Time Series: A Synthesis integrates several topics in economic time-series analysis, including the formulation and estimation of distributed-lag models of dynamic economic behavior; the application of spectral analysis in the study of the behavior of economic time series; and unobserved-components models for economic time series and the closely related problem of seasonal adjustment. Comprised of 14 chapters, this volume begins with a historical background on the use of unobserved components in the analysis of economic time series, followed by an Introduction to the theory of stationary time series. Subsequent chapters focus on the spectral representation and its estimation; formulation of distributed-lag models; elements of the theory of prediction and extraction; and formulation of unobserved-components models and canonical forms. Seasonal adjustment techniques and multivariate mixed moving-average autoregressive time-series models are also considered. Finally, a time-series model of the U.S. cattle industry is presented. This monograph will be of value to mathematicians, economists, and those interested in economic theory, econometrics, and mathematical economics.

Seasonal analysis of economic time series

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 485 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (462 download)

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Book Synopsis Seasonal analysis of economic time series by : Conference On The Seasonal Analysis Of Economic Time Series. [1976, 9-10 septembre. Washington, D.C.].

Download or read book Seasonal analysis of economic time series written by Conference On The Seasonal Analysis Of Economic Time Series. [1976, 9-10 septembre. Washington, D.C.]. and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 485 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Forecasting Economic Time Series

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483273245
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Economic Time Series by : C. W. J. Granger

Download or read book Forecasting Economic Time Series written by C. W. J. Granger and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Theory, Econometrics, and Mathematical Economics, Second Edition: Forecasting Economic Time Series presents the developments in time series analysis and forecasting theory and practice. This book discusses the application of time series procedures in mainstream economic theory and econometric model building. Organized into 10 chapters, this edition begins with an overview of the problem of dealing with time series possessing a deterministic seasonal component. This text then provides a description of time series in terms of models known as the time-domain approach. Other chapters consider an alternative approach, known as spectral or frequency-domain analysis, that often provides useful insights into the properties of a series. This book discusses as well a unified approach to the fitting of linear models to a given time series. The final chapter deals with the main advantage of having a Gaussian series wherein the optimal single series, least-squares forecast will be a linear forecast. This book is a valuable resource for economists.

Time Series Analysis and Adjustment

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1317010183
Total Pages : 149 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis and Adjustment by : Haim Y. Bleikh

Download or read book Time Series Analysis and Adjustment written by Haim Y. Bleikh and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-02-24 with total page 149 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Time Series Analysis and Adjustment the authors explain how the last four decades have brought dramatic changes in the way researchers analyze economic and financial data on behalf of economic and financial institutions and provide statistics to whomsoever requires them. Such analysis has long involved what is known as econometrics, but time series analysis is a different approach driven more by data than economic theory and focused on modelling. An understanding of time series and the application and understanding of related time series adjustment procedures is essential in areas such as risk management, business cycle analysis, and forecasting. Dealing with economic data involves grappling with things like varying numbers of working and trading days in different months and movable national holidays. Special attention has to be given to such things. However, the main problem in time series analysis is randomness. In real-life, data patterns are usually unclear, and the challenge is to uncover hidden patterns in the data and then to generate accurate forecasts. The case studies in this book demonstrate that time series adjustment methods can be efficaciously applied and utilized, for both analysis and forecasting, but they must be used in the context of reasoned statistical and economic judgment. The authors believe this is the first published study to really deal with this issue of context.

Periodicity and Stochastic Trends in Economic Time Series

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Periodicity and Stochastic Trends in Economic Time Series by : Philip Hans Franses

Download or read book Periodicity and Stochastic Trends in Economic Time Series written by Philip Hans Franses and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1996 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a self-contained account of periodic models for seasonally observed economic time series with stochastic trends. Two key concepts are periodic integration and periodic cointegration. Periodic integration implies that a seasonally varying differencing filter is required to remove a stochastic trend. Periodic cointegration amounts to allowing cointegration paort-term adjustment parameters to vary with the season. The emphasis is on useful econrameters and shometric models that explicitly describe seasonal variation and can reasonably be interpreted in terms of economic behaviour. The analysis considers econometric theory, Monte Carlo simulation, and forecasting, and it is illustrated with numerous empirical time series. A key feature of the proposed models is that changing seasonal fluctuations depend on the trend and business cycle fluctuations. In the case of such dependence, it is shown that seasonal adjustment leads to inappropriate results.

Time Series Analysis and Macroeconometric Modelling

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781782541622
Total Pages : 462 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (416 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis and Macroeconometric Modelling by : Kenneth Frank Wallis

Download or read book Time Series Analysis and Macroeconometric Modelling written by Kenneth Frank Wallis and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1995-01-01 with total page 462 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'An excellent reference volume of this author's work, bringing together articles published over a 25 year span on the statistical analysis of economic time series, large scale macroeconomic modelling and the interface between them.' - Aslib Book Guide This major volume of essays by Kenneth F. Wallis features 28 articles published over a quarter of a century on the statistical analysis of economic time series, large-scale macroeconometric modelling, and the interface between them. The first part deals with time-series econometrics and includes significant early contributions to the development of the LSE tradition in time-series econometrics, which is the dominant British tradition and has considerable influence worldwide. Later sections discuss theoretical and practical issues in modelling seasonality and forecasting with applications in both large-scale and small-scale models. The final section summarizes the research programme of the ESRC Macroeconomic Modelling Bureau, a unique comparison project among economy-wide macroeconometric models.

Econometric Forecasting and High-frequency Data Analysis

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9812778969
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (127 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometric Forecasting and High-frequency Data Analysis by : Roberto S. Mariano

Download or read book Econometric Forecasting and High-frequency Data Analysis written by Roberto S. Mariano and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important book consists of surveys of high-frequency financial data analysis and econometric forecasting, written by pioneers in these areas including Nobel laureate Lawrence Klein. Some of the chapters were presented as tutorials to an audience in the Econometric Forecasting and High-Frequency Data Analysis Workshop at the Institute for Mathematical Science, National University of Singapore in May 2006. They will be of interest to researchers working in macroeconometrics as well as financial econometrics. Moreover, readers will find these chapters useful as a guide to the literature as well as suggestions for future research. Sample Chapter(s). Foreword (32 KB). Chapter 1: Forecast Uncertainty, Its Representation and Evaluation* (97 KB). Contents: Forecasting Uncertainty, Its Representation and Evaluation (K F Wallis); The University of Pennsylvania Models for High-Frequency Macroeconomic Modeling (L R Klein & S Ozmucur); Forecasting Seasonal Time Series (P H Franses); Car and Affine Processes (C Gourieroux); Multivariate Time Series Analysis and Forecasting (M Deistler). Readership: Professionals and researchers in econometric forecasting and financial data analysis.

Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend-Cycle Estimation

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319318225
Total Pages : 283 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (193 download)

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Book Synopsis Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend-Cycle Estimation by : Estela Bee Dagum

Download or read book Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend-Cycle Estimation written by Estela Bee Dagum and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-20 with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores widely used seasonal adjustment methods and recent developments in real time trend-cycle estimation. It discusses in detail the properties and limitations of X12ARIMA, TRAMO-SEATS and STAMP - the main seasonal adjustment methods used by statistical agencies. Several real-world cases illustrate each method and real data examples can be followed throughout the text. The trend-cycle estimation is presented using nonparametric techniques based on moving averages, linear filters and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, taking recent advances into account. The book provides a systematical treatment of results that to date have been scattered throughout the literature. Seasonal adjustment and real time trend-cycle prediction play an essential part at all levels of activity in modern economies. They are used by governments to counteract cyclical recessions, by central banks to control inflation, by decision makers for better modeling and planning and by hospitals, manufacturers, builders, transportation, and consumers in general to decide on appropriate action. This book appeals to practitioners in government institutions, finance and business, macroeconomists, and other professionals who use economic data as well as academic researchers in time series analysis, seasonal adjustment methods, filtering and signal extraction. It is also useful for graduate and final-year undergraduate courses in econometrics and time series with a good understanding of linear regression and matrix algebra, as well as ARIMA modelling.

The Analysis of Economic Time Series

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 648 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis The Analysis of Economic Time Series by : Harold Thayer Davis

Download or read book The Analysis of Economic Time Series written by Harold Thayer Davis and published by . This book was released on 1941 with total page 648 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

On the Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series Aggregates

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (121 download)

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Book Synopsis On the Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series Aggregates by : Estela Bee Dagum

Download or read book On the Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series Aggregates written by Estela Bee Dagum and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Spectral Analysis of Economic Time Series. (PSME-1)

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400875528
Total Pages : 318 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Spectral Analysis of Economic Time Series. (PSME-1) by : Clive William John Granger

Download or read book Spectral Analysis of Economic Time Series. (PSME-1) written by Clive William John Granger and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2015-12-08 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The important data of economics are in the form of time series; therefore, the statistical methods used will have to be those designed for time series data. New methods for analyzing series containing no trends have been developed by communication engineering, and much recent research has been devoted to adapting and extending these methods so that they will be suitable for use with economic series. This book presents the important results of this research and further advances the application of the recently developed Theory of Spectra to economics. In particular, Professor Hatanaka demonstrates the new technique in treating two problems-business cycle indicators, and the acceleration principle existing in department store data. Originally published in 1964. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.

Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139952129
Total Pages : 421 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (399 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting by : Philip Hans Franses

Download or read book Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting written by Philip Hans Franses and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2014-04-24 with total page 421 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With a new author team contributing decades of practical experience, this fully updated and thoroughly classroom-tested second edition textbook prepares students and practitioners to create effective forecasting models and master the techniques of time series analysis. Taking a practical and example-driven approach, this textbook summarises the most critical decisions, techniques and steps involved in creating forecasting models for business and economics. Students are led through the process with an entirely new set of carefully developed theoretical and practical exercises. Chapters examine the key features of economic time series, univariate time series analysis, trends, seasonality, aberrant observations, conditional heteroskedasticity and ARCH models, non-linearity and multivariate time series, making this a complete practical guide. Downloadable datasets are available online.

Time Series Techniques for Economists

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521405744
Total Pages : 392 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Techniques for Economists by : Terence C. Mills

Download or read book Time Series Techniques for Economists written by Terence C. Mills and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The application of time series techniques in economics has become increasingly important, both for forecasting purposes and in the empirical analysis of time series in general. In this book, Terence Mills not only brings together recent research at the frontiers of the subject, but also analyses the areas of most importance to applied economics. It is an up-to-date text which extends the basic techniques of analysis to cover the development of methods that can be used to analyse a wide range of economic problems. The book analyses three basic areas of time series analysis: univariate models, multivariate models, and non-linear models. In each case the basic theory is outlined and then extended to cover recent developments. Particular emphasis is placed on applications of the theory to important areas of applied economics and on the computer software and programs needed to implement the techniques. This book clearly distinguishes itself from its competitors by emphasising the techniques of time series modelling rather than technical aspects such as estimation, and by the breadth of the models considered. It features many detailed real-world examples using a wide range of actual time series. It will be useful to econometricians and specialists in forecasting and finance and accessible to most practitioners in economics and the allied professions.

Forecasting Economic Time Series

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 428 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Economic Time Series by : Clive William John Granger

Download or read book Forecasting Economic Time Series written by Clive William John Granger and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book has been updated to reflect developments in time series analysis and forecasting theory and practice, particularly as applied to economics. The second edition pays attention to such problems as how to evaluate and compare forecasts.